NBC Sports Rotoworld on Dalton Kincaid

Kincaid's 72% bullseye rate and declining air yards signal negative regression risk.

Kincaid is running hot on air yards conversion through Week 4 after leading all tight ends in air yards through two weeks, but has a sudden lack of opportunity with only 55 air yards over Buffalo's past two outings, ranking 21st among tight ends. His 72 percent bullseye rate is obscene and suggests he is due for negative regression based on an unusually high rate of accurate throws. Bills head coach Joe Brady said after Week 4 that he needed to do what it took to get Kincaid more involved in the passing offense.

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