0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here back with another video. I made this video back in July when I drafted my
0:0450th team. I'm now at 136 paid drafts and so uh a little bit behind my quest for 250 by week one. But such is life
0:13when you have a six-month-old. Uh today I wanted to do uh basically a refresh of that video. Go over who remains in my
0:20top five most drafted at each position.
0:23See who is no longer in the top five and who has taken their spot. I'll also say at each position um if I was allowed to
0:31just lock in one player at each each spot at cost. So given their general ADP, who I would do it if this was like
0:39my most important league, I could lock one player in who it would be. So we'll start off with running back that is
0:44everyone's most favorite position. Um running backs that are still inside my top five most roster that were about a month and a half ago are Katon Mitchell,
0:53Bree Hall, and Kenny Gainwell. um feel pretty much the exact same about all three as I did a month and a half ago.
1:01Uh Keaton Mitchell, you've got Mike McDaniel running this very highly efficient rushing offense. I'm expecting the offense to be very good this season.
1:10I'm expecting the running backs to rotate as well. I would not expect Amaran Hampton to be the clear, you know, maybe he's the clear lead back,
1:16but like featured back, right? If they're giving, you know, 30 touches to the running back room, he's not going to have 25 to 27. They're going to even it
1:24out a lot more than people are expecting. We know Katon is one of the most explosive running backs in the NFL.
1:28And so if you have an explosive scheme, an explosive player, you've got a ton of upside. And then it's week 16. I really
1:34just point to that a lot. But the fantasy playoffs matter, right? Of course the regular season matters. You got to get there. But if we can draft
1:41someone in round 13 that has a crazy high ceiling in week 16, they will be at Miami. I expect the Chargers to score 50
1:49real life points at Miami in week 16. I don't know. I think there's just a lot of value to having that and saying that
1:55if you can make it to the semi-finals, I think he's going to be a player that wins it for you and gets you to the
2:01championship and on a site like underdog gets you to a baseball mania final, which is very difficult to do. Um, you
2:07can pretty consistently get Katon in that like 125 to 135 range as your fourth or fifth running back. The one thing I'll say here is watch the injury
2:14news. He has suffered kind of a setback to an injury. He's not out there practicing right now. If he goes out
2:20there and practices, I'll feel a lot better about this. Uh, but it also matters a lot less if this is like your
2:26second running back. You don't want them dealing with something right now. Your first running back as well as your fourth, as your fifth, as sometimes your
2:33sixth running back. It does matter a lot less. Uh, Bree Hall after him. Um, really hate betting on the Jets, but he
2:40is a round one talent. He is elite in the receiving game. The Jets should should be better on offense this season.
2:48Uh, I have zero concerns about a committee. People send me quotes all the time from the coaching staff. We have seen this coaching staff at other points
2:56point to a committee and then not even come close to actually running a committee. So, they lie to us all the
3:02time. Um, I honestly think the fact that he is on the Jets is more than reflected by his ADP. If you had Bree Hall on the
3:10um, I don't know, pick a team, Dallas, I don't know, the Dallas Cowboys, uh, he'd be a top seven rate pick in fantasy. So,
3:18you're getting that discount having him.
3:21What could be your third running back or could be your second running back if you draft a Brock Bowers, an elite wide
3:27receiver, something like that. You go like Jamar Chase, Derk Henry, Bree Hall.
3:31You can have drafts like that where the opportunity cost is a little bit lower into round three. And he's again an
3:38exceptional talent with great work in the receiving game. And I'm not worried about a committee. I'm also not worried about the groin injury. He should be go
3:45good to go in week one. um him and honestly the latest reporting on Jeremiah Love as well. He's not in this
3:50video, but neither one of them I'm really concerned about week one for their injuries. Kenny Gainwell after that. Um again, same take as before.
3:58He's not going to be some like top five running back, but what you're getting in the later rounds, you know, outside the
4:05top 100 picks here, closer to like pick 110, is a clear passing down running back. Someone that, you know, they don't
4:12love Bucky at the goal line. So there will be times where Gainwell has used the goal line or at least is used inside
4:17the 10 yard line, especially if they want to throw the ball. They'll throw Gainwell onto the field and use him in
4:21that area, but he's going to get the two and fourminute drills. They're going to use him when trailing. Uh so if we, you
4:26know, can identify some spots, especially in a full PPR league where, you know, it's going to be a high-scoring game. Maybe the Bucks are
4:33five to seven point underdogs. We can tell ourselves a story that he racks up four or five, six receptions in a game.
