0:00What's going on guys? It's Nick here, back with another video. Today we're going round by round talking about who I think the worst pick is in every round
0:05this season. This will be a mixture of player takes and strategy and ADP is going to be an average of all the major
0:12platforms. If you want to follow along or see the updated ADPs, feel free on my website thefantasyfootballadvice.com.
0:18All right, let's start things off in round one where everyone's a good pick, so I don't want to turn this into a big
0:24thing, but the worst pick among all the very good picks in round one is Jackson Smith and he's going six overall. I have
0:31him seventh overall. This is a mixture of player take and strategy, but I would say the lean is more strategy. I just
0:38want a running back in round one. I'm really right now only breaking that for Chase, Puka, and Amon-Ra. And honestly, Puka recent news, recent developments,
0:46everything makes me want to change that to only Chase and Amon-Ra. But yeah, from a strategy perspective, I just think you're better off starting with a
0:53running back in the first round. Then from a player perspective, you know, there's concerns about Kubiak leaving.
0:59They've said they want to kind of keep the same system, bring over elements from San Francisco. That's all great, but we still don't know if it's still
1:06going to be as effective of a scheme.
1:08You also have Shaheed going to be more involved this season, he was given a big contract in the off season.
1:14They didn't really use him at all when they traded for him last year. He'll have more of a target share. And then
1:19just the obvious regression, right? 11 yards per target last season on 163 targets. No other player in NFL history has done that. Actually, before last
1:31season, I think it was 139 targets was the most on 11 yards per target or more.
1:35So, no one had done 140 targets and 11 yards per target. He goes out there and does 163 targets sustaining that level
1:42of efficiency. Obviously, that is going to drop. So, he's going to have a good season. It's just we don't know how far
1:48the efficiency is going to drop, not only just naturally, but with the offensive coordinator leaving. And then you mix in, you know, wanting running
1:55back in that range just makes him the worst pick among the very good picks. In round two, worst pick is Devon Achane,
2:01goes 14th overall. I have him 18th overall, so not a huge difference, but I really just don't get him that much
2:07because again, usually goes at the 2-3 turn of a 12-team league, and I just don't want to be drafting him or the 1-2
2:13turn, I don't really want to be drafting him until the 2-3 turn.
2:16Um I see how you pass on Chase Brown, pass on Ken Walker to take him, and consistently he goes ahead of those two.
2:24Miami's going to have a bottom-five offense this season, they're going to have a bottom-five offensive line, and they're transitioning from, you know,
2:31the check-down king Tua to a hyper-mobile quarterback that's rarely going to check down. I understand people's arguments that like, well, they've been bad, they've had a bad
2:39offensive line. Well, number one, the bad offensive line can be fixed by Mike McDaniel, he's a a great coordinator that takes
2:45bad players on the offensive line and makes them over-perform. They don't have that anymore. But then also, it's the check-downs, right? Even if you have a
2:51bad offensive line and Tua's under constant pressure, what does he do when that happens? He dumps it off. What is Malik going to do? He's going to
2:58scramble. So, it's just different.
3:00People seem to think they can have it both ways, right? They think that, you know, they can say Malik's going to run
3:04for 1,000 yards this season, but that he's also going to check it down to Tua or check it down to Achane every play.
3:10You can't have it both. Either you think Malik's going to run for a lot of yards or you think there's going to be a lot
3:16of check-downs still there for Achane.
3:18But you cannot have both in this equation, and the real worry for Achane isn't even just that. It's the late-season schedule. If they're
3:26actually live for the number one pick, they end the season weeks 13 through 17 playing the Broncos, Bears, Packers, Chargers, and Bills. Brutal, they will
3:35be losing all of those games. That's going to be five losses in a row to go 13 through 17. They might lose their
3:42last six, seven, eight games this season, and if they're live for number one, and they look at that schedule and they're like, all we have to do is not
3:49upset a team with hit one pick, or they're live for a top three pick in a really good draft class. Like the point
3:54would be if Achane has the slightest of ankle injuries, shoulder injuries, groin injuries, even the slightest of an injury, little bit of a hammy, they're
4:03going to sit him in those weeks. They're going to bench him. They're going to tank. And so with that kind of in the
4:09range of outcomes there, I don't want that to even be a possibility in my early second round pick. Round three, Worth's pick is easily Rashee Rice, goes
4:1625th overall at the 2-3 turn. I have him 42nd overall. Looks awful in camp as he works back from his knee injury. Now, I
4:24do think some of the clips are unfair because I think they're actually having him take it easy. Like there's that one
4:30clip going around where he just gets completely locked up on the left side of the field. He gets absolutely no separation. He's moving like 1 mile an
4:38hour. I genuinely think on some of these plays they are telling him, "Go out there. Like the ball is not going to
4:44you. We just need you to like be out there filling space, you know, working back from the injury. Go like 60%." I do
4:49actually think that's probably occurring to some degree, but it's not great that that's occurring. It's not great that Cyrus Allen's having an amazing camp.
4:57It's not great that he's had other severe injuries in the past. Like he's just not a player that the underlying talent is good for unless you are
5:05uh playing a team heavy in zone and you're peppering with targets. Cuz last season very valuable cuz they just threw it to
5:11him every play. And you could tell like they got to the red zone it was like, "Oh, the ball's going to Rashee Rice."
5:15But it was like it was forced. Like it just like I think they thought they were going to get this really high-end
5:20efficiency with him beating zone and just picking teams apart. He got a lot of targets, but he was very inefficient.
5:27He couldn't beat man coverage, so it had to be these zone beaters. And if they're not force-feeding him the football every
5:33play because maybe in the off-season they look at it and they're like, "Oh, we were pretty darn bad last season forcing him the football." Maybe they
5:39just don't do that this year. If that happens, you're not going to have fun taking him at the 2-3 turn. And again,
5:44you'll want to see him look a lot better in camp uh before you start taking him.
5:48I'm through 105 drafts right now. I took him one time. Uh round four, Lamar Jackson comes off the board at the 409.
5:54I have him about eight spots lower in round five. This one is purely strategy.
5:58He's a great pick. You know, he's the quarterback two. I don't think you can really debate anyone over him as a
6:03quarterback two. It's just that like Josh Allen is fine in the late third round cuz you're paying for that stability. You know Josh Allen has been
6:11a top two quarterback in six consecutive seasons. You're paying for the stability, the certainty. You know what's going to happen with Josh Allen.
6:17Going to be great. Lamar has that same ceiling as Allen and maybe even has a higher ceiling, but he isn't stable at
6:24all. I mean, his production is all over the place. He's got way elevated injury risk. But there's just a lot more
6:28seasons where Lamar goes out there in the same spot and does and doesn't do anything. And so, you're not buying that certainty in
6:36round four. It's just like, wait. Like there's so many good quarterbacks this season. Round six, you can take Daniels or Hurts. Round seven, you can go Caleb
6:43or Herbert. Round eight, you can go Trevor Lawrence, Goff in round 10, Kyler in round 11, Daniels uh Daniel Jones in round 14. Like
6:50there's just so many options this season. Why take Lamar in four?
6:55Completely lock yourself out from any sort of value. Just wait. At some point, someone I listed off is going to be a
7:04great value. You're going to sit there and be like, wow, they're a round or two behind ADP. I didn't plan on taking
7:09them, but how do I pass this up? Well, you're going to be pretty annoyed if you take Lamar in four, pass up on some
7:14really good players like Buca, Loveland, uh Ladd, Waddle, Burden. There's great picks in round four. Pass on all of them to take him. Maybe you sit there in
7:23round like 11 and Justin Herbert's still there cuz in home town leagues that's going to happen. And you're like, what am I doing? Obviously, I'd prefer Justin
7:29Herbert in round 11 to a round four Lamar Jackson. Uh so, just just wait and take the value at quarterback.
7:36Round five, uh Bucky Irving.
7:39This one I think is kind of a mixture. I mean, round five historically is not an amazing spot to be drafting running
7:46back. The wide receivers typically are a little bit better. Maybe Lamar does fall to round five, in which case he's a much
7:52better pick. Uh but for the most part, I'm just concerned about the split here.
7:57Like, there's plenty of reports that Kenneth Gainwell is very clearly the guy on passing downs. We know that they still like Boston Scott. They gave
8:05Boston Scott a pretty decent contract for a number three running back. We know they like using him in short yardage.
8:10They have talked about how they got to keep Bucky healthy. So, when you take him off the field in two-minute drills,
8:15all these passing downs, take him off the field in goal line short yardage, it's just a way to reduce the hits, um
8:20reduce the reps, and keep him healthy.
8:23So, that's good. You might have him for longer this season, but if it's all early down work with like minimal touchdown upside, minimal reception
8:30upside, round five just feels aggressive. You really just missed out on some really high-end running backs.
8:37This is a range of the draft where you should probably be focusing on wide receiver. You should probably take two running backs in the first three rounds,
8:43and then focus on tight end maybe around fourth level, and but really wide receiver in these middle rounds. Taking Bucky Irving, it's just like it's not a
8:51good setup. I would much prefer to take running back early, and then target wide receiver here. So, it's a mixture of
8:56strategy and player take, but the player take aspect here is just that I just don't see the role being that strong
9:03unless you have a Gainwell injury.
9:05And I don't want that to happen in round five. In round five, I want to be very sure my running back has a great role.
9:10Uh round six, Marvin Harrison Jr. coming off the board in mid-sixth round. I have him in the late seventh round. I should
9:15I don't know. The vibes are off. Like, it it feels like you watch him in these clips out of camp, and you're like, he
9:21looks so hesitant. Like, doesn't he?
9:22Like, you you watch it, and you're like, he it's almost like he doesn't want the football. It's like he runs the route
9:27hoping that when he turns around, the ball's not coming his way. Um lot of former NFL players, former wide receivers, have come talked about just
9:34the confidence. Like, it just seems like he's lacking confidence right now. And he's a player that like we could look back on this in round six and be like,
9:40how did we pass on that? Like he's that talented of a player. The problem is I just feel like we're a little bit of
9:45times overvaluing this team. This team is projected to be bottom two with the Jets in terms of points per game. They
9:50have the hardest schedule I've ever seen in my life. Like every single week you're going to be looking at this and
9:54being like, oh, they play Seattle again.
9:56They play the Rams again. They play the Eagles. You're going to be like, what what why do they keep playing these like
10:00insane passing defenses every single week? They'll go from Brissett to start the season and then go to Carson back after that. So you have quarterback
10:07change. It's just there's a lot of vibes that are very, very bad and it almost seems like I don't know. It's beat
10:13reporters, so maybe it's not like the team, but it almost seems like they're being forced being like, no, no, no, he's still very good. He's out there in
10:19one wide receiver sets. He's getting the football and it's like, I don't know.
10:22When I watch the clips, doesn't Michael Wilson look a lot better than him?
10:24Wouldn't you much rather throw to Trey McBride? Like it just it doesn't seem like it's working right now. Hasn't been working the last two years. I don't
10:31know. I feel like we're still forcing it. Unless there are a lot more positive reports out of camp, round six, it just
10:37feels too early to be taking Marvin Harrison Jr.
10:40Like I would much rather wait a couple rounds and take the upside of Michael Wilson even though the reports are that
10:45Marvin's went out there in one and two wide receiver sets. So obviously they're both out there in two wide receiver sets. But Marvin's went out there in 13
10:51personnel one wide receiver sets. Those are the ones you want in fantasy. I just kind of don't care. Like I it's the
10:55vibes are bad for Marvin this season. Uh round seven there are actually a lot of really bad values, but I will say that uh Kyle
11:03Pitts is just easily the worst. I don't get it. Like I've had people try to explain it to me. I don't understand the
11:08ADP this season. Early seventh round ADP. Uh ESPN, he's a mid fifth rounder.
11:13That might be the worst ADP I've ever seen in my life. So you can't take him on ESPN. It genuinely feels like a joke
11:19that he's that high. Um historically is a really bad range to take tight ends.
11:23So if you look at past data uh how teams have performed when they taken certain positions at certain ranges, mid round
11:30tight end is just not a winning strategy. You can win, right? That year, um I I think Brock Bowers' rookie season
11:36was in this general range. Um that obviously led to league-winning seasons, but over time, it's a losing bet taking tight end in this range. He's the sixth
11:45tight end off boards, and he didn't even do that last season with a 40-point game. Like, I think that's what we need
11:49to wrap our head heads around right now.
11:51He was seventh in points per game last year, taken sixth this year. He was the tight end 21 through week 13. For the
11:58vast majority of the season, he did absolutely nothing. 6.7 half-PPR points per game in the 12 games that Drake London played. For most of the season,
12:07you did not want him on your roster.
12:09Then he dropped 40 fantasy points.
12:11That's it. That's all that happened last year. And so, to take him as the tight end six, I don't know what we're doing.
12:16He had a couple good games with London out, but London's going to be back this season. I don't know. I've taken him on
12:21two out of 105 teams. It was only because he fell and I was stacking Atlanta. In a redraft league, it makes
12:26no sense to take him this early. In round eight, Pittman, uh he goes at 808.
12:32I have him about two and a half rounds behind ADP. There's a subset of the community that just like really likes
12:37the Steelers this season. I think ETR is probably like steering the ship in that the most, and I have a lot of respect
12:44for the projection team over at ETR, Silva and Levitan as well. Like, I I I don't like to go against them. I just
12:51don't get it. Like, I understand that maybe they like quote-unquote return value in this their general spots, but Metcalf was 23rd in just the points per
13:00game last season playing alongside absolute scrubs at wide receiver. If it was ever going to happen for Metcalf, it would have happened last season. And
13:07truly, for most of the season for Metcalf, you didn't really want him.
13:10And I know this is a Pittman take, but like Metcalf is still a very good wide receiver. He's still on the team. The
13:15team is very invested in having him. If they ever go to one wide receiver sets, he'll be the one on the field. When you
13:21throw Pittman in there, you add in Jeremy Bernard, it's like I I the target shares really thinning out even if you're in the camp that thinks that
13:29Pittman leads the wide receiver room in targets, they're going to throw to the running backs, they're going to rotate their tight ends in there. Aaron Rodgers
13:36is now 43 years old coming off by a good chunk his fewest passing yards per game of his career. This team's going to be
13:43bottom five in total plays. Rodgers is probably going to throw for about like 200 passing yards per game. And so you
13:49divvy up those 200 yards among Metcalf and Pittman and Bernard and Rico and Warren and Freiermuth and Washington and all of a sudden you're like, where's the
14:00upside? Again, I can see in like a full PPR league if Pittman's running these like five-yard, you know, hitch routes and is getting like five of them every
14:08week and you're like, you know, I'll take my five for 50 with like a touchdown every month in full PPR. I
14:14guess, but I just like do you really want that? I don't know. Like are we really going to bet on a 43-year-old Aaron Rodgers in a
14:22slow-paced, low-volume offense when they're not exactly thin at skill players? And the contract, I mean, two years 35 million, it's not bad, but it's
14:30way less than they gave DK Metcalf and it's in the same range as Wan'Dale, Dobbs, Shaheed. Like they Those guys go
14:37later. Some of them are on better offenses. It's like, I don't know. I I don't really see it. He's fine. It just
14:43screams no upside, no chance of being a difference-maker. What do we always talk about in a redraft league is you got to
14:48draft difference-makers. There's like 15 players that actually matter in fantasy.
14:53Everyone else is filler. Everyone else is rotated in. Everyone else you can find something in free agency. You can trade for another guy that's just like
15:00rotating into your flex spot. That's what Pittman is. Pittman is that guy that is filler, has no chance of being a
15:06difference-maker. So why draft someone who has no chance of being a difference-maker in round eight? There are options for you in round eight.
15:13Round nine, uh Rashad White, similar sentiment, uh but a one-year, $2 million deal from the Commanders this offseason, uh pretty much only a passing-down
15:22running back on a team that threw to running backs less than any team in the NFL last season. Camp reports are
15:29indicating that they want to get J.C.
