2026 PPR Mock Draft - Where to Draft Jeanty?
STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.
33 min
Duration
Estimated from transcript
Aug 24, 2026
Published
Mon, August 24, 2026
40
Player insights
39
Players mentioned
Topics
Jayden ReedAlvin KamaraAshton JeantyBlake CorumBreece HallBucky IrvingCaleb WilliamsCeeDee LambChase BrownChuba HubbardColston LovelandD'Andre SwiftDavid MontgomeryDontayvion Wicks
Player analysis
Player insights
Alvin Kamara
NegativeInjury7:35
Alvin Kamara is dealing with an injury of uncertain duration, which the source notes as a factor that could impact draft board movement in the third round.
Insight pageAshton Jeanty
NegativeInjury3:30
Ashton Jeanty is currently a high-risk asset due to an ankle sprain that is likely a high ankle sprain, which typically requires a 1.5-month recovery plus a ramp-up period. The source advises against drafting him in the first or second round, suggesting he only becomes a viable target in the third round where the risk is reduced. He may not return to full value until week six or seven, though he remains a potential stash candidate if an IR spot is available.
Insight pageBlake Corum
NegativeDepth Chart12:19
Blake Corum is acknowledged as a backup waiting in the wings, providing necessary context for the usage expectations of Kyren Williams.
Insight pageBreece Hall
NegativeInjury11:16
Breece Hall has theoretical top-five upside in full PPR due to his pass-catching ability, but he faces significant concerns regarding his team's poor offense, limited touchdown potential, and current injury status which impacts draft strategy.
Insight pageBucky Irving
PositiveValue28:32
Bucky Irving is technically a value by ADP, though the source personally ranks him at 61 compared to his current draft position of 59.
Insight pageCaleb Williams
PositiveProjection27:12
The source identifies Caleb Williams as a target for the sixth round, preferring to wait until that point in the draft to secure a quarterback. He is grouped with Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, Justin Herbert, and Trevor Lawrence as viable options in that range.
Insight pageCeeDee Lamb
PositiveValue7:16
CeeDee Lamb is a priority target in the late first round of full PPR drafts. The source notes that his ceiling case hits more often in this format and considers him a preferred selection alongside Justin Jefferson.
Insight pageChase Brown
PositiveValue8:20
Chase Brown is explicitly labeled a 'must-draft' player for the current season. While he is a viable roster piece, the source advises against pairing him with T. Higgins as a de-risking strategy.
Insight pageChuba Hubbard
NegativeBust37:02
The source explicitly advises against drafting Chuba Hubbard, stating they do not want him on their roster.
Insight pageColston Loveland
NegativeBreakout20:59
Colston Loveland is a priority target starting in round four, especially in full PPR formats where elite tight ends provide greater separation. The source highlights his potential for high-reception seasons and massive playoff-week upside, though warns against pairing him with Luther Burden III due to correlation risk.
Insight pageD'Andre Swift
NegativeUsage26:10
D'Andre Swift was selected in the fourth round of the mock draft as part of a run on running backs.
Insight pageDavid Montgomery
NegativeUsage26:10
David Montgomery was selected in the fourth round of the mock draft as part of a run on running backs.
Insight pageDontayvion Wicks
PositiveRole24:35
Dontayvion Wicks is highlighted as a talented player and former first-round pick with incredible camp reports. He is expected to play the 'X' receiver role, ensuring he is on the field for nearly every play, which may give him a volume advantage over Jayden Reed.
Insight pageDrake Maye
PositiveProjection27:12
The source identifies Drake Maye as a target for the sixth round, preferring to wait until that point in the draft to secure a quarterback. He is grouped with Caleb Williams, Jayden Daniels, Jalen Hurts, Justin Herbert, and Trevor Lawrence as viable options in that range.
Insight pageEmari Demercado
PositiveSleeper28:00
Emari Demercado is highlighted as a potential late-round backup running back to target for roster depth.
Insight pageJalen Hurts
PositiveProjection27:12
The source identifies Jalen Hurts as a target for the sixth round, preferring to wait until that point in the draft to secure a quarterback. He is grouped with Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels, Justin Herbert, and Trevor Lawrence as viable options in that range.
Insight pageJameson Williams
PositiveBreakout29:09
The source explicitly states they absolutely want Jameson Williams in the fifth or sixth round of drafts.
Insight pageJavonte Williams
NegativeRole11:20
Javonte Williams is a safe, high-floor option for half-PPR formats, but the source advises ranking him lower in full PPR because he does not catch many passes.
Insight pageJayden Daniels
PositiveProjection27:12
The source identifies Jayden Daniels as a target for the sixth round, preferring to wait until that point in the draft to secure a quarterback. He is grouped with Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jalen Hurts, Justin Herbert, and Trevor Lawrence as viable options in that range.
Insight pageJayden Reed
NegativeValue24:35
The source identifies Jayden Reed as a good pick in the current draft range, noting that wide receivers are generally easier to project for flex production in full PPR formats. While Reed is expected to have higher efficiency metrics like targets per run and yards per run, the source notes a potential concern regarding his route participation, which may be limited to 60% of dropbacks, potentially impacting his overall volume.
Insight pageJaylen Warren
NegativeUsage25:46
Jaylen Warren was selected in the fourth round of the mock draft and was noted as one of the running backs taken off the board.
Insight pageJeremiyah Love
NegativeProjection9:28
Jeremiah Love is a high-upside rookie with pass-catching ability, but he carries significant risk due to playing on a potentially poor offense with a difficult schedule and existing injury concerns.
Insight pageJoe Burrow
NegativeValue25:50
Joe Burrow is off the board, impacting quarterback availability for the mock draft.
Insight pageJonathon Brooks
Josh Allen
NegativeValue20:52
Josh Allen is unavailable at the 3/4 turn, removing him from consideration for that draft slot.
Insight pageJustin Herbert
PositiveValue27:12
The source identifies Justin Herbert as a target for the sixth round, noting that securing him in the seventh round would be awesome value. He is grouped with other quarterback targets like Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jalen Hurts, Jayden Daniels, and Trevor Lawrence.
Insight pageJustin Jefferson
PositiveValue7:28
Justin Jefferson is identified as the number one wide receiver in fantasy and a priority target in the late first round of full PPR leagues. He has an elite track record, particularly when not playing with J.J. McCarthy, and is also considered a solid value if available in the late third round.
Insight pageKeaton Mitchell
PositiveValue27:06
Keaton Mitchell is a preferred draft target, with the source specifically citing his 123 ADP as a better value than later-round alternatives at 153.
Insight pageKyren Williams
NegativeValue10:12
Kyren Williams is considered a safe, high-floor pick who plays on a high-scoring offense and is projected for significant touchdown production (12 TDs). Despite limited reception upside and the presence of Blake Corum, he is a reliable option to avoid roster failure.
Insight pageLamar Jackson
NegativeUsage20:54
Lamar Jackson is unavailable at the 3/4 turn and is already on the team roster, influencing the draft strategy to avoid taking another quarterback.
Insight pageMike Washington Jr.
NegativeValue3:26
The source strongly recommends drafting Mike Washington, labeling him an absolute target for late-round picks and suggesting managers reach significantly ahead of ADP to secure him. He is viewed as a key factor in the backfield who allows the team to manage Ashton Jeanty's injury recovery, though he carries risk as he may not start over Chase Brown or Kyren Williams and could face competition if the team signs another back.
Insight pageRashid Shaheed
NegativeValue27:31
Rashid Shaheed is mentioned as a solid late-round wide receiver option, though the source questions the necessity of drafting him as a seventh receiver given the low probability of usage.
Insight pageRay Davis
PositiveUsage28:02
Ray Davis is a key backup running back to target, as he would gain significant fantasy value should an injury occur to James Cook.
Insight pageRhamondre Stevenson
PositiveRole33:30
Rhamondre Stevenson is a priority target in the late seventh round, as he is expected to lead the team in carries to start the season and likely throughout the year, given that his competition has failed to improve in pass protection or reading blocks.
Insight pageRico Dowdle
Stefon Diggs
PositiveValue24:35
Stefon Diggs is considered a high-quality draft pick by the source, serving as a reliable veteran option to anchor a wide receiver corps alongside younger, more volatile targets. He is viewed as a good pick in the current draft range and a reliable option for the flex spot.
Insight pageTravis Etienne
NegativeUsage26:10
Travis Etienne was selected in the fourth round of the mock draft as part of a run on running backs.
Insight pageTrevor Lawrence
PositiveValue27:12
The source identifies Trevor Lawrence as a target for the sixth round, noting that securing him in the seventh round would be awesome value. The source also selected him as their starting quarterback in a mock draft, noting that pairing him with Parker Washington is a viable strategy.
Insight pageTucker Kraft
PositiveBreakout25:46
The source is warming up to Tucker Kraft, who was selected in the fifth round of the mock draft.
Insight pageFull transcript
Episode Transcript
0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here back with another video. It's Monday time and it's happen Monday. Uh we're going to do a 12 team league full PPR
0:06from the 11 spot and we're going to talk about Ashen Genty and we're going to talk about what to do in the late first
0:12round if he is uh unavailable to you now and also basically uh what to do if you're entering a draft and there are um
0:22there are injuries that pop up right before kind of how you prepare for that.
0:26The computer is going to take Ashen Genty a little bit earlier than normal, but again, we're just going to talk through what we would do in this general
0:34range. Um, so first round of the mock draft, Gibbs, Bejian, Chase, Puka, Amra, uh, McAffrey, JSN, JT, Genty, and Cook.
0:44We're just going to again pretend like uh that team didn't take Ash and Genty.
0:48Um but yeah, so first right off the bat, if you were last night going into your draft and you see the news, first of all, you need to
0:57look at the news before your draft. You can't just like show up to the draft having not looked at what's happened
1:00over the last uh you know, half week. If you're doing it like the very week before the season and you know, week one
1:06has already occurred, practices are kind of ramping down, maybe it's more okay.
1:10But you never know what's going to happen in these practices. You never know what news is going to drop. So you
1:14got to be checking the news before you draft. Let's say you check the news and you see the ambiguous news. We didn't
1:19really have any information of ex player suffers huge injury. Uh they are like limping off the field with no pressure.
