0:00What's going on, guys? It's Nick here back in the video. On the eve of training camps opening up next week, I
0:04thought it'd be a good idea to go team by team. Talk about what I think the most important bits of news are that
0:10we're looking for for each team from fantasy football perspective each Saturday uh every single week until