0:00What's going on, guys? It's Nick here.
0:01Back with a video. Week one is tomorrow.
0:04Crazy uh starting on a Wednesday this week, but wild that we are already at week one. So, we're going to go
0:10game-by-game, talk about all the players you need to be starting and sitting this week. We'll start off with that Wednesday game, Patriots at Seahawks. Uh
0:1744.5 point total, Seahawks 3.5 point home favorite. So, um basically an average scoring game, uh but Seattle favored a little bit at
0:26home. Basically, makes sense. Uh for the Patriots side, tough spot. I mean, I think everyone knows that at Seattle especially is a
0:33very difficult environment to play in.
0:36Uh you can see here a note on the uh like defensive metrics you're going to see in today's video. They're going to
0:42get stronger as the season goes on.
0:44Obviously, in week one, it's 100% based off of the end of last season. Teams change over the off-season. We know that
0:51Seattle is still a very good defense.
0:53They're still going to be one of the ones we're avoiding all year. Uh but, every single week more and more of this
1:00season's data is going to go into it.
1:02So, it'll become stronger. But again, for most of the defenses, right? We know that we don't want to play Houston, Seattle. We don't want to play like at
1:10Kansas City. We don't want to play Denver. Jacksonville's got great run defense. Like, there are certain things we kind of just know going into the
1:15year. But there will be defenses that surprise us. So, we'll adjust as things go forward. But again, Seattle, very difficult environment. Uh we talked
1:22actually a lot last year about how they're kind of like a tight end funnel.
1:25Um I don't think you really can take advantage of that in week one, but because they're so stingy against running backs, against receivers, teams
1:33tend to throw to their tight ends a little bit more often. But again, week one, um another kind of note before we
1:40fully dive into things, is you want to start your guys, right? It is unlikely you drafted Hunter Henry as your number
1:46one tight end, uh or that you're streaming Hunter Henry with like, I don't know, Sam LaPorta. And you're like, "Well, it's a tight end funnel for
1:53Hunter Henry."
1:55Start your guys. Start the guys you start you drafted early on in the draft.
1:59Um don't get too cute. Uh sometimes we can avoid match-ups, not avoid match-ups, but like at the end of the day, especially for younger players,
2:07don't be looking at like your 12th and 13th round options and be like, "Got to get them in the starting lineup." For
2:13the most part, whoever you drafted to be the starter should probably be in there in week one with basically rounds like
2:19six through eight, nine, 10, like that general range, that can be mixed matched a little bit for match-up. But again, we'll we'll talk about that a lot in
2:27this video. So, on the Patriots side, uh there's not much to love. So, Drake May, you probably did draft as your only
2:32quarterback or as part of a streaming option. He is one where like does not project well for week one. Uh going to
2:39have a little bit of rushing production.
2:40You hope that he scores a rushing touchdown, that'll really help his numbers. But because it is such a difficult passing environment, none of
2:46his pass catchers are really going to stand out from an efficiency standpoint.
2:49It's possible that Seattle gets up, New England has to play from behind, and that we see more total volume, but it's unlikely. You know, Seattle won
2:59a ton of games last year, and we're still looking at uh below average numbers for like pass catchers against them. So, it's a difficult spot. If you
3:06have someone else to stream over Drake May, I would maybe do that. It's not a terrible projection, 16.2.
3:11Uh everything for here for projections is going to be half PPR scoring, and all the flex option, must start, strong starts are all going to be based on 12
3:19team leagues. On the website, you can customize all that yourself for your league, but obviously I have to pick one for this video. So, the best plays on
3:26the Patriots side are obviously A.J.
3:28Brown, you have to play him. Um he doesn't grade out as a must start, uh but he's wide receiver 20 right now. I
3:32don't see how you possibly bench him. Um but going to be one of the toughest spots all year, but you basically have
3:37to play him. And then Stevenson as well, if we get um basically to the Traveon news, I'm projecting right now Traveon
3:44in but limited. If Traveon is out, of course you kind of have to play Rhamondre Stevenson. He he a must start.
3:51Uh he's going to project for like 20 touches and be a great play. But, that is really it. Like, you don't really
3:55want to play the Patriots kicker.
3:57They're probably not going to score that much. Um, you probably don't want to play Hunter Henry. You definitely better option. Romeo Doubs should probably be
4:02left on benches. Like, it's really just thin after uh, Rhamondre and A.J. Brown.
4:07Those are really the only two I'd want in starting lineups. But, you can do Maye if you have no other options. For
4:11the Seahawks side, um, also a pretty strong defense on New England. Um, they also lose their um, offensive coordinator. Obviously, Kubiak
4:20going to the Raiders. And so, you have a little bit of risk that like, well, this is the first week they don't have him on
4:26offense. So, you again, mostly want to stick to the studs. Obviously, play JSN.
4:30He's grading out as a wide receiver two this week. All green from him. He's going to be a must start. Uh, and then I
4:35have two of the must starts listed just for their kicker and for their defense.
4:39Um, you know, not as fun as getting skill players, but start them if you have them. Um, Sam Darnold's pretty much
4:45never going to grade out as that good of a play. We'll stream him on weeks where, you know, we're expecting it's Hunter
4:50production. But, this is a difficult game environment kind of for everyone.
4:53It's two good defenses on both sides.
4:55We're only attacking, you know, the players that we trust the most. Uh, so, start JSN. Jerrick Price, um, I don't know. I mean, if you drafted other
5:03running backs to start over him, I would much prefer to bench him. Uh, you can see at the bottom here, I have George
5:08Holani uh, projected for uh, nine touches. But, I could see Holani having, you know, a decent amount of production week one. I could see him having like,
5:17you know, eight or nine rush attempts, have a couple receptions, get a goal line touch. And people are just frustrated that Jerrick Price has like one catch
5:26and like 12 carries, right? And just if he doesn't score a touchdown from there, you can be frustrated with that. Uh, so,
5:32not projecting amazingness for Price.
5:34But, coming out the running back 28, that's not terrible. Uh, it's just if I had another option, I would prefer not
5:39to play Price. And then Shaheed would really be only a deeper league option.
5:43So, not a ton to love on the Seattle side, either.