1:27There's a prayer circle after everything stops. Like terrible new like it looks really really bad, right? If you see that about a player, just don't draft
1:35them. Truly, it's very unlikely that you end up fading that player and then all of a sudden they become the most
1:43valuable player in all of fantasy and you lose because you didn't draft them.
1:46the odds of that happening are so incredibly small, but the odds that you end up getting them at what you think is
1:51a value and then all of a sudden they miss half the season or even more is much greater. So, if you see a news like
1:58that just completely fade the player, it's probably worth going after the backup if you think it's bad. Uh, but as we'll get into, I think people are maybe
2:06doing that a little bit too much with uh Mike Washington right now. the reports for Genty come out and they say, "Uh,
2:12ankle sprain." Basically, best news possible. So, if you had already drafted him, this was exactly what you wanted to hear. Given the reporting, it was very
2:20possible that he was done for the season. He will not be. Uh, it's not like a broken ankle. At least, again, as
2:25of the reporting right now, I'm I'm recording this right before upload on Monday morning. Um, ankle sprain.
2:30They've not said anything as far as how bad, but let's be honest. I mean, like given given how the reporting was, it is
2:37probably not a minor low ankle sprain where he's going to be back at practice next week. Like, you would think given
2:44how it looked that it's a high ankle sprain, but again, we don't know. So, you don't want to speculate. Um, if we
2:49pull up the draft board here, if I'm going to late first round pick, there's enough players where I am not going to
2:54take him at a late first round pick.
2:56There are enough players where I'm probably not going to take him even in round two, even knowing that it is a
3:00high ankle sprain right now. um or just ankle sprain in general. If it's a high ankle sprain, we're a little less than
3:06three weeks out from week one. That is usually usually more like a month and a half long injury and then there's a ramp
3:13up from there. Given that they have Mike Washington, they have the ability to do the ramp up given that obviously he's a
3:18cornerstone of this like offense moving forward. They are not going to throw him out there for like an 80% snap share
3:24right from the jump. So let's say it's 6 weeks. That puts us closer to week three. They have a week 13 buy. So,
3:30there's not going to be a situation where they're like waiting for the buy and returning after that. Um, let's just say it's around week three, week four he
3:38starts to play. Maybe he's like kind of like a lowend two when he starts and it's more closer to like week six or
3:46week seven where he's actually Ashen Genty returning first round value. There was already enough question marks about like I loved Ashen Genty the season. I
3:56thought he was a must draft player, but there were still enough question marks in the late first round to where it was
4:01reasonable to say no, he's more of a second round pick. Um, given the offense, given Mike Washington, given he didn't do it last season. Again, I
4:10thought he was a great pick because the offensive line is improved, the offense will be improved, and he is a much
4:15better talent people think. But coming off of a major ankle sprain, will he be somewhat limited? There's just so many questions where I just don't think you
4:24do it in round two. As we get into round three, I think it becomes a lot more viable. You're reducing the risk. Um,
4:30you're also saying, okay, in round three, typically Chase Brown, Achan, Saquon, uh, Hampton, Ken Walker off the board. Usually, I'd say in full PPR,
4:38it's possible Henry falls, but usually Henry's not there as well in round three. And you're looking at this general like Bree Hall, Kairen, Love,
4:46and Javvante. That's like the classic round three of the season. Maybe ETN bumps in there. uh with the Kamar injury, not knowing how long term that
4:54one is as well. When you start to look at these guys, you're like, "Okay, let's take Bree Hall." Well, Bree Hall
5:01is also on a bad team. You could argue a worse offense than the Raiders. Uh Bree Hall does have some backups that could
5:08theoretically get touches. Um but he's also got an injury that he's working through right now. We don't know if 100% he'll be able to go in week one. He
5:16probably will be, but we don't know. But there's enough question marks with all three of these guys. Jeremiah Love on a
5:22team projected to be bottom two with the Jets in scoring. Jeremiah Love uh really difficult schedule this season. Um rookie probably a better backup than
5:32either of these two have. So there are question marks with these guys. Uh Kairen really even catch passes this season. It's not an offense that's going
5:39to dump off Die Max. And so because there's more question marks, I can see taking Genty with this range. We'll probably have a lot more answers today
5:46on Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday. So, if you were drafting like this coming weekend, we'll probably know exactly what the injury is, exactly what the
5:52timeline is, and we'll much better answer. But for those of you that are drafting this week, for those of you drafting on Monday, I think this is the
5:58general range I'd be okay with him in, you're now able to start off like McCaffrey, AJ Brown, Genty. And at that
6:06point, especially if an IR spot, even if he missed six weeks of the season, when he comes back, he's going to return
6:14better than third round value at that point. And in the close of the season, I think they play like the Titans and the
6:20um Arizona Cardinals in week 16 17. If you get that far, you get to the fantasy playoff semi-finals, finals, and you've
6:26got McAffrey and Genty, you know, it's just a combination that can can win it for you. So, I think round three makes
6:30sense. I think round two is just too many players that are good. As far as Mike Washington, I would absolutely draft him. I'd reach very far ahead of
6:37ADP to be drafting him. If you draft Ashen Genty, you're probably looking at like I don't know uh the probably like
6:44round 10 or something, but it's tough to know there because we again don't know exactly um how long Genti is going to be
6:50out. But I feel like around round 10 probably makes sense for him. Uh onto this draft though. We'll see what happens here. So Jenty will not go
6:58there. Um, you would just say like maybe that pick would have been like a Jefferson or a CD Lamb. Um, doesn't
7:05really affect us right now because we could just take the other one. Uh, there would still be great options for us in
7:10round one. Um, let's see. So, this is full PPR. Uh, maybe we'll talk a little about full PPR. Things do change a
7:17little bit. The running back rankings change. Uh, as you can see on the board here, um, my need to start off running
7:24back running back also changes. you're a little bit more likely to get that running back in that late third round.
