Fantasy Football Advice

WR returning to Jets offense after playing only seven games last season. Improved quarterback play with Gino Smith and additional receiving threats (Omar Cooper, Adonai Mitchell) will sustain drives and add touchdowns to offense, benefiting Wilson's volume and scoring upside.

25-year-old RB with 1,350+ yards three straight seasons and heavy receiving involvement; positioned as league-winner caliber pick in round 3 with 300-touch upside (50+ in receiving game). Improved offensive environment with Gino Smith QB upgrade, Garrett Wilson returning, and Omar Cooper and Adonai Mitchell additions will sustain drives and add touchdowns to offense, directly benefiting Hall's volume and scoring upside.

Kevin Oonnell expects a big bounce-back from Justin Jefferson this season, citing red zone misfortune and quarterback/playcalling regression as the primary culprits rather than Jefferson's receiving ability. Jefferson was tied for eighth with 10 red zone targets but caught only one (10% conversion), posting a 29% catch rate in the red zone—third worst among players with at least 10 red zone targets. Before last season, Jefferson held the NFL record for career receiving yards per game at 96.5 yards/game (now behind Puka Nacua at 95). Oonnell attributes the decline to McCarthy and Max Brosmer's offensive scheme rather than Jefferson's talent, noting that Kyler Murray, while not elite, is a clear upgrade over the previous quarterback situation. The source frames Jefferson as an elite play designer's (Kevin Oonnell's) receiver returning to form under improved quarterback play and playcalling.

Javonte Williams is a safe third-round pick coming off 1,300+ yards and 13 touchdowns last season. His early-down workload and touchdown opportunities are secure with no backup competition; the source notes his rush attempts and scoring are not in danger. However, his ceiling is limited compared to peers like Breece Hall because passing-down work is unlikely to expand—even when everything went perfectly last season, he finished 13th in points per game. The role will likely be reduced or stay flat, not expand. Still a very safe pick in a great offense where touchdowns and early-down volume will remain.

Extremely close to Jahmyr Gibbs for 1.01 consideration with both exceptional ceilings and great floors; differentiator is team trust—Lions offense preferred over Falcons offense despite Robinson's comparable talent ceiling and floor.

Clear 1.01 pick in all formats. Produced 1,800+ yards and 18+ TDs in back-to-back seasons despite David Montgomery's presence on the Lions. Locked in receptions, touchdowns, and rushing with upside in all three areas. Lions offense trusted more than Falcons (Bijan Robinson comparison). Easiest NFL schedule this season. Dome environment. Hits in all three fantasy categories.

Drake London's presence on the field directly impacts Kyle Pitts' usage and production. When London played in 12 games last season, Pitts averaged 6.7 half PPR points per game. When London missed five games, Pitts' production varied significantly (10.4, 3.5, 11.7, 12, 40.1, and 15.2 half PPR points), suggesting London's absence creates opportunity for Pitts but does not guarantee consistent elevation.

Pitts finished as tight end 7 in adjusted points per game last season, but this ranking is heavily inflated by one 40-point game in week 14; excluding that outlier, he was 21st in points per game through week 13. In the 12 games Drake London played, Pitts averaged 6.7 half PPR points per game—low-end tight end 2 to high-end tight end 3 production. In the five games London missed, Pitts scored 10.4, 3.5, 11.7, 12, 40.1, and 15.2 half PPR points, with only three weeks across all 17 exceeding 12 half PPR points (two of those with London out). The source warns against overinvesting in the narrative that one good game will cause a role shift, noting that the team says this every season but rarely follows through. A pretty big role shift is needed for Pitts to justify his tight end 7 draft position, and without a confirmed role increase in camp, he's likely a fade.

Johnson is characterized as an 'absolute scrub' backup running back behind Monangai in the Eagles depth chart, posing no workload threat to De'Andre Swift.

Brown is characterized as an 'absolute scrub' backup running back behind Monangai in the Eagles depth chart, posing no workload threat to De'Andre Swift.

Ben Johnson ranks Swift as RB21 (composite ADP RB22), positioning him as an early 4th-round pick versus consensus round 5; Johnson believes Swift has league-winning upside at this ADP. Swift's situation is described as 'awesome' with minimal backfield competition—Kalen Monangai is a seventh-round pick who lacks even average athleticism and is not a prolific pass catcher, while Roschon Johnson and Britain Brown are 'absolute scrubs' who won't push for workload. Swift has averaged 34+ receptions across all six seasons, 1250+ yards in three straight years, back-to-back seasons over 1340 yards, career-high touchdowns, and highest yards per carry in his first year with Ben Johnson at age 27. Johnson projects Swift can hit 250 carries, 50 receptions, and double-digit touchdowns, making him viable as RB2 or RB3 even in robust RB builds.