5:47Thursday game, we're going to have San Fran quote-unquote at LA. Um the game is in uh Australia, I believe it was. Yeah,
5:55I don't really get that wrong, but I'm pretty sure it's Australia. Um so no one's really home here. Uh we've got a really high total, 48 and a half,
6:03so 26 implied points for LA, 22 and a half for San Fran um with, you know, LA being slight favorites in this one. So a
6:12few more options, we see a couple more colors on the screen. In this one, we don't see as much red for the opposing
6:17defenses. Now, this is one spot where things have changed a little bit from last year. I would expect, as we get a
6:23few weeks into the season, that the LA defense is going to be one of the best in the league. So, this is a very
6:29difficult spot. Some of their players are ramping up a little bit, but like we are not going to be attacking the LA
6:33defense this season. I feel like the Rams are probably like the best team in the league uh right now. Um but it's San Fran, and you just start
6:42their studs. It's really just that simple. Um Shribling will be someone we'd probably go to at some point, but I don't expect much from Deebo this
6:49season. I think Shribling week one, you keep him on your bench. Um I probably wouldn't play uh Puniaro just because of the unknown with
6:57kind of the defense there, but start basically everyone else. I mean, obviously McCaffrey you have to play every week. I think Kittle's a great
7:04option if we get positive news. We'll probably have to see what the news is on Thursday regarding his recovery. Is it
7:12like Is it going to be a 50/50 snap share? Is he going to be able to play 70, 80%? Like, we kind of just don't
7:17know. Right now, I'm projecting him to be limited, but still use a decent amount, in which case I'm playing him.
7:22Uh but if we get word on like a snap count, I might dial back the projection.
7:26He might turn into more of just a streaming option. But again, play McCaffrey. Um Purdy projects totally fine as a streaming option. Quarterback
7:3415, if he's your only quarterback, just roll with him. Uh if you drafted him as your quarterback two, probably just play
7:38the starter. And then Mike Evans, I think you just play him. Uh the the latest reports were that he was basically just held out as totally a
7:45precaution. He said he would have been playing in games had there been games, but there were no games. He's a veteran.
7:49There's no reason to put Mike Evans out there when he's a little bit banged up, but he could have always played through
7:54the injury. So, his ADP was tanking for really no reason. Play him if you got him. So, play McCaffrey, play Evans,
8:00Purdy streaming, Kittle, we'll see. On the LA side, again, just start their studs. It's a very easy game to go over.
8:08Stafford pretty much always has to be in starting lineups.
8:12Kyren Williams, Devonta Adams, Puka Nacua, I don't really see a scenario where you're benching any of them.
8:19Uh maybe we see Kyren start to get more work this season. He's not going to project as an as an amazing play, but
8:26there were times last year where it was the same projection, right? About 10 carries, about one reception, you're like, "Oh, that's not enough
8:31production." But, he's got a very high rate of scoring a touchdown, you know, he's going to be pretty efficient on those touches. And so, you know, if you
8:37absolutely needed Kyren as a running back three, as a second flex option, something like that, it would be fine, but coming in as a running back 33, 8.8
8:44half PPR points, you can probably do better week one with no buys and no injuries. Uh but yeah, we'll we'll probably end up going to Kyren at some
8:51point this season.
8:53Next up, we've got Saints at Lions.
8:55Should be a really fun game to watch.
8:577-point home favorites for uh the Saints and a 49 and 1/2 point total. So, one of the higher totals of the week. Not the
9:05highest, but one of the highest of the week. 28.25 projected points for the Lions, and we could see them blow past that. Like, the
9:12Lions side, as you can see, very, very appealing in this one. Um the Saints are going to play fast. This game is in a
9:18dome.
9:19The Lions themselves don't have that good of a defense. So, this could be one of those spots. If the Saints can keep
9:25up, that we see both teams crack, you know, 27 points. We could see like a 27-34 game. Could be really, really
9:32exciting in this one. On the Saints side, again, we're not that scared of the Lions defense. So, they have opportunity here if if they can put
9:40things together. Uh Taysom is a quality streaming option right now coming in as the quarterback 13. Uh the rushing component is positive. You can see a
9:48little bit of green on the rushing component, projecting 5.9 rushing attempts, 22.7 rushing yards. He has mobility. Um it's really just going to
9:55depend does he scramble like inside the 10-yard line for a touchdown? That's really going to boost uh his production there uh cuz I'm not expecting, you
10:02know, like 350 passing and four passing touchdowns. Like Taysom's going to get there usually based on like, you know, getting hit 30, 40 rushing yards,
10:11getting that rushing touchdown, adding on solid production through the air.
10:14But, a really solid streaming option because they're going to have to throw the ball a lot. They're going to play fast. The game is in a dome. It's not a
10:20good defense on the other side. A lot of positives for the Saints here. So, Taysom good streaming option. Uh Chris Olave is a must start. You drafted him
10:27as a must start. He's a, you know, top 10 wide receiver this week. Um I would say Eno Benjamin is basically um he
10:33doesn't project as a must start yet, but I would say there's no way you're not playing him uh while we don't have
10:39Kamara active. I know they have the backups. Uh I'm projecting a little bit to Kendre Miller here, running back 51.
10:44Uh but, you know, let's be honest. Like, we don't trust these backups at all.
10:48They brought him in. They paid him a ton of money.
10:50He's going to have a couple receptions.
10:52He's going to have a decent amount of carries. A good chance of scoring a touchdown. I'm at 0.5 total touchdowns.
10:57Like, he's going to be a good play. Play him.
11:00Uh and then Juwan. Juwan's projecting really well. He's going to project great while Jordan Tyson is out. Um Valdes-Scantling's not terrible. Um I
11:08drafted Valdes-Scantling in that 14-team league. Um Listen, like I think it was that one.
11:13Maybe I'm lying now and it was a 12-team, but I I think I drafted Valdes-Scantling in the 14-teamer. But, anyways, I drafted him on Underdog just
11:18for this early season production. He's going to be the two. Uh so, you're seeing a lot of red here, but, you know,
11:223.2 receptions, 40 yards, uh 0.2 touchdowns, wide receiver 50. That's not bad. If you were in a deeper format, you were in full PPR, you were in a bind for
11:32some reason you drafted a bunch of injured players. Maybe you drafted like Tyson and you drafted um Malik Nabers, right? And you just need someone to
11:40start. He's not a bad option, only projecting for 7.5 PPR points, but I could see him racking up like four or
11:47five receptions here, you know, maybe mixing a touchdown if he gets lucky. He might not be a bad play, but uh at the
11:53end of the day, the best plays are Olave, Etienne, and Juwan, and truly like I would play Juwan over a lot of
12:00different tight ends this week. Um just expecting a really strong game from him. Uh Saint's side, play everyone. Play the people that you
12:09know you're going to or the the Lion's side. Play the people on the Lions that you are obviously going to play. Gibbs,
12:15Amon-Ra, Jamo, get him in the starting lineup. Sam LaPorta, start him. Jared Goff, start him. Like it's just until we see a reason not to play
12:24Saint's players, they should all be in your starting lineups. It's a great spot. Again, I went over all the the factors here, but you got to just be
12:31playing those guys.
12:33All right, next up. Uh Buffalo at Houston. Buffalo 1.5 point road favorites, 44.5 point total. Tough spot for Buffalo, tough beginning of the
12:41season for Buffalo. They play first like four or five weeks, really difficult matchups overall. This is no different.
12:47You're at Houston, that's one of the ones we mentioned to start. Um you know, it's just it's just a difficult game environment to play in.
