Yahoo Fantasy Football on Jameson Williams
From the article
Williams caught just two passes on four targets in that last outing (against Arizona), and it so happened that both passes went for touchdowns... In his previous two games with four targets (Weeks 2 and 3), he had fewer than 50 yards and fewer than seven fantasy points... Green Bay does appear to be a specifically tough matchup for Williams... this defense has allowed the fourth-fewest fantasy points per target to the position
STACKED’s take
Williams' recent TD luck masks poor efficiency; Green Bay's downfield defense makes him a volatile WR3.
Williams is a fade in Week 7 against Green Bay despite two straight games with 13+ fantasy points. His recent success is built on touchdown luck: he caught just two passes on four targets in the last outing against Arizona, and both went for touchdowns including a 39-yarder. In his previous two games with four targets (Weeks 2 and 3), he had fewer than 50 yards and fewer than seven fantasy points. Regressing touchdown luck to the mean, those are the fantasy outings to expect more often. Green Bay is a specifically tough matchup for Williams on downfield throws (10+ air yards), allowing the fourth-fewest yards per attempt, second-lowest catch rate, and second-lowest EPA/play. Success against the Packers has typically required high volume—all seven wide receivers to score 8+ fantasy points saw at least seven targets—and this defense allows the fourth-fewest fantasy points per target to the position. None of this syncs with Williams' playstyle or role in Detroit, setting him up for another down performance.
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