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Week 5 Rankings | All Positions & All Games! | 2026 Fantasy Football Advice

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

52 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Oct 8, 2026
Published
Thu, October 8, 2026
37
Player insights
37
Players mentioned
Topics
Aaron JonesAaron RodgersBrenton StrangeBrian Thomas Jr.Brock BowersBucky IrvingCam WardCarnell TateChase BrownChris RodriguezColston LovelandDallas GoedertDrake MayeHunter Henry
Player analysis

Player insights

37

Aaron Jones

PositiveMatchup37:18

Aaron Jones should be started against the Saints; Saints defense is ranked number six in terms of rush attempts versus expected and cannot stop the run; the Falcons' rushing attack dominated the Saints on Monday night, and the Vikings have a strong rushing attack.

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Aaron Rodgers

PositiveProjection11:31

Ranked QB9 with 17-point projection; solid streaming option this week. Currently projecting for too much passing yards and may drop to QB12-13 range. Colts defense is weak and Steelers should be efficient on offense at home as favorites.

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Brenton Strange

PositiveUsage7:05

Tight end expected to see significant volume increase against Bengals matchup; grades out 10-22 and projects for increased targets after having very little involvement previously; Parker Washington dropped to one catch as volume funneled to Strange, exemplifying how Bengals defense creates tight end opportunities. Was a spot start candidate last week vs. Bengals but faces polar opposite matchup this week vs. Eagles' strong TE defense, making him not recommended for Week 5 start.

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Brian Thomas Jr.

NegativeUsage7:35

Brian Thomas Jr. not trusted for Week 5 start due to insufficient usage in Jaguars offense despite being a talented WR.

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Brock Bowers

NegativeMatchup19:19

Must-start tight end despite poor Patriots matchup. The Patriots will scheme to take away Bowers as the primary target, and the source expects worse production than normal; six receptions is a much more likely outcome than ten. Cannot rule out a big game (10 for 100 and a score), but downside risk is elevated. Still must play him regardless due to weak tight end landscape.

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Bucky Irving

NegativeRole1:37

Running back ranked 21 with strong volume-based appeal, but TD upside is capped by committee usage; Buccaneers are using Shawn Tucker at the goal line and Kenneth Gainwell in the receiving game, limiting Irving to early-down work with limited receptions. Recent trend of Tucker at goal line hurts Irving's touchdown projection despite solid early-down volume.

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Cam Ward

NegativeMatchup28:15

Cannot be played this week against the Titans; the source explicitly states 'Can never play Cam Ward' in the context of this matchup, citing poor secondary matchup and backup running back concerns.

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Carnell Tate

PositiveBreakout28:26

High-end rookie wide receiver with 25%+ target share who is the primary playable option in the Titans matchup. Tate is a very talented player who had not been hitting because Cam Ward had no time, but when Ward finally got time in the last game, they connected for over 100 receiving yards. Tate is ranked at wide receiver 2 and the source says you can absolutely play him and we can go to him basically moving forward.

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Chase Brown

PositiveProjection14:10

Recommended to play if Chase and Higgins are out. The source highlights strong receiving projection and very stable floor. Projected for 20 touches if both receivers are out, with plenty of usage on the ground and through the air. Play him regardless of injury status.

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Chris Rodriguez

NegativeUsage7:35

Not trusted for Week 5 start due to insufficient usage in Jaguars offense.

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Colston Loveland

PositiveUsage35:00

Colston Loveland is highlighted as a viable start with usage in the Bears offense; target share has been up and he was the most targeted player on the team last week, though he's been relatively inefficient; the source expects a big day coming soon and rates him as viable to start, though not a must-play.

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Dallas Goedert

NegativeMatchup6:00

Dallas Goedert identified as best Eagles play in Week 5 but with significant caveats: returning from injury and facing Jaguars' historically strong tight end defense; source lacks confidence despite being the best available option.

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Drake Maye

PositiveProjection23:21

Must-start quarterback for Week 5. The source explicitly recommends 'play Drake May, play Henderson, play Romeo Dos,' positioning May as a core starter in the Patriots-Raiders matchup.

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Hunter Henry

NegativeRole23:21

Tight end with insufficient usage and red zone role loss. The source states 'Hunter Henry just isn't getting that much usage. And you also have Ridon back. Um, Patriots like using Ridon in the red zone, especially when they're inside like the 5 10 yard line. If Henry's not getting any of that and he's barely getting used to between 20s, like he's just not that good of a play at tight end.' Not recommended.

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Isaiah Likely

PositiveRole19:55

Tight end with extremely high target volume; the source states 'This is a great spot for Isaiah Likely who got a million targets last week' and calls him 'a must start this weekend.' Basically every target on the Giants offense goes to either Malik Neighbors or Isaiah Likely, and with a great matchup against the Commanders defense, Likely is one of the two best plays on the Giants.

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Ja'Marr Chase

NegativeInjury13:13

Concussion injury status unclear for Week 5; the source projects him out but notes he could be cleared on Friday and play Sunday. Unlike hamstring injuries, concussions carry no reinjury risk once cleared. Usually players miss a week with a concussion, but the timeline remains fluid. Play him if healthy.

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Jakobi Meyers

NegativeProjection6:30

Jakobi Meyers assessed as fine play with moderate floor and inconsistent ceiling; much better in full PPR format; projects for either 3 catches for 30 yards or 6 catches for 70 yards and a score; not a high-end touchdown producer but reliable floor play.

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Jayden Daniels

NegativeProjection0:17

Undrafted rookie free agent QB starting for Buccaneers with fantasy grade 18 due to rushing upside; projects for 44.5 rushing yards and 0.2 rushing touchdowns. Not the best streaming option but could reach 11 points if he runs for 50 yards and a score; however, carries a 10% interception rate on the season and Dallas defense has zero interceptions, creating some downside risk.

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Jaylen Warren

PositiveProjection10:43

Ranked as RB1 this week with strong projection and matchup analysis. Projected for 19 carries, 3.5 receptions, over 100 total yards, and 0.9 touchdowns; playing against mediocre Colts defense at home as favorite. Will be a great spot while Rico Dowel is out with a dislocated toe; likely to scale back slightly from RB3 to RB1 range.

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Jaylen Wright

NegativeRole17:58

Running back expected to get more involvement this week but in a hot-hand situation with Olly Gordon. The source believes if Wright performs well he'll get more touches, but if both backs are mixed in and Gordon continues looking better, Wright won't get the carries. Adds risk and the source does not recommend playing.

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Joe Burrow

PositiveProjection13:49

Recommended to play even if Chase and Higgins are out. The source projects 240 passing yards and 1.8 passing touchdowns (would be 260–270 yards with both superstars healthy). The Bengals are projected to score three touchdowns this week, so Burrow maintains solid volume and touchdown upside despite receiver injuries.

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Josh Cameron

PositiveBreakout7:50

Highlighted as having positive dynasty value; randomly scoring touchdowns and having inconsistent but promising usage. The source drafted him in the fourth round of a dynasty league. However, not recommended for start-sit leagues due to unpredictability.

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Josh Downs

NegativeProjection9:12

Projected at 10.7 half-PPR points, ranked WR22; doesn't have great touchdown upside but should see around 4-5 receptions for 50-65 yards. Steelers historically struggle against slot receivers, which benefits Downs when he lines up in the slot; however, not a must-play if close to other options.

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Juwan Johnson

NegativeRole38:48

Jawan Johnson is a backup wide receiver to avoid; the source would not go to backup wide receivers on the Saints against the Vikings defense.

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Keenan Allen

PositiveRole9:12

Listed as a low-end flex play option; benefits from Steelers' historical weakness against slot receivers. However, not a must-play if close to other options; Colts passing attack has underperformed this season.

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Kyle Williams

NegativeRole23:43

Part of Patriots tight end rotation with minimal usage; the source groups him with other backup tight ends, stating these players will mix in for two or three receptions each and are not worth trusting.

