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The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast on Case Keenum

PodcastNFL Betting Playground | Week 3
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Now we're at an entire touchdown of value from Caleb Williams to Case Keenum. And I just think that that is too much. We're also, the total went from 47 and a half to 44 and a half when Caleb was out. Now 41 and a half with Keenum.
Mentioned at 38:06 – 40:00

STACKED’s take

Positive signalProjection

Market overreacted with full TD line move against Keenum; value emerging.

The line moved a full touchdown against Case Keenum when Caleb Williams was ruled out; the Bears went from minus-1.5 to Eagles minus-3.5 when Caleb got hurt, then to minus-4.5 or minus-5 when Tyson Bagent also got hurt. This represents an entire touchdown of value swing from Williams to Keenum, and the total dropped from 47.5 to 44.5 to 41.5, detracting a full touchdown worth of value for Keenum. However, the speaker believes this is overreacting and that Keenum's presence is being undervalued relative to the Eagles' current state.

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