12:53It's a really, really strong defense on the other side, and they don't typically have blow-up games. You know how some strong defenses, they have these random
13:00games where you'll play 30 points. It's like maybe Buffalo is one of the teams that can score 30 on them, but like it's
13:05pretty rare a team just like walks up and down the field on the Texans. So, going to be a tough spot, uh but you
13:10have to start Josh Allen, you have to start James Cook in every single matchup. They both project extraordinarily well. After that, it
13:17becomes more thin, but you can play DJ Moore, and you can play Dalton Kincaid.
13:23Depends a lot on Shaquille. I'm projecting Shaquille in right now. If he's out, it's even more of a boost to DJ Moore, even more of a boost to Dalton
13:31Kincaid. Um but don't go crazy here. Don't be playing Shakir. Don't be playing like Knox or Raheem Davis or anything. Joshua
13:37Palmer, like play your starters on Buffalo and just don't expect as good of production, right? Um Josh Allen's only projecting as quarterback only only the
13:45quarterback three. It's only the quarterback three. Uh James Cook running back uh 12. We've got DJ Moore wide receiver 23. There's going to be a lot
13:53of weeks where these guys project much better than this. So, um if anyone I'm more hesitant with, it's Kincaid. I could see his projection falling a
13:59little bit um as we get closer to Sunday. Um but yeah, it's basically start these guys and understand that the production
14:06might be a little bit worse than you were hoping for. On the Texans side, um also like they're going to project for
14:12better a lot of other weeks. There's definitely a lot of games where Buffalo, you know, gets a lead uh and then dials
14:17it back a little bit, um leans on that ground game, really limits the plays overall for the opposing team. So, that's kind of factored in here as well.
14:24It was a good match-up for the running backs last season. We'll see if that carries over into this year, but rushing
14:30efficiency was really high against Buffalo. They really just like stopped the pass. I mean, you see all the red here for wide receivers and tight ends.
14:37Uh basically stopped that production, allowed you to run the ball. Well, that could be good. Houston wants to do that, right? Like Houston wants to run the
14:42ball a lot with David Montgomery and Woody Marks. Uh Monty is projecting right now as the running back 19. Marks running back 44. I probably wouldn't
14:50play Marks. I would probably say like, you know, if you drafted him hoping he'd have that production, hoping that he'd basically split with Monty. I'd
14:58still want to see it first. So, I think you're still definitely playing uh David Montgomery. You're obviously playing Nico Collins. Uh Ka'imi Fairbairn is
15:05just one of the best kickers in the NFL, so you want to be playing him. Uh also a dome environment, so that's a positive
15:10for kickers.
15:12But that's really it. I wouldn't go to C.J. Stroud. Um he's not someone I typically ever want to start because the
15:16rushing production is so low. Projecting 12 rushing yards, so he has to do it all through the air. And again, through the
15:21air was not easy for against Buffalo last season. It's not at Buffalo, it's still home game, but you've also got Booty ramping up. Uh right now I have
15:29Booty as wide receiver 67. It's just not like not really something you have to go to.
15:34Um I am fine if you needed to stream Schultz, but again, there's no buys, there's not that many injuries, you probably don't need to go there. Um it
15:42really would just be Nico, Monty. Get them in the starting lineup. Probably wouldn't play with anyone else on Houston.
15:48Uh next up, Baltimore at Indy. 48 and a half point total. Uh we got Baltimore three and a half point road favorites.
15:55This is an exciting uh game from a potential standpoint. The Colts were like one of the best teams, if not the
16:02best team in the NFL before Daniel Jones got hurt last season. And all by all accounts, he looks very healthy right
16:08now. And then you've got Baltimore, well, we've got a healthy Lamar Jackson right now. Of course, we've got Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers. These are two
16:14offenses that, you know, another spot where we could see both teams clearing 27 points. So, another exciting one. And you see all the gold on the stream on
16:22the screen. Uh start Lamar, Derrick Henry, Zay Flowers, uh Tyler Loop also good play uh for kicker this week. Um Mark Andrews, um you know, just a a
16:32solid streaming option if you like needed to go there. Um the hope is that, you know, the loss of Isaiah Likely basically makes it so that
16:42we see more production funnel over to Mark Andrews. At the end of the day, we don't necessarily know if that is going
16:48to happen. So, I probably would just you know, you probably didn't draft Mark Andrews as that one, so I'd probably just keep him
16:55on the bench, see what happens. Uh but you could stream him if you have to. But just stick to the studs uh for the
17:00Baltimore side. There's going to be very few weeks where you're benching any of their top three of Lamar, Henry, and Zay. I know some of you are excited
17:07about Jakobi Lane uh projecting two and a half receptions, 32 yards. A quiet week one, a quiet start to the season,
17:14but we shall see. Hopefully, he goes out there, commands, you know, five, six, seven targets, uh and we can really look
17:20at him at some point moving forward, but you got to keep him on the bench right now. On the Colts side, um
17:27Daniel Jones doesn't project as a streaming option, but he's actually very close to being into that range, and I don't mind him. Another one where it's
17:34like it's unlikely you drafted a Daniel Jones as that starter, but I could easily see, you know, Baltimore scores early, they have a really solid
17:42game at home in a dome, the Colts just kind of put it together. Um He is not injured anymore. He looks like
17:51he did last season. We know they have great uh a great coaching staff in Indy, so they could put together a really
17:57solid game plan. The only thing I would say is um you've got Pierce probably playing. It seems like he's going to play, uh but
18:03didn't really do a ton in camp. Uh Josh Downs even missed time in camp. Uh it's not like the Baltimore defense is one we
18:11want to be attacking. They're still a very strong defense. Um the one that's been there in camp, Tyler Warren, has the worst match-up on the team. So,
18:19I would probably wait a week and just see if Daniel Jones is healthy, but if you had to do it, I actually could see
18:24this game shooting out, in which case Daniel Jones will probably have a pretty good day. But, at the end of the day, um
18:29play Jonathan Taylor, absolutely.
18:31Definitely play Tyler Warren. And then you have flex options for both Downs and Pierce. I probably would lean towards benching both because of where you
18:40drafted them. At best, they're probably your wide receiver three. They're probably your wide receiver fours. So, you don't need to go there. We know that
18:47like Baltimore could have a really strong defense this season. It's the first game back for Daniel Jones. We don't know how this wide receiver room
18:53is really going to shake out in terms of target share. So, just cuz of all the unknowns for the Colts, I would lean
18:59towards not playing them. But, projection-wise, which is why we like this team, they're looking pretty solid.
19:04Again, even in what is probably a difficult match-up and projected for 22 and 1/2 points, the Colts are going to be projected for 24-plus a lot of
19:10different weeks this season, um just because we know that like, you know, there's Keenan Allen down here, there's Dulin, but like there's no one that's
19:18really commanding targets over Pierce and Downs. If they fully ramp up and are those two clear outside wide receivers, there's going to be a lot of weeks where
19:26we want to be playing them even as like wide receiver twos. I just think take one week off and maybe we'll go back to
19:31them next week.