7:29That's pretty decent. And then also like the ceiling case for Justin Jefferson, CD Lamb hits a little bit more often. Um
7:37it's a little bit more likely that they have a year where you're like, "Holy cow." Like I mean both these players
7:42could put together a season where they'll go top three next year. Justin Jefferson is like one of the best wide receivers in the history of the NFL and
7:50he's crushed it in all times that he's not played with JJ McCarthy. So, there's absolutely a chance he goes out there
7:55and he's the number one wide receiver in all fantasy and you're going to be cool with that at the late first round of a
7:59full PPR league. So, I think we will take um Justin Jefferson here because we are going to get a decent running back
8:05in round two. It literally doesn't matter who gets taken, we'll get a solid one. So, I really want to start running
8:10back running back in half PPR and full PPR. If Jefferson or Lamb are there for me in the late first round, I'm much
8:16more willing to go with them. So, we will take Justin Jefferson. Computer takes CD Lamb and Dvane Chan. We will take Chase Brown, a mustdraft player
8:24this season. So, we get Chase Brown and we get Justin Jefferson and then we'll pull up the board over here. Um, so
8:31again, if Genty were here in the late third round for me at this point, given the current reporting, ankle sprain, even the worst ankle sprains are closer
8:41to like, you know, he'll return like week six even. That feels like kind of worst case scenario. Um, especially if you're in an IR spot. This is a spot
8:49where I'd be willing to take them. Of course, computer already took them. Uh, but this is a spot I'd be okay with. Um,
8:53at running back, we see Ken, Henry, Saquon, Hampton, Jeremiah Love off the board. Um, he's call this round two running backs. Um, plus Jeremiah Love
9:03thrown in there. And then Bree Hall, Jacobs, and Javant Williams are gone, which means I believe uh can't remember his name right now, but
9:10Kiren Karen is the last kind of running back there on the board. Uh, we see Bowowers and McBride go. That'll typically happen. Josh Allen goes, and
9:17then a bunch of wide receivers. So, uh, Kirn is a value. He is the top running back on the board. I also had someone
9:23ask me the other day to basically go over that range. I mean, I kind of did it a second ago, but to go over this
9:30range of Bree Hall, uh, Javvante Williams, Jeremiah Love, and Kairen Williams um, in half and full PPR. It is
9:40very difficult to break down that range because they're so different. Like you like literally I would say polar opposites. Look at like Jeremiah Love
9:48versus Kairen Williams. Literally the opposite players. Jeremiah Love is this, you know, top overall pick, not number one, but, you know, top three pick in
9:56the NFL draft. He's this exciting young rookie playing on what could be the worst offense in the NFL with a horrible, really difficult straight of
10:04the schedule. Uh, a great passcatching running back. Um, but unknowns, right? A ton of unknowns.
10:12The talent is there kind of projecting the volume. You flip it on over to Kairen and he doesn't have that same
10:17ceiling in full PPR and half he does in full PPR because he's not going to catch passes. So, not going to catch passes,
10:24not some top overall athlete, but on what could be the top scoring offense in the NFL, uh going to score a lot of
10:30touchdowns, an incredibly safe pick. So, a lot of the times these four, it comes down to what do you need? How confident
10:36do you feel in your first picks and how how confident do you want to be in round three? Everyone has their different
10:42draft preferences. If you're someone who really like you think you're going to crush it in the league, you just want to
10:47play it safe, right? You don't think like your competition is is fine, but you feel like you're gonna perform well, you've put in the work, you've done the
10:53Montraps, you think you're going to do well, you lean towards someone like Kairen or someone like Javante Williams because we know with absolute certainty,
11:00great offense, ton of touchdowns, locked in production. Will they finish top five in full PPR? Almost certainly no, unless the running backs behind them all get
11:08injured. Uh but even with uh Javvante, that's probably still not going to happen. Um Kairen, you can make more of a case for it. Um but without injury,
11:16that's not going to happen. If you look at Bree and Love, theoretically, because of their pass catching ability, they could. But they're on such bad teams,
11:24have such little touchdown upside, they have to do it in that area. But if they do, and they catch 70 balls, they can
11:30blow past these players. So it depends if you want to take more risk um or and or you want to play a little bit more
11:36safe. I definitely lean into Kairen, lean into Javvante in half PPR. In full PPR, I genuinely think it's much more of
11:43a discussion, especially for Javvante just because they are not going to catch passes. So, I do think Javante should be last in full PPR. Um, I do feel like
11:51there's a case for all three of Love, Bree, and Chairen in full PPR, but it just got to come down to how confident
11:58you want to be. A lot of the times I lean towards the safety of Kiran, especially with the injuries right now
12:04to Jeremiah Love and Bree Hall. Um, and just say, you know what, maybe I'm not getting a top five running back, but I
12:09already have uh Chase Brown. I've got a top receiver. Does my running back two spot really need to be someone who's
12:15going to come down and be a top five running back? No. I just don't want to screw up with this pick. So, give me the
12:1912 touchdowns from Kirin. Even if I know Corm is waiting, even if I know the receptions won't be there, he's going to
