From the episode

Justin Herbert, a guy that can run for two, 300 yards and some, some years, maybe five rushing touchdowns... Justin Herbert has a Jacksonville Jaguars problem. His defense is too damn good.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Kelley: Herbert's elite team limits his fantasy upside despite arm talent.

Matt Kelley uses Justin Herbert as a comparable for Trevor Lawrence's rushing upside (200-300 yards, ~5 rushing TDs per year). Kelley also notes Herbert has a Jacksonville Jaguars problem: an elite defense and strong offensive line that limits passing volume. Kelley explains that to score 20+ fantasy points per game as a QB, you need a porous secondary, inability to run the ball, and downfield weapons—the opposite of Herbert's situation.

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