George Helani is expected to take passing down work in the Seattle running back room, which could limit Jadarian Price's early-season upside.

Jadarian Price's upside is limited by uncertainty around the Seattle running back room, George Helani's passing down work, and Zack Charbanet's return timeline, making him a pretty big fade in round six.

Brandon Aiyuk is an interesting round nine pick if he could out-target Mike Evans between the 20s, but his upside is limited by the presence of McCaffrey, KD, and Evans in the red zone.

Mike Evans is expected to dominate red zone usage with 15 touchdown upside and is considered a great pick this season, though there's some concern about his performance between the 20s at age 33.

The Steelers running back room with Najee Harris and Jaylen Warren is expected to be a 50-50 split, creating volume concerns in an offense led by the aging Aaron Rodgers.

If Jaylen Warren earns the lead back role with receiving upside, he has potential to be a great pick at his current ADP.

Between Jaylen Warren and Jaylen Warren, the analyst prefers Warren because he's more likely to have significant receiving work, as Aaron Rodgers likes to dump off passes.

The Eagles offense is expected to flow through Saquon Barkley, with optimism that new offensive scheme under Shawn Manion will elevate fantasy production.

In managed leagues, training camp is not expected to significantly impact Garrett Wilson's fantasy value this season.

The battle between Adnai Mitchell and Omar Cooper is described as probably the biggest story, though it's noted as more relevant for underdog leagues with 18 rounds of defense.

The analyst is optimistic that Jalen Hurts will elevate the Eagles offense from what was seen last year, which should flow through to fantasy production for their skilled players.

The Eagles offense is expected to flow through Saquon Barkley, with him getting significant work including goal-line carries.

Wilson's training camp performance is not expected to significantly impact his season-long fantasy value, with the main Jets camp storyline being the battle between Adnai Mitchell and Omar Cooper.

Hall's training camp performance is not expected to significantly impact his season-long fantasy value, with the main Jets camp storyline being the battle between Adnai Mitchell and Omar Cooper.

The analyst was more pessimistic about Nabers when he was going in the mid-second round, but as his ADP has moved to late third/early fourth round, the risk becomes worth it because he doesn't need to be a superstar in week one or even start the first month of the season.

There is significant uncertainty around Nabers' availability for week one, with possibilities including being ready to go, opening on the PUP list, or ramping up gradually throughout camp.

Nabers' ADP has cratered from early-to-mid second round to late third or early fourth round, making the risk worth it at that price point given the potential for round-one production later in the season.

Etienne is expected to get all early-down work, most goal-line work, and significant receiving game work, with the offense being fast-paced enough to provide him very high upside in fantasy.

Etienne remains a really strong third-round pick given current information, as the team doesn't want to heavily feature Kamara and ETN will get all early-down work, most goal-line work, and receiving game work.

If Kamara is brought onto the field in two-minute drill, passing situations, and near the goal line, it will take a chunk of workload away from Travis Etienne.

Kamara appears likely to return to the Saints for another season after initially seeming like he might retire, and the team will give him some workload but likely not a heavy role.

The analyst has not been drafting Henderson and believes he is being drafted too early in the early fifth round given his disappointing performance last season and unresolved pass protection issues.

Henderson was a boom-bust player who couldn't get what was blocked for him, consistently killing drives with zero to 30-yard plays, which is unsustainable behind a bad offensive line.

Henderson was benched last season due to poor pass protection and blitz pickup despite being a top-two pass protector in college, and he failed to execute as a passing-down back because the Patriots couldn't trust him in pass protection.

Trayvon Henderson was benched last season due to poor pass protection and blitz pickup despite being a top-two pass protector in the draft class, making him a boom-bust player behind a bad offensive line.

The Patriots need to see if Trayvon Henderson improved in pass protection and vision this offseason after struggling with blitz pickup last season.

Aaron Jones is expected to serve as a change-of-pace back to Jordan Mason in the Vikings' backfield this season.

Jordan Mason is expected to rise in ADP if Kyler Murray is confirmed as the starter, as an elevated offense with better game scripts will benefit Mason even if he doesn't catch passes.

The Vikings need to confirm that Jordan Mason is the lead back with Aaron Jones serving as a change-of-pace back this season.