12:25be solidly productive. I'm not going to lose based on this pick. Okay, so we go that Chase Brown, Karen Williams, and uh
12:32Justin Jefferson. And then obviously like in this draft he was fourth. It's really nice being able to take uh the fourth of that range because you're
12:38getting someone who legitimately has, you know, early third round. I feel like all three of them are viable in the early third round when healthy. And so
12:44if you get any of them in the late third round, it's a solid value. So uh only only quarterback you're considering at
12:52this 34 turn is uh Josh Allen. He's gone as is Lamar Jackson. So, we're not going quarterback. You can absolutely consider
12:59Coulson Loveland as soon as it turns round four. I think Lovelin is absolutely viable and more viable in full. Um, this is also a distinction in
13:09full PPR. The top tight ends have the ability to separate more. So, if you get a season from Coulson Laughlin where he
13:16has 100 receptions,50 yards, eight touchdowns, that's a really good year for a tight end. the separation that he's going to have as
13:25like a top three tight end there compared to the streaming range of that quarter of that tight end like probably like seven plus like seven through 12
13:32streaming range is going to be greater and so you're getting a little bit more of that benefit and if he hits his like
13:3795th 98th percentile outcome where he's got you know 110 receptions 1,400 yards hits for touchdowns again the separation there in full PPR is greater so because
13:49the back end of tight end is much more touchdown dependent and they're more okay to stream in half, which means that
13:55the top end tight ends lose a little bit of their appeal in half PPR, but in full PPR, well, those backend tight ends that
14:04are only going to get like two catches for 30 yards and you pray they score a touchdown. Well, in full PPR, that's
14:08just not as valuable because those receptions matter a lot. And the spiked tweaks as well. Um, it's another thing for elite tight end. It's not
14:14necessarily even just the full season production for some of these tight ends.
14:18It's what can they do in the playoff weeks. Can Lovelin go out there and have 10 for 120 and two? And at which point
14:24it doesn't even matter what else you do with the rest of your draft if you're going up against someone who had four
14:28for 40 and no touchdown at their tight end position. You've separated by so many points that basically just don't screw up the rest of your draft and
14:36you're good because they have that in the range of outcomes. They're just better in full PPR. So Lovelin absolutely an option. Um if we went wide
14:43receiver, I would not do T and Chase Brown. Again, it's just a D-risk thing.
14:47You can do it. Uh, but I just lean away from doing that. Um, unless it's a clear value, but like the difference between
14:54T, Lad, Ibuka, Waddle. Um, I would say those guys are probably clearly ahead of like the Tet Luther McLuren range. But
15:03the difference between all four of them is fairly minimal. So, you would just take your favorite among this range. Uh, and you wouldn't take T. Higgins. But, I
15:11don't know because we took Jefferson.
15:13Like, obviously, if we went three running back, I'd be taking one of these guys. because we took Jefferson, I feel like I'm I'm fine waiting till 56 to
15:20maybe even um double tap wide receiver.
15:22Uh and running back, I don't know that I want any of these guys as my third running back um in the fourth round. If
15:28some of these guys fell to the fifth round, I'd be much more good with that.
15:31Um and quarterback. So, I think this is a spot where we can see a Lovelin team.
15:35You guys know I said soon as round four hits, I want Coloulston Love on my team.
15:38We missed on the top end. Um I want Loland. Saft Coloulston Lovelin. P the draft board. we go with him. Uh Warren
15:46goes in four, Craft goes in five. I'm warming up a lot more to Craft recently.
15:50Uh Joe Burrow's off the board, but no other quarterbacks are, although this is a tough spot for quarterback for us.
15:56We'll talk about that in a second. Um and then an evenish mixture of running back and receiver. Uh all those ones I
16:02talked about went for receiver. Um almost got Wadd actually in the fifth, which would have been crazy value. Uh but then Swift, ETN, Scataboo, Monty
16:10goes in four. Uh Trayvon, Price, Tutin, and Judkin. So, a pretty running backheavy jump there. And then basically all the receivers we have been talking
16:18about. Okay. Why I say this is a tough range for quarterback is because I I've said I kind of want to wait till round
16:24six. So, we wouldn't take one here obviously because this team already has a quarterback, right? They have Lamar Jackson. Um, but also it's basically I
16:32want to wait till round six because between May, Daniels, Herz, Caleb, Herbert, Lawrence. I mean, I have it ranked that way, but I don't necessarily
16:42care too much which one I get. I just want to get one of them in the late sixth. A lot of times you're kind of
16:47last there. Not so much in the early six. We're kind of forced to take first here. But now we're going to have a late
16:53seventh round pick and I don't know that any of them will be there. What I want to do is wait because if I can get a
16:59Herbert or Lawrence in the seventh round, that's awesome value, but uh it basically kind of turns out in a late first round pick where a lot of times I
17:05don't actually get one of those quarterbacks I wanted. But we'll see what ends up happening here. Uh, at running back, Bucky is technically a
17:12value by ADP. Uh, we're at pick 59, though. I have him 61 uh, in the updated I haven't been showing you guys here the
17:18updated dynamic rankings. Um, but I don't want these guys. These are not, in my opinion, round five running backs.
