NFL: The Insiders on Christian McCaffrey

McCaffrey's 450 touches and declining rushing metrics create 38% regression risk.

McCaffrey is ranked 10th overall. While his ceiling is being the best player in fantasy, the source has significant concerns about drafting him this year. Last year he had the fewest rushing yards over expectations of all running backs and had 450 touches. Every running back since 2010 who had that many touches in a season saw their yards decrease by at least 38% the following year. McCaffrey had over 400 touches once in his career; the following two years he played 10 games combined. The risk is higher with someone at his age coming off that many touches.

Christian McCaffreyRB · SFPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight