From the episode
The Ravens are 0-5 when Derrick Henry loses a fumble. Every single one of those losses, by the way, was one possession. This season, Henry has lost negative 19.2 EPA on carries. That is the sixth most EPA lost in the NFL. And that fumble resulted in a negative 5.6 EPA. And even worse, a negative 14.2% win probability.
STACKED’s take
Henry's 19.2 EPA lost (6th-most) and fumble-dependent losses highlight his reliance on Lamar Jackson.
Henry lost negative 19.2 EPA on carries this season (sixth-most EPA lost in NFL) and fumbled in Week 6 Ravens-Browns game, a play that set up Cleveland's only touchdown and resulted in negative 5.6 EPA and negative 14.2% win probability swing. Speaker notes the Ravens are 0-5 when Henry loses a fumble, with half of those losses coming against division opponents. Beyond the fumble, Henry struggled against Cleveland's defense: he had five carries for zero yards against stacked boxes, illustrating how the Ravens' offense becomes 'far too easy to defend' without Lamar Jackson. The speaker emphasizes that 'it's a lot less of a guarantee that Henry's just going to be able to take over without Lamar out there,' suggesting Henry's production is heavily dependent on Jackson's presence to create defensive stress.
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