From the video
Final pick this week is going to be Raheem Mostert higher than 38 and 1/2 rushing yards. Seems to be the 1A moving forward given all of the talk this week. All of the sentiment, everything looks like it's, you know, he's the guy on early downs. It's not a great match-up, but it's more neutral than negative. Um, it's a tough match-up for efficiency, but the volume should be there. And you kind of think about how Denver wants to play this, right? You got Patrick Mahomes on the other side. Even though you're, you know, playing at home, uh, you have a good defense, it's Patrick Mahomes. You don't want the ball in his hands too many times.
STACKED’s take
1A back with volume edge vs. KC; over 38.5 rushing yards is the pick.
Primary prop pick: over 38.5 rushing yards in Week 8 vs. Kansas City. The source identifies Mostert as the 1A back moving forward based on recent sentiment and early-down role. While Kansas City is not a great matchup for rushing, it's more neutral than negative; the matchup is tough for efficiency but volume should be there. The source's reasoning: Denver will want to control time of possession and play it safe on offense against Patrick Mahomes, keeping the ball out of his hands as much as possible. This game script favors a heavy rushing workload. The source projects Mostert doesn't need 20 carries to be productive; 10–11 rush attempts from a couple of successful drives with okay production in the second half would be sufficient given Miami's game script and home underdog status (1.5-point underdog).
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