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Branch was added as a third-round slot receiver in the Falcons' 2026 offseason, representing depth competition for Drake London.

Tagovailoa can pepper Drake London underneath and intermediate now that London is playing more slot than ever, supporting London's target share in 2026.

Kelce is used as a comp for Brock Bowers' trajectory and as the benchmark for Bowers' potential. Bowers' 13 closest comps averaged +7 YPG in their third NFL season, and that group includes HOF talents like Gates and Kelce. Bowers is positioned as the next Travis Kelce for fantasy football.

Doubs is A.J. Brown's primary target competition on the 2026 Patriots, a less threatening scenario than competing with DeVonta Smith on the Eagles.

Gronkowski is used as a comp for Brock Bowers' trajectory. Gronkowski's five closest comps to Bowers (including Kittle, Shockey, Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, and Aaron Hernandez) averaged +4 YPG in their third NFL season.

Nacua is used as a comp tier for Nico Collins' potential 2026 upside. If everything clicks, Collins has a skillset similar to Justin Jefferson, Puka Nacua, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Hampton is one of the most physically gifted RBs in the NFL with outstanding long speed for a 220-pounder and soft hands out of the backfield, with elite athleticism (96th percentile broad jump, 4.46 speed) and the profile to be a bellcow back. However, tape concerns limit his ceiling: he has bad pacing and eyes as a runner and was late reading things out on some reps. His rush yards over expected were -40% in short-yardage situations (three-or-fewer yards) versus +21% in four-or-more yards, indicating poor decision-making that should improve with experience. When he has space, he's electric and can create 50+ yard touchdowns; he also runs tough on contact and drags defenders for hidden yardage. His pass protection tape was atrocious, with over-indexing on wanting to light everyone up instead of staying square, plus misses in identification; this limits his target upside and earning potential for more touches. New offensive coordinator Mike McDaniel is a run-game guru who gravitates towards speed, which suits both Hampton and Mitchell, and the source expects both to be high in explosive carries this year with healthier offensive tackles and an upgrade at center with Tyler Biadasz. Hampton was RB12 with RB16 usage in half-PPR from Weeks 1-17 without Mitchell involved. Hampton's early second-round ADP is not justified given his between-the-tackles tape concerns and depth behind him (Gabe Nabers, Mitchell); the source would smash him even in the third round with his upside, but prefers the safety of Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, and Chase Brown early in Round 2.

Zaccheaus was added as depth in the Falcons' 2026 offseason receiver room alongside third-round pick Zachariah Branch and Jahan Dotson, representing competition for Drake London.

Collins is a total freak at 6'4"/222 lbs with elite build-up speed on vertical routes and fluidity after the catch; if ranking WRs based on real-life talent, he'd rank third or fourth. Since 2023, Collins has been the WR7 on WR14 usage in PPR scoring; he's the WR3 in yards per target (10.3) and WR6 in EPA per target (+0.48) despite incredible volume in a mediocre offense. Last year, targets to Collins had a 62% catchable ball rate versus 76% in both 2023 and 2024; he also had a 16% screen rate in those two seasons versus just 3% last year. The Texans were 32nd in percentage of red-zone drives finishing with a TD (32%), a stat bound for positive regression. Collins had 19 red-zone targets resulting in 3.1 yards per target, -8% completion percentage over expected, 37% success rate, and just three touchdowns. The source worries about Houston's offensive coaching staff and OL but says Collins is too elite and Stroud has flashed too much potential to ignore a reasonable ADP of WR9; it would be a fireable offense for Stroud not to be a top-15 fantasy WR. If everything clicks, Collins has a skillset similar to Justin Jefferson, Puka Nacua, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

If Michael Penix Jr. can beat out Tua Tagovailoa coming off his third ACL, the Falcons would be back to where they were last season in terms of QB uncertainty, which could impact Drake London's target consistency.

If something ever happens to Kyle Pitts Sr., Drake London can flirt with the best receiving production in the NFL, as London would absorb additional offensive touches and targets.

Jefferson is used as a comp for Drake London's 2026 yardage projection. London's 1124.5 yardage projection is in the neighborhood of Jefferson's 1149 yards, and both are consensus Round 1 players.

Mixon is the RB12 on RB5 usage over the past two seasons in 21 games with Joe Burrow active, using half-PPR scoring; in 2025 alone, he was the RB5 on RB4 usage in six games with Burrow. His ADP sits at RB12 in the middle of Round 2, so Mixon has very clear upside if this split continues. The Bengals didn't add RB competition, Mixon is healthy right now, and the Bengals are fourth in projected points according to betting markets. Mixon was the RB8 in rushing success rate in Burrow games and the RB2 in rush yards over expected on carries with three-or-fewer yards to go. The Bengals OL and rushing scheme has improved since Mixon entered the NFL, helping his TD chances. Mixon was the RB6 in receptions per game (4.1) last year and the Bengals don't throw him screens (10% screen rate in Burrow games since 2024), but Burrow is quick to check things down in shootouts. The source expects his rushing numbers to set career highs while his receiving work takes a slight hit—a net win in half-PPR.