4:40And that's valuable to have on your bench. is valuable to have in the later rounds. Um definitely feels like he's being drafted at his floor. Again, not a
4:48super high ceiling running back unless you had an injury to Bucky Irving, uh in which case he would be close to a
4:53feature back. Um but yeah, I just think kind of drafted near his floor. He's a great pick in the drafts. No longer in
5:00my top five for running backs are Quinc Quinch Judkins and Jonathan Taylor. Um nothing to do with the player for Jonathan Taylor. It's simply that I
5:10moved McAffrey up over him. Sometimes I like to take Ahman Ros. He's obviously a great pick as well. It's very difficult
5:16for someone in round one to be in your top five all summer, right? Not only do you not want to do that, you don't want
5:22to draft a round one player like 30% of the time. You want to mix and match it.
5:27Um, but ADPs are going to kind of shift out as the summer goes along. I at times will get a lot of mid picks, but then
5:33like you're not going to get Jonathan Taylor if you have a top four pick or a bottom four pick. I guess you know the
5:39polls of the draft you're only going to get him in a mid first round pick. So uh he's falling out of the top five. It
5:44doesn't mean I don't like him. I love Jonathan Taylor this season. Uh it's just that I'll take McAffrey sometimes and Omar St. Brown sometimes as well. Uh
5:51Judkins was more deliberate. The more you think about the situation like basically a lot of people compare to Bree Hall and like well how do you like
5:58Bree Hall going what would probably be like two rounds earlier than Judkins? Um well number one the offensive line is better. Like the offensive line is
6:05horrible in Cleveland. It's a lot better in New York. Uh, number two, the receptions. It's okay to have a bad offensive line, maybe be on a worse
6:12offense if you can rack up, you know, a season where Bree Hall can have 60 or 70 receptions in a year. Judkins can't do
6:19that. So, he's on a bad offense with a bad offensive line, bad quarterback.
6:23They're locking in uh Watson. I feel like that's just going to be like a punching bag to start the year and go to
6:28Shadore. Um, like you lock in all these bad things and you don't get the out of receiving back. That's going to be Dylan
6:35Samson. he's not gonna catch passes.
6:37Talking about Judkins there. Uh, so the more I thought about it, I was like, man, it feels like um I don't remember
6:42who coined this term, but like you know that like um big miss, small hit kind of thing where it's like if it works out
6:48for Judkins, he could be featured on the ground. But since it's not coming with any receptions and likely this team's not going to score that many touchdowns,
6:56so maybe not going to have touchdowns as well, even if he kind of hits as an early down back, what is the actual
7:01ceiling here? Can he even be a top seven running back? If he misses, he's on the Browns and they stink and there's no
7:08receptions and you're like struggling to know if you should start him. And so it feels a little bit more risky than I
7:12should have been taking. So I backed off him by ADP. Um, new to the top five. So we have two people leaving, we have two
7:18people joining. Disappointing. So for all the other positions, I'm very happy with who's entered into the top five.
7:25I'm not happy at running back who's entered the top five here. So, uh, first we have Alvin Kamara and then we also
7:31have Kyle Manungai. I hope half of you or all of you threw up when I said that, uh, because it was pretty disgusting for
7:38me to look at. Here's the rationale. So, number one, uh, I drafted a lot of them before their injuries and so I'm
7:46drafting each of them a little bit less right now, but of course I had a lot of them. For Kamar, basically the case was
7:52he was going around 13 or 14. Um, that's basically a range of pure handcuffs.
7:56Once you hit really after Jonah Coleman, Jonah Coleman goes around pick, let's just call it 140 in general in drafts.
8:03Um, once you kind of exit that range, it's all handcuffs. So, none of these guys are really going to do anything
8:08unless there is an injury, but they have a lot of upside if there's an injury.
8:12For Kamara, I was like, well, if he's going with all these handcuffs, and the all the reporting was around the team
8:17was he's going to have a legitimate role. They restructure his contract.
8:20They're still paying him a lot of money.
8:22So, they're giving him a decent contract this year. He's going to have a role when healthy. That role will be in the
8:27receiving game, right? He's not going to have 17 carries. He's going to have like seven carries or five carries, but receptions added on. And so, I was like,
8:35well, if he's giving me kind of that baseline production, if there was an injury, they do still trust him to kind
8:41of lead this offense. And so, there's some upside there. Uh, pretty awful runout, though. Uh, has I believe it's the MCL sprain, but going to miss like
8:48two months. That means he's going to miss into the season. I don't know if he's going to open on on IR, but it's
8:52not looking amazing for him. Um, he basically goes in round 17 now, so all my round 13 14 shares are not looking as
9:00good. Um, it's the point in a reddraft league where I probably just wouldn't draft Alvin Kamara at all. Uh, but for
9:06underdog in round 17, you know, you can kind of take that hit early in the season if he then goes back and is
9:11mixing in the receiving game, will randomly get involved in the red zone as well. U, I still think he's a solid pick
9:16in 17. Um, but I need to back off a little bit. And then Manungai basically this was also a bad run out from his
9:22injury as well. Um although the Manunga injury does not seem too bad. Uh basically I was off him to start the
9:28summer cuz he's going in round seven and I'm like man round seven you're just in a range of so many other good players.
9:34Wasn't worth it. The quarterbacks are still there. Um back end of like the really good receiving prospects, you know, competing with some decent running
9:42backs as well. But his ADP had fallen a lot, you know, starting to go into round 10. And at that point, I was like,
9:47"Okay, like I stack Chicago a lot, right? You're going to see how much I love um I mean, you're going to you're
9:51going to see um Kale Williams, but you're going to see how much I love Coulson Loveland." And so, I draft both
9:55those two a lot. You guys know I like Luther Burden. I'll still take Roman Dunay. And so, when I have a Chicago
10:00stack and I'm sitting there in round 10 and still on the board, I'm like, well, why not? Why not add him on? Still has
10:05that very obvious contingent upside if Swift gets injured, but we'll still add on. You know, maybe he takes a step forward in his second season. Maybe he
10:14can be a touchdown scorer. like there's still an out here to where he was good, but with the injury does need to fall a
10:20little bit. Um, so yeah, pretty tough that both of the guys that I started drafting more suffer like month plus long injuries. Uh, but I would expect
10:28both of them back within the first month of the season. Uh, and you're not drafting them where you like need to be
10:33playing them right away. Among these five, most drafted, if I was allowed to just lock in at the start of the draft
10:40any one of these running backs at cost, I think it would be Ke Mitchell. Again, assuming positive news, if we get like a
10:47couple days before the season, a week before the season, and things are still not looking great, obviously you back off it a little bit, but at round 13, I
10:55just don't think it matters that much.
10:57You're not going to start him to start the year. So, even if he was limited, slow start, it does not matter for your
11:04team. You're hoping for that playoff game. You're hoping for inseason production. You're not going to start your 13th round pick in week one. I
11:12think he's a great pick this season. At quarterback, it's actually very much the same. So, I was surprised to see that a
11:18little bit. My one through five is now my two through six in the same order.
11:22Josh Allen, Kale Williams, uh Jaylen Herz, and or Drake May. So, Josh Allen, Caleb Williams, Drake May, Jaylen Herz, and Fernando Mendoza. That one through
11:32five has shifted down to two through six with one name jumping up to the number one spot, which I'm sure you can guess.
11:39for that two through six. It really just is general ranges where I want to attack quarterback. And a lot of that this
11:45season is just draft strategy related for Josh Allen. When he makes it into round four, I think it's just a great
11:51pick. Um you're past that range of running backs we feel good about.
11:55There's kind of a lull into the fourth round. Uh once you're past like the Hall, Love, Kirn, Javvante Williams, Travis ETN range. Once you're past that,
12:04there is kind of a gap into that next range. And so I like going with Josh Allen. and then you're kind of into the
12:09the back half of the wide receivers feel good about a lot of the wide receivers in that range are very similar to the
12:13round five and six receivers so it makes sense to take Josh out then for Caleb May Herz I think they're also discounted
12:20this is also a little bit underdog specific in that well I love the players on that team early on right I love
12:27Coulson Lovelin uh Roman Dunay uh Luther Burden I love AJ Brown I love Damont Smith and so when I draft them I'm more
12:35likely to take the quarterback if this was for reddraft, I'd still take Josh Allen in round four. Uh, but I would
12:41have a little bit less of this Williams, May, and Jaylen Herz range. And then Brandon Mendoza, I would not draft in
12:47reddraft league. That's just like I need a last quarterback in the last round.
