0:00What's going on, guys? It's Nick here back with another video. It's Wednesday.
0:02Time to go over my favorite trade targets for week five. Uh the top end of this week's trade targets list is just
0:08dominated by Jaguars players. So, I wanted to go over all of them first.
0:12Then, we'll talk about three players I think you should still be trading for and then three new players after that.
0:18So, we'll start off with who I think is the number one trade target among all positions this week and it's BAL Tutin.
0:25our concern this off seasonason and why I wasn't pumped to draft Bashaw Tuton in like the round five range where he was
0:31going was because I did think Chris Rodriguez would mix in more than people think uh and that because Tootton was never really set up to like dominate and
0:39target share as well that he would need both the offense and the defense to be elite. Of course, if the offensive is
0:46elite, there's just touchdowns go around. Uh, and if the defense is also very, very good, you're in constant positive game scripts, and that just
0:53means there's so much volume and touchdown potential for the running backs that it doesn't matter that another one is mixing in. Kind of like
1:00honestly the Chaire effect, right? Where you have Blake Horm there getting a good amount of touches, but it doesn't matter because the Rams offense is so good and
1:08there's so many touchdowns, right?
1:10Obviously, Kairen is like an extra class of player because like his touchdown expectation is so much higher. But the point would be running backs can
1:19overcome other backs mixing in a lot more than expected if the offense defense combination is great. And that is basically what I think is happening
1:27now. Like Crod is still getting six to eight rush attempts every single week.
1:31Uh Crod has a touchdown in back-to-back games. I think that's going to continue.
1:34I think we're gonna see a lot of games where Rodriguez has like eight carries, 40 yards, you know, has a touchdown. And
1:41you look at that and you're like, "No, I have Toutin. I need more." But then you look at Tutin's production, you're like,
1:46"Wait, that's actually pretty solid." I think he's just a really, really good high-end running back to to go after. Uh Tutin also only has seven targets on the
1:54season through four weeks. So again, um what we kind of expected has happened, but the Jaguars offense is great.
2:01They're second in EPA per play. They haven't necessarily smashed in terms of like total yardage yet, but I think a game like that is coming soon. And their
2:11defense is awesome. They're allowing the second fewest points per game at only 13.3.
2:17That's translated for Tuton. So even though he's splitting the backfield, at least 65 rushing yards in all four games. Um he's had like I think at least
2:26three touchdowns taken off the board because of holding penalties. Uh it was two this last week. I think he had one
2:32the week before as well. Um he has one touchdown the season, but he could I mean they were like actually holding,
2:38but like he could actually have like four [snorts] plus touchdowns right now.
2:43Um also some of his like explosive plays have been called back because of holding. So he looks great out there. I
2:50don't want anyone to like look at the rushing yards and be like, "Oh, like he's been fine. Like he's, you know, not
2:55looking amazing." He looks fantastic.
2:57he's just kind of missing on a few big plays that like are occurring, but there's penalties are kind of bringing things back. We all just know touchdowns
3:03are king. Like if if a player is performing really well, unless you are like Christian McCaffrey going out there and having like 17 carries, eight
3:11receptions, like it's okay if you don't score a touchdown when you have that level of volume. Um, touchdowns are king for basically everyone else, especially
3:19in half PPR scoring. And he just hasn't been scoring touchdowns yet, but they're going to come. I don't want think people
3:24to think that just because Rodriguez is also going to have touchdowns. Again, this team could score 28 points per game this season. I think that's in their
3:31range of outcomes and if that happens, you're not going to care that Crod's occasionally getting touchdowns cuz uh Tuton's also going to get some of his
3:38own. Uh and it's also just like the running back position is so tough to trade for, right? Like if you've ever
3:42tried to trade for like a top five, top seven running back, you're met with laughter. Even if you think that you
3:47sent a trade that like is actually reasonable for both sides, people just don't trade away the high-end running backs. And so you really have to be more
3:54in this range if you want to get a deal done. Uh and I think this range in the general public's eye is more of a mid to
4:00low-end running back too. I think Bashalt Tutin is a high-end running back to the rest of the season. I think that
4:06in some of these upcoming games, uh, where you've got matchups against like the Titans a couple times, a couple teams that the Jaguars just like can
4:14absolutely steamroll, he has an opportunity to just score uh score a ton of touchdowns, to have a lot of positive game where he does rack up 17, 18, 19,
4:2420 rush attempts. And if he can rip together some really nice games uh in those, I just think he's got like
4:30low-end running back one potential this season. So, right now, he's in running back 15. Um, I guess low-end one to highend two kind of also depends on like
4:38your league size as well, but running back 15 rest season, I could see him finishing top 10 rest of season and I
4:43think he's a number one trade target because I think the market views him lower than that and again it's so difficult to trade for the high end of
4:49running back that if you can trade for someone in this range, I think it's a good opportunity. Also, if you look just
4:54this week like what's about to happen, they're playing in London. Now, remember the Jaguars are kind of like the the London's home team. Um, they play there
5:01every year. They have two consecutive games in London. First one's the Eagles.