Joe Burrow's presence has been a major driver of Bengals offensive efficiency. Over the past two seasons in 21 games with Burrow active, the Bengals have been fourth in projected points according to betting markets, and Burrow is quick to check things down when in shootouts, which benefits pass-catching backs like Joe Mixon.

Graham is used as a comp for Brock Bowers' trajectory. Graham's five closest comps to Bowers (including Kittle, Shockey, Gronkowski, Graham, and Aaron Hernandez) averaged +4 YPG in their third NFL season.

Love is confirmed as a 100th percentile prospect in the source's model, in elite company with Saquon Barkley, Ezekiel Elliott, Christian McCaffrey, Reggie Bush, Melvin Gordon, Ashton Jeanty, Darren McFadden, Bijan Robinson, Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, and Jonathan Taylor. This cohort ranged from 6.5 to 21.3 half-PPR points per game during their rookie seasons (average 14.3), which would have made Love the RB12 last year (Javonte Williams level) to RB7 (Derrick Henry at 16.0 ppg) or RB5 (De'Von Achane at 18.1 ppg). Love's skillset is ideal for fantasy because he is an exceptional receiver out of the backfield with a 212-pound frame to project for 18+ touches per week; he is no chance not their pass-game back given his protection at Notre Dame was solid and his explosiveness and hands are on another stratosphere than his backfield competition (Tyler Allgeier, James Conner). However, there is a chance the heavier and well-paid Tyler Allgeier (and even James Conner) could steal some goal-line touches from Love, just like Bijan Robinson dealt with as a rookie. The source worries about inevitable Carson Beck games, as Jacoby Brissett and Gardner Minshew are bad quarterbacks, though at least functional enough for garbage time numbers in 2026. The Arizona defense doesn't feel any different from last year when they were 29th in scoring, so there should be garbage time receptions baked in for Love in 2026, providing a floor for receiving volume even in negative game scripts. Love is a fringe Round 2 player depending on the format; the source puts him firmly above the Breece Hall and Kyren Williams tier but firmly below the proven elite RB1s. The landing spot with Arizona is far from ideal given the team struck out on right tackles in the early draft, but this is unlikely to reach Jeanty-Raiders bad (RB17 per game).

Smith-Njigba is used as a comp tier for Nico Collins' potential 2026 upside. If everything clicks, Collins has a skillset similar to Justin Jefferson, Puka Nacua, and Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Cook was RB6 on RB7 usage when removing Week 18, posting 19.1 carries and 98.3 rushing yards per game with a sustainable 5.1 YPC; he plays next to Josh Allen and behind a quality Bills OL returning 4-of-5 starters, with the Bills third in scoring last year and second in projected scoring for 2026. Cook was RB10 in inside-the-five-yard-line carries and had five rushing TDs from outside the 20-yard line; Josh Allen will steal some short-yardage TDs, limiting Cook's TD upside despite his mid-range to low-end RB1 status in half-PPR or standard scoring. Joe Brady's promotion from offensive coordinator to head coach means the Bills offense should feel nearly identical with only marginal changes (DJ Moore addition, OL coach departure); Allen had a relatively down season and could return to MVP-level performance, supporting Cook's RB1 floor.

Nailor is viewed as a downgrade to Jakobi Meyers in the Raiders receiver room, which helps Brock Bowers' target share outlook for 2026.

Meyers is viewed as a superior receiver option compared to Jalen Nailor in the Raiders receiver room, which reduces target competition for Brock Bowers in 2026.

Dotson was added as depth in the Falcons' 2026 offseason receiver room, representing competition for Drake London.

Chase is referenced as one of only two receivers with a higher target share than Drake London (29.6%) from 2024 through Week 11 of 2025.

Pickens will play on the franchise tag and was the WR6 on WR12 usage last season with CeeDee Lamb missing time. In 13 games with Lamb active, Pickens averaged 77 yards per game en route to a WR10 per-game average on WR13 usage; his targets with Lamb active had a 63% success rate (WR4), because they come when Lamb is getting the shaded coverage on the other side and one-on-one to Pickens is as good as it gets. Pickens has just as much upside as Drake London types in Round 2 if something happens to Lamb again or if Pickens is just undeniably great. He's improved on film every year and is 25 years old while playing in a contract year, which should incentivize peak performance. However, Pickens will not be as consistent as Drake London types in Round 2 because he lacks screens and fewer gimme targets. Dallas didn't add anyone on offense this offseason and is running back the same staff and starters around him, limiting upside growth.