12:50And I took Brock Bowers. Um, I would have my number one quarterback and that's Justin Herbert. Again, want to be in on the Chargers. I think he makes a
12:58lot of sense. Even if you don't believe the Chargers are going to be some amazing offense this season, he is an
13:05underrated talent. He's a very, very good quarterback. So, even if the team doesn't take some massive step forward, he's a great quarterback with high-end
13:14mobility, right? Um, people compare him to Josh Allen. He's not Josh Allen, but they have similar builds, similarish mobility. Um, I think people just don't
13:23view Justin Herbert as a mobile quarterback, even though he led the league in scramble yards last season.
13:27Like, he's a very mobile quarterback. He can get it done on the ground. He's not Lamar Jackson, but he can get it done on
13:31the ground. So when you combine that with again the elite system, the great arm strength, really good playmakers all around him at all positions, um just
13:40everything is improved. Even with the injury to the center, the offensive line is very improved from last season. And so when he's available to me in that
13:47like seventh, sometimes eighth round range, that's also at a spot where again the five six wide receivers are great, but it starts to drop off into round
13:54seven and eight, the running backs are a lot less certain at that point. And if I started off two running backs in three
13:59rounds, I kind of already maybe have three running backs at that point. Seven H is just a good strategy spot. If I
14:05take two running backs in three rounds, I have the opportunity to take Lovelin in round four. If I don't, I'm loaded at
14:10running back and receiver when I make it to round seven. Why not take Justin Herbert? Because I also think the range
14:16after Herbert for quarterback, I love Trevor Lawrence as well. he just kind of misses the top five. But after Herbert, after Lawrence, these quarterbacks after
14:23them, they go like sometimes one maybe two rounds later, but they have a way lower floor, a way lower chance of like
14:29being a top three quarterback. And at quarterback, you kind of need that high-end outcome. Like you can stream quarterback, you can figure it out, you
14:35know, especially in even like a 10 or 12 team league. If you know, if it's a one quarterback league, there's a lot of
14:41quarterbacks that maybe won't even get drafted in your league that are pretty solid that could be streamed and have you, you know, get baseline production.
14:47So, it's not really worth drafting someone who you think has a really good shot of finishing as a quarterback like eight, nine or 10. You got to be
14:53drafting someone who you think has that top three ceiling. And I think that Justin Herbert can, you know, outproduce this, you know, round five, six range of
15:00quarterback can compete with Josh Allen this season. And that's why I love him at cost. He would be the one quarterback
15:06where if I could take someone at cost, it would be Justin Herbert. At wide receiver, uh, still inside the top five,
15:12only two are Trey Harris and then very unfortunately, Travis Hunter. Um, I said in the Saturday news video that I'm basically just taking the L on Hunter.
15:21He was by far my most drafted player.
15:22So, I'm not drafting as much right now.
15:24I've dropped him a lot in the rankings.
15:25You won't get him much or you'll get him some, but you won't get him as much. Um, I have him much closer to ADP right now.
15:31Um, but because he was my most drafted by a lot, I had a ton of them and now it's trickling down. He's maybe like my
15:37fourth most drafted wide receiver by the end of the summer. He won't be inside the top five. Um, I was very excited
15:43because the talent is very obvious. they just really have more of a need at cornerback and so I'm not taking him as
15:49much. It's also seeming like he's more the backup to Brian Thomas Jr. and not like a three-way backup. Um, but I will
15:55say this, Brian Thomas Jr. like right before recording this did suffer a shoulder injury which could be a concern for him. So, we'll see. I have no
16:02information on that injury. But, uh, the bull case is still there. It's just only like a, you know, a much lower end
16:08outcome. I thought there was like a 50/50 shot. He's a starting wide receiver on this team. He's contributing. probably not the case.
16:15Still going to get schemed usage.
16:16They'll have some games where he plays offense, is using the red zone, has okay production. Uh unfortunately, the starting wide receiver is going to need
16:24a Brian Thomas injury, and you don't want to really be drafting wide receivers as handcuffs. Um so, yeah, not not taking him as much. The Trey Harris
16:32one though, I I don't get this. So, his ADP in reddraft leagues is outside the top 200 players. That makes no sense.
16:39Even underdog, it's like the 15th round.