5:05That looks tough on the surface before we consider that the Eagles defense is very much underwhelmed this season and their offense is in shambles. Their
5:13offensive linemen are retiring. Their entire offense is injured. I think the Jaguars score 34 points this weekend. I think they'll be ahead in the entire
5:22second half. It'll be a great game script for Tutin and an opportunity for him to have that first game where he's
5:27got a 100 yards and a score. And if that happens this week, you are not going to be able to trade for him after that.
5:32Sticking with Jacksonville though, if you need a quarterback, I think you go after Trevor Lawrence. If you need a wide receiver, I think you go after uh
5:38Parker Washington. Obviously, Parker is not going to be like cheap, right? Like he's not going to be easy to get, but
5:43he's got back-to-back games of only five and three targets. He only had one catch for seven yards this last week. But, um,
5:51as we note many times, and we'll note at the end of this video with another player, the Patriots always take away
5:56your best player. like whoever is the clear focal point of your offense, the Patriots try and take that away. And so
6:01they knew obviously Parker Washington was that guy. And so in week three, uh they tried their best to take him away.
6:07He does catch the touchdown, but he only has the five targets. And then Cincinnati, we also note this a ton in
6:12the rankings video. Uh they're just a brutal matchup for wide receivers. Wide receivers will always underperform going against the Bengals. You think that they
6:20wouldn't, but they just seem to. I thought last week Parker had a chance to basically be put into the slot a lot
6:25more and hit because slot wide receivers can hit against the Bengals. Uh but the Jaguars didn't really do that. They still uh played a lot of like 12
6:32personnel and so only two wide receivers on the field and outside wide receivers are just not going to get anything done
6:37against the Bengals. So he's had two bottom five matchups in a row. Uh again, I'm not worried about Parker Washington at all rest of season. He's my wide
6:45receiver 12 rest of season right now. if you can get him for closer to like mid-range wide series two value, I would
6:51absolutely do that. And then for Trevor, he's been fantastic. It's just been Jacksonville has two blowout wins. Uh and then almost the blowout win last
6:59week. Um it ends up being a lot closer later on for the Bengals, but in three of their four weeks, they have had uh
7:07big leads in the second half where they just have not had to throw the ball at all. And then the only other spot was at
7:13Denver in week two, which is obviously a very difficult place to play. And it's a very difficult place to play, especially
7:18early in the season as well. And so we've yet to see a game where Jacksonville actually needs to throw the ball and needs to stay aggressive in the
7:27second half and they're not playing at Denver. Uh so, you know, Lawrence is only 16th in points per game through week four. Um I do just feel like every
7:36week you're going to still feel very confident in him rest of season as your quarterback. And so if you're uncomfortable with streaming,
7:43uncomfortable with your option right now, I think he's a great one to go after. It's also worth noting for all Jacksonville players that after their
7:50week seven buy, the schedule looks really good. I mean, they've got the Colts, the Ravens, um defenses, like we're not scared of the Colts defense at
7:58all. The Ravens have a good defense, but teams have still been able to put up points against them. Uh they get the
8:03Titans, the Giants, the Titans again. Uh so that's a nice three-game stretch where they should be very comfortably leading. Great opportunity for Tuton. Uh
8:12the Bears should be a very very competitive game all around. Then they have two mediocre spots after that before um at Dallas in the fantasy
8:20semi-finals and then verse the Washington Commanders in the fantasy championships. Two amazing matchups for passing in particular, but for just points all around. I think they score
8:30over 30 in both weeks 16 and 17. And that's really, really nice for us because we're hoping our teams can make
8:38it that far. And when they do, we want our players and especially our top players to have good matchups. All right. If you don't want to trade for
8:44Jackson McLaren, you're like, "Nick, I need I need more names." Uh, Pickins, Tucker Craft, Michael Wilson. We've talked about these three before. I would
8:53continue trading for them. Um, I still think Pickkins is going to have a great season. Um, they kind of sacrificed him
8:59last season to Stingley or last week to Stingley. Um, Lamb went off and it was really weird. Uh, because like the
9:07Texans, like when you see a player going off in game, you think you make an adjustment, right? You'd think that you'd see Lamb catching pass after pass
9:15after patch, really just isolated on the outside and you'd be like, maybe maybe we should shift some coverage over there to kind of help out the defender on
9:23Lamb. And they just didn't. They continued to kind of shadow towards Pickkins side. They're like, we can't let Pickkins beat us deep. let's give up
9:30a 100 receptions to CD Lamb before we allow Pickins to have a catch. And Dak was like, "Okay, sounds good." Like,
9:37I'll just pepper uh CD Lamb with a bunch of targets. I just feel like eventually teams going to start to key in on this a
9:44little bit. Like I don't think Lamb's on pace for like over 2,000 receiving yards. Um and Pickkins has not scored a
9:50touchdown yet. Like I I just think at some point Pickkins is going to have that monster game. At some point a team
9:56is going to sell out to stop CD Lamb and it's going to be a Pickins day. It just hasn't happened yet. Uh but the
10:01sentiment is just way down on George Pickins. Uh and so, you know, if you can get him for like mid to low-end wide
10:07receiver 2 value, he's still a high-end wide receiver, too, in my eyes. Uh Tucker Craft, uh coming off the highest target share of the season for him. They
10:15also manufactured some touches for him early. As we've been saying, it's the midpoint of the season where I think we're going to get, you know, full-on
10:22Tucker Craft like we saw before. Um the yards perception is still low, but he'll create an explosive play soon. has the
10:29brutal drop in the end zone last week, but still scored a different touchdown.
10:33So, we could have had two touchdowns last week. Um, I don't know. I think the market still views him as more of a low
10:38and 10 and one. He's still my tight end five rest of the season. And then Michael Wilson um would not be crazy if
10:44you wanted to call him a high-end wide receiver two rest of the season. The man has 30 targets over the last two weeks.
10:51He has a 35% target share over the last two. Uh Marv has been completely phased out of the offense. Marv is just
10:58completely sacrificial on the outside opening things up for Trey McBride and Michael Wilson. Uh Michael Wilson is going to drop a nuke very soon. Again, I
11:07don't think people view him as that like mid to high-end wide receiver too just because of where he was drafted. Um but
11:15like he hasn't even really converted as targets the last two weeks and he's still been solid in fantasy. He's fourth among wide receivers in targets. He's
11:23third in red zone targets, third in end zone targets. Like, the volume is there.
11:29The big game is coming. You're going to want him on your teams as we work our way through the rest of the season. Uh,
11:34three new names are Casey Conception, Tony Pard, and Dalton Concincaid. Uh, for Conception, he's top 20 in route share and targets among wide receivers.
11:46He's 14th in first three percentage. He is fourth among all wide receivers in designed play percentage. He has nine and eight targets over the last two
11:56games, but only 73 yards to show for it.
11:59And I understand he's on uh the Browns, but it's almost like the opposite of what we expected, right? So, you expect
12:05going into the season that Judkins can't do anything because they're losing every week and there's plenty of garbage time points for conception of Boston, but
12:12they can't do anything outside of garbage time. That is not the case.
12:15They're three in one. like they're actually winning games in second halfs.
12:20They're not trailing. They're winning.
12:22You know, they're they're trying to maybe slow things down and run the ball at a higher rate. It's actually earlier in the games where these guys are
12:28hitting, which I don't think is going to happen rest of season. I do think we're going to get plenty of losses for the
12:34Cleveland Browns, plenty of garbage time points, or at least maybe not even garbage time because they're they're playing much better than we figured on
12:41offense, but plenty of weeks where we're like, okay, they're still losing by a touchdown, maybe two touchdowns in the second half. It's not garbage time yet,
12:49but they're trailing and they have to play faster and throw the ball at a higher rate. And when we finally get a
12:55game script like that, which is crazy to think for Cleveland, but when we finally get a game script like that, I mean,
13:00pretty soon Conception is gonna have a game where he has eight receptions, over 100 yards, a touchdown. Right now, I think you can absolutely trade for him
13:08for pretty cheap. I don't know if it can be a bench swap, but like at most it's going to cost you like a flex player.
