Yahoo Sports NFL on Dalton Kincaid

ArticleCarnell Tate, Isaac TeSlaa headline Week 5's Regression Files
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Dalton Kincaid (BUF) Bullseye rate: 72 percent... Kincaid is somehow running hot on air yards conversion through Week 4... Kincaid, after leading all tight ends in air yards through two weeks, has a total of 55 air yards over Buffalo's past two outings. That ranks 21st among tight ends... he could be due for some negative regression based on his obscene air yards conversion rate and the unusually high rate of accurate throws that have come his way.
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STACKED’s take

Negative signalBust

Kincaid's 72% bullseye rate masks declining opportunity; regression likely.

Dalton Kincaid is running hot on air yards conversion through Week 4 with a 72 percent bullseye rate, but faces a sudden lack of opportunity; after leading all tight ends in air yards through two weeks, he has only 55 air yards over Buffalo's past two outings, ranking 21st among tight ends behind Michael Mayer and Greg Dulcich. Bills head coach Joe Brady said after Week 4 that he needed to do what it took to get Kincaid more involved, but Kincaid could be due for negative regression based on his obscene air yards conversion rate and the unusually high rate of accurate throws that have come his way.

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