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Jaguars allow league-low 14.2 PPR points to RBs; game script risk with Ravens as dogs.
Jacksonville has been the most difficult fantasy RB matchup this year, allowing just 14.2 half PPR points per game to the position on the fewest rushing YPG (77.4), with opposing offenses posting the lowest neutral run rate against them. While it will be slightly easier without DT DaVon Hamilton, this remains a matchup to avoid; Henry can get game-scripted out of outings with the Ravens as 10-point dogs and a 14.75-point team total.
Henry's baseline drops to RB28 usage without Huntley; aging limits upside.
Henry's new baseline is far lower with Tyler Huntley out and OC Declan Doyle finding more ways to move the ball than running behind an aging Henry; over the last month, he's been the RB28 on RB17 usage and 17.3 carries per game, a better baseline than his historical seven-game average of 16.8 half PPR points on 22 carries without Lamar Jackson.
Henry downgraded in Week 9 RB rankings; projection drops to 11.4 points.
Derrick Henry is among the six biggest RB downgrades for Week 9; his projection falls from 16.3 PPG utilization to 11.4 projected points, driven by unfavorable betting factors, situational spots, disadvantageous defensive matchups, or decreased usage expectations.
Henry's volume safe but game script risk increases without Jackson's efficiency.
Henry doesn't see the same bump as Flowers from the Brissett trade. The appeal with Henry is volume and touchdowns, and Baltimore should continue to lean on him as the unquestioned goal-line option. However, without Jackson, the Ravens are more likely to trail in games and see fewer scoring opportunities. Brissett's arrival does give the offense a safer floor, but Henry remains a game script-dependent option more likely to be chasing points.
Henry has more career passing TDs (4) than Ravens' entire QB room (0).
Ravens' starting running back has four career passing touchdowns, more than the entire current quarterback room which has zero career passing touchdowns combined; context highlights the inexperience of Baltimore's quarterback situation before Brissett acquisition.
Source skeptical of Henry fit; concerns about shotgun usage in Vikings scheme.
The source expresses skepticism about a potential Derrick Henry trade for the Vikings, noting that Henry does not perform well out of the shotgun formation, which may limit his effectiveness in the Vikings' offensive scheme.
Henry trade interesting but concerns about shotgun fit limit appeal.
The source mentions Derrick Henry as a potential trade target but expresses skepticism about fit, noting that Henry does not perform well out of the shotgun formation, which may limit his effectiveness in the Vikings' offensive scheme.
Henry showing signs of decline for first time in his career.
For the first time in his career, Derrick Henry looks like a back in decline.
Henry looks in decline for first time in career; Ravens RB concern.
Henry looks like a back in decline for the first time in his career; the source explicitly states this is a concerning development for the Ravens RB, suggesting diminished fantasy value despite his Hall of Fame resume.
Post from SleeperNFL
Henry held to 53 yards as Bills defense dominates Ravens ground game.
Henry was limited to 53 rushing yards against Buffalo's defense, which held the Ravens to 3-of-13 on third down and recorded four sacks, 12 quarterback hits, and three takeaways.
Florio: Henry should demand trade to Giants; Ravens season is sinking fast.
Mike Florio argues Henry should be seeking a trade to the Giants or another contender because the Ravens' season is collapsing (4-4, last in NFC North, lost top two QBs); at 32 and with limited time remaining, Henry would benefit from joining a playoff-contending team to maximize his championship window.
Henry is the prototype power back for Harbaugh's rushing attack; 5+ YPC over past two seasons.
Henry was the lynchpin of John Harbaugh's rushing attacks with the Ravens the past two seasons and is the model power/bellcow/explosive running back for a Harbaugh offense; he gained more than 3,500 yards and averaged more than 5 yards per carry in those two seasons, demonstrating fit with Harbaugh's system.
Henry's contract structure makes him cheaper to acquire than Taylor as a rental.
As a rental, Henry would cost the Giants less draft capital than Jonathan Taylor; Henry is signed through 2027 with no guaranteed money next season and three void years (dead money to Ravens), making him a more affordable trade target for a contender seeking a power back.
Henry's 4.0 YPC average is career-low; unclear if age or Ravens chaos is the cause.
Henry is averaging a career-low 4.0 yards per carry this year; the source questions whether the decline reflects Henry's age (32 with 3,000+ career touches) and past-prime status, or is attributable to Baltimore's quarterback injuries (Lamar Jackson thumb, Tyler Huntly turf toe) and team collapse (4-4, last in NFC North, three straight losses).
Henry rental could cost fewer draft assets than Taylor; Harbaugh's Ravens ties help.
As a rental, the Giants might not have to surrender as much draft capital for Henry as they would for Jonathan Taylor, since Henry is signed through 2027 with no guaranteed money next season and the Ravens would absorb the dead money from three void years; Harbaugh's relationships with former GM Eric DeCosta and Ravens owner Steve Bisciotti could facilitate a trade.
Henry is the bellcow model for Harbaugh's rushing attack; elite power back pedigree.
Henry was the lynchpin of Harbaugh's rushing attacks with the Ravens the past two seasons and is the model power/bellcow/explosive running back for a Harbaugh offense; he is 6-foot-3, 252 pounds, and has been one of the pre-eminent running backs in football for a decade.