19:33Next up, uh, a surprising one. So, Chicago at Carolina, uh, 47 and 1/2 point total. Chicago only 2 and 1/2 point, uh, road favorites. I thought
19:44that I don't know. I thought that Chicago would be favored by more here. They're still getting 25 points in that projection in that implied total, so
19:52still pretty solid, but I feel like Vegas is, I don't know, maybe overvaluing the Panthers or maybe I'm undervaluing the Panthers this season,
20:00um, but start your guys on Chicago. Um, I will say Roman Dunesday, so he doesn't project amazing to start, uh, but then
20:08also, uh, didn't practice on Monday. I'm recording this Tuesday. I'm going to post this at some point Tuesday afternoon. Um, watch that, obviously. I mean, if Rome
20:18is also out, I mean, my goodness, it's a smash spot for, uh, De'Von Achane Swift, Colson Loveland, and Luther Burden. I
20:23think you're already, you're playing, uh, them, you're playing Caleb Williams.
20:27If you have them, get them in your starting lineups, uh, but if you didn't have Rome, I mean, I don't know, like
20:31Loveland might project as like the number two tight end. We might have Luther Burden crack the top 15 cuz like I think Khasean Williams will get usage.
20:40I think that Xavian Thomas will get schemed stuff eventually, but I don't know about that to start the season.
20:47A lot of production is going to flow through Loveland, Burden, and Swift, especially if Monangai didn't play. Um, right now, I don't, yeah, I'm projecting
20:56Monangai out. I have Salvon Ahmed, uh, running back 59. He just returned to practice on Monday, so it's kind of like
21:02see what happens with Monangai this week. Obviously, Swift is going to drop down closer to the running back, probably like 12 to 15 if we have
21:10Mononye returning and expected to see a normal workload. Uh, but you can follow the projections on the website or in the
21:16app as far as that's concerned. But right now, again, I'm projecting uh, Mononye out. But whether or not Mononye is in or out, I would play De'Andre
21:24Swift in this spot. So, start your your Bears players. I'm very excited for the offense this season. And then on the
21:30Panthers side, um, I'm never that much of a Bryce Young fan, but Vegas is projecting, you know, they're home. 22 and 1/2 isn't a terrible implied team
21:39total. Uh, they're projected to potentially win this game. Chicago does not have that good of a defense. Um, I mean, you can see here it was the number
21:47two match-up for wide receivers last season. Um, Thielen's in a great spot, obviously play Thielen. Kmet's in a good spot. He's projecting right now as the
21:55wide receiver 36, 8.2 points. That's not bad. Nearly 50 receiving yards. Like, this is a pretty good spot for him. And
22:03if Carolina falls behind, and if what like Brooks, I mean, is Brooks healthy right now? Right now I'm projecting him healthy and playing, in which case he's
22:10a strong start. But if Brooks is, you know, a little bit banged up, if Chuba's coming off of injury, they could lean a
22:16little bit more pass-heavy. And that's obviously going to benefit McMillan and Kmet. So, I could see playing Kmet in like a second flex spot. Again, it's a
22:24full week, so you probably don't have to. You're probably drafting him as like your sixth wide receiver, so he'd have to jump over a lot of people. Really
22:31Thielen and if Brooks plays Brooks. Um, but yeah, it's like appealing spots here from a theoretical standpoint of if they actually make this game close, and if
22:41this game pushes into the upper 20s for both sides, it's not like Carolina's going to throw the ball to a million
22:46different players. Most of these targets are going to Thielen, Kmet, the running backs, and then we'll see Waller's going to be kind of ramped up. I think we'll
22:52use him in the future weeks. Uh, but yeah, an exciting potential spot here. I was surprised to see the spread so close
22:59uh, this week.
23:01Next up, we've got Bay at Cincy. One of the more exciting games as well.
23:07Uh 50 and 1/2 point total and we've got uh 3 and 1/2 point home favorites for the Bengals side. This is another spot.
23:15If Tampa Bay can keep pace with the Bengals, we could see a shootout, which is obviously going to be fun. I want to
23:21see shootouts in week one. Uh before the Tampa Bay side, you see a lot of green.
23:24The Bengals don't have that great of a defense. Decent against wide receivers because they have a really good corner.
23:29Um but not that great against running backs, not that great against tight ends. Again, that can change going into this year, but last year, that's what we
23:36were seeing. Uh so, Bucky Irving projecting really well because of the matchup. Um it is a spot where like if you could bench him because you went
23:46like running back, running back and then your flex spot's really solid, I could see it um just because I don't know what
23:51the split's going to be with Gainwell.
23:52Like does Gainwell come in on every third down? Does he mix in on some early downs? Is it much more 50/50? We just
23:58kind of don't know, and so there's some risk there, but just because of the matchup, uh because I'm projecting 0.7 total touchdowns for Bucky, a pretty
24:05good chance of getting to the end zone.
24:07Still uh projecting, what is that? 17 touches. You know, that's really good for a running back. He's projecting top 15. Like Bucky's a really good play this
24:15weekend. Uh so, I would probably play Bucky if you can, but I see I can see reasons to be hesitant not knowing uh
24:22the kind of Gainwell status. Um Baker's a great streaming option, again because of the potential of this game environment. I would play Ihmir
24:30Smith-Marsette if he is out there.
24:31They're expecting him to play. We will see what news comes later this week, but I would play uh Ihmir Smith-Marsette. Um
24:38Godwin, honestly, not a bad option, especially, you know, all this time that Ihmir Smith-Marsette has missed. Very obviously, like when when this happens
24:45in camp, they have to scheme things up, right?
24:48They have to game plan for not only the season, but for week one. And there's been a lot of time where they're game
24:52planning for week one and Ihmir Smith-Marsette is not out there. And so, it's very clear and also that like Jamison Darden, McMillan has been out
24:58there. And then you've got a rookie in Ted Hurst. And so, Godwin's going to have a role. And he's probably going to
25:04have a pretty good day in week one. Uh so, I could see using him in the flex spot, definitely like wide receiver
25:10three spot, second flex spot. Um I might be able to bump his projection a little bit, but projecting him pretty well.
25:15Four receptions, 50 yards, 0.3 touchdowns. That's not a bad projection for someone who you probably drafted in what, like the 10th 9th or the 10th round uh in drafts.
25:25Again, you might not have to go there, but he's not a bad play. He could bump up to being a streaming option by the
25:32end of the week. Uh so, excited about these starters for Tampa Bay and the potential of this game, but I don't
25:37think I would go with Gainwell unless it's like a full PPR league, but I kind of want to see it for a week with
25:42Gainwell. Um I don't even really know if McMillan's going to play. He's still injured. I would not go to Cade Otton.
