From the episode

I cannot, the only reason I won't, I won't bet Bengals is I was just like, I am not betting an AFC North road favorite. That is no, under no circumstances... I cannot take a road favorite. I can't take Joe Burrow as a road favorite.

STACKED’s take

NeutralProjection

Moore won't bet Burrow as AFC North road favorite; division trend too strong.

Matt Moore refuses to bet Joe Burrow as a road favorite in AFC North division games, citing a strong historical trend that home underdogs in AFC North matchups have been profitable regardless of the specific teams or coaches involved. While Burrow's offense has shown promise (offensive line still garbage but pass rush improved), Moore's aversion to the road favorite spot overrides any individual player confidence.

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