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Lan Larison

NegativeRole21:46

Backup running back the Patriots don't trust. The source questions both Corey Ker and Lan Larson, stating 'I just I don't think they're going to use them very much,' indicating both backup RBs are low-confidence plays with minimal expected usage.

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Luther Burden

PositiveUsage35:00

Luther Burden is highlighted as a viable start with usage in the Bears offense; the source projects him as a flex-to-WR2 play with upside if he scores a touchdown, noting he'll have around 4-5 receptions and okay yardage; he becomes more valuable if the Packers score and force Chicago to be aggressive.

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Malik Washington

NegativeProjection16:54

Wide receiver ranked 24th, projected to struggle against the Bengals defense which historically shuts down outside receivers. The source is uncomfortable with the projection and considering dropping the ranking further below industry consensus.

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Michael Pittman

PositiveUsage12:03

Target share is way lower than expected this season; Roman Wilson's production is taking away from his opportunities. Not recommended to play.

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Nico Collins

PositiveUsage24:33

Collins dominates target share when healthy and must be played when available; his target concentration is so high that other Texans receivers (Schultz, Hutchinson, Booty, Null, Wayne) are all rotating and not viable options. The Titans' weak pass defense amplifies Collins' appeal in Week 5.

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Roman Wilson

PositiveUsage12:03

Hitting on big plays and touchdowns but unreliable week-to-week; his production is taking away from Michael Pittman Jr.'s target share. Not recommended to play.

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Romeo Doubs

PositiveProjection22:46

Wide receiver ranked 23rd for Week 5 with upside after strong recent performance. The source notes he had a great week last week and emphasizes he's the clear top receiver with AJ Brown and Matt Collins out, stating 'they're going to use him in the red zone. They're going to use him as that top wide receiver.' Must-start recommendation.

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Tony Pollard

NegativeRole28:26

Pollard is the only viable running back option for the Titans in a difficult matchup against the Texans. The Titans are projected for just 16.25 points and don't have running backs the source fully trusts, but Pollard remains the only option in the backfield with touchdown dependency high given the low implied total.

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Tucker Kraft

PositiveRole35:29

Tucker Craft should be in starting lineups; identified as a big-play threat for the Packers tight end position with an easier matchup against the Bears; expected to receive pass attempts in the second half as the Packers trail; the source projects a pretty good day for him.

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Will Shipley

NegativeProjection5:05

Will Shipley projected as low-end flex play with approximately 14 carries for 43 rushing yards; expected to receive most Eagles RB touches but unlikely to score rushing TD; will mix in couple receptions for estimated 8-9 half-PPR points with no real ceiling.

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Woody Marks

PositiveValue25:18

Marks has outperformed his ADP thus far despite splitting carries with Dave Montgomery; the Texans' offensive line struggles limit both backs' efficiency, but Marks was never drafted as a high-end player, so his ADP outperformance is a positive relative to expectations.

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Full transcript

Episode Transcript

502
0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here back with another video. It's Thursday.
0:02Time to go game my game. Talk about all the players that'd be starting and sitting this week. Tonight's game, uh, we've got Bucks at Cowboys. 47 and a
0:10half point total. You can see on the screen here, uh, 9 and a half point road underdogs for the Bucks. Of course, do
0:17not have Baker Mayfield. Again, as you can see, uh pretty solid matchup against a very not so good, uh Cowboys defense,
0:25but uh it'll be Jaylen Daniels at quarterback. Undrafted rookie free agent quarterback, uh usually not a setup for a ton of fantasy production. As you can
0:34see, he's only he's grating out as a quarterback, 18. That's not bad. It's because of the rushing. And when you project for 44 and a half rushing yards,
0:410.2 rushing touchdowns, that's just going to help things out. Uh, not the best streaming option, but realistically, could he run for 50
0:48yards? And a score right there is 11 points. And at that point, you don't really need to do too much in the
0:53passing department. So, not a bad streaming option, but definitely at the end of the streamers has like a 10% interception rate on the season right
1:00now. Of course, a low sample. And Dallas doesn't even have an interception on defense yet, but there are probably better options for you on free agency.
1:08Um, but him being quarterback basically means that like the pass catchers are a little bit cooked. You can't really go to Godwin or Ted Hurst. You can go to
1:16Igbuka as a very low-end flex play projecting for about four receptions, 46 yards. Uh but as we saw last week, it
1:23just was not good. And they had a pretty solid matchup last week as well. Uh so I'm not expecting a lot of production
1:29here. Again, there's they're projected for 19 points in this game. They might score two touchdowns. Going to be tough if your guy doesn't score a touchdown in
1:37that setup. Bucky Irving, strong start.
1:39Running back 21. I think just purely based on volume. He's a fine play. The only issue with Bucky, um, if we were to
1:47like only look at the running backs here, um, they're using Shawn Tucker and so if they use Shawn Tucker at the goal
1:54line and they use Kenneth Gainwell in the receiving game, it's kind of what we talked about in the offseason where like
1:59he's not going to project for a crazy amount of touchdowns. He'll have early down usage, but then kind of mixes in a
2:05couple receptions and all of a sudden it's not that amazing of a day for Bucky Irving. the fact that they are recently
2:12doing that and actually using Tucker to go line, it does hurt uh for um Bucky Irving. So, no great plays really on the
2:20the Bucks side this week. On the Cowboys side, um as you can see, Bucks better defense than the Cowboys, better limiting wide receivers. Uh pretty good
2:29matchup obviously here for tight ends.
2:31Uh we've been attacking that recently.
2:34For the Cowboys, it's simple. Every time they're at home, you just play their studs, right? So, Dak, CD Lamb, Javant Williams, George Pickkins, all should be
2:41in your starting lineup. Play Aubrey.
2:43Um, I think you can stream the Dallas defense. They're projected number one right now. I feel like I'm probably going to pull that back just a little
2:50bit before kickoff, but they're a great defensive play. It's kind of like, what's going to happen here, right?
2:56You've got no interceptions on the season for the Dallas defense going up against an undrafted rookie free agent with a 10% interception rate. Something
3:04has to give here. uh my guess is that we see an interception. My guess is that we see at least two sacks. And when you're
3:12talking about that with a team projected for 19 points, it's very easy to get to like five to seven points at defense and
3:19then all of a sudden, you know, you're one fumble recovery, extra interception, couple of sacks, you're just a little bit away from a really good day on
3:26defense. So, I do think they're a very strong play. Doesn't mean they're going to go out there and score 15 fantasy
3:30points, but I feel pretty good about them scoring like seven. And honestly, you'll take that at defense as like a not a floor, but like as I you feel good
3:39about seven for defense, you're willing to play them. Um I wouldn't play anyone else though. Uh Fenoy, backup running backs, uh not worth it. And Ferguson
3:46also um just not projecting that well.
3:49He basically has to score a touchdown.
3:51His yards perception is incredibly low uh this season and last season, but especially this season as well. All right, London game. Eagles at Jaguars.
4:01We've got a 42 and a half point total.
4:03Jaguars 6 and 12 point quote unquote home favorites and you can almost say uh actually home favorites in this one because they just like always play in
4:12London. They've got actually this week and next week in London. Uh they're the team that goes there every single season. So there should be more Jaguars
4:20fans than there are Eagles fans. Uh and the same thing will be the case next week. I don't remember who they play
4:25next week. Uh for the Eagles, brutal spot. Really, really bad. I think the the Jaguars destroy them here. Um, I like the the six and a half spread. I
4:34think it should be closer to like seven and a half or eight. Um, only projected for 18 points. You've got offensive
4:40linemen retiring. You've got injuries on offense. You're playing a team that is just really, really tough to run on. So, you're going to have to throw the ball
4:49against the Jaguars and you can't do it as easily to tight end. So, basically all has to come through wide receivers.
4:54Um, and I don't think they're going to have Dvontto Smith. So, you're going to have to have all your production through
4:58Wix, Lemon, Darius Cooper. That's not a recipe for success. I do think Dallas Scott's gonna come back. He practiced on Wednesday with the intention of playing.
5:07We will see. Um, but I think he's gonna be out there. That definitely helps out the offense. Um, but it's tough. I mean, they don't have
5:14Saquon. They don't have Tank Bsby. So, they're going to have Will Shipley. Um, they're going to have Damen Pierce was elevated. They might elevate Jaden Blue
5:22as well. I'm not really sure. Um, but they'll probably have a third running back out there. Um, but it's just like
5:29they're just missing so many people from their starting lineup that it's like I wouldn't play Jaylen Herz. Um, I really don't love these wide receivers.
5:36Shipley's fine as a as a flex play, maybe even a low-end flex play, honestly. Um, because he's probably going to have most of the running back
5:45touches, but I wouldn't expect anything on the ground and projecting about 14 carries, but only for 43 rushing yards.
5:50I would be surprised if he scored a rushing touchdown. And so he's going to mix in like a couple receptions, have
5:55enough usage on the ground where like, yeah, he might get to like eight or nine half PPR points. Um, I don't see any
6:00sort of real ceiling on him, though. I do not think he's someone you have to jam into lineups. Really, the best play
6:06here is Dallas GDart, but it's also Dallas coming off of injury in a matchup that isn't easy. Like the Jaguars are
6:13just a really strong all-around defense.
6:16Uh maybe he hits through like garbage time in the second half, but I just don't have much confidence in really anyone on the Eagles this week. For the
6:23Jaguars, much different story. Um you see less red than you would normally see against the Eagles. Still very good against tight ends. Historically, they
6:31just have been. Um neutral matchup for wide receivers, slightly positive matchup for running backs. You're also 6 and 1 half point favorites. The crowd
6:38should be in your favor. 24 and a half for the implied total. Again, I think they could push 27 or 30 points this
6:44weekend. I feel good about the Jaguars this weekend. I think the Eagles could really just fall apart in this one. I
6:50would play Trevor Lawrence if you had him. Play Parker Washington. Play Bashaw Tutu in. We talked about him in the trade targets video. Um I think Jacobe
6:58Meyers is fine. He's kind of what he always is. Uh much better play in full PPR. Uh but a guy that could go out
7:04there and have three for 30 or he could go out there and have six for 70 in a score. It's really difficult to know
7:10when he's going to score that touchdown because he's not like a high-end touchdown producer. Uh but at least a moderate floor, a totally fine play. Uh
7:18again, low on flex play wide receiver 36 for him. U B Breton Strange was that like one spot start last week. He got
7:25the great matchup against the Bengals.
7:28Every tight end against the Bengals is worthy of a potential spot start even if they don't get much production. We'll talk about that with Greg Doolsich this
7:35week. Um, but he's not that involved normally. And this is like the polar opposite matchup. Much more difficult. I would not play Brett Strange. And then,
7:44uh, you know, Brian Thomas Jr. just not getting enough usage to be trusting right now. Neither is Chris Rodriguez.
7:49Um, Josh Cameron is randomly scoring touchdowns. Uh, randomly having usage.
7:53Looks pretty good. I feel like, um, I drafted him actually in dynasty in like the fourth round. Um, but like obviously
7:59you can't be be starting him in a start sit league. So that's really it for the Jaguars. I think they do well. I think
8:06people are going to be scared of the Eagles matchup, but they shouldn't be.
8:08It's a really positive spot for them.
8:10And I think just like their their star player is definitely the Lawrence, Parker Washington, Bashaw Tuton, Jaguars defense. I'd be starting all of that and
8:17then it's a little bit more of a question for me Myers, but if it's close, I think I can lean in his
8:22direction this week. All right, Colts at Steelers 1:00 games. Uh, very close here. So, 44 1/2 point uh overunder.
8:31We've got Steelers by only 2 and 1/2 points at home. Um that gives the implied total for the Colts side on the
8:38road 21 points. Again, 2 and 1/2 point underdogs here. Um like I would say a sort of difficult spot. You look at the matchups and it's