25:47Ted Hurst, you want to see it first. So, these backups I would not really play, uh but play the starters for
25:53uh the Bucks. And then the Bengals, uh pretty easy every single week. Always play, you know, Joe Burrow, Chase Brown, Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins.
26:02Play their kicker McPherson as well. Um just start them. I mean, there's really not that much to go over. Uh I'm
26:08interested to see this the split between Gesicki and Eric All. I actually have it relatively close right now cuz they're very excited about Eric All. Um I could
26:15see him really eating into production of Gesicki, uh but don't go to their like, you know, third receivers. It's play the
26:21stars in Cincy Cincy, uh and you will probably be happy with the production in week one. Uh next up.
26:29Potential blowout here, but only seven and a half with the projection right now, but potential blowout. Uh Cleveland at Jacksonville, 40 and a half point
26:35total, so pretty low. Uh and then Jacksonville seven and a half point home favorites. That gives them a 16 and a
26:41half point implied total. Um not looking amazing for the Browns in week one. Deshaun Watson getting the start. I'm projecting him as the worst
26:50quarterback in week one, 11.6 points. Do not play him and really don't play many people on the Browns. Jacksonville is a
26:58very strong defense. Um I think they're going to be a defense that we see like uh 11 here, solid on the ground for for match up or sorry,
27:07over here. Uh we see them 23rd. I think that um I think that Jacksonville is going to be one of the better run defenses. I could
27:14see them being a top five unit this season. So, not a team we want to be attacking really at all. Uh and when you
27:20have Deshaun Watson at quarterback, that's a problem, too. So, you could play Judkins in the flex if you needed him. Uh you could stream Fannin. Truly,
27:28I want to see it for a week in Cleveland before playing any of these guys. You probably have to play Fannin if you
27:32drafted him as the top guy. But if you drafted Fannin and like Juwan, truly, like I don't know. That's a very
27:38difficult decision. I could see benching Fannin, but most you probably have to play him. I want to see it for a week
27:43first uh with Deshaun Watson at quarterback. Tough game environment on the road. I don't want to be playing Concepcion or Denzel Boston. There will
27:50be weeks where we do. It's just for the start of the season, really only Judkins I feel even okay about. But even
27:57Judkins, it's only because he projects decently for like a rushing touchdown.
27:59If they can score, it's probably coming through him. Uh but for the most part, do not love Cleveland this week. And
28:05then Jacksonville is a good play, right?
28:07Um it's tough because they're only projected 24 even as seven and a half point favorites. And Cleveland has a good defense, but uh we
28:15kind of know where the production should come from in week one. Lawrence is still a strong start. Um Tui Enoka is a solid
28:21option because you have that um projected game flow of them winning, of them scoring a decent amount of points.
28:28And then Parker Washington is going to project really well. Um Brian Thomas has a really difficult corner match up against Cleveland. Parker Washington
28:35should avoid uh the tougher match up for the most part. Should be someone they move around a lot more. I would play
28:40Parker Washington if you drafted him. Um after that, it's tough. I mean, uh Jacksonville is the number one defense in the week, so definitely play
28:48uh them. But, I would not play Myers. I would not play Brian Thomas.
28:52Um, C-Rod, I want to see it for a week first, and you know, it's going to be more early down production against a
28:57team that, you know, um has a very strong defense overall um last season.
29:03You know, relatively easy, I guess, above average uh match-up for uh running back rushing, not good for running back receiving. So, you could see it happen
29:11with Rodriguez, but um I I I I wouldn't play personally, and you just probably do not have to at all. So, Lawrence,
29:17Tuin, Parker Washington, Jags D, really wouldn't be going to anything else on the Jacksonville side, uh but you could see things fall apart.
29:24I think why you should be excited for that spot is more so if the Browns just stink, and they just just way more
29:31possessions in total for Jacksonville, there's more opportunities to score points for them.
29:36Next up, we've got Falcons at Saints. 41 and a half point total. We've got the uh Falcons at Saints. Falcons at Steelers.
29:4441 and a half point total. Steelers three-point home favorites.
29:48Falcons side.
29:50Winnable game. Uh, I don't think the Falcons are going to be projected to win a ton of games. Uh, the problem is, you
29:54know, Tua's the starting quarterback, terrible in camp, projecting as a quarterback 31 right now. Uh, 19.25 isn't awful for an implied total, but
30:03it's not amazing. Um, Pittsburgh, you know, at Pittsburgh, early season, it's not a spot I really want to be playing in. And when uh Tua's
30:12my quarterback, you know, it just makes it a little bit less appealing. So, certain studs, Bijan, Drake London, Kyle Pitts, play them. Uh,
30:20don't be going to any ancillary players.
30:22Uh, just expect worse production than normal. Like, this is not a smash spot for Bijan. It's not an amazing spot for
30:28Pittman or for London. I think you just kind of have to play them and cross your fingers, but I'm not expecting great
30:34production on the Falcons side. For the Steelers side, um kind of a similar-ish story. It's not like like even as home
30:41favorites, they're projected 22.25. You know, this isn't an offense I'm projecting, you know, a lot of production to.
30:47And I want to see it for these wide receivers. You've got Metcalf and Pittman. I mean, both of them like didn't even really practice in training
30:53camp for a lot of it. Are they going to mix in Roman Wilson and Jeremy Jeremy Bernard and how much do they mix them
30:59in? Do they use Freiermuth and Darren or Darnell Washington a decent amount?
31:06I don't really know how this target share is going to shape out. And so if you can bench these guys, I probably
31:11would. They project okay. Metcalf top one as a flex option, but they're fine.
31:16Better plays are the running backs. Rico and Warren. Listen, they dump off the running backs a ton. I'm projecting, you know, 1.8 receptions for Rico, 2.9 for
31:26Warren. That doesn't sound like a lot, but you know, if these guys are going to get, you know, five on average, it means
31:31they can push for like seven or eight receptions at running back. That alone's going to give them a solid floor. And if
31:36they're winning, you know, both these guys could hit like double-digit rush attempts. So, we don't really know what this what's going to
31:42be. It's why I have Rico as a running back 24 right now. Warren as a running back 26. Kind of like, you know,
31:48basically Rico is the last strong start in a 12-team league as a running back 24, flex option for Warren. But they're
31:53very close, you know, about 11 to 11 and 1/2 half PPR points as a projection.
31:57That's pretty solid, you know, at running back two, at, you know, your flex option. They're decent plays this week. You want that positive game script
32:05for them, but you know, I'm not like terrified of the Falcons defense. And I do think the Steelers probably win this
32:11game. And if Tua just completely falls apart, that could be really positive for the running backs who again are going to
32:16get a lot of dump offs from Aaron Rodgers. But wide receivers a little bit weary of them.
32:23All right, next up. Jets at Titans.