16:41I don't think Quinton Johnson is that good. But the thing is, he doesn't even need to pass Quinton Johnson to be a
16:47great pick because they can have different roles. Last season, as a rookie, and as a rookie who still needed a lot of developing, it wasn't like he
16:54was amazing as a rookie last season.
16:56They trusted him in 13 personnel. That is one wide receiver, three tight ends.
17:01Why? Because he's a great run blocker.
17:03And you're going to hear me say this a lot. You know, you've heard me say it a lot in the off season. When you have
17:07those players, um, dribbling is another one we'll talk about in a second. When the team trusts you in run blocking, you
17:13just get onto the field more. And while a lot of those snaps might be run blocking, you don't get those points in
17:18fantasy. If you are a wide receiver getting snaps in one wide receiver sets, when they go play action from there, you're going to have very, very high-end
17:27efficiency. And I think that Trey Harris plays in 13 personnel, 12 personnel, 11 personnel. I think he might be on the
17:34field 90% of snaps this season. I think all the reporting in the offseason as he has taken that step forward and so
17:41there's just a ton of opportunity here on an offense I want to invest in in a very young player who was you know very
17:47highly regarded in the prospect streets playing quote unquote behind a player who cannot catch a pass clearly is just like not as good as we thought he was. I
17:57don't know. I just think there's a lot of opportunity and again he does not even need to pass Quinton Johnson. all
18:02he needs to do is be the best run blocking wide receiver on this team. And all of a sudden, he's getting these
18:07snaps in very highly efficient uh plays.
18:10And we know the Chargers are going to run a ton of heavy sets. They want to have all their tight ends on the field.
18:14They want to run the ball effectively.
18:15And when they drop back and when they go play action from those sets, man, the efficiency is going to be there. I think
18:20Trey Harris is a awesome pick late in drafts. Um, in the Friday video this week, I'm going to go over basically all
18:27of the players at all positions that I'd be considering in a reddraft league. So, like a 15 round reddraft league, I'd be
18:35considering for my bench, he is absolutely going to be highlighted in that video. Uh, just because even in reddraft, it's so easy. And if like a
18:44lot of you are like, "Oh, Nick, you know, there's some uh defenses I really want. Uh, can I take defense around
18:49higher?" Honestly, if you want to go defense kicker in the third to last, second to last round, and then take Trey
18:55Harrison your final pick and he's there, like I think that's honestly a perfectly fine strategy this season. He's a great pick. No longer in the top five are
19:04Jordan Tyson, Tankell, and Nico Collins.
19:07Tyson, I completely stopped drafting after the injury. His ADP has fallen. It has not fallen enough. It is a two plus
19:13month timeline. He will be ramped up slowly. You don't know if it could turn to three months. It is very very
19:18concerning that a player with his injury history has another setback with a hamstring. It's not good. I'm not investing in him in reddraft leagues
19:26anymore this season. So, we've gotten him way outside the top five. I think he's outside like the top 15 at this
19:30point for me. Um Tank Dell, that one's also injury related. So, I was hopeful to start the off season that he would
19:38ramp up. He would go out there, he'd, you know, be competing with um you know, Jaden Higgins. he'd be rotating into
19:45that two spot at worst be rotating into three. Even like recording this on August 25th on Tuesday, he's still really not cleared. Like he can practice
19:54sometimes, but like he can't practice every day. No way he has a role to start the season or at least like a strong
20:00role to start the season. There's a chance he's not even out there to start the year. So, uh, got to back off on the
20:04exposures there. I'll really only take him in round 18 when he falls that far and more so part of a stack. And then
20:10Nico, um, absolutely nothing about Nico Collins not being a good pick. He's just outside the top five. Uh, he's an amazing second round pick this season.
20:18Um, mid-sec rounder now that Jaden Hengins has done for the year. It's just tough to have a second round player, a
20:24mid-sec round pick, top five in your exposures. There are just a number of draft picks this year where you're simply not going to get Nico Collins
20:32just because you got the 12 pick or you got the one pick or you got the 11.
20:35Like, you know, the polls, you're really not going to get him as much. I have gotten him even after the injury um on
20:41some like you know late second rounds. I think that's exceptional value if you do get in the late second round. Still love
20:46him. Again, he's just outside the top five because you can't always get a second rounder at that high of a rate.
