From the episode

I am going to be taking the under on rushing yards on Deshaun Watson... The Ravens have not given up 27 more than 27 rushing yards to any single quarterback this season.

STACKED’s take

Negative signalProjection

Watson under 28.5 rushing yards; Ravens haven't allowed 27+ to any QB.

Under 28.5 rushing yards is the recommended play. Watson has shown week-to-week volatility (40 rushing yards last week, 45 in week 3, but under projection in weeks 1, 3, and 5 with 2 hits in 4 attempts). BP projections support around 27 rushing yards, and the Ravens have not allowed more than 27 rushing yards to any single quarterback this season, also limiting QBs to 4 yards per carry. This matchup does not favor Watson running; the Ravens' defense will not allow this outcome.

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