8:47a good matchup for wide receivers and tight ends. But playing the Steelers on the road, it's just a difficult game environment to play. Uh so I would I
8:57would call this like a slightly negative matchup for the Colts. Um, but really just play their starters as well. Like Jonathan Taylor should be starting
9:04lineups every week. Um, Daniel Jones has not been playing that well, not really producing in fantasy. I would not be playing him. Play JT, play Tyler Warren
9:12every single week. Um, more of a question with Josh DS. I have him right now 10.7 half PPR points. That puts him
9:20as the wide receiver 22. Um, doesn't have a great chance of scoring a touchdown, but should have around four or five receptions around 50 to 65
9:28yards. He's not a bad play. I could see his projection falling just a little bit. The one positive is that historically um the Steelers have really
9:37struggled against slot wide receivers.
9:39So when they go into 11 personnel, when they put Josh DS into the slot, um he can just kind of destroy the linebackers
9:45over the middle of the field. That's just something that the Steelers have just like always been bad at defending.
9:50Um which is also a benefit to Keenan Allen who is out as a low-end flex play.
9:54I don't know. It just it's tough to trust this Colts passing attack. Like uh they haven't been performing that well this season. It really does seem like
10:02they need Alec Pierce out there to just stretch the field, be someone that teams can be scared of deep because no one's
10:09scared of anything deep against the Colts. Downs, Warren, Keenan. None of these guys are running downfield route.
10:15So everything is close to the line of scrimmage. And when you know that's the case, it's just a little bit easier to
10:20defend. When you have that one player on the field that can actually stretch defense, actually terrify you, it just opens things up a little bit more. So
10:27they really need him back. Uh but again, Josh Downs a fine play. Uh Keenan Allen fine as a low and flex play. I don't
10:33think either of them are must plays. If it's very close, I might lean away from them this weekend. But again, Downs
10:38isn't like a bad play. Uh then the Steelers side, 23 and a half for the implied total, two and a half point home
10:43favorites. Colts defense really struggling this season. they have not been uh that great. So Warren is just a play every week. Like they play him
10:52every week until Rico's back. I don't know when Rico is going to return. It's kind of difficult to know like when do
10:57you return from a dislocated toe? It's like I don't know like when it's good to go again. Um so when Rico's back, we
11:04have to reevaluate this. But while he's out, I mean Warren's getting every touch. I'm checking for 19 carries, three and a half receptions, over a 100
11:13total yards,.9 touchdowns. him. He's a running back three in the week right now. I'll probably scale that back a little bit, but he's a running back one
11:22while you don't have uh Rico Dowel and while they're playing a mediocre defense in the Colts at home favorite. Like this
11:28is just a great spot for Jaylen Warren.
11:31Um you could stream Aaron Rogers.
11:32Another one where it's like I feel like maybe pull it back a little bit.
11:36Quarterback nine right now, 17 points.
11:39Um projecting for probably a little bit too much passing yards. I could see him drop down to like the quarterback like
11:4412 or 13, but he's a solid option this weekend. Uh again, Colt's defense is just not good. And when you're at home
11:51favored, like they should be able to do whatever they want. They should be efficient on offense. The Colts defense is not stopping them on the ground or
11:59through the air. So, totally fine going with Aaron Rogers, a streaming option.
12:03You can start DK Metaf at wide receiver, too. I wouldn't go beyond that at wide receiver. Roman Wilson's hitting, but it's like he's hitting on big plays.
12:11He's hitting for touchdowns, not things that are super reliable week overweek.
12:15And then Roman Wilson hitting is taking away from Michael Pitman Jr. His target share is way lower than expected this season. So I really wouldn't play those
12:23two. Um the tight ends you can't trust.
12:25There's a big rotation there. You can't really trust Ben Scoronic and Jeremy Bernard right now. So it really comes down to Warren Rodgers, Metaf, and you
12:35can stream Chris Boswell pretty much every week. Uh those are the guys you want in your starting lineup and I would
12:39be comfortable starting them this week.
12:42Next up, Bengals at Dolphins. 42 and a half points total. Bengals are sevenpoint road favorites. Issue with the Bengals is we kind of don't know
12:50right now. I think they'd be more than seven point favorites if we knew what was happening at wide receiver. Uh you
12:54see this for the uh Dolphins defense.
12:57Number two match up for running backs, number five matchup for tight ends, neutral matchup for wide receivers.
13:01Mostly because of targets. uh teams get up on the Dolphins and they just don't have to throw the ball, right? That kind
13:08of makes sense. Uh even though the defense is very very bad against the pass, if you're winning by two touchdowns, you don't have to throw the
13:14ball in the second half. But yeah, we basically just don't know wide receiver.
13:17So right now, um what you can see on the screen is I'm projecting both Jamar Chase and T. Higgins out. T is
13:23dayto-day. Chase has a concussion.
13:25Usually players miss a week with a concussion, but he could be cleared on Friday and then play on Sunday. He also
13:32doesn't need any sort of practice to be good to go and it's a concussion so it's not like he's returning from like a
13:37hamstring or something like that with reinjury risk and so obviously play Chase if he's healthy, obviously play T.
13:42Higgins if he's healthy, we just don't know right now. If both were to miss, this is how things look. Uh you're
13:49probably still playing Joe Burrow because even with backups, um even pulling back um the projected volume here, I have 240 passing yards. You
13:57know, if you had their two superstars, he'd probably project 260 or 270. Um, pull that back. It still dishes touchdowns. Like, they're going to score
14:05three touchdowns this week. 1.8 projected passing touchdowns. You're playing him. If you got him, you're definitely playing Chase Brown. His receiving projection is really nice.
14:13Very stable floor for him. They're going to have to use him. Plenty of usage on the ground. Plenty of usage. So, Derry
14:20should have 20 touches if those two are out. And honestly, I'd play him regardless. um McFerson just cuz you're projecting a lot of points in general.
14:27Even if they don't convert to touchdowns, there should be plenty of field goal opportunities as well. The big one is Gaseki and Meyers. So Dante
14:35Meyers would be their wide receiver one if you didn't have both of them playing out there. And honestly, I think I'd be
14:41fine spot starting him right now.
14:43Projects as the wide receiver, 32, nine half PPR points, looking at like four receptions, 50 yards, 0.4 touchdowns.
14:50Not a bad projection for him. going to be very efficient through the air. He looked really good last week. Looked explosive. Um like I don't think he's
14:58going to go out there and be a wide receiver one this week, but you're not playing a very good defense. They are
15:03going to have to score, right? Like even if you think the Bengals win this week, well to easily win, you got to score
15:08three, four touchdowns. And so you got to move the ball up and down the field.
15:11They got to do it with someone, right?
15:13Kobe Young is not very good. Michael Tinsley or Mitchell Tinsley is not very good. Chris Charlie Jones is not good.
15:19Like these backup wide receivers are not good. And I feel like Dante Myers, while he's also probably not that good, he's
15:26not that bad and he's better than those players. He's someone they actually can utilize. He could go out there and have
15:31seven or eight targets. And I wouldn't be surprised at all. He did that last week when you had one of Chase Orhgins
15:37out there most plays. Now they threw the ball 50 times, so that makes sense. I doing that this week, but not bad. So
15:43not bad as a spot start. And then Gaseki, anytime that you have one of these guys out, um, he's viable. tight
15:51end seven right now. If both of them are out, I would absolutely be playing Masiki this weekend. If only one of tier
15:58chase are out, it becomes more questionable. He probably drops closer to like the tight end 12 to 15 range.
16:04Uh, and at that point, you can definitely still play him, but less of a smash play. But if both those guys are
16:10out, you're absolutely playing Masiki.
16:12Um, yeah, I'll adjust the rankings accordingly. Then for the Bengals side, um, 18th for the implied total, seven point home underdogs. Um, very good
16:21matchup for tight ends. You see extra volume, extra efficiency, all those sorts of things. Uh, you stream tight ends against the Bengals. We've seen it
16:31last year. We've seen it into this year.
16:33Remember I talked about Brettton Strange a second ago. Brenton Strange was doing nothing. He had very little involvement on the offense and then all of a sudden
16:40you play the Bengals and u Parker Washington has one catch and everything is funneled to Brettton Strange.
16:46That's just how it works against this team. And so, uh, there's going to be plenty of volume available for him. Um, I don't think he's like a
16:54smash play, right? He grades out his bench 10 and 22. Um, I'm trying I'll try to bump that a little bit higher. It's
17:00difficult because he literally I don't think had a target last week. So, it's tough to project someone for like five for 60 when they're literally coming off
17:07zero receptions. But, it's also tough because they played the Vikings last weekend. So, it's kind of difficult to like transfer things from Vikings over
17:14to Bengals. um projecting okay right now for Malik Washington. It's just that same thing though like if if outside wide receivers really struggle against
17:24um the Bengals. Maybe Washington plays a little bit more in the slot and gets those quick passes. But at the end of
17:29the day, wide receivers do not perform against this team. So I don't feel very comfortable with uh Malik Washington. I might drop him a little bit more. I'm
17:36already behind industry right now at wide receiver 24, but I think I want to drop it even further. Um, really the
17:42only plays you feel okay about are Olly Gordon and Greg Doolsich. That's really it. Those are the only two I'd even be
17:48considering right now. Um, Olly Gordon rips off the long touchdown run last week. Um, I think he's fine. Running back 23 right now. 10.2 half PPR points.
17:58Projecting for about 12 carries, one and a half receptions. If that's something that gets you excited at running back two or in the flux spot, go with it cuz
18:05he should have okay efficiency. Um, there have been comments that they're going to get Jaylen Wright a little bit more involved this week as well. Um,
18:12honestly, I think it's just hot hand. I think if they do give Wright a couple carries and he does look good, they will
18:17give him more usage. But, if they kind of mix both of them in, Ole Gordon continues to look better that they won't
18:22give the touches to Wright and it'll continue being mostly Olly Gordon. So, it's really just kind of a hot hand situation there, which is also something
18:29that adds risk. So, again, I don't think you need to play Olly Gordon. I don't think you need to play uh Malik
18:34Washington or Jaylen Wright. And again, I don't think you need to play Greg Doolich, but if you're in a pinch, especially in a deeper league, and
18:40you're like, I need someone at tight end. Uh maybe you had like a Waller or maybe you had a Kelsey who's um you
18:48know, on buy this week and you you looked at free agency and it's disgusting. Again, every tight end to play the Bengals does well and Greg
18:54Dulich is playing the Bengals, so he's probably going to do well. Raiders at Patriots up next. 45 and a half point
19:01total. Patriots 3 and 1/2 point home favorites for the Raiders side. That's 21 points for the implied total, 3 1/2 point road underdogs. You see a lot of
19:11orange and red on the screen here.
19:13Patriots not a good matchup for anyone.
19:16There's no particular way you want to attack the Patriots defense and especially when they're playing at home.
19:21Uh Raiders offense has been playing very very well though this season and so you can trust some of these guys. I mean
19:26obviously Brock Bowers is gonna be the one they look to take away. So, the Patriots are going to sell out to stop
19:30Brock Bowers. Um, I don't know if Gonzalez is going to play. Um, it's also a little bit more difficult putting Gonzalez on a tight end to stop, but the
19:38Patriots have done it historically where they scheme to take away a tight end.
19:42And so, um, I would expect worse production than normal for Brock Powers this weekend. Um, don't be I mean, it's Brock Powers, so you can't be shocked if
19:50he goes out there and has like 10 for 100 in a score, but my expectation is a little bit lower. I think having like
19:55six receptions is a much more likely outcome than having 10. Um, but I think you still got to play him. So,
20:00regardless, you have to play Brock Bowers. Um, don't love many other players. Genty's probably going to have a pretty inefficient day, but if he's
20:08going to have 20 touches, well, you can be pretty inefficient and still rack up 70, 80 yards, still have a decent chance
20:16at scoring a touchdown. So, Genty and Bowers have to be in starting lineups. I just don't feel that great about them.
20:22Um, you could go to Michael Marin in a deeper league and hope that secondary production keeps hitting. Uh, but really I'd leave the Raiders mostly alone this
20:30week besides Genty and Brock Bowers. And again, for them, I wouldn't expect great production for the Patriot side. Um, really good matchup for running backs
20:38and tight ends, bad matchup for wide receivers. That actually does favor the Patriots a little bit. Um, we're at least one more week without AJ Brown. um
20:46hopefully can return soon, but they don't really have wide receivers we're consistently trusting and they will utilize the tight ends. They will
20:53utilize the running backs. Now, they might not have Stevenson. I'm projecting him out right now. I don't think Reandre is going to play this weekend. He's
21:00pushing to play, but it would be smart for them to just hold him out for a week and have him come back more healthy next
21:06week. Um if he's out, I don't think they trust these backup running backs. I mean, how much do you really trust Corey
21:12Ker, uh Lan Larson? Like I just I don't think they're going to use them very much. It's Henderson and they just like
21:19hate him. So maybe it ends up being where these backups get production, but I don't think it's like last year where
21:25it like actually happened. Like we were like last year it was like oh he's going to be featured and it goes out there and
21:29he's like literally still the running back too. I think they trust him a little bit more right now. And this is
21:33like a winnable game. This is a spot where like you know these backups are these two backups are not good. They're
21:40very much not good. And so they'll get some production cuz they're not going to feature Henderson. But Henderson's probably going to have over 15 touches.
21:49And anyone that you can say that about should just be in starting lineups, especially when it's a decent matchup and they're as explosive as Henderson.
21:56He's going to have a ton of carries where just runs into the offensive lineman falls down and you're like, man, Stevenson would have gotten three yards
22:03there. Like I know no one's busting off a long play because the blocking may have been bad, but Stephenson would have
22:07gotten three and you just got negative one. Like that just happens a lot for Trayvon, but he also finds that hole and
22:14explodes through it on a play where Stevenson gets seven or eight, which is great, but Henderson rips off for 50.
22:22You know, he has that in his range of outcomes. And so, it's going to be a lot of like dud boom like that. He's just a
22:27home run hitter. Um, you're hoping he hits for one or two of those those home run plays. Um, but just understand that,
22:34right? He could have 17 touches for 45 yards and not score and you'll be like, "What the heck?" Well, that's just kind
22:41of what happens with Trayvon. So, I still think you have to be playing him this weekend if Stevenson is not out
22:46there. Romeo Dobs, wide receiver, 23 right now. Had a great week last week.
22:50Um, really tough start to the season for him. A lot of drops, a lot of just bad plays. Um, hopefully that was the start
22:58of something. He even had a downfield target last week that he just didn't hit. could have an even bigger day, but
23:03you know, they're going to use him in the red zone. They're going to use him as that top wide receiver. They don't
23:07have AJ Brown. They also, I don't think, are going to have Matt Collins this weekend, so he's pretty clearly the top
23:13wide receiver. I think you can trust at wide receiver, too, but you probably don't need to. You can probably just put
23:17him in to the flex spot. Um, yeah, play Drake May, play Henderson, play Romeo Dos. Um, I wouldn't really go to these
23:22other players. Um, Hunter Henry just isn't getting that much usage. And you also have Ridon back. Um, Patriots like using Ridon in the red zone, especially
23:31when they're inside like the 5 10 yard line. If Henry's not getting any of that and he's barely getting used to between
23:3720s, like he's just not that good of a play at tight end. So, I wouldn't play him. Um, then you have this rotation of
23:43lights Douglas, Eftton Chisum, Kyle Williams. I mean, these guys are all going to mix in for like two or three receptions. It's just really not worth
23:52trusting any of them. It's May, it's Henderson, and it's perhaps Romeo Dobs.
23:56I just wouldn't go to anything else uh New England. Uh and you can stream the New England defense when they're at
24:01home. Uh and then on the Raiders side, oh wait, we already did the Raiders side. That's the whole game for this
24:05one. Uh next up, we've got Texans at Titans low 39 and a half point total.
24:11The Texans are 7point road favorites.
24:15For the road favorites here, um Texans a little over 23 for the implied total.
24:20Again, seven point road favorites. Um pretty solid matchup. The Titans don't have a bad defense. They're better at stopping the run than the pass. Um
24:28they're just not that good at stopping the pass. And so the Texans should be good to go here. Um Stroud's honestly
24:33been playing totally fine this season.
24:35And half of our sample is not having Nico Collins out there. When Nico Collins is out there, Strad has looked very good. Um obviously he had a very
24:42easy matchup last week in it. Uh but you know, again, the Titans are not that good of a defense. So you can stream CJ
24:49Strad, you have to play Nico Collins when he's out there. Um, and then you just basically Nico just takes so much
24:54of the target share that I wouldn't look to anyone else. I wouldn't look to Daltton Schulz. I wouldn't look to like,
24:59you know, Hutchinson, Booty, Null, um, Jared Wayne, like they're all going to rotate. Um, but no one's really standing out this week as far as they're
25:08concerned. The other options are the running backs. And so it's, you know, they're favored last week. We talked about how like I don't think they should
25:16have been favored. I felt like they were probably going to lose that game. Um, but it was a good matchup. like Dallas
25:22is not that good of a defense. Um they were at least winning I think for for part of the game. It was kind of back
25:26and forth at least part of the game they were ahead. Um you had the good conditions in the dome. So it was a spot
25:31where you should have expected the running backs to do well. Um we see Woody Marks score the touchdown but we see Dave Montgomery get more touches.
25:38It's just really tough because this offensive line cannot get anything going. Like these two have nothing like there's nothing being blocked for them.
25:45So uh the fact that they're splitting and there's nothing being blocked for them through an efficient is tough. I feel like this is the final week where
25:52it's like, okay, if they can finally win because remember the Texans are also 0 and4. It's tough for a running back when
25:58you're on a winless team, right? You're always playing from behind. You never have that fourth quarter where you can just continue getting those rush
26:05attempts and have the opportunity to bust off a play uh and score a little bit more touchdown because it also can
26:10be more runheavy, especially in the red zone when you're winning. This could be the week where you're like, "Okay, you're seven point favorites. The Titans
26:19offense has not looked that good. The Texans defense is also underwhelmed to a degree this season, but they should do pretty well at shutting down the Titans.
26:28And so if they can get up by 10, 13 points in the second half, fourth quarter, let's see what happens. if it's
26:34bad again, they're inefficient on the ground, the running backs can't get a touchdown, uh it's still a split, they're still basically forced to throw
26:43the ball, or if the Texans lose this game and go to 0 and5, if any of that happens, we're probably pushing the panic button on Dave
26:53Montgomery. Not really panic button on Woody Marks. I mean, you were never drafting him to be a high end player.
26:57Honestly, he's outperformed his ADP thus far. Um, but you're basically pushing the panic button on Dave Montgomery at this point. I think you kind of still
27:04can to some degree right now. It's just tough fully doing that because again, they're 0 and4. Any 0 and4 team, you
27:13look at their running back room and it's not doing that well. The Texans also just cannot block. You're hoping at some
27:19point that improves, but it's probably not going to happen. So, if someone is willing to give you something for Dave Montgomery, I think he's totally fine to
27:25trade. But I think the hope is he goes out there, he has 17 or 18 opportunities, he scores a touchdown, maybe he has 80 or 90 total yards, and
27:35then you can look to trade him away.
27:37It's just tough to trade someone away on an 0 and5 team who's underperformed their ADP. What are you trading them away for? Someone else who's also doing
27:45the same thing. You kind of have to just wait for these guys to have a good day.
27:48Uh, but I think he's flex viable because of the potential game script and because of the fact that the Texans should score
27:55definitely two touchdowns, but should probably score three touchdowns this weekend. All right, on the Titan side, uh, much more difficult matchup. Not a
28:02matchup you want to be running on, and they don't really have running backs we totally trust. Uh, but not a terrible
28:07matchup for wide receivers and tight ends. Uh, they're only projected 16.25 points, though, so definitely a chance that the Titans only score like one
28:15touchdown, so you kind of need the guy that scores the touchdown. Um, but yeah, the the Texans defense has not been as
28:21good as they have been in prior years so far this year. It's a four game sample.
28:26They've played some very good teams. So, again, let's see what happens when they play a team like the Titans. Uh, but
28:31they haven't been that great. Been fine, but just like we're used to them being top three and they have not been a top
28:35three defense this season. Um, can never play Cam Ward. Don't go to the secondary players, backup running backs. It's really only Carnell Tate and Tony Pard.
28:44I think Pard's getting enough touches right now where like even though he's going to be inefficient, probably not going to score a touchdown, like I said
28:50with with Trayvon Henderson, if you got a running back that projects for around 15 or more opportunities, you can play them. I will say Trayvon projects for
28:58more opportunities than Tony Pard. Uh and Tony Pard is not as explosive as Trayvon. Trayvon's projected to win, whereas Pard's a touchdown underdog. So
29:06there are reasons why you do not like Tony Pard this week. Uh, the last running back in a strong start, running
29:11back 24. I'm projecting for 17 touches or 16.8. Um, not that many yards in total. Basically, only 60 uh 61 yards
29:20here, but he's an okay play if you need him. The better plays Cardinal Tate. Uh, we talked about him in the trade targets
29:25video last week and then he went off.
29:27Um, when you have, you know, a high-end rookie wide receiver looking good, going out there and having like a 25 plus
29:35percent target share, it's only a matter of time before they hit. He's a very talented player. He hadn't been hitting because Kam basically had no time, but
29:43Kim Ward finally gets a day where he has a little bit of time and they connect for, you know, well over a 100red
29:48receiving yards. Um, Carninal Tate's a very, very good player. Um, this is an okay matchup. not a good matchup, an okay matchup, and they're probably gonna
29:58be trailing. So, you can absolutely play Carl Tate. He was in my wide receiver 2 spot last week. I will just continue
30:02playing him at wide receiver 2 this week. Um, obviously, it's the Titans.
30:06This could end up poorly. Uh, but I think we can go to him basically moving forward. Hopefully, it sticks. All right, next up, we've got Giants at
30:14Commanders 43 and a half point total.
30:16Commanders are threepoint home favorites. For the Giant side, uh, we're looking at just over 20 for the implied total, three-point road underdogs. uh
30:24Commander defense not that good. They're I would say basically league average against the run. Uh definitely a team you can pass on, especially to tight
30:33ends. So this is a great spot for Isaiah likely who got a million targets last week. Basically every target on this
30:39team goes to Malik Neighbors or Isaiah Likely. You'd like to see Cam Scaboo get a few more targets, but they're really
30:46not dumping off to him that much.
30:48They're basically giving him a ton of early down work, and he's turned into more of a grinder, which is a little bit
30:53unfortunate. I mean, he still gets some work in the receiving game, but he's turning into more of a grinder than we
30:57thought he would be this season. And Naji doesn't look terrible. He's put together backto-back like okayish days.
31:04Uh it wouldn't be shocking to see Naji slowly get a little bit more usage and that would be bad for Scataboo. So,
31:09Scataboo is still running back too.
31:11You're still playing him. Um but watch the split between those two and watch the targets for Scataboo. We'd like to see the split stay much more in favor of
31:19Scandiboo and we'd like to see a few more targets go his way. But the two best plays are Malik Neighbors and
31:24Isaiah Likely. I think likely is a must start this weekend. Um again, great matchup, million targets last week. Um Jamus doesn't look great, but it's
31:35Jameus Winston. He's willing to chuck the ball around. Um and if you're only going to target two players on offense, definitely viable going to those two
31:42players. So start likely. Uh Malik Neighbors looked a lot better last week.
31:46You're hoping that every single week he gets more and more healthy, more and more comfortable. Um just play him. I mean, it's Malik Malik Neighbors like he
31:55probably just like shouldn't be benched at any point. Um again, Jamus does not look good. Don't be streaming Jamus. But if all these 223 passing yards are going
32:04to like two players, then you know, uh you can definitely start those two players. For the commander side, um 23.25 25 implied total threepoint home
32:13favorites. Um I don't know if they're going to get uh Rashad White back. I'm projecting him back this week. I think
32:19he returns, but watch the news there.
32:21They just have like a lot of running backs. So, you know, you've got JCM, you've got White, Eckler, Katron.
32:29I would imagine Kron is either not going to play or only gets a couple touches.
32:34But the fact that they have all these running backs that they don't really throw to the running back position that I think they're going to have um Jane
32:41Daniels back this week stealing early down usage, stealing the potential for um rushing touchdowns, not dumping off to the running back position at a very
32:50high rate. Um it's just not good for the running back. So I don't think you have to play any of them, but JCM is the one
32:56that you could put into the flex spot or play as a low-end running back, too. and hope they also have a positive game
33:01script and he can play more in the second half. Best plays are Terry McLuren and Stefon Diggs here. Um I don't think I wouldn't go to Cheg. I
33:09just wouldn't go to tight ends in this spot. Um and honestly like Jane Daniels projects as a streaming option. I don't
33:16know how much I love playing him.
33:17Projects for under 200 passing yards.
33:19He's coming off the injury. Very high chance that he suffers like a setback to that if he gets hit in the wrong way. Um
33:25definitely a chance that he's just like scrambles less. I mean, he should scramble less to try and stay healthy, but I don't know. He makes me a little
33:32bit nervous. And so, I would give it a week. Um, but, you know, if if you like if someone dropped him and you went in
33:38there, picked him up, you've got, you know, Mahomes on by and you're like, well, I got to do it. I mean, if he can
33:44run for 30 or 40 yards, he doesn't have to do as much through the air. Um, he can stream together like one or two
33:49touchdowns, he should have a totally fine day. Um, but yeah, I don't totally trust him just yet. and McLuren and Diggs are both fine. Um, but this
33:58offense is just like fairly mediocre.
34:01You can't really trust it all that much.
34:03Again, I think they're fine in the flex spot. I would not call anyone on this team a must start. Uh, defense though,
34:09defense doesn't project uh that bad going against Jameus Winston and the Giants. All right, we've got next up, Bears at Packers. 45 and a half point
34:20total. The Bears are threepoint road favorites for the Bears. Little over 24 for the implied total. Again, three-point road favorites. Uh the
34:27Packers defense has been really, really bad this season. You can run on them.
34:31You can pass on them. Uh that is a problem because uh this Bears offense, if they can find success on the ground
34:37against you, they are going to run the ball down your throat and there's nothing you can do against it. So, um, a
34:43little bit annoying when that happens in fantasy because you get like 250 rushing yards from Swift and Mungai and then you're like, "Wow, how do they have so
34:50many points, so many yards, and the wide receivers didn't do all that much?" Uh, yeah, that can happen when you're that
34:54good at running the ball and the defense on the other side can't stop you. But I think Tyson Bean is a a pretty solid
35:01quarterback. I'd be fine streaming him this week. Um, I think he's good for Luther Burden, for Roma, for Coulson Lovelin. Like you look at these guys and
35:12they're getting usage. You know, basically if any of them score a touchdown, they're going to have a really solid day because they're going
35:17to have, you know, four or five receptions, an okay amount of yards. I don't think like there's too many good players to where, you know, unless we
35:26get them pushing it on the other side of this game. Um like basically if Chicago gets a lead and doesn't have to play
35:34super aggressive in the second half, everyone's going to be fine. But they're all going to be kind of like flex plays
35:38to like wide receiver twos. Um but if we get them in a game where maybe the ground game can't get going as much and
35:45maybe the the um Packers and the other side find success through the air.
35:49Christian Watson hits deep, Matthew Golden hits deep, Tucker Craft is a big play and all of a sudden the Packers put
35:54up 24 to 27 points and we got Chicago having to be aggressive. These guys can really hit. So I think you can start all
36:00these guys. Burton is the best play, but Adun, I mean, was operating as their top wide receiver last week. So, I think
36:07both of them are, you know, relatively close to each other. Um, I mean, there's a 1.2 point difference in the projection
36:13here. Um, actually projecting for Dunes for slightly more yardage, just one less reception. Um, but yeah, it's basically you can play these guys, but none of
36:22them are amazing plays. I think you can go to Coulson Lovelin. That target share has been up. He was the most targeted
36:27player on the team last week. um been relatively inefficient so far, but I feel like a big day is coming for him at
36:33some point soon. Uh everyone you see on the screen right now uh is viable to start, but as you can see, none of them
36:39are must plays. Then in the Packers side, uh they're three-point home underdogs, just over 21 points for the implied total. Easier to throw to wide
36:47receivers than tight ends and utilize running backs against the Bears. Um fairly easy for the Packers. You can stream Jordan Love. Um, I think both
36:57Watson and Matthew Golden are wide receiver twos. I think Tucker Craft should be in starting lineups and I would not play the running backs. You
37:04just cannot trust this rotation at running back. I also just like I think the Bears are just like a much better
37:10team. So, I do think the Bears win this game. I do think in the second half you're going to see mostly pass attempts
37:15for the Packers. And if all those pass attempts are going to Christian Watson, Golden, Tucker Craft, I think they're going to have pretty good days. So, I
37:22would start all three of them in Love is Fine to Stream and just not play the running backs. I think it's pretty easy
37:26for the Packers side. They have a very, very high pass rate this season. All right, next up we've got Vikings at
37:32Saints. We've got a 42 and a half point total. Vikings are one and a half point road favorites for the Vikings. That's
37:3922 points for the implied total. Uh Saints defense really cannot stop the run right now. And also, if we look at
37:45here on the advanced matchup stuff, uh number six matchup in terms of rush attempts versus expected teams do choose to run the ball against the Saints. I
37:53mean, we saw Monday night they could not stop the Falcons rushing attack.
37:57Obviously, the Falcons have a better rushing attack than the Vikings. Uh, but this Saints defense, man, if if they are that bad at stopping the run, uh, people
38:06are going to have pretty good days against him on the ground. So, I would play Aaron Jones. Um, obviously, if Jefferson plays, you obviously play him.
38:13Um, and then if Jefferson plays, I really don't trust Joe Madison. That was the dream spot. Like, no Jefferson.
38:21Honestly, the game played out closer.
38:23So, you had them still being aggressive in the second half against the Dolphins and you still couldn't do anything passing. I'm worried about this offense
38:31behind Kyler Murray. He looked really, really bad. He just like randomly has a great throw and then randomly has like four plays where he does absolutely
38:38nothing. Um, obviously adding Jefferson makes things easier. He gets so wide open at times and the offense is so centered around him that Kyler's going
38:47to look better when you have Jefferson on the field. But I don't trust Addison.
38:52Um Hawinson has come off, you know, um like two solid matchups in a row. Um less solid of a matchup this week. Um
39:02but yeah, I just if Jefferson is back, I don't trust Addison. I don't trust Hawinson. It's really just Jefferson and Aaron Jones and Kyler Man. He looks so
39:10bad last week that I really just don't trust streaming him. Saints defense or Saints on the other side. Um it's the
39:16Vikings. I mean, even though you're at home, the Vikings are just never a match if you want to attack for any position.
39:22Um, we're probably going to get plenty of plays. The Saints just run a lot of plays. Uh, but it's everyone should
39:28underperform their normal expectation this week. So, Olive is totally fine.
39:32You can play him every week, obviously.
39:34Um, I would not go to the backup wide receivers. I would not go to Jawan Johnson. I don't even want to play Alvin
39:39Kamar. I would not stream Tyler Shock.
39:41Chris Olive is the only Saints player I trust. uh the Vikings are that good of a defense where I just don't want to be
39:46playing them at all or don't want to be playing uh teams players against them.
39:50Okay, final one:00 game is going to be Browns at Jets. Uh we've got a low 39 and a half point total. Jets are 2 and
39:571/2 point home favorites. For the Browns side, uh 18 and a half for the implied total. Again, two and a half point road
40:04underdogs. The Jets defense has not been that great, but has been better than last season. For the Browns, um you can
40:11stream Deshun Watson. and you're just basically hoping he runs for, you know, 30 or 40 yards. Uh he's not going to
40:16have that great of production through the air. Um Judkins is totally fine to stream. Um Harold Fannon is fine at tight end. I feel like you need to bump
40:25that down a little bit further. Everyone on the Browns is just fine. The one thing I'll say is what I kind of said in
40:30the trade video is that this team is three and one and this team has been playing with a lead in the second half.
40:36We were expecting garbage time points from Fannon in Boston and Conception.
40:41they've been hitting in the first half of games, not really as much in the second half. If we get into a spot where
40:47the Jets can actually win this game and can get a lead, uh all of a sudden, if we can get some passing production in
40:52the second half, uh Fannon, Boston, Conception, they can hit. So, all of them totally fine as like a low-end tight end uh and then flex play for
41:01Boston and Conception, but none of them need to be in starting lineups. Um, I do think Judkins projects for enough volume
41:06and more volume through the air recently, which is nice to see from him to where I'd be starting Quinchon Judkins this weekend. Then the Jet side,
41:14um, does come down to, uh, Bruce Hall. I think Bruce Hall is probably going to miss one more week. And if that happens,
41:19you've got Brillin Allen as the last running back in in must start, but a must start. I mean, he projects for
41:24literally like 21 touches. He's going to get almost every touch in this back field. And if this is a potential positive game script for them, you know,
41:32this could be um this could be a spot where he racks up, you know, 21 22 touches. He has 80 or 90 total yards and
41:39a touchdown. And obviously that's going to be a great day. It's going to be pretty difficult for him to like truly
41:44disappoint if they're just straight up not going to use um Isaiah Davis behind Allen, which is such a weird thing to
41:50say. Behind Brilland Allen, um I would not play Gino Smith. I would not be streaming him this weekend. Um I don't
41:55think I'd go to Sadique. They're I think they're going to have uh Mason Taylor back. And so when you have Mason Taylor
42:00and Ruker and Sadik all kind of rotating there, obviously you've got um Garrett Wilson having the highest target share on this team. I want to see Sadi produce
42:09when you've got Mason Taylor back before fully trusting him. So I wouldn't play him, wouldn't play below him. Uh it really is play Brandon Allen, pray play
42:16uh Garrett Wilson, and don't play anyone else on this team. All right.
42:23Uh four:00 games. Let's kick off the 4:00 games with Broncos at Chargers.
42:27We've got a 42 and 1/2 point total. The Broncos are 3 and 1/2 point road favorites. For the uh Broncos side, 23
42:36for the implied total. Uh Chargers decent defense projecting as a negative matchup all around. Um this team, this offense kind of stinks. Like they just
42:46can't get anything going even if they're in okay spots. And so I don't really trust these guys. Um the running back's
42:51going to rotate a lot. Dobbins literally just doesn't catch the ball. I am excited for Coleman to come back because I feel like he's like the best running
42:58back on the scene. He should be back soon. Uh but don't play Dobbins or the other backup running backs. Harvey is
43:03fine because he's racking up a ton of receptions. And so if you get a trilling script from Denver, he should be okay.
43:08But he projects for five rush attempts.