20:50To be top five, you almost need to be in like one in four teams, like 25%. Uh new to the top five. So if three people
20:58leaving, that means three people joining. Casey Conception, John Stribbling, and Kahan Booty. Um all three are incredibly high confidence picks for me. Um, I'm targeting them
21:08aggressively. Have been basically the last month. Even at elevated ADPs, I want to keep loading up because all these players seeing their ADPs go up.
21:16Conception, um, he has a shot to be the best wide receiver in this draft class.
21:20He's for sure the best wide receiver on the Browns. I am expecting them to feature the passing game around him. Um,
21:28use him on end rounds, screen passes.
21:30He'll run a full route tree. He'll get targets at all three levels of the field. That is exactly what you want in
21:35fantasy from your wide receiver. He would have clear league winning upside if you were not on the Cleveland Browns.
21:42That is the one unfortunate thing here.
21:44Uh but even in Cleveland, yes, the quarterback play is going to be bad. They're not going to score many touchdowns. But when you get the ball
21:50that much, you're not a 10th round pick.
21:52Like just straight up, you should not get someone in round 10 who's going to be a featured weapon getting rush attempts, screen passes, downfield,
22:01midfield, short field, all three areas getting targets. Like every week he's going to have a ton of targets. And again, he might be the best wide
22:09receiver in this class. Um you shouldn't get a player that talented in that role on any team in a double digit round. So
22:15amazing pick whenever he's there in round 10. Um if I don't get him, it is because I took struggling. Like literally, I'm taking one of those two
22:22in round 10 every single time. Uh dribbling, round one talent that the 49ers got in round two, like I said with
22:28Trey Harris, elite run blocker. That's going to get dribbling onto the field.
22:31And what else is going to get him onto the field is the fact that PiO's also done for the season. Uh you got M Mike
22:37Evans working through injuries. KD coming off an Achilles Mcaffrey who knows 50/50 to suffer a major injury there. Like there's injuries always in
22:46San Fran. uh shribbling if he can stay healthy uh is set up to absolutely explode this season. He's basically a more athletic version of Jawan Jennings.
22:54And maybe that doesn't sound appealing, but Jawan Jennings had some absolutely monstrous games in San Fran. And a more athletic version of him is just going to
23:03fit beautifully on this offense. If you can ever get a round one talent playing a full snapshare on a Kyle Shanahan
23:10offense, they're going to have a lot of upside. Um, I do think that Conception is the better wide receiver, but I think
23:17it's basically um, they're basically even in the rankings because 49ers are way better offense, but I do think the role for Conception is much higher
23:27volume in total and he's a better receiver. So, I think it's net neutral.
23:30You take the loss of the Browns, the win on the 49ers, but you, you know, kind of forego other things when taking
23:35Shreblin. Then uh for Booty, it's been just very obvious all summer the Patriots want to trade him away. At some point there was going to be an injury or
23:44something that caused the team to be more desperate. I thought it was going to be the Commanders going after him, but after the Jaden Higgins injury, it
23:51becomes obvious that Houston trades for him. Uh they don't give up a ton and it's not like it's a guarantee that he's
23:56their number two, but he probably will be. Um he's been going around 18 all summer. That's where I've been loading up. ADP is going to go way up. I might
24:03just back off at this point and say I've got, you know, 30% of him at round 18.
24:09Why would I draft him if he goes up to round 12 or 13? And I do think that's the range he's going to go into is round
24:1512 or 13. My guess is that he will be the starting wide receiver to across from Nico Collins. Uh, and that they'll
24:21have null in that like, you know, deep slot role. I don't think Null is going to play in two wide receiver sets and I
24:25do think Nico is going to play over Xavier Hutchinson. So, or obviously Nico is, but I think that Booty is going to
24:30play over Xavier Hutchinson. So, that's how I'm seeing things. Again, around 1213 is what he should be going in at this point. We'll see how quickly the
24:37ADP does rise. Uh, but Booty is just someone that, you know, he was a very high-end prospect and then he has the
24:44ankle injuries. He never really kind of gets um he gets recovered from it, but he talked a lot about the mental health
24:51aspect and like not fully being able to trust the ankle. And then finally last season, he kind of opened up and was
24:58like, I trust my body now. I feel like I used to and he had a really good year for New England. It wasn't a high volume
25:05role and that role wasn't really there now that they have um AJ Brown in town and Romeo Dobs, but he's a good wide
25:11receiver, a good talent. He can be that number two and so I'm excited for him to get that shot in Houston and I think he
25:17will be that number two for him. Uh as far as who I would take if I could lock in one wide receiver at cost in my most
25:23important league, I think it would be Casey Conception. I'd be fine saying stribbling instead in round 10. I know the Browns are trash. Uh, but that just
25:31also means a lot more positive game scripts, a lot more garbage time, and really like how how about this for a
25:37take? No one's batting an eye at like round six Carnell Tate. I think that Carninal Tate and Casey Conception are similar talents. Like prospectwise, I
25:48think Tate probably has a slightly better chance to be the better wide receiver, but it's slightly. I don't think it's by that much. The Titans have
25:54the worst offensive line in the NFL. Cam Ward was the worst quarterback in the NFL last season. All offseason reports indicate he didn't really get that much
26:02better preseason not looking very good.