15:30More involved in the receiving game that he's developed in that area. I only half buy that report. I I do buy the report
15:37that they want it to happen. I just don't think that J.C. is totally capable of being a high-end pass catcher, but
15:42the fact that they want it to happen, that they want J.C. to be out there and basically they don't want to be
15:46one-dimensional. When they throw a J.C.
15:48White out there, they're like, "Okay, well, we're obviously passing the ball, right? Like, it's not really going to We're not going to give him really down
15:52touches. If we do, they're not going to be efficient." So, they want J.C. to be that guy who's decently productive on
15:57the ground and can at least be a threat in receiving game. And so, White's really only going to have 2-minute, 4-minute obvious passing situations.
16:04On the Commanders, it's like maybe that's a good role on the Steelers, right? If you can rack up like Gainwell did last season, but it's not a good
16:13role on the Commanders. No one's going to throw to running backs less or maybe they're like only fifth worst this season, but they're not going to throw
16:18to the running back position all that much this year. I just don't see it.
16:22Even if J.C. got hurt, they probably give Keaontay Ingram more work. It's like, I don't know. I White's only going to have a passing down role. I don't
16:28understand why he would really be someone you want to be considering. In round nine, you can do better, right?
16:33You could go for Josh Downs, maybe league winner of the season. Kittle has insane upside. Corum, even if the base case for Corum isn't amazing, the
16:40contingent upside at the very least is insane for him. Uh maybe Jonathan Brooks falls to this range. Like, do you really want to take Washington uh
16:48backup running back here? No, the tonsil injury should just like further cement that for you. That decreases their touchdown projection. That decreases,
16:56you know, how good they're going to be on offense, but then the efficiency.
16:58Like, he's still going to have some carries. Well, now those carries are going to be a lot less efficient not having tonsil there. So, yeah, I don't
17:03see the real appeal to the backfield in general, but if you want someone, it's going to be J.C., but I would mostly
17:08just avoid Commanders running backs this season. Uh round 10, Travis Kelce uh goes in the early 10th round. I have him
17:15about a round behind that. Uh through 105 drafts, I have him on one team.
17:20Maybe I'm being ageist here, fading a 43-year-old Aaron Rodgers and a soon-to-be 37-year-old Travis Kelce, but this is the National Football League. If
17:28linebackers truly cannot cover a 37-year-old Travis Kelce, they should not be on the field. Like, last season, uh, set a decade low. A decade low, you
17:37can say that for Travis Kelce, uh, and then still not be at the beginning of his career. A decade low in targets, uh,
17:43a career low in receiving yards per game, second lowest yards per target of his career. That should be obvious, he's now 37 years old. Obviously, he's going
17:51to be regressing. Only has five, three, and five touchdowns over the last couple seasons. I definitely think he could finish in this general top 10 range, in
17:59this like nine to 12 range, in like quote-unquote return value at this ADP.
18:05But there's like a one point per game difference between the tight end 10 and the tight end 18. So, you can find this
18:11exact production at the very end of the draft. There are tight ends going much later that will probably produce within one point per game of Travis Kelce.
18:20And they maybe have the ceiling to actually outproduce this and maybe do like a tight end six, seven, or eight.
18:28Maybe I'm wrong, but I don't think that's really in the cards for Travis Kelce at this point of his career. So,
18:32you're just better off completely avoiding tight end in this range unless Kittle's there, we want Kittle. But avoid tight end in this range. Wait,
18:40there's going to be some options later in the draft that actually have a ceiling or to very least can return the
18:43same value as Kelce. It doesn't cost you a 10th round pick. Uh, round 11, Shakir goes in the mid-11th round. I have him
18:51in the mid-12th round. Um, over the last two years, he's been the wide receiver 35 and 39 in adjusted points per game.
