The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast on Matthew Stafford

Stafford is a poor MVP bet due to historical trends, outlier TD rates, and team depth

Tony Ayo argues against betting Matthew Stafford to repeat as MVP, noting that back-to-back MVPs are historically rare. Stafford's 7.7% touchdown rate last year was an outlier compared to his 4% average over the previous three years. Furthermore, the Rams' high expectations and strong supporting cast mean Stafford doesn't need to be the 'most valuable' player for the team to win, and a difficult early schedule including a game in Australia creates high risk for early-season losses.

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