26:05Like the Titans are not going to be good as well, but no one cares. They'll take Carninal Tate round six, but we're
26:11worried about Conpion in round 10 being on the Browns. It's the double digit rounds. There's not that much opportunity cost in the double digit
26:18rounds. Not many of those picks work out. I can tell you with 100% certainty, Conception is an exceptional talent and going to have a huge role on this team.
26:27The only thing he's worried about is quarterback play, but that is also the case for Carnell Tate going in round six. So, why are we worried about, you
26:33know, Conception, but not Tate? And maybe that's just more of a take that you should take that you should back off
26:37Carnell Tate. Uh, tight end still in the top five are who you'd expect, Loveland, Bowers, and KD. I've been very consistent all off seasonason. I love
26:47these three. I have been drafting them a ton. Um, not only do they each have the opportunity, I guess Lovelin and Bowers
26:54more both have the opportunity from a seasonl long perspective to put together a season that just separates so much in a points per game aspect that you really
27:02needed them to be that top end team. But they also have that high weekly ceiling to when you get into the fantasy
27:08playoffs, they can be that separator where they drop 30. you're going up against even a good score of 10 at the
27:14tight end position and you just have such a high um separation at the position and such a high positional advantage that uh it just makes them
27:23worth their ADPs. Bowers set the NFL record for the most receptions for rookie among all positions in his rookie season. Uh and then he just has the
27:31injury last season. Couldn't really perform based on that. Now he gets a major coordinator change. I think a goodsized quarterback upgrade as well.
27:39Uh, you have Loveland just dominant last year. Once he became a full-time starter. Um, I think by the end of the
27:46year, he'll be viewed as the second best all-around tight end behind Bowowers uh, in the NFL. Um, just fully expecting both of these guys to drop nukes. I'm
27:55willing to take Bowowers in two more mid to late second round for Bowowers and then anytime in round four for Coulson
28:02Leland. Uh, just the chance that Lovelin is that number one in the Ben Johnson system, that huge positional advantage he offers. I think it's worth it in
28:10round four. Um, and again, the appeal is not only that they can separate and be the number one tight end by like two or
28:16three points per game and separate from, you know, the tight end 7, eight where people are streaming by like five, six
28:21points per game. It's that they're both capable of 10 for 150 and three. And that's something that I want in the
28:27playoffs and all formats. And then for KD, he's just been undervalued all summer. People are pointing to the Achilles injury. The age, we know the
28:33age is just not a concern for older tight ends. Like look at Travis Kelty.
28:37he's doing at 37. If you are the elite of the elite tight ends, it's not a concern. You can perform at a very high
28:43age and the Achilles injuries was like the, you know, best Achilles injuries you could have imagined for recovering from. It's just not going to be a huge
28:52concern this season since 2018. KD's been a tight end 3 2 3 4 2 6 1 and two in adjusting points per game. So, pretty
29:02darn good. eight straight seasons being top six uh first and second over the last two years and you can get him in
29:08round 10 all summer. Very very obvious pick to make there. No longer in the top five or Aronda Gadston and David and
29:15Jojoku. I talked about this a few days ago um or a few days after the video.
