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The Late-Round Fantasy Football Podcast on Courtland Sutton

Podcast1136: Mailbag - Kyren Williams' Targets, X Receivers, and More
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Sutton's averaging just 5.4 PPR points per game this year...his expected points per game number is at 11. He's been a massive underachiever...He's had an 18% target share, an 84% route share, a few end zone targets. With a profile like that, I would expect him to regress to that 11 point per game mean.
Mentioned at 0:10 – 0:59

STACKED’s take

Positive signalProjection

Sutton's 5.4 PPR average vs. 11 PPR expected suggests significant positive regression ahead.

Sutton is averaging 5.4 PPR points per game this season but has an expected points per game of 11, making him a massive underachiever. Despite an 18% target share, 84% route share, and some end zone targets, his usage profile suggests regression to the 11 PPR mean is likely; however, Pat Bryant potentially stealing routes could complicate this outlook.

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