32:25Probably the worst game of the week. 38 and 1/2 point total. Titans right now 1 and 1/2 point favorites. I've seen this
32:30kind of flip-flop a little bit. I'm a little surprised I don't want to say I'm too surprised because the Titans are
32:35home. That just gives you a little bit more. Uh but I do feel like the Jets are just like a better team than the Titans
32:40are.
32:41And I feel like I trust Geno a little bit more than Cam Akers, which is kind of crazy to say. Um at least to start
32:46the year because the Titans are kind of learning that new offense, and it doesn't seem like it's going very well.
32:50But, um for the Jets side, uh basically play Hall and play Garrett Wilson. I think it's possible that Adoree' Jackson has a larger role than
33:01we're expecting in week one. I think it's possible that Geno is like okay and that, you know, the Titans are so bad on
33:07offense that the Jets get so many more, you know, total plays than normal, and that's how they get there. There's some
33:12people who are also a little bit excited about this Jets offense. But at the end of the day, that's projection-based, like just
33:19we don't know that that's going to happen. So, you can't be going there unless you're in a super, super deep league. Play Breece Hall, play Garrett
33:25Wilson until they give us a reason not to play them, and don't really play anyone else on this offense. And then
33:30the Titans side, man, I would want to see it. Like truly, um the Titans defense projects really well. Maybe you'll have to adjust that a little bit
33:38because I don't think the Jets going to be as bad on offense as last season.
33:42You've got Garrett Wilson back, that alone should help out a lot. But you've got Geno Smith there, that's going to help out as well. I do think again the
33:50um coaching staff upgraded a little bit for the scheme will help somewhat. Um but at the end of the day, they were terrible
33:58on defense last year, so that's kind of why uh the Titans are projecting so well right now. Um but but also, I mean, the Jets are
34:05projected 18.5 points, which means they could easily score like 13 or 14 points, and that's good for the opposing defense. Uh so, you can definitely,
34:12obviously, play the Titans projecting them as number three. But beyond that, it's like I want to wait and see for Carnell Tate. What's the split between
34:19Tate and Wan'Dale? Again, a good spot, and if you had to play Carnell Tate, I think that's fine. But I don't know how
34:27this target share is going to look. I don't know if this offense is going to look like a dumpster to to start the
34:30year. And you probably didn't draft these guys as starters, so I wouldn't play them.
34:34And right now, Tony Pollard projects okay. I feel like I need to um merge the split a little bit between Pollard and Spears. Pollard right now is
34:41the running back 16, 13 half PPR points.
34:44Projecting really well because it was the number one rushing match-up last season. Uh Spears running back 39. I just feel like I'm only giving Spears
34:50six rush attempts, and then 15.6 for Tony Pollard. I think that's going to be a little bit closer. We are going to see
34:56more of the receiving production for Spears, but I think I want to bring that gap a little bit closer uh this uh this
35:03week. So, I think Pollard will be more of a streaming option, uh but fine because, you know, this is one of
35:10the only games that the Titans might win this season.
35:14Next up, uh we've got the first 4:00 game. So, uh Commanders at Eagles. We've got a 45 and 1/2 point total. We've got
35:22the Eagles 4 and 1/2 point home favorites. I don't know. I feel like the Eagles should be favored by like six or
35:28six and 1/2. Probably not seven, but like six or six and 1/2 points. I just feel like the Eagles are definitely the
35:33better team. Not the greatest reports out of camp from the Commanders. Um Eagles have a really, really strong defense. You can see it here. I mean,
35:40just really brutal. Um I don't know. I I I don't really see why it's only 4 and 1/2 points in favor of
35:46the Eagles, who are also playing at home. Like I just think the Eagles are going to win this one fairly easily.
35:51But, uh on the Commanders side, you can stream Jahan Dotson. Um you can maybe put in the flex spot uh Chig Okonkwo
35:57Merritt or Terry McLaurin. Um But, a team where I want to see it, right? How much does Diggs impact things? What is the actual target share
36:06on offense? Are they actually throwing the running backs at a higher rate? What is the split between Rashad White and Jalen Hurts? Is Jalen Hurts actually
36:13getting targets? Like, is this offensive line terrible? Like, can they do anything against the Eagles? Like, there's so many questions I have for the
36:18Washington offense.
36:20I just really don't want to start any of them. I would say uh Dotson and McLaurin are the two where like you drafted them
36:25kind of to be starters, and if Daniels is the only quarterback you have to roll with him. Uh so don't don't like go to
36:32free agency and stream someone over Jaden Daniels, but if you drafted Jaden Daniels and you know uh back-end quarterback that does project
36:40really well this week, I could see it again just cuz the matchup is so tough.
36:43But for the most part you're probably playing Daniels and you're probably playing McLaurin. I just I really am not excited about the Commanders offense
36:50this week. It's a very difficult road matchup for them. On the Eagles side, you see all the must-starts and it makes
36:56sense, right? You lose A.J. Brown, you upgrade the coordinator, of course these guys are going to look good. Play Hurts, Saquon, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert if
37:05you have them, they should be in your starting lineups. All green for all of them. Um And then Dontayvion Wicks is honestly
37:11not a bad play. He's not going to project as a streaming option. No way you actually have to go there. But if
37:16you were in a 14- or 16-team league, if you drafted some guys who are injured or have really difficult matchups, he is
37:21projecting right now as the wide receiver 38. Like he's actually a pretty solid play. Washington had a very bad defense last season. We will see if that
37:29holds, but he's going to be out there in two wide receiver sets and obviously three wide receiver sets. He's going to
37:34have a decent target share to start the season. He is underlying a relatively talented wide receiver. He's probably going to have a better week than people
37:41think. Probably going to be talking about him on the waiver wire show uh this coming Monday because he's actually probably going to have a pretty solid
37:49day. I mean, would you think Wicks, you know, 3.8 receptions, 45 yards? He could have five for 70. That is a thing that
37:55could happen this weekend. Um again, probably don't have to, but I I think you could definitely play him as a streaming option.
38:03Next up, definitely a blowout. Uh Arizona at the Chargers, 46 and a half point total, 10 and a half point home
38:10favorites for the Chargers. That is a 28.5 point projection. I think that is number one on the week. For Arizona, I mean,
38:18you basically have to play McBride obviously every single week. Uh but I'm not playing Brissett, uh, Marvin Mims Jr. I want to see it first. I don't want
38:25to get them in the starting lineups.
38:27Um, Jeremiah Love, I want to see. So, they said they're optimistic he's going to play. I want to hear for reports to come
38:33out. Uh, of course I'm projecting a little bit for Allgeier, about eight carries, one reception for Allgeier.
38:38That's going to eat into production for Jeremiah Love, especially because they're 10 and 1/2 point road favorites.
