NBC Sports Rotoworld on A.J. Brown
ArticleA.J. Brown, Jalen Coker headline Week 8's Regression Files
From the article
Brown has accounted for 46 percent of New England's air yards over the past two games (and 23.5 percent of the team's targets). A mere 11 receivers have a higher expected fantasy points per game than AJB since Week 6. His actual points per game? Forty-second among wideouts.
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STACKED’s take
Positive signalProjection
Brown's 74% prayer yards rate signals major positive regression ahead vs. Miami.
Brown's prayer yards rate of 74 percent (excluding Week 1 ankle injury) indicates significant positive regression potential. He has accounted for 46 percent of New England's air yards over the past two games and 23.5 percent of team targets, yet ranks only 42nd among wideouts in actual points per game despite ranking 11th in expected fantasy points per game since Week 6. The Patriots rank seventh in pass rate over expected since Week 4, positioning Brown to produce actual yards and touchdowns if efficiency improves. He faces Miami's regularly-wrecked secondary in Week 8.
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