18:57And now they added DJ Moore. That's probably all I should really have to say to where it's like there's just not a
19:03ceiling here. We know Shakir at a baseline, even if DJ Moore got injured, is not a ceiling player. But now you
19:08have DJ Moore in there and it's just you're never going to to when to play him. Um, just feels like a throw-away
19:12pick. Like, maybe in a full PPR three wide receiver league, and first off, he'll be going higher than this in that
19:18format. Um, but maybe in a format like that, you can lean on him. Um, but like 75% of you play in a league that's
19:24either like, you know, eight, 10, or 12 teams, standard or or half PPR or full PPR, but not three wide receivers. And
19:30in all of those formats, are you going to play him? Like, are you actually going to play him this season?
19:35Probably not. Um, or at the very least, you could find that exact production on free agency at some point where better production. And
19:42in this range, you can still draft Kayshon Boutte who we love the talent on, Romeo Doubs, Stefon Diggs, Jayden Reed. Give me
19:48all four of those wide receivers over Shakir every time. I even prefer the round 12 wide receivers we'll see in a
19:54second over Shakir. Uh, in round 12, I'll be honest, there actually aren't that many bad picks. Round 12 looks pretty solid this season. Um, all these
20:01guys are pretty appropriately priced. I will say Charbonnet though, um, specifically if you don't have an IR spot. Like, they can hype him up all
20:09they want and say like week one isn't off the table. That is a load of poop.
20:12Like, this kid is not playing in week one this season. There's no way we see him in September. Um, tough spending a
20:1912th round pick on a player that I mean, I don't know that we see him until November.
20:26That's just too far. Like, if you don't have an IR spot, you're just burning a hole at the bottom of your roster. You
20:31need those spots. As much as you might think, "Oh, it's the last bench piece. I can wait on it." You will have injuries.
20:37And even for those of you in IR leagues, like you're like, "Oh, I can add him, throw him on IR, and then add someone on
20:41free agency, right? It's a free pick."
20:43And I get that. That's that's not like a bad move or anything. But as we get later in the camp, there's probably
20:48going to be other players you can do that for. But then also, like you're going to need that. Like, your team is
20:52healthy right now. It's not going to be healthy in week two. Like, you're going to have injuries. You're going to have
20:57players who underperform. You're going to need these bench spots. Every bench spot is very, very valuable in fantasy to have it be Charbonnet locked in for
21:06like six to 8 weeks maybe. Like I know they're a optimistic about his recovery and I think he could be good in the
21:12second half of the season. It just feels like something that like for the teams who wait on them, they're going to be
21:18happy come week 10, 11, 12 but only so happy because they could have had some very great free agent ads early in the season. They could have,
21:26you know, um instead of dropping someone throw them into the IR spot and maybe they you lost a player that's even more
21:31valuable than Charbonnet was. So it's just like it kind of handcuffs you a lot and you don't want to be doing that. So
21:36um I'm around 14. I think he's fine. If you have an IR spot, you have two IR spots, much better. Um but especially no
21:42IR spot, you just can't do it. Uh round 13, Deon Sampson. Uh Browns have the worst offensive line in the league,
21:47probably have the worst quarterback in the league no matter who starts, probably be Sudorf but no matter who starts going to be the worst quarterback
21:52play in the league. Um And Sampson's a really bad early down back. Like he's basically all of his value comes on receptions.
21:59But it's really just like a couple okay games last season and when he didn't have Flacco at quarterback, he was 63rd
22:05in points per game last year. That there's no path here, right? There's even reports that Rocket Sanders is pushing him for the backup role in camp.
22:12Um he'll never have carries. It's not a team we're expecting a ton of dump offs to go to. When they had Flacco, he'll
22:18dump it off a lot but when you don't have Flacco, that's not going to happen.
22:21Uh just there's no reason to draft Deon Sampson this season. Uh round 14, can stick with the Browns and say the worst
22:27pick is Jerry Jeudy uh Concepcion, Boston. They're going to be the top two wide receivers this season on this team.
22:33Fanon is also going to be featured.
22:35Judkins has got plenty of touches and so you're going to have Jeudy in what?