38:45So, while Love can rack up receptions, and I think he will, we're not going to see a lot of rush attempts for the, um,
38:52for the Arizona side here. So, if you drafted Love in round three as your like second running back and you're like, "Oh, my other options aren't that
39:00great." Just start Jeremiah Love. You know, he's talented enough. Uh, but watch the projection. I Again, I'm projecting right now limited as running
39:06back 29. So, even if they come out and say he's going to be limited, well, that's what I'm expecting right now, and
39:12he still projects as a flex option. So, you're probably just playing him. Uh, but I'm not excited to play against the
39:16Chargers. It's a good defense. Their offense is great, and they can run the ball now. So, they can get up, run it, run it, run it, and you're just
39:28not going to see that many plays on the Arizona side. I think Arizona's also going to try and lean more run heavy
39:33overall. That could limit plays. So, it's not that exciting on the Arizona side this week, but Jeremiah Love, you probably just kind of have to play him
39:39this week. On the Chargers side, you can play everyone. So, even though, um, they, you know, are probably going to run the ball at a high rate in the
39:45second half, they could score 34, 37 points. I mean, like truly Arizona could fall apart here. Um, we could see this
39:51offense really click. Um, I'm very excited about week one for the Chargers.
39:56Absolutely play Justin Herbert.
39:58Absolutely play Amari Cooper.
40:00Lad McConkey. Um, I think you can play QJ as well because, I don't know, I just have this sense that like he's going to
40:06catch like a 40 or 50 yard touchdown in week one. I feel like McDaniels is going to come out there and just try and light
40:11the world on fire in this first game.
40:13He'll have every opportunity to because I I expect the Arizona offense to do a lot on their end. Um So, I'll see about bumping his
40:20projection just a little bit. Um I don't know. The one thing basically why I'm hesitant in bumping that is Trey Harris. Projecting right now at 72,
40:31don't touch him in um in your starting lineup or anything.
40:35But, I don't know what the switch is going to be. That's something we talked about a lot in this off season was is
40:39Trey Harris playing in one wide receiver sets? Is he mixing in in 12? I do think QJ starts the season as that starter,
40:45but they love Trey Harris. He's going to be used in blocking a lot. And you know what? If they get up by 14 points and
40:51they're running it a lot, they want Trey Harris to be out there. And so, we could see this nasty more limited for Quentin
40:57than we're expecting. But, at the end of the day, I don't know. I feel like I got to bump him inside the top like 35 cuz
41:01like there's going to be touchdowns scored in this game. I just feel like QJ gets one of those. But, again, start the
41:06running backs there. Uh and I'm very excited for uh Keaton Mitchell, but you can't play him in week one. I'm only
41:12projecting three carries and one reception just because he missed, you know, a good chunk of time. It wasn't that much, but it was like a week, week
41:18and a half of practices. He's back at practice now. Uh we'll see if there's any reports on being limited. I just
41:23feel like in that first week, they're not going to go out there and try and give him a ton of touches. Um but, I'm
41:28excited to see the potential there. If they can give him like five, six, seven touches, I'll be excited about that in
41:33the future ramping him up. But, when in doubt, kind of play a Chargers player this week because they're probably going to score a decent amount. Uh and if, you
41:39know, your guy's going to be live to score multiple touchdowns.
41:42Next up, we've got uh Packers at Vikings. We've got a 45 and a half point total. Uh and we've got one
41:49and a half point home favorites for the Vikings side.
41:53For the Packers, uh they're not going to have Jacobs. And so, MarShawn Lloyd is going to be a strong start running back 20 to start
42:00things off.
42:01I'm still a little bit hesitant. Uh we have a road match up with the Vikings.
42:05The Vikings are a very, very, very good defense. Uh Jordan Love is definitely one of those quarterbacks that can just crumble when things aren't going
42:11perfectly for him. Um we'll see what happens, but I don't want to be attacking the Vikings defense really in any capacity. And I'm
42:19also somewhat hesitant like are they actually going to give Marshaun Lloyd this like huge amount of volume? Like is he actually going to get a ton of
42:25touches or is he going to be someone who has to kind of win a little bit more on efficiency? I don't know. I'm projecting
42:3018 touches and he's only running back 20 right now, but he could easily have 13 or 14. So, if you can bench Lloyd, I probably would.
42:39Um Christian Watson more so someone I would like to start, but really only Tucker Kraft is coming in with like a
42:47solid projection. I would play Tucker Kraft if you have him. But look at all this negative. It's the 30th match up
42:52for running backs, 32nd for wide receiver, 29th for tight end. It's just all red. Uh running backs, you know, they lean a little bit more into running
42:59backs against um the Vikings because they're so good um against wide receivers and tight ends and then also because the Vikings offense was bad last
43:07year and teams decided to like run the ball against them, but you do not want to attack the Vikings defense. So, I
43:12don't really want to play any of these guys, uh but I would say honestly Christian Watson would probably be the one I would try and get in there if I
43:18can. Um Vikings side obviously play Justin Jefferson, but no one else is an obvious start. You can stream Kyler, um but I kind of want
43:27to see the offense play out first before going to him. I don't think you go to Addison just yet. I think Mason and and
43:34Aaron Jones, we really want to see that split. I have it being relatively even right now. We kind of want to see it
43:39first. I want Jordan Mason where the Vikings are seven point home favorites uh where the offense is clicking. We just don't know how good the offense is
43:47going to be yet. We don't expect this to be a blowout. It should be a very close game on both sides and probably a lower
43:53scoring game as well. So, really just Justin Jefferson on the uh Minnesota side. Final 4:00 game is going to be uh
44:01Miami at the Raiders. So, uh one of the only winnable games for both of these teams this season. 4 and 1/2 point
44:06total, Raiders three and 1/2 point home favorites.
44:09On the Miami side, obviously start Raheem Mostert. This is one of the games where even though they're projected to lose, and we're only projected 18 and
44:171/2 points, this is one of the games where Miami could score 24 points and win the game. So, you've got to be
44:21starting Raheem Mostert every week really, but definitely this week.
44:25Aside from that though, I mean, if you want to stream the Miami defense, go for it. It's probably the the bold out
44:29there. I don't know if I would do it. I probably need to bump them down a little bit to the defense seven right now.
44:34Um But, I wouldn't go to these receivers.
44:36Like, I'm excited to see Chris Bell, Caleb Douglas play. We'll see what the role is for Greg Dulcich, but I don't
44:43want to go to the receivers. It really just is stream Malik if you want to.
44:47We'll see what the production kind of looks like on that front. I think I need to fix the data. I'm just looking at
44:52that here. Probably because one of my sheets has LVR and the other one has LV.
44:57But, we'll we'll see about fixing that.
44:59But, at the end of the day, for Miami, start Raheem Mostert and just see with everything else. Hopefully, Malik will looks good. Hopefully, Chris Bell looks
45:07good and he'll be like a waiver wire option for us.
45:10But, start Raheem Mostert and don't touch anyone else. We're not seeing anything on the Raiders side unfortunately. Apologize for that one.
