From the episode

Lad McConkie... his first downs per route run rate, which was only 6.2% last year, that is very alarming... There's been 28 top 36 wide receivers who had 300 or more routes... with a sub 7% first downs per route run rate since 2014. They underperformed versus expectation on average by 1.6 points per game... I think that there's a very real chance by the time August hits that the market is boosting him... it makes it a little bit more alarming and scarier because of what he did last season.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

McConkey's 6.2% first downs per route run rate last year is alarming. Of 28 top-36 WRs with 300+ routes and sub-7% first downs per route run since 2014, they underperformed by 1.6 PPR points on average. The analyst is concerned the market will overvalue McConkey in August despite his weak 2025 performance.

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