29:19I've talked about it a few days ago in the news video that just like I lost all confidence in both of these guys. I
29:25think Jooku honestly is gonna have a fine role, but I lost confidence in them in fantasy because everyone was talking about Charlie Kolard and I was like,
29:31"Okay, Charlie Colard got to look into this a little bit more." I really viewed him as only a blocking tight end. The
29:36thing is, he's not like he was brought in to be their clear blocking tight end to play a significant amount of snaps a
29:42season, but if you look at his production in college, he's a blocking tight end only on Baltimore, but he was highly productive in the receiving game
29:48in college. Like, he can get it done in the receiving game. And so the more I thought about it, I was like, "Oh man,
29:52this offense is shifting much more towards that heavy personnel, run the football, utilize play action off of that, that is Charlie Kolar to a note
30:01Gadston." And it's really not David and Jooku as much. Uh so I think Gadston um I like I took Kolar over Gadston in
30:08round 18 the other day. I'm just not drafting him anymore. I'll take Colar every time in round 18, especially when I draft Justin Herbert. New to the top
30:17five. We had a few people leaving, few people joining now. Terence Ferguson, Kenyan Sadi. I have warmed up to these two a lot on underdog. They're all like
30:27every single time I go with these late tight end builds. That's who I want to end with. I want to take Ferguson, I
30:33want to take Sadi, and I want to take someone like uh Kolar. Um even when I'm doing an elite tight end build, so if I
30:39draft Brock Bowers, if I draft Coulson Lovelin, I'll do two tight ends in total, and I'll take one of these two.
30:44Um I just really think the cost for both of these two is exceptional. Um, Sadi is going to start season slow and for those
30:51of you in reddraft leagues only, I don't know that you need to go there. I don't know that he'll be in the Friday video.
30:56Again, that slow start, it's just it's not worth it in a reddraft league. He'll probably end up on free agency. You can
31:02get him after that. But for something like underdog, if I'm going to get him at pick 185 as my second or third tight
31:09end, I'm okay with a slow start because in the playoff weeks where it's going to matter, I really think Sadi's going to
31:14have a lot of value and going to vastly outperform 185. In a reddraft league though, Terrence Ferguson's that guy.
31:19Like I I add him to the mustdraft players list. Pretty bold if you want to actually take him as your only tight end
31:25in a reaff. Uh but honestly, I think it would be okay. Um if you want to just load up on running backs and receivers,
31:31you want to keep taking uh maybe there's a lot of valuable positions. People are taking tight ends. You miss out on some
31:36of the upside option. You're like, "Ah, I don't really want to take Hunter Henry, Brettton Strange. Let me just only take Terence Ferguson." Man, I
31:43think there's a chance that he is, you know, the third target on this team. He is one injury away from a massive role
31:50in the red zone. Like literally, if Adams got hurt, I would project Terrence Ferguson for like double digit touchdowns this season. And you're
31:56getting him for absolutely free at the end of reddraft leagues. Uh but I would mostly do it on double tendon builds. I
32:02would still probably go with a Likely or a Jawan Johnson and then also take Terrence Ferguson. But man, I just I
32:08want to be loading up on him right now.
32:09the ADP is rising. Unless he starts going in like the top 12 rounds, he's still going to be a huge value. It's
32:14just the opportunity cost is so little when you get into these late rounds that you're competing with just absolute scrub receivers, scrub running backs.
32:24Being able to take someone like a Sadique, like a Terence Ferguson, I think gives you a ton of value. In terms
32:29of which tight end I would lock in if I could choose uh for my one reddraft league, I think it's close. I would
32:36probably pick Loveland in round four. I think that's just my favorite draft strategy-wise. But if you said, "Nick, I just cannot go after early round tight
32:44end. It always burns me. I don't want to do it." Then I would say the answer is Terrence Ferguson in round 14. But I
32:49would really just mock it out. Do some mock drafts where you take Coulson Loveland in the fourth round. Do some mock drafts where you wait a super long
32:55time and take Ferguson and just see which teams do you like more. You can mock draft for free on my websitethefanty footballadvice.com.
33:03Again, test it out. See what works for you. Don't only rely on the team grades.
33:07See what actually works for you. What team do you want to have? Again, 100% free to mockdraft on the website. So,
33:14uh, I will be back on Friday to go over my favorite picks in the double digit rounds specifically for reddraft leagues. Who would be on my short list
33:23to be trying to getting onto my teams?
33:25That is a massively important video. We will be talking about only the best players to fill your bench with. I highly recommend you click subscribe so
33:34you don't miss out on that one. That my friends is in this one. Please leave a like if you are still here and I'll
33:39catch you all on that Friday video.