45:16Again, it's probably a mismatch in the sheets, but you know what to do for the Raiders. You know you're starting Brock
45:21Bowers every single week. And if Ashton Jeanty is healthy enough to play, it means he's probably getting at least half the touches in a home match up
45:29against the Dolphins where it's one of the only potentially positive game scripts of the year. Even though they're probably limited, you're
45:37playing Jeanty, you're playing Brock Bowers in every match up, and you're just not playing anyone else on the Raiders side. Sunday night game is going
45:46to be a fun one. Dallas at the Giants.
45:49Dallas only two and 1/2 point road favorites. 48 and 1/2 point total. That is largely because Dallas just plays so much worse historically on the road. For
45:57the Dallas side, I do expect them to win here. The Giants did not have great camp reports for their offense. They're
46:02learning the new system, and so it just has been a struggle for them. We also don't know if Malik Nabers is going to
46:08play, and if he does play, he will be limited. So, I really think the spread should be a little bit wider for Dallas,
46:12but I get it cuz they play so much worse again on the road. Um for the Dallas side, I think you're just playing Zach
46:18if you have them. You're playing Javonte Williams. You're playing CeeDee Lamb.
46:22You're playing George Pickens. I really wouldn't contemplate it. Obviously, Aubrey is typically the number one uh kicker. I think you can stream Jake
46:29Ferguson. I'm not excited about him because of Flaherty, only projecting 2.7 receptions, 34 yards right now for Flaherty. But, if he's actually out there in every
46:39single 11 personal set, and they basically run 11 personal all the time, that's not great for Ferguson. You've got two alpha wide receivers, and now a
46:46third tight end or wide receiver that's going to get consistent volume. That's like how what can the target share really be for Jake Ferguson? I don't
46:54think that high. So, again, 10 and 15, 7.3 points, you can go there. I just don't think it's that great of a play. I
47:00will play everyone else on um Dallas. Not yet for uh Flaherty.
47:05Hopefully, we can eventually start playing him. And then on the uh Giant side, it's tough because I don't know the split here as well. I do think Najee is
47:15going to be more ramped up. So, I'm not projecting much from Najee. I also don't know who they're going to start because
47:19I feel like one of Najee or Matt Breida or Gary Brightwell Jr. is going to be inactive and basically um give that
47:25production to the other one. But, I don't know like there's conflicting reports on Saquon Barkley. Like, some sources are saying like, you know, it's
47:32like, "Oh, they're like, you know, they They're saying, 'Can you handle 20 touches? You're getting 20 touches every single week. 20 carries every single
47:37week.'" Um and then there's sources out there that are like, "It's going to be more of a split. They don't fully trust
47:42the foot yet." It's like, "I don't know what to think." Uh but at the end of the day, um and Dallas also is one of those
47:47defenses going to be way better than this. So, number seven for running backs last year, number one for wide receivers, 22 for tight ends. Dallas has
47:54a much stronger defense than last season. So, they're not going to be one we're looking into attack. Once you see these numbers update in a few weeks, um
48:00well, they'll update every week, but like in a few weeks you'll see them much more updated um because of data from the
48:05year, and Dallas is going to be a good defense. And so, I don't know. I want to see it from the
48:10Giants side. I I don't know if you can play Neighbors, and that's the tough part of drafting him in round three is
48:16week one, if he plays, what's it going to look like? Obviously, we're going to hear reports, um but it's you're somewhat hesitant uh just because
48:27he could go out there and play 30% of snaps. So, I want to see a report. I think we will Friday or Saturday. We'll
48:32know like what the snap share or what the snap um cap really is, um but it's it's scary kind of playing him
48:39in the first week. Um but yeah, I probably will play Skataboe.
48:42I think Dart is fine to stream, but like if Neighbors wasn't playing or was very limited, I'd be a little bit more
48:47worried about Jackson Dart. Uh and honestly, likely if Neighbors was out, likely he'll probably jump up to a must-start, but even regularly, like
48:55he's a great streaming option this week.
48:57Uh and I would not go to like the backup wide receivers or running backs on the Giants. Finally, game of the week,
49:04Monday night football, 42 and 1/2 point total, Denver at KC. Uh KC three-point home favorite. So, Denver probably going to be their lowest implied total of the
49:14season, 19.75. There'll be plenty of weeks where Denver's projected to like 25 to 27 points, but a tough spot. Both of these teams have very strong
49:23defenses. You're opening the season at Arrowhead. That's absolutely brutal. So, don't get too cute here. Uh don't go to some of these secondary players. I would
49:32not play Sutton. I would not play Pat Bryant. I'd only play Dulcich if you absolutely need him, which you probably do not. I would not play Harvey. I'd
49:39want to see how this running back room shakes out. I would not stream Bonitto.
49:42It truly would be I'd play Waddle and expect worse production than normal, and I would not play any of these other
49:47players on Denver. And then for Kansas City, um I really I wouldn't play Mahomes against uh the Denver defense. I don't love
49:55Rashee Rice. I probably need to bump this projection just a little bit, but I don't love Rashee Rice. That's a brutal
50:00match up for him. You're not really going to the kicker in such a low total game.
50:06Kelsey, I'd love to see him out there running routes a little bit first before starting him. Worthy I don't trust yet.
50:12So, truly it's the running back. Ken Walker, I think you he's going to project pretty low, you know, running back 18 for me 12 and 1/2 half PPR
50:20points, but um yeah, just play him. You drafted him the 1-2 turn. He should get a ton of touches projecting 17.4 touches as you can see
50:28there. I think you kind of have to just play him.
50:31So, that's it. That is every single match up in week one. Something I want from all of you. I designed this page
50:37over the last couple of weeks. I want to know is there something visually you'd like to see differently. I do think I'm
50:43going to try and get head shots kind of up here. I think it just looks better when you have like the player head shot
50:47on the screen there. But, is there anything else you would want to see? Is there anything you'd want to see moved
50:52around? I think it looks pretty solid from like you can see all the detail projections from every player.
50:58You can go in. I don't know if you guys want me to show this a little bit more.
51:01When I go in and click like running back the running back metrics bump up a little bit and we can see only the
51:06running backs. Maybe if you want me to do that a little bit more, it's just tough kind of talk I bounce
51:11around players a lot. So, like you can see just one position and how things kind of shake out. I feel like all helps
51:18me talk through it a little bit more from a game environment standpoint, but if you need me to jump through those a
51:22little bit more, I can do that. Yeah, anything you want to see visually change in this one, please let me know. But,
51:29that'll do it for this one. Good luck to everyone. You probably will not see me again before the Wednesday game before
51:36Thursday game. I'll probably do a video on Friday kind of talk about my favorite picks for Underdog this week. But, please leave a like for week one being
51:43here. Please subscribe to the channel if you are new and I'll catch you all on the next one.