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FantasyPros - Fantasy Football Podcast on Christian Watson

PodcastFantasy Football Trade Advice: WRs & TEs to BUY and SELL in Week 7 (Ep. 2279)
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Christian Watson is valued as wide receiver 9 in the ECR rankings. When his target share is outside the top 15, his expected points per game is also outside the top 10...Watson's a top five receiver in points per game, but he's only wide receiver 11 in expected points per game. Because he only has a 21% target share this season. That ranks 19th among all wide receivers.
Mentioned at 22:10 – 24:03

STACKED’s take

Negative signalValue

Watson's WR9 valuation unsustainable; 21% target share ranks 19th, below ECR expectations.

Watson is a sell-high candidate despite ranking as a top-five receiver in points per game; his 21% target share ranks only 19th among wide receivers and sits outside the top 15, while his expected points per game (WR11) lags his actual production (WR5). Matthew Golden leads the Packers in targets with a 25% target share (top five) and WR5 expected points per game, creating deployment concerns. Watson is valued as WR9 in ECR rankings, but his target share does not support that valuation given the Packers' offensive line concerns and Jordan Love's high pressure rate sustainability.

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