Henry's 4.0 YPC this season is career-low; age and mileage raise decline questions.
Henry is averaging a career-low 4.0 yards per carry this season, down from more than 5 yards per carry the past two seasons with Harbaugh; the decline raises questions about whether it reflects Henry's age (32 with 3,000+ career touches) and expiration date for running back performance, or external factors like Lamar Jackson's thumb injury and the Ravens' offensive struggles.
Derrick Henry ranks 14th in RB trade value at 53.
Ranked 14th in rest-of-season RB trade value with a HALFPPR value of 53; positioned in the mid-tier of running back trade values.
Henry's career-low efficiency and pass-game absence signal downturn despite high ceiling.
Henry has fallen to RB18 in rest-of-season rankings amid signs of career downturn. While some struggles stem from QB injuries stalling the Ravens offense, his lack of pass-game involvement and inefficiency relative to expectations (4.0 ypc, his lowest career mark) are concerning. His numbers worsen significantly when Lamar Jackson is sidelined. The source notes that while Henry's ceiling remains high enough to start him, he would be an immediate trade target if/when he has his next ceiling game.
Henry's usage drops without Jackson; averaging 64.5 yards per game recently.
The source notes that Henry, 32, isn't as effective nor as frequently used when Ravens QB Lamar Jackson isn't in the lineup, averaging 64.5 yards with one TD on the ground over the past month; however, his tank isn't empty and offloading his $11 million salary in 2027 might be the right long-term play for Baltimore while helping a team looking to pay less than the Jonathan Taylor price for running back help.
Henry downgraded to low-end RB2 with Jackson out and tough Jaguars matchup.
The source notes that Lamar Jackson is likely out for the season, which hurts Henry's value. With Joe Fagnano forced into action after Tyler Huntley got hurt, Henry faces erratic quarterback play. Week 9 against the Jaguars presents a tough matchup, as Jacksonville has an elite run defense; the source finds it hard to see the Ravens scoring 13 points. Henry is rated a low-end RB2 for now.
Henry's 4.0 YPC faces Jaguars' 25-game 75-yard rush streak.
Henry faces a Jaguars defense that hasn't allowed an opposing runner to gain 75+ yards in 24 straight games and is aiming for 25 consecutive such games. Despite leading the NFL with 158 rushing attempts and averaging over 20 carries per game, Henry's effectiveness has declined to a career-low 4.0 yards per carry at age 32, making a breakout performance unlikely against Jacksonville's stout run defense.
Six of Henry's final nine games are tough RB matchups; Lamar Jackson injury removes key catalyst.
The source recommends selling Derrick Henry due to a brutal upcoming schedule and the loss of Lamar Jackson. Six of Henry's final nine games are sub-par matchups for RBs: Week 9 vs JAX (fewest FPPG allowed), Week 14 vs TB (2nd fewest), Week 15 vs PIT (9th fewest), Week 16 vs CLE (14th fewest), Week 17 vs CIN (10th fewest), and Week 18 vs PIT (9th fewest). Jackson suffered a thumb injury in Week 8 with rumors of potential rest-of-season absence, eliminating the QB catalyst that had driven Henry's earlier success. the source expects more single-digit fantasy weeks ahead, particularly during the fantasy playoff stretch.
One comment suggests Ravens should rely on quick slants/run game with backup QB: 'It's either him or charbonn…
One comment suggests Ravens should rely on quick slants/run game with backup QB: 'It's either him or charbonnet. How hard is it to just throw quick slants.' Implies Henry may see increased volume in game plan adjustment.
Henry's Ravens offense has collapsed (5th to 29th EPA), and Jaguars are stingiest RB defense.
Henry ranked RB17 despite a concerning trend: the Ravens' offense ranked fifth in EPA per play in Weeks 1-5 but has slipped to 29th over the last four weeks. The source notes the Ravens are implied to score fewer points than any team (15) ahead of Thursday night, and Jacksonville has allowed fewer fantasy points per game to RBs than any defense this season. The source states: "This ranking simultaneously feels too low and too high at the same time."
Henry faces one of the week's worst game environments despite elite talent.
Ranked outside the top 16 for Week 9 despite historical pedigree. The source notes it feels sacrilegious to rank Henry outside the top 16, but he is in a rough spot matchup-wise based on implied team total and opponent fantasy points per game allowed to the position.
Henry's efficiency craters without Jackson; faces Jacksonville's elite run defense.
Henry's splits without Lamar Jackson are problematic; he ranks as RB28 on RB17 usage this month without Jackson, with night-and-day efficiency depending on whether the star QB is available to threaten defenses. The source does not trust the offensive line talent when they line up under center, and Henry is far more likely to be phased out due to game script. He takes a bigger positional tumble in rankings without Jackson and facing Jacksonville's dominant run defense.
Derrick Henry has more career TDs (4) than Ravens' entire backup QB room combined
Derrick Henry is Baltimore's starting running back; CBS Sports researcher Doug Clawson noted that the Ravens' current backup quarterback room (Fagnano, Austin Reed, and Kedon Slovis) has fewer career passing touchdowns (0) than Henry has (4).