Source + player page

Yahoo Fantasy Football fantasy football takes on Patrick Mahomes

Every source-backed article insight STACKED has extracted from Yahoo Fantasy Football about Patrick Mahomes.

80
Insights
26
Positive
37
Negative
Insight ledger

All Yahoo Fantasy Football insights about Patrick Mahomes

NegativeRoleOct 27, 2026
The Chiefs have a pass-catcher problem that prevented them from reaching the red zone for the first time in Mahomes' entire career in Week 7. There were four drops with room to run on each, and Mahomes had to work for the yardage they did hold on to. Additionally, Mahomes was without his top OTs: Josh Simmons is trending towards never playing another snap for the Chiefs, and his backup is holding on for dear life with too many whiffs, bull rush pressures, and an inability to pick up a stunter on tape. The fill-in right tackle was equally bad, though Jaylon Moore (concussion) will return sometime soon. There's not a lot to support Mahomes in pure dropback passes right now, and the hits and extra time sprinting around will pile up.
NegativeMatchupOct 23, 2026
After starting the season with two straight top-10 fantasy results, Mahomes hasn't cracked the QB1 range in his last three games (QB20, QB13, QB23). Injuries to his receiving corps and offensive line have been a problem and could be exposed even more when he travels to Seattle. The Seahawks defense allows the fewest passing yards and the second fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks. It's also worth noting Mahomes isn't running as much coming off the ACL last season; after averaging over 30 rushing yards per contest in 2025, he's down to 11 yards per game this year.
NegativeBustOct 23, 2026
Mahomes is a fade in Week 7 against Seattle despite his pedigree. He scored just 11.48 fantasy points against the Chargers last week with no touchdowns and one interception, and hasn't exceeded 17 fantasy points in any of his last three games even in favorable matchups against Miami and Las Vegas. Seattle allows league lows in passing yards per game (156.8), yards per attempt (5.2), and explosive pass rate (7.5%), plus fewest yards after catch per game (81.7); 62% of Mahomes' 2026 production has come on YAC (third-highest among QBs). Rashee Rice's hamstring injury looks unlikely to resolve, the receiving corps is banged up, and Kansas City is leaning heavily on the ground game. Even with a decent performance, upside is severely limited on the road at Lumen Field.
NegativeProjectionOct 22, 2026
Mahomes is the Fade of the Week despite the Chiefs being undefeated; he hasn't topped 17 fantasy points in any of his last three games after a fast start, and injuries to his receivers haven't helped. The Seahawks need this game badly and their defense is allowing the fewest passing yards and third fewest FPPG to opposing QBs. While temper expectations on the road against Mike McDonald's defense, with Byes and injuries he might still be a necessary start.
NegativeMatchupOct 22, 2026
Mahomes faces the Seahawks in Week 7, a poor matchup for fantasy production. Rashee Rice is still not practicing, leaving Xavier Worthy and 37-year-old Travis Kelce as a below-average receiving duo. No quarterback has reached 200 passing yards against Seattle this season. Mahomes hasn't run much this year either, with just 34 rushing yards over four games since Week 1 (when he had seven carries for 23 yards and a score). His fantasy production has been buoyed by multiple passing touchdowns or at least 270 passing yards in every game, which is unlikely against Seattle. Mahomes is outside the top-12 fantasy rankings this week. While Saquon Barkley would start Mahomes over McKee, their pass yards props are within six yards of each other, and only McKee is currently available on every waiver wire.
NegativeProjectionOct 21, 2026
Patrick Mahomes is not The Engine of the Kansas City offense in the current reality, a departure from usual perception. Despite the Chiefs being one of three undefeated teams after Week 6, Mahomes has fewer passing yards per game than Kirk Cousins, Bryce Young is averaging more fantasy points per game than he is, and Jacoby Brissett has accounted for the same number of TDs. The source notes this represents a tangent from the usual AFC West juggernaut narrative, with the road to Super Bowl LXI still expected to go through Arrowhead but with Mahomes not driving the offense as typically expected.
NegativeProjectionOct 19, 2026
Mahomes is the quintessential case of 'NFL success doesn't always equal fantasy success.' The Chiefs are 5-0 and Mahomes threw multiple touchdown passes in each of his first four games, but after totaling more than 50 fantasy points in Weeks 1 and 2, he's averaged just 15.14 per game since Week 3 and scored a season-low 11.48 in Week 6. The primary issue is that he doesn't need to carry the offense anymore—Kenneth Walker III has that job. He threw one interception and zero touchdowns against the Chargers, but the Chiefs still won 22-6 as Walker racked up 128 yards and two touchdowns on the ground. While Mahomes will still be a QB1 (he was QB7 in points per game through Week 5), outings like this showcase why he likely won't be the every-week star he has been in years past. He can still be started most weeks, particularly in high-scoring and close contests, but with the Seahawks, Broncos, and Jets on the horizon, streaming alternatives should be considered for the near future, or he could be traded on name value. If he's on another team, Week 10 is when to consider trading for him.
PositiveProjectionSep 23, 2026
Mahomes is officially back with Eric Bieniemy's return as offensive coordinator. In five seasons with Bieniemy (2018-22), Mahomes averaged 4,791.4 passing yards and 38.4 passing touchdowns per campaign; in three seasons without him, he averaged 3,899.3 passing yards and 25 touchdowns. With Bieniemy back and Mahomes continuing to get comfortable on his surgically repaired knee, he should finish the 2026 season as a top-10 fantasy quarterback at minimum.