17:26Um, they're all fine. I don't want to take any of them in round five. So, no quarterback, no running back, and we're
17:31obviously not taking tight end. So, we will be probably taking two wide receivers. And that's a general thing I kind of want to do in the fifth six
17:39round at this turn here. I know that the wide receivers are awesome. Burden, Jam Mo, Parker, Watson, Adun, Carnell, Tate, Marv. Maybe I don't want all of them at
17:49the 56 CERN, but I absolutely want Luther Burden. Um I absolutely want Jameson Williams, Parker Washington, uh Christian Watson. Uh now I have
17:59Loveland, and this is another thing that uh people ask a lot. I would not go Lovelin and Burden or Loveland and Dunay
18:05in four and five. I'd be more okay with it in four and six, but I'd be more okay with it if it was an earlier pick. So
18:13like if our fifth round pick was in the middle and we were getting a mid6th round pick, it becomes a little bit
18:18better to take Luther Bird and Lovelin here worth the turn. The five and the sixth rounds are basically the same. I
18:24don't love it as much. Again, you're adding too much correlation risk. I would basically say unless you are getting a sick value and all these other
18:31wide receivers are gone, I just wouldn't do it. So, personally, I would probably aim to go like J Mo Parker Washington at
18:39this turn here. Um, if it ends up that they take Parker Washington and like Christian Watson or something, again, I'm okay going Burden, but I
18:48don't want anyone to be close to him really in the rankings. It's not that close and you could consider it. I just
18:54think there's too much correlation risk with the offense to where I don't want two of my players that early on the same
19:01offense. The down weeks are going to hurt more than the up weeks really help you there. So, it is one negative going
19:06with Lovelin in round four. You kind of box yourself out of burden, but these guys are good enough picks uh where I'm
19:12fine going with uh I'm fine going with Jameson Williams and then going Parker Washington at the turn
19:20here. Okay, so there's the squad. Chase Brown, Kairen, Justin Jefferson, J Mo, Parker Washington, Coulson Lman. A
19:29really strong group there. Uh we look to the draft board and as you see what will happen in round six, huge run of
19:37quarterback. Dak, Dakos, not usually the first one, but Dak, Caleb, May, Herz, Daniels, Herbert, Dart, and Knicks off the board. So that does mean we're
19:46actually going to get Trevor Lawrence.
19:48And we can also wait until 7 because it is unlikely the Lamar team takes Trevor Lawrence. If they do, hats off to them.
19:55We'll end up double dipping later on. Um but yeah, it means we're going to get that. Um Fannon and KDGO. Uh only Warren
20:03Rico and Brooks at running back and then some wide receivers off the board. So we are in the late seventh round. Uh very
20:10good spot to take um Andre Stevenson.
20:14We're at pick 83 ADP76 by composite. Um, I have him at 64. He's still gonna lead this team to start the season, probably
20:22all season. Um, Trayvon didn't take like any massive steps forward in the offseason. He's still not reading the blocks perfectly. He's still not perfect
20:30in pass protection. Maybe he's made improvements, but Stevenson's going to start the season as a starting running back on that team. So, we'll end up
20:35taking him. Uh, and then maybe we'll just take a running back after that or a wide receiver after that. Um, oh, no, we
20:42were going to take uh Trevor Lawrence.
20:46And I'm okay going Lawrence and Parker Washington. It's totally fine taking a quarterback and receiver. I just want to take two pass catchers uh early on. All
20:54right, here's the start to the squad.
20:56Lawrence, Chase Brown, Kiran, Jefferson, JO Loveland, Parker, and Arandre Stevenson. Notice as well uh the teams
21:07we have drafted. We've drafted two Jaguars. We've drafted Bengals, Rams, uh Vikings. probably a middle of the road team, but you hope they have the upside
21:15to outproduce there. Uh, Lions, Bears, Patriots, we're in the single digit rounds. When in doubt, I want to be leaning in high
21:24enough offenses, not only for the safety that they're going to have a lot of weeks where they score a lot of points,
21:29have a lot of yards. You just know that's going to be the case. Um, they're not as likely to tank later in the
21:33season. Uh, but the upside, any of those teams could end up having a really good year, get a little lucky with
21:38touchdowns, be the number one scoring team in the NFL. And if that happens, everyone on that offense is going to outperform their ADP on average. Maybe
21:45not 100%, but like 80% of the players on that team are going to outperform their ADP because ADPs are based on
21:50projections. And if you outscore your projection and touchdowns of the team by 12, there's a lot of touchdowns to go around and everyone's going to have a
21:57really good year. All right. Uh, rest of the draft, we do not need to take a tight end or a backup uh quarterback. If
22:03you waited until double digit rounds for either of them, totally fine to double dip, but at this point, we will not be
22:08doing that. Um, running back, it's not that great. Um, we're at three and three, though, and it's full PPR. Uh, data tells us it's
22:16fine to take running back and receiver, but lean towards wide receiver. And this is a range I don't like. Um, you know,
22:21we like Katon Mitchell, but I don't want Chuba. Manunga is not really a good pick in full PPR. JCM gaining steam right
22:30now, but also not someone I really want to target in full PPR. Rashad White better in full PPR, but also has a
22:35hamstring injury and I don't think will be used um a crazy amount on the ground.
