These Players Are About to Smash in Week 7

Referenced as historical example of late-week injury pattern affecting performance. Tate had late-week injury the week before Freiermuth's calf injury, illustrating trend where players with late-week injuries should be monitored more closely than late-week illnesses, as actual injuries tend to impact Sunday performance more significantly.

Carnell Tate targets Chris Olave over 74.5 receiving yards in Week 7 vs. Saints, the number one matchup for wide receiver targets vs. expectation. Olave opened the season with 86+ yards in four consecutive games, including 105+ in three of the first four. He threw out the Vikings game (46 yards) as a defensive outlier. Last week he was limited to 58% snaps and 43 yards due to illness; now fully healthy and should see double-digit targets again in this elite matchup.

Carnell Tate projects Christian Watson higher than 79.5 receiving yards in Week 7 against Detroit, citing the Packers-Lions matchup as the number two overall matchup for wide receivers. Watson has at least 8 targets in 5 of 6 weeks this season and should have had another 100-yard game last week but dropped a long touchdown. Critically, Watson has 74% more receiving yards in dome games versus outdoor games, averaging 83 receiving yards per game in domes. Detroit's high-scoring threat forces Green Bay to remain aggressive even if ahead, supporting elevated target volume.

Carnell Tate likes Montgomery in a high-stakes divisional game (Detroit vs. Chicago, 53.5-point total, dome game) where Detroit is fighting for playoff positioning. Tate emphasizes that in critical divisional matchups, teams deploy their best players and game plans aggressively, making Montgomery a strong hire despite being open to most running back options in the spot.

Carnell Tate targets Jamar Chase as the 'latter of the week' in Week 7 vs. Ravens, projecting him over 79.5 receiving yards and considering going all the way up to 130. Ravens are the fourth best matchup for wide receiver targets over expectation and fifth best for catch rate over expectation. Career production against Baltimore shows Chase hit 79.5+ in 7 of 10 games and 110+ in 6 of 10 games (60% rate). Tate notes Chase has been close to a breakout multiple times and expects him to finally hit this week, noting 'if Jamar Chase hits, he hits. He hits big time.'

Carnell Tate targets Joe Burrow over 260.5 passing yards in Week 7 vs. Ravens. The Bengals-Ravens matchup features a highly explosive game environment with highly explosive players on both sides and matchups that fit well for a passing attack.

Carnell Tate targets Kyle Pitts over 39.5 receiving yards in Week 7 vs. Steelers, contingent on Agbuka's injury status. Agbuka has been a DMP all week with concussion and foot injury; if he doesn't play, Pitts gets a top-10 matchup for tight ends. Pitts historically steps up when his top wide receiver is out, becoming the focal point of the offense rather than a role player. Baker Mayfield's return adds to target opportunity.

Carnell Tate targets Mark Andrews over 29.5 receiving yards in Week 7 vs. Bengals. The Bengals are a tight end funnel, especially with Lamar Jackson back. Andrews averages 9 more receiving yards per game at home in his career. Even Greg Doolsich had success against Cincinnati this season, supporting the matchup thesis. The game environment features highly explosive players on both sides, and if the game takes off, Andrews should exceed 29.5 receiving yards.

Carnell Tate targets Pat Freiermuth over 29.5 receiving yards in Week 7 vs. Saints, the number two matchup for tight end targets vs. expectation. Freiermuth is not on the injury report this week after a late-week calf injury last week; he's fully practicing. With Pitman and Wilson out, the Saints defense will concentrate targets on two wide receivers and then sprinkle the rest to tight ends and running backs. Freiermuth historically goes over this line in 4 of 5 weeks when not playing injured, with a 60–65% over rate expected.

Carnell Tate targets Tommy Tremble over 14.5 receiving yards in Week 7 vs. Steelers. Tremble is the number three matchup for tight ends with increases to targets, yards per route run, and catch rate over expectation. He has four targets in three consecutive weeks with snap share rising to 68% last week coming out of bye. The coaching staff is publicly talking him up, emphasizing the need to get him more involved and stating he's everything they want at the tight end position—a clear signal they want him consistently getting a couple targets every week. The combination of heavy volume, deeper downfield completions at higher rate, and all three metrics hitting represents phenomenal matchup conditions.