From the episode
Michael Penix, Jr. Falcons quarterback going to go under 31 and a half pass camp...They are a run first offense. They are 30th in pass rate over expectation...The Bears have faced the total lowest passing attempts this season at 26 per game...this guy's dealing with a rib injury.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Penix under 31.5 pass attempts is a five-star bet against run-heavy Falcons game script.
Penix under 31.5 pass attempts is a five-star bet on the FantasyPros prop cheat sheet. The Falcons operate as a run-first offense, ranking 30th in pass rate over expectation with the third-highest run rate in game scripts. Penix has gone over this number only once in his last five games, averaging 22.5 attempts in his first two games of the season. The Bears have allowed the lowest passing attempts this season at 26 per game, with only Bray Song surpassing 31 attempts against them in week one. Additionally, Penix is dealing with a rib injury, making a run-heavy game script likely with the Falcons able to run effectively on Chicago's defense.
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