22:39Um basically you can go after Katon, you could go after Mike Washington for the early season production. The thing with that is kind of want to talk about this
22:47as well. I think this is basically the range. Remember I said around round 10 with the nine 10 turn. This is a spot
22:53where you would probably be looking at Mike Washington. you absolutely draft him honestly in round like eight or probably around like nine. I would say
22:59round nine if you have Ashen Genty. What what like am I going to even start him?
23:04Like let's say I probably would but they could also sign another running back if it's going to be you know a six week
23:10injury that he's going to miss. Um but like I'm not starting him even when he's the starting back over Chase Brown or
23:18Kairen. So now it has to be the flex spot now. Basically I think Parker's probably gonna out project JO to start
23:23the season. So, it's basically JMO versus Mike Washington. Starting I think week one they actually play um the Dolphins. So, I probably would end up
23:31starting Mike Washington. But the point would be early in the season all my dudes are healthy. None of my guys are
23:37on by. It's actually the least valuable time to have Mike Washington. And there's also a chance that maybe Genty only misses like two or three games.
23:43Again, we don't know yet. Um, so I don't love taking him because there's a decent amount of risks involved with it with
23:53them going after someone else with Genty returning with you not even starting him to start the season when he's got that
23:58value. This is still a spot there's a lot of good players on the board. But again, 910 is a fine spot to go after
24:04him. Um, but I would honestly just prefer uh really waiting for for both these guys right now. But I think someone would end up taking him uh at
24:12receiver. That would probably be the direction you'd want to go right now.
24:15It's more likely that you would start a receiver in the flex spot in full PPR.
24:19It's just easier to project that production. Even in bad weeks where uh you know a decent receiver has like four for 40, you're at least locking up eight
24:28points. And some running backs in this range, you're not locking up eight full PPR points when they go out there. Uh so
24:35I think I mean Jane Reed's a good pick, Diggs is a good pick, Golden's a good pick, Conception's a good pick. Um, I
24:41would say maybe a drop off after that.
24:44Um, love Stribbling, but we can probably wait a little bit. Gaining a lot of steam right now. But these four are
24:49very, very good picks. I do question right now if I should be changing Reed and Golden. It's so hard. Um, usually in
24:56past years, we've been kind of avoiding both these guys because of how difficult it is to project uh the volume for uh
25:02Green Bay receivers. Now, it's not. We know the three they're going to use.
25:04Going to use a lot more three wide receiver sets. Camp reports for Golden are awesome. He is a former first round
25:09pick. I know the like dynasty community hates him, but camp reports are incredible. He is a talented player.
25:14Underlying metrics weren't bad as a rookie. Uh, and he's going to be the X.
25:18So, he's going to be out there every play. Reed is not. While Reed will probably have a higher targets per run,
25:23yards per run, things like that. If he's only running a route on still 60% of dropbacks because he's only playing in
25:28three receiver sets and go's just out there more, I don't know. I feel like maybe need to move him up a little bit
25:33in the rankings. But what you can also do is hope that someone else makes a decision for you. You could grab someone
25:38like Stefan Diggs and be like, you know what, if they end up taking because they're not going to take both Reed and
25:43Golden. If they take one of them, it makes my decision for me. Uh, but I think I need to close the gap a little
25:48bit between those two. I also love Casey Conception. Maybe we can get him at the next turn, but I've moved him up a lot
25:54in the rankings. I might make him a mustdraft player. I don't think he's on there right now. I'll probably end up
25:59making him really. I think I might make him and Shribbling both must draft players right now. Um, but yeah, basically those are the four that I
26:06would want. I wouldn't go tight end and I just I don't think you would go with a running back at the spot. There aren't
26:11ones that I really want. Uh so we might just load into wide receiver. So we'll start with Stfon Diggs. Uh they don't
26:17help us. They take Aaron Jones and Chuba. Um I guess I'll just go with right now what the projections have and
26:23take Jaden Reed also hired by ADP. Um that's just like a market thing. Maybe the market's telling helping us out a
26:29little bit there. Um but I need to think about that one a lot excuse me a lot more. All right, I'll take Jayen Reed
26:35and we'll see what ends up happening in this draft. Um, okay, Stribbling goes, but looks like we'll get Conception. So, we take Diggs, we take Jaden Reed. Looks
26:44like a bunch of people take backup quarterbacks. Uh, no Tendons come off the board. Golden's gone. Uh, Debo, Shakir, Worthy, Coker, and Stribbling, and then
26:54a bunch of running backs. So, uh, we want Katon Mitchell, we want Casey Conception. uh difference there. 123 ADP
27:06versus a 153 ADP, you go with the earlier ADP. So, we'll take Conception and then we will take Katon Mitchell and
27:14then I would finish off probably with another running back. Um given that we have Jefferson, J Mo, Parker, I feel so good about those
27:22three. And then a really strong backup of Diggs, Reed, Conception. Sure, I'm more likely to use wide receiver. And there are some solid wide receivers
27:31left, right? Shahed's not a bad play.
27:34Trey Harris, Flenoi, Trey Tucker, uh McMillan. Uh if you want to take a shot on Cyrus Allen, I don't think you need
27:41to get into this general range after that. But all solid plays, but as my seventh receiver, what are the odds I
27:46actually use that player? Uh so we just don't need to be doing that. Um I would absolutely at this point take Mike
27:53Washington. Um I don't know that that would end up still being on the board.
27:57If it was not, I'd probably just take a shot on Marshon Lloyd, a shot on EMTT Johnson, Ray Davis, just basically take
28:03some backup running backs that if something, you know, unfortunate happens to James Cook, obviously Ray Davis is going to gain a ton of value. That's
28:12basically what you'd want with that last draft pick there. So, I would take my Washington here. Um, and then defense-wise, um, yeah, I would just
28:21take like Seattle. Seattle has a great defense, great weeks two and three, not necessarily week one, but that's good for streaming that we can get. Um, it's
28:28against the Patriots. Let's be honest, they're probably going to rack up a couple sacks. Uh, it's going to be a relatively
28:34low projected total game. I don't know if it's necessarily going to play out low total. Um, but against the Patriots at home, it's still a fine matchup. And
28:43then weeks two and three, we get great matchups. So, yeah, Seahawks definitely a good defense to be drafting. Uh, and then just take uh the the move at tight
28:51end is always to not do a player take and just say who what is a good offense that will probably not go for a ton of
28:58fourth downs, right? If you look at like the Bears, the Bears are a super aggressive offense going to go for a ton
29:04of time on fourth down. Well, that's annoying when it's a 45 yard field goal and your team goes for it on fourth
29:09down, right? You want that field goal for your kicker. So, uh, basically just try and do that. Uh we know Cam Little
29:14also can hit it from 60 yards, so maybe we can go with it there. Uh but yeah, that's basically how I would play kicker
29:21and understand that basically uh there's going to be kickers that um randomly break out, overperform that, you're probably just going to be
29:30streaming and picking up uh difficult to uh predict kicker season long. But again, just lean into good offense.
29:38Okay. Um also, I added this in for people who have been asking. kind of just shows you. I also I need to change
29:42around the format a little bit. But maybe when you guys are seeing this, I'll change it around. Uh it just gives
29:46you a little bit more of like that roster setting. Although, yeah, I need to make it show up better. Uh but some
29:50people were asking for that. But this is what we care about. So there is the team. Uh you guys can't see Jefferson,
29:57but that's round one. Jefferson. Uh we get running backs Chase Brown, Kirn, Ramandre, Keaton, and Mike Washington.
30:07But again, I don't think Mike Washington would be there. Pretend that was Marshon Lloyd. Uh receiver Jefferson, J Mo Parker, Diggs, Jaden Reed, but I got to
30:16figure out Jaden Reed verse Golden. Uh Conception, and then we've got Coulson Love at tight end, Trevor Lawrence at quarterback, Seahawks D, Cam Little.
30:25Think it was a really good draft. Uh Computer, okay, Computer wants T at the um at this spot here. Computer usually
30:35does like uh waiting on Lovelin.
30:38Obviously, you can't like if you want round four Lovelin, you only have one round four pick. Computer usually likes Lovelin closer to the mid to late fourth
30:46round. Uh but yeah, things go T there and then instead of Trevor Lawrence, go Tony Pard. I have backed off Tony Pard a
30:52little bit. Um terrible offensive line, terrible offense. Maybe more of a split expected between him and uh Spears. So, I've backed off that a little bit. I
31:01think Trevor Lawrence was the correct play at that point. uh we lose to an FFA Elite build. A team that goes uh robust
31:10RB. See, again, this is a this is a good build. This is the the computer that like I put a little bit more draft
31:16strategy logic into it. It's a good build. McCaffrey, Hampton, Bree Hall attack wide receivers when they're value in the middle rounds, grab a mid-range
31:26uh quarterback at, you know, mid six round ADP. They close off tight end and then they just kind of build, you know,
31:32relatively even evenly from there. The computers have also been um as a unit uh they opened taking defense in the final
31:38round and they've all shifted to taking defense kind of like a little bit earlier and going defense kicker and then receiver. I actually don't hate
31:45that. So for those of you who want to take them earlier if you think you can figure out the final round and the
31:50player that you get in 13 is the same as 15. Like basically there's the same quality of player. Uh it's totally fine
31:55to do this. Go defense, go kicker, and then if you were getting pretty much the same guy you would have gotten in 13
32:00only now you have a better defense and a better kicker, it's fine. Don't do any more. So don't start to get fancy and go
32:05like 12 13 if you got a ton of bench spots. Don't do it too early. It's one.
32:10You can leave one bench spot after and go defense and then kicker. All right.
32:15Uh that will do it for this one. Um leave a like if you are still here.
32:20Subscribe to the channel if you are new.
32:21I don't know what the Wednesday and Friday videos are going to be, but there will be videos on Wednesday and Friday.
32:25That'll do it for this one, and thank you all for watching.