Kittle is used as a comp for Brock Bowers' trajectory. Kittle's five closest comps to Bowers (including Kittle, Jeremy Shockey, Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, and Aaron Hernandez) averaged +4 YPG in their third NFL season.

Drake Maye's efficiency metrics support optimism for A.J. Brown's 2026 outlook. Maye was first in completion percentage over expected last year, while Jalen Hurts was 10th. Maye's catchable ball rate on 10+ air yard passes was 10% better than Hurts'. The Patriots averaged 42 more pass yards per game than the Eagles did in 2025.

London is an underrated superstar with elite physical tools (huge frame, catches cleanly, fights for extra yards, can dunk on CBs, sinks his hips) and a case to be as high as the sixth-best WR in the NFL. He was the WR5 on WR5 usage from 2024 through Week 11 of 2025 when he went down with a PCL injury; only Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase had a higher target share (29.6%) over that span. The Falcons only added depth in the skill group this offseason (Zachariah Branch, Jahan Dotson, Olamide Zaccheaus), so London is getting the rock this season. Head coach Kevin Stefanski provides a real floor to the scheme, and Tua Tagovailoa can pepper London underneath and intermediate now that he's playing more slot than ever. The Falcons defense could regress, which helps London get targets. London has a low-end WR1 floor baked in, and his 1124.5 yardage projection is in the neighborhood of Amon-Ra St. Brown (1199), Justin Jefferson (1149), and CeeDee Lamb (1174)—all consensus Round 1 players.

Smith's presence on the Eagles created more target competition for A.J. Brown in 2025. Brown's move to the Patriots means he now competes with Romeo Doubs instead, a less threatening scenario.

Henry is priced at RB11 but was RB5 on RB13 usage over the past two seasons as a Raven in half-PPR, creating upside; he's RB2 in EPA per carry (+0.08) over two years and RB1 in rush yards over expected (+27%) last season, with natural regression reasonable but legit signs of decline difficult to find. Henry had the fifth-most half-PPR points in NFL history for an age-31 RB (259.4 points); if he repeats that as a 32-year-old, he'd score 195-225 fantasy points, a range only Walter Payton and John Riggins have exceeded at age 32-plus, making his upside tantalizing in the middle of Round 2. Henry is literally built differently and more likely to defy the odds of an older back; in betting markets, his 1,239.5 rushing yards projection only trails Jahmyr Gibbs and Jonathan Taylor, and he has the highest rushing TD projection (12.5) of anyone. Ravens are fifth in projected points with RB2 Keaton Mitchell and TE2 Isiah Likely out of the way without notable replacements; new OC Declan Doyle versus serviceable Todd Monken and the loss of C Tyler Linderbaum versus addition of 14th-overall OG Vega Ioane are mostly a wash.

Achane was RB5 on RB7 usage last year and RB7 on RB10 usage over the past two seasons in half-PPR, with elite rush yards over expected (+13% over two seasons). However, new OC Bobby Slowik and OL coach from a failed Texans stint create risk that his top-16 carries per game workload won't carry over, as the source is far less optimistic they'll be nearly as effective as Mike McDaniel was. Offsetting this concern: Malik Willis as new QB will help Achane spring open rushing lanes similar to how Lamar Jackson does for his RBs; Willis is a goal-line scoring threat unlike Tua Tagovailoa and far less likely to check the ball down, meaning Achane should remain featured as a receiver with low-end RB1 upside in full-PPR given the Dolphins have no other receiving options. The Dolphins OL is underrated with Aaron Brewer (top-three center), LT Patrick Paul (elite athleticism breakout), and LG Kadyn Proctor (rare feet for his size); this foundation should keep Achane rolling as a low-end RB1 even without McDaniel's play-design edge.

Brown is RB12 on RB5 usage over the past two seasons in 21 games with Joe Burrow active in half-PPR, and even better as RB5 on RB4 usage in just 2025 (six games with Burrow); his ADP sits at RB12 in the middle of Round 2, creating clear upside if this elite split continues. Bengals didn't add RB competition, Brown is healthy, and the Bengals are fourth in projected points; Brown was RB8 in rushing success rate in Burrow games and RB2 in rush yards over expected on carries with three-or-fewer yards to go, while the Bengals OL and rushing scheme have improved since Brown entered the NFL, helping his TD chances. Brown is a capable receiver and was RB6 in receptions per game (4.1) last year; the Bengals don't throw him screens (only 10% screen rate), but his receiving role remains a strength in a contract year.

Lamb is used as a comp for Drake London's 2026 yardage projection. London's 1124.5 yardage projection is in the neighborhood of Lamb's 1174 yards, and both are consensus Round 1 players. Lamb is also used as a comp tier for A.J. Brown's potential 2026 upside.

Stroud's performance last year raised concerns about his trajectory. Targets to Nico Collins had a 62% catchable ball rate last year versus 76% in both 2023 and 2024, and Collins' screen rate dropped from 16% in those two seasons to just 3% last year. The Texans were 32nd in percentage of red-zone drives finishing with a TD (32%), a concerning efficiency metric. However, the source believes Stroud has flashed too much potential to ignore and that it would be a fireable offense for him not to be a top-15 fantasy WR going forward, suggesting confidence in his recovery.

Bowers is positioned as the next Travis Kelce for fantasy football. His 64.6 yards per game through his first two seasons are the most since at least 2000 at TE; his five closest comps (George Kittle, Jeremy Shockey, Rob Gronkowski, Jimmy Graham, Aaron Hernandez) averaged +4 YPG in their third NFL season, and his 13 closest comps averaged +7 YPG, including HOF talents like Antonio Gates and Kelce. The combination of Kirk Cousins and Fernando Mendoza at QB with Super Bowl-winning OC Klint Kubiak is a better setup than Vegas 2025. Bowers is likely to be healthier, and the Raiders are even worse at receiver heading into 2026 if Jalen Nailor is viewed as a downgrade to Jakobi Meyers. The defense is better but will still create garbage-time receptions. A former Raiders analytics director tweeted that the team had a goal last year of a single-season record for catches and targets for Brock before the Week 1 injury.

If something ever happens to Bijan Robinson, Drake London can flirt with the best receiving production in the NFL, as London would absorb additional offensive touches and targets.

Jeanty was RB16 on RB11 usage as a rookie in half-PPR, with receptions (RB9 per game) carrying his appeal over rushing yards (RB23 per game); on tape he shows exceptional missed-tackle forcing (0.29 per carry vs. NFL average 0.16) but was indecisive and lacks elite foot quickness, with league-worst yards-before-contact ranking (RB52 out of 52). However, new HC Klint Kubiak's offense ranked 10th in EPA per play, sixth in rushing yards, and second in points with a fast-paced (third in neutral pace) and balanced approach (18th in neutral pass rate)—a major upgrade from ex-OC Chip Kelly's system. Raiders OL is improving with top-five center Tyler Linderbaum on a record-breaking contract, LT Kolton Miller returning after four games, and potential upgrades on the right side; Jeanty had RB52 yards-before-contact ranking (dead last) last year, so this OL improvement should dramatically increase his rushing efficiency and workload inside the top eight. With Brock Bowers healthy, Jalen Nailor in the mix, better QB play from Fernando Mendoza over 2025 Geno Smith, and a defense that added two edge rushers and five secondary/linebacker pieces, Jeanty should showcase more broken tackles with more space to operate; the source expects it would be a surprise if he wasn't a top-10 fantasy RB in 2026.

Gates is used as a comp for Brock Bowers' trajectory. Bowers' 13 closest comps averaged +7 YPG in their third NFL season, and that group includes HOF talents like Gates and Travis Kelce.

St. Brown is used as a comp for Drake London's 2026 yardage projection. London's 1124.5 yardage projection is in the neighborhood of St. Brown's 1199 yards, and both are consensus Round 1 players.

Brown was half-PPR's WR15 on WR17 usage in 2025 when the Eagles bottomed out (23rd in passing yards, 22nd in passing success rate, 19th in points per game). He had career lows in yards per target (8.5) and success rate (50%) while playing in a static X position in a predictable offense. The source is optimistic for 2026 because Brown should be energized to play with MVP runner-up quarterback Drake Maye and his old coach Josh McDaniels. McDaniels had wild seasons with Davante Adams on the Raiders (180-100-1516-14 and 175-103-1144-8) and Maye last year. The Patriots averaged 42 more pass yards per game than the Eagles; Maye was first in completion percentage over expected while Hurts was 10th, and Maye's catchable ball rate on 10+ air yard passes was 10% better than Hurts'. Brown competes with Romeo Doubs for targets instead of DeVonta Smith. Brown broke about two-thirds of the tackles he usually does, though his route types were nearly identical to career rates. An offense calling for fewer hitches and more crossers and gos would help, and Brown could be more energized. He had a training camp hamstring injury that made him look lethargic in September but is healthy now. There are reports of long-term knee issues, but his elite athleticism has room to fall and he's only 28. Brown could match the CeeDee Lamb to Nico Collins tier if things go well, positioning him as an upside low-end WR1 and easy target near the Round 2-3 border.