13:16What you might be able to do like for some of you who might be struggling with depth or something like that um take a
13:21flex player you have and turn it into maybe like a bench player and conception something like that. I typically don't like doing the one for two trades. I
13:29want to be giving up the two players for an upgrade. But if someone is willing to swap a bench player for you especially
13:34if they're like struggling at a different position that you're deep at conception very clearly a talented player. you watch him run these routes
13:41and you're like, "This kid absolutely knows how to get open, how to run routes. He's just going to be a great
13:47wide receiver." And again, the Cleveland Browns are going to lose more games this season. They're going to be trailing more often. I think he's got a shot at
13:54being a top 30 wide receiver rest of season, and you can get him much cheaper than that right now because he hasn't
14:00had his breakout game yet. Uh for Tony Pard, I think that is just a a bet on potential contingent upside. So Tony
14:08Pard, I think, is like almost the number one handcuffed player for high-end studs. So his name has been floated around um potentially being traded
14:17before the deadline. I think it's going to take an injury, I don't think a team right now is necessarily willing to give
14:23someone up. But if in a couple weeks we see like, you know, one or two injuries from like stud players on very good
14:28teams, we could see Tony Pard get traded. And if that happens, his value obviously skyrockets. And in the meantime, you get 15 to 20 touches every
14:36week on, you know, a terrible offensive line, a terrible offense, like someone that's more of a flex play, but I don't
14:42think people are fully considering the opportunity there. So, it's like if you can trade him for flex value, just get extra running back depth, that is going
14:49to help you. Even though he's on a terrible team, we finally have buys showing up. There's only two teams on buy right now, but buys are showing up.
14:55Injuries are going to start happening.
14:57And so, when you're needing these extra bench players, it's still going to help having Tony Pard. And then if there's a
15:03big-time injury running back and a team is like, "No, we're a playoff team. We don't trust our backups. We need to
15:08trade for someone." I think Tony Pard is the first name they'll trade for. And he's still a talented player. He's obviously not the superstar he kind of
15:15once was at some point. Um, but I think he's good enough to where like if he went to a high-end team, we're going to
15:21every week rely on him as running back, too. And then finally, Don Concincaid.
15:25Um, great start to the season, but only two receptions for 38 yards, no touchdowns. two weeks ago, one reception, seven yards last week. It's
15:33the same thing with New England. Uh New England sold out to stop him, especially once DJ Moore got hurt. Uh they were
15:39talking postgame being like, "Yeah, this can't happen." Like we can't have especially DJ Morgan getting injured and we're not throwing the ball to Daltton
15:44Concaid. I do think they'll make more of a concerted effort moving forward to get involved. Um he's got the highest AOT
15:50among tight ends. He's fifth and first talent for rut run and he gets to play with Josh Allen. At the end of the day,
15:55if you've got someone playing on the offense with Josh Allen, that is really awesome. It creates a lot of upside in
16:00fantasy. And it does seem like the shoulder injury for DJ Moore is going to like linger. Like unless they shut him
16:06down for a couple weeks, which will obviously boost the value for Daltton Concaid in the short term. Unless they choose to do that, it seems like this is
16:12going to kind of be a thing all season.
16:14So, you might have a couple games where DJ Moore leaves early. You might have a couple weeks where DJ Moore is not
16:19playing. And that's obviously again going to be very good for Dalton Concincaid. Um, I think also, maybe we're looking a little bit too far ahead
16:27of this right now, but they get Miami Championship weekend. The Buffalo Bills, if they are even half trying in week 17,
16:34are going to probably score 40 against um against the Dolphins. And it's probably going to be a spot where they have to try because there's a lot of
16:42pretty solid teams in the AFC, even if they already have the division unlocked.
16:46You have to think that the last two weeks or at least the second to last week they're going to have to be playing
16:51for like playoff seating because obviously Buffalo wants a home playoff spot. And so even if they have the division racked up, I do think they're
16:57going to need to win in week 17. And my goodness, I mean this Dolphins team is absolutely terrible. There's going to be
17:03plenty of touchdowns go around in that one. So everyone in this offense has a lot of upside in that. Again, maybe too
17:09early to be considering that, but is championship weekend. It is nice knowing he's got a great matchup. And in the short term, he could also have that
17:15boost in value because if D or if um DJ Moore if this injury is going to linger, that's going to push more targets to
17:21concate. So that's a ton of players that you can possibly trade for this week. I will try to add a couple more to the
17:27website uh throughout the week if I see some names I like trading for. Um and again, check out the trade feature on
17:34the website. I'm also going to be making an improvement to league sync as well that I think a lot of you are going to
17:39like, but check that out my website the fantasy footballadvice.com. All right.
17:44Uh, that was it for this one. Please leave a like if you are still here.
17:46Please subscribe to the channel if you are new. But I'll catch you all in tomorrow's big rankings video.