22:38Fifth in touches on the Browns? No, thank you there. Uh round 15, Malik Washington. I get it. We're searching for the top wide receiver on a team this
22:48late. Uh don't do it. It's not going to be a good passing environment. Uh you just don't want to be investing in the
22:53wide receivers on this team. And if you do Caleb Douglas seems to be having a good camp. Uh Chris Bell, once he's
22:59healthy enough to play, he's probably the one that we're going to want. I don't think in redraft leagues you're drafting them, but the point would be uh
23:05Malik Washington has a career 5.3 yards per target, 7.5 yards per reception.
23:11Come on. We can do a lot better than that in this range. Uh and then round 16, final round we'll go over today,
23:18Antonio Williams. I don't I don't think he's a bad pick. Um I know Pearsall's going to be listed on the screen here,
23:23but he's no one's actually drafting him. You can see he's cratering by ADP. Tomorrow, he'll be like if you refresh this page
23:29when you're watching the video, uh again, the fantasy footballadvice.com, you can go there and follow along. He will not be a 16th round pick. He'll be
23:35later. It's just that takes a little bit for sites uh ADPs to adjust. Um Like I don't hate Antonio Williams as a
23:42prospect, but it's a future thing, right? McLaurin, Diggs are the locked-in top two wide receivers. They're going to be playing a lot of just two wide
23:48receiver sets. Uh sounds like Luke McCaffrey and Treylon Burks right now are ahead of Antonio Williams. That can change, but this feels like a slow burn
23:56kind of situation. It feels like if he does break out, it's much more in the second half of the season, maybe after
24:01an injury or something like that. He's someone that you'll draft. You'll see him run like three routes or not be active in week one, and you'll drop him.
24:08No need to do that, right? He's not going to break out in week one. Uh this last pick should be someone who has that
24:13chance, right? Terrance Ferguson, Jayden Blue.
24:16Booty, if you want to hold on to him and see if he's traded or something like that. I don't think he's going to
24:19surprise us in week one if he's on the Patriots, but if he's traded. Uh Zachariah Branch, Cyrus Allen, like players who we could go out there in
24:26week one and be like, "Holy cow, Cyrus Allen just ran a route on 60% of dropbacks and got seven targets." Number
24:32one claim, right? Like Zachariah Branch went out there and is the number two wide receiver on this team, looks explosive, looks like their next Tank
24:40Dell or something like that. Top waiver claim, right? Jayden Blue actually is going to get 10 touches per week, has to
24:46be fully rostered. Terrance Ferguson got eight targets and Puka's injured again or suspended or something like that.
24:51Like there are paths to all those guys, and many of them go in like the 20th round, so they're always there And the
24:57draft, um draft someone who has a chance of exploding in week one or being much more productive than we thought. Uh that
25:03is not going to be uh Antonio Williams. So, uh let me know who you disagree with the most on my list in
25:09the comment section down below. Again, you can see the live ADPs by site on my website the fantasyfootballadvice.com.
25:16I'll update it every single day, so you can check that before your draft. I definitely would check it the day of
25:21your draft and just see who the best picks are on your platform. There's a premium section at the top, a drop-down
25:27that is going to list the best and worst picks compared to my rankings on every platform. So, if you want to see who are
25:34the best running backs to draft specifically on ESPN or specifically on Sleeper, you can find that in 2 seconds on the website. Again, the
25:41fantasyfootballadvice.com.
25:43Also, drafts are finally starting to happen, a very exciting time of year. Uh you're really going to want to draft with my new custom dynamic rankings. Um
25:51no one has this. No one has a tool like this. Not only are they the custom rankings you can draft with, you can
25:55cross players off as they're drafted, but the rest of the rankings are going to adjust based on every pick that you
26:01make, based on league results from millions of drafts over the last decade.
26:05Again, no one else has this industry. No one probably ever will have it. Uh so, if you want a big advantage, draft with
26:11those. Um also, I posted my full draft guide earlier this week. So, tons of content on the website. Make sure you're
26:17checking that out. Episode got a big upgrade this off-season. All right.
26:21That'll do it for this one. Camp news tomorrow, so make sure you subscribe on both YouTube and Spotify so you don't
26:25miss out on that one. That'll do it for this one. Thank you all for watching.