43:09So you could easily have five carries for 15 to 20 yards and three receptions.
43:15And you're like, why did Nick say play RJ Harvey? Well, it's because he had like 10 receptions last week. He can
43:20rack up a ton of receptions in a trailing script, but understand that he's a very volatile play. If they get a
43:26lead in this game, if he just doesn't rack up 10 receptions, he's not gonna be a good play because he only projects for
43:31like five rush attempts. That's not very good at running back. Uh so I I don't trust the running backs. I don't trust
43:37Bonick. Um Wadd I do think I trust him enough uh to where like, you know, there's been some wide receivers have
43:43really good days against um the Chargers this season. I think I trust Wadd. I think I'd put him out there. I think
43:50he's another very volatile player, but if this passing offense does anything, it's probably going to flow through Jaylen Wadd, but I really don't trust
43:57anyone else. And you can definitely stream the Denver defense on the Chargers side, also a difficult matchup.
44:02You're seeing a pretty low total into what were supposed to be very good offenses. Uh but just both the Chargers and the Broncos this season have very
44:11much underperformed expectations. Uh so it's not great. You don't really trust uh either one of these teams. I would not stream Justin Herbert. U I'm
44:20projecting Lad out right now. I would imagine he doesn't play this week. Um I don't think he played in the um the
44:28Wednesday practice, but Thursday and Friday practice reports u will tell us a lot more. Even projecting Lad out, you've only got Harris and QJ as like
44:38flex to lowend flex plays. Why she were 31 and 33. Obviously, you've got great corners on um the Denver side. I don't
44:47think they're going to have Certan, but like this is not a defense you ever really look to attack even when they
44:53have injuries. Either one of them, you know, if they're going to be out there every single play could hit for a long
44:58touchdown. Uh but it's tough to trust Chargers players obviously, but viable for Trey Harris and QJ if you don't have Lad. Uh and then honestly, I'm
45:07projecting Katon Mitchell for more points right now than Marin Hampton. I would not play Marin Hampton this weekend. Um the Chargers can win this
45:13game finally. they could win a game. And so if you got a positive game from the second half, uh then maybe Hampton can
45:20hit. Uh but Katon has looked better than him. Katon is the one being used in the receiving game. Um I don't think Katon's
45:25a great play. Uh but Trey Harris, QJ, and Katon are all viable this weekend.
45:30All right, next up we've got Lions at Cardinals. 54 12 point total. Lions are 4 and a half point road favorites. That
45:39is a crazy high-end total. And so basically play people in this game. 54 and a half as an average isn't anything
45:47crazy. That's like 30 to 24 and a half, right? But a 54 and a half point total could turn into a 60 or a 70 point game
45:55and all of a sudden both teams are scoring 30 points. You've got a dome game with two offenses that can put up
46:01points and two defenses that aren't that great. You've got uh 29 and a half for the implied total for the Lions. Just
46:06play everyone here. Gibbs, Goff, St.
46:09Brown, Leaporta, J Mo should all be in starting lineups. Go to the Cardinals side. Um, Brousett to streaming option.
46:16McBride should be played. Michael Wilson should be played. I would still trust Jeremiah Love in this spot. U, basically everyone except for Algier and Marv
46:26should be in starting lineups in this game. It's that easy. As a tiebreaker, a 54 and a half point total in a dome
46:33where both defenses are mediocre and both offenses of great players. You just play guys in that spot and you live with
46:40the results. I understand that Jeremiah Love concerning comments concerning that he's not getting all this usage. This is such a good spot that I don't even care.
46:49If you told me he was getting 14 touches, I'd be playing him this weekend. It's really that easy in this game. Play everyone. All right. Uh we've
46:57got 49ers at Seahawks 47 and a half point total. Seahawks are threepoint home favorites for the 49ers side. Um, not a good matchup. Obviously, you're
47:09playing at Seattle. That is a very difficult game environment to play. Uh, Brock Pury has still not been sacked yet this season. That's pretty crazy. Uh,
47:17he's playing at like an MVP level. Play him every single week. Play him. I know he projects as a quarterback 10 this
47:22week. Maybe you have someone that projects better. Just play Brock Perie every single week. Play McAffrey every single week. I think you can play Evans.
47:29I think you can play KD. Um, I think Debo is a low-end play. The entire offense is centered around these four
47:35players. And realistically, it's more so centered around KD Evans and McAffrey.
47:40Um, so even though they're probably all going to project a little bit worse than normal this weekend, I think you just
47:45got to play all those guys when they're healthy. Um, dbo is the one that you could definitely bench. And then for the
47:50Seahawks side, 25 the implied total three-point home favorites. Um, much better rushing matchup than passing matchup for the 49ers. Uh, but at the
47:59end of the day, the 49ers or the uh, Seahawks are also a relatively easy team. You play JSN and if you
48:06desperately needed Shahed, you could go there and hope he has a trick play or something or an endound or a screen pass
48:12or a deep shot, but you can't trust any other wide receivers. It's JSN. It's whoever their starting running back is and it's really no one else. Uh so
48:19Emanuel Wilson, while you don't have um Price, while you don't have Charbvin, uh they decided not to sign Joe Mixon.
48:27While you have those conditions, you can play Emanuel Wilson as a running back, too. um he's going to get enough usage
48:33where we can trust him. Uh but it's not like he's like some amazing play or anything. All right, next up we've got
48:41uh the Sunday night game. Uh Ravens at Falcons 45 and a half point total. The Ravens are twopoint home favorites
48:51for the Ravens side 24 total. Again, two and a half point road favorites. Um, Falcons defense mediocre. I don't think they're like a horrible defense or
49:03anything. You can definitely throw on them. Uh, but they're not a defense where you're like got to play everyone in this spot. Um, also Lamar's probably
49:11not going to play. A little unfortunate that it's the Sunday night game and so you might just kind of not know. Uh, but
49:16I don't think Lamar is going to play this week and that hurts everyone.
49:20You're still playing Derk Henry. You're still playing Z Flowers, but everyone takes a huge hit because you go from a spot where they may have been projected
49:28for 27 points and now again you have 24.
49:32And as much as 24 is still okay, that could easily be that's an average, right? You could easily see them score
49:4020, score two touchdowns, have one of them be a Huntley rushing touchdown. You know, it's just it just takes a lot away
49:45from the scoring potential in the spot and it decreases the ceiling as well.
49:49So, we still got to play these guys. Uh, but definitely lower expectation than normal and I would not stream Huntley.
49:54Uh, and then on the Falcons side, uh, only 21 and a half the implied total, 2 and 1/2 point home underdogs. We've seen
49:59them play a lot better though under Michael Penn Jr. obviously play Bejon, play Drake London. Uh, you can't really play anyone else. I know Brian Robinson
50:08had three touchdowns last week. You can't rely on that happening every week.
50:12I don't think they destroy the Ravens.
50:14And the Ravens also have a much much much better defense than the Saints do, especially on the ground. So, Bejon, London, play them. You can't trust
50:22Pitts. You can't trust the backup wide receivers. And I don't think you can play Brian Robinson unless you're in a very deep league. All right, final game
50:29of the week is going to be Monday Night Football. Bills at Rams. That is a sick game. Another 54 and a half point total.
50:35Rams 2 and a half point home favorites.
50:37Another spot where if you have an active player in this game, play them. I am projecting right now DJ Moore not to
50:43play. Uh but if he's out there, play him. Uh it's a 54 and a half point total. Josh Allen's an alien. This could
50:51another game where you could see both teams. You can see like a 3134 game in this one. So play Josh Allen, play James
50:57Cook. If you don't have DJ Moore and if we kind of like know that going into the weekend, I think Shakir is fine in the
51:02flex spot. I think Keon Coleman is fine in the flex spot. I think you're definitely playing Daltton Concincaid either way. Um, the Rams have a very
51:09good defense, but amazing offense beats great defense. And I do think that obviously the Bills have a great offense this season. So, I would be playing
51:17these guys, but if we don't know the status of DJ Moore, you can't rely on Shakir or Keon Coleman because if DJ
51:24Moore plays, these guys going to bump down to like low-end flex to like bench.
51:27Uh, so we need to know that by Sunday. I would not risk DJ Moore playing if we don't know. But again, I play King Kate
51:33either way and obviously play Allen and Cook on the Rams side. uh you're home, you're projected for 28 and a half
51:39points and your offense is very consolidated. Play Matthew Stafford, Kairen Williams, Puka Nakua, Devonte Adams, and bench everyone else. Um maybe
51:48you can look to Tyler Higgby if we don't have Parkinson back, but I do think Parkinson will be back this week and we
51:54probably will not know by the Monday game. So, you cannot rely on these tight ends. Do not play a tight end on the
51:59Rams if we don't know if Parkinson is out. just play the studs on the Rams and enjoy the game because it should be a
52:06very, very fun game on Monday night. So, that'll do it for this one. Thank you all for watching. Please leave a like if
52:11you are still here. Please subscribe to the channel if you are new. And I'll see you all tomorrow for one of my favorite
52:16underdog plays this week.

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