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ESPN Fantasy Football fantasy football takes on Joe Burrow
Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from ESPN Fantasy Football about Joe Burrow.
26
Insights
12
Positive
6
Negative
Insight ledger
All ESPN Fantasy Football insights about Joe Burrow
PositiveProjectionOct 8, 2026
Burrow is a lineup lock for Week 5 as the Bengals face the Dolphins with a projected score of 27-17 and 83% win probability (highest). The Bengals are heavily favored in this matchup.NegativeProjectionOct 7, 2026
Joe Burrow has a historical tendency to underperform as a big favorite; the source notes Burrow is just 7-6 outright when laying at least seven points, which is a concern for the Bengals' Week 5 survivor pick despite the matchup being the easiest spot all season on paper.NegativeProjectionOct 7, 2026
Joe Burrow is one of only three top-10 fantasy producers at quarterback who were selected ahead of the double-digit rounds, indicating he was correctly valued in drafts.PositiveProjectionSep 28, 2026
In Week 3's loss to the Steelers, Burrow notched his best numbers of the season, completing 75.7% of his throws for 282 yards and three touchdowns, plus he rushed for 13 yards (22.58 points). Burrow has thrown for at least two touchdowns in back-to-back games and will be a lower-tier QB1 in the source's ranks.PositiveInjurySep 19, 2026
Burrow is dealing with back soreness and is listed as questionable but is expected to start; he stated it would be "ridiculous" if the injury caused him to miss Week 2. Even in a tough matchup against the Texans, Burrow is a fantasy QB1.NegativeProjectionSep 15, 2026
Joe Burrow was not significantly moved in rest-of-season rankings after Week 1, but the source indicates potential for movement soon.PositiveProjectionSep 9, 2026
Listed as a lineup lock for Week 1 against the Buccaneers.PositiveValueAug 31, 2026
Joe Burrow was drafted in Round 6 (Pick 6.11) in this 12-team PPR mock draft, confirming solid draft capital for a quarterback.PositiveValueAug 31, 2026
Joe Burrow was drafted 6th overall (Pick 6.11) in this 12-team PPR mock draft, confirming elite quarterback draft capital and top-tier consensus status.NegativeValueAug 31, 2026
Joe Burrow was selected in Round 6 (Pick 71) as QB5, indicating he is being drafted as the fifth-ranked quarterback in this ESPN mock draft.NegativeProjectionAug 31, 2026
Ranked QB5 in PPR mock draft.NegativeValueAug 26, 2026
Quarterback selected at Pick 8.2 in ESPN Fantasy Football Marathon mock draft with bye week 6.PositiveProjectionAug 14, 2026
The source is bullish on Burrow despite availability concerns (he has missed at least seven games in two of his past three seasons). When on the field, Burrow can produce elite numbers: in 2024 he averaged 21.9 fantasy points, threw 43 touchdowns, and has two premier targets in Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.PositiveProjectionAug 13, 2026
Burrow scored 21.9 fantasy PPG in 2024 with 43 touchdown passes; JJ Zachariason expects top-three QB numbers this season despite availability concerns (missed at least seven games in two of past three seasons). Landing Burrow as a mid-tier QB1 fits Zachariason's philosophy on getting value at the position, with two premier targets in WRs Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins.PositiveProjectionAug 12, 2026
In leagues awarding six points per passing TD (instead of the standard four), Joe Burrow gets a boost in value relative to standard scoring because he projects to throw a lot of touchdowns.PositiveValueAug 12, 2026
Burrow is listed as a top QB in one-QB leagues, picked in the third- to sixth-round range; in superflex leagues, he is expected to be picked much earlier, likely in the first round, reflecting the increased QB scarcity in that format.NegativeProjectionAug 11, 2026
Ranked QB6 in early 2026 PPR rankings with a bye week of 6.PositiveValueAug 10, 2026
Drafted as QB1 in superflex mock at Pick 1.4, indicating early quarterback investment and top-tier fantasy projection.NegativeProjectionJul 31, 2026
Ranked QB6 in knockout league format with bye week 10.PositiveProjectionJul 31, 2026
Burrow is listed among quarterbacks with upside available in Rounds 5-6 in 2026, positioned as a solid value option with QB1 potential.NegativeProjectionJul 30, 2026
Ranked QB8 in PPR fantasy football rankings.NegativeValueJul 24, 2026
The source warns against drafting Burrow at pick 36 in response to a position run on quarterbacks; while he may be a great NFL quarterback, he represents the fifth-best fantasy quarterback in that scenario and costs a critical piece at another position like a weekly WR2.NegativeMatchupNo date
Burrow is a fantasy superstar with a Week 6 bye (Cincinnati Bengals), creating a strategic disadvantage for Knockout managers despite his elite status; he will still cost a premium in drafts but presents a bye-week liability.NegativeMatchupNo date
Burrow's Week 2 matchup at Houston is a matchup to avoid despite Josh Allen's 35.66-point performance against the Texans in Week 1. The source cautions that 40% of Allen's production came on rushing plays, an area that has not been Burrow's forte, and much of the Texans' defensive issues stemmed from their difficulty handling Allen's mobility. The Texans remain an upper-quarter defense, and Burrow averaged 3.4 fewer fantasy points against upper-quarter defenses than the rest of the league over the past two seasons.NegativeBustNo date
Liz Loza is letting leaguemates draft Joe Burrow instead, indicating she is not overly keen on drafting him this season.NegativeValueNo date
Burrow is the fifth QB off the board with an ADP of 56.9, but the source argues this is an unnecessary gamble given his injury history and lack of rushing upside. Burrow has managed only three seasons of 10+ games played and three seasons of 10 or fewer games; his aggressive playing style combined with the Bengals' bottom-five pass protection (57.6% pass block win rate, 28th in league) creates constant durability risk. Additionally, Burrow derived only 3% of his fantasy production from rushing (330 yards over three seasons) while 12 QBs cleared 340 rushing yards in 2025 alone and 12 of the top 15 QB producers collected 16%+ of points via ground game. The source states Burrow would need to replicate his 2024 campaign or achieve a career effort (4,800 yards, 45 TDs like Matthew Stafford) to justify his ADP, making him an unnecessary risk when positional depth offers better value.