NegativeBustSep 11, 2026
Mahomes is expected to start Monday night against Denver despite being just nine months removed from major knee ligament surgery. Historically, Mahomes has struggled against the Broncos under Vance Joseph, averaging 13.2 PPG across four games with three TDs and four INTs, finishing outside the top 10 QBs in fantasy each of the last three matchups. Playing at less than 100% against one of the league's most dangerous defenses, he's well outside QB1 range; streaming options like Jared Goff, Baker Mayfield, Kyler Murray, Tyler Shough, and Bo Nix are preferred, with Mahomes likely finishing closer to QB20 than QB10.
NegativeProjectionSep 11, 2026
Mahomes is a tough sell in Week 1 despite being one of the league's best quarterbacks. He posted the fourth-most fantasy points per game last year after a couple down seasons where he finished as the QB11 (2024) and QB12 (2023). His bounce-back occurred due to career-highs on the ground with 422 rushing yards and five touchdowns, which is unlikely to repeat in the first season after a torn ACL suffered in Week 15. Other quarterbacks returning from ACL tears have been hesitant to use their legs the following year. With fewer rushing attempts and so many good quarterbacks to choose from in fantasy, Mahomes is a tough sell in general, and that's even more evident in Week 1 when he squares off with a Broncos team that's held him in check each of the past two seasons.
NegativeProjectionSep 11, 2026
Mahomes is a tough sell in Week 1 against the Broncos. While he will always be in the conversation as one of the league's best quarterbacks, fantasy is a different competition. Mahomes posted the fourth-most fantasy points per game last year after a couple down seasons where he finished as the QB11 (2024) and QB12 (2023). His bounce-back occurred due to career-highs on the ground with 422 rushing yards and five touchdowns. It's unlikely he'll repeat those kind of stats in the first season after a torn ACL suffered in Week 15, as other quarterbacks returning from ACL tears have been hesitant to use their legs the following year. With fewer rushing attempts and so many good quarterbacks to choose from in fantasy, Mahomes is a tough sell in general, and that's even more evident in Week 1 when he squares off with a Broncos team that's held him in check each of the past two seasons.
PositiveValueSep 2, 2026
Mahomes goes as QB15 just outside the top 100 picks. His two worst seasons (2023-2024) averaged 17.5 and 17.7 PPG, both QB12 finishes last year, meaning even his floor pays off his current cost. JJ Zachariason frames this as a bet categorically skewed toward upside: Mahomes averaged over 20 PPG in 2025, and the Chiefs have revamped their offense with Eric Bieniemy returning, Kenneth Walker providing ground-game value, and healthier seasons expected from Xavier Worthy and Rashee Rice.
NegativeInjurySep 1, 2026
Mahomes is coming off an ACL tear suffered late in the 2025 season against the Chargers. While all reports about his recovery progress have been positive, the Chiefs could still limit him early in the season and lean on free agent Kenneth Walker III as he regains his legs. Beyond injury risk, concerns include an unreliable receiving corps led by Rashee Rice and aging Travis Kelce, plus declining production since his 2022 MVP season. The source notes there is more risk than usual surrounding the perennial Pro Bowler.
PositiveValueAug 28, 2026
Rotoworld ranks Mahomes as QB9 versus Yahoo (117), ESPN (95), and Sleeper (106), representing significant value on Yahoo and Sleeper if he falls to the ninth or 10th round. Despite an ACL tear in Week 15 last season, Mahomes has been full-go since training camp and is on track to play in the Chiefs' season opener. He finished last season as fantasy QB4 in fantasy points per game (23.0), his highest since 2022, on pace for 4,356 passing yards and 27 touchdowns with career highs in rushing yards (422) and rushing touchdowns (5), ranking top-10 in total expected fantasy points.
NegativeBustAug 26, 2026
Patrick Mahomes is a Round 9 fade (2% ADP) because his fantasy stardom last year was driven by a career-high 30.1 rushing yards per game—something to entirely fade while coming back from a torn ACL, even if training camp has gone smoothly. From 2023 to 2024, Mahomes was QB10 (on QB15 EPA per dropback) with a flawed pass-catching group, and that wasn't his fault but it happened while largely healthy. The Chiefs will protect Mahomes with the call sheet and the Kenneth Walker III signing, to the point that total dropbacks could notably decline. There are too many dual-threat QBs or MVP candidate statues who go after Mahomes to make him a priority, especially if fading Rashee Rice.
NegativeValueAug 25, 2026
Mahomes at ADP 100 is overpriced relative to Kansas City's offensive decline. The Chiefs ranked 21st and 15th in points over the last two years and 20th and 16th in yards; Mahomes offset passing leakage by running proactively last year, but ACL and LCL tears in Week 15 make scrambling yards unlikely to repeat. Pass-catchers are weak: Rashee Rice is solid underneath but not a downfield weapon, Travis Kelce is entering his age-37 season, Xavier Worthy has struggled to make consistent impact, and Kenneth Walker III may become the steadiest offensive drumbeat. Scott Pianowski argues you can find QB value at almost any draft price point, making Mahomes at Pick 100-105 indefensible.
PositiveProjectionAug 24, 2026
Patrick Mahomes was a dominant fantasy force in 2025 driven by scrambling and rushing production (5.2 rushing PPG) rather than passing, which remained nearly identical to his other Nagy seasons. With Eric Bieniemy returning as offensive coordinator—the coach who had Mahomes finish as QB1 in his first five starting seasons—there is hope the explosive offense could return despite the ACL tear, giving the Chiefs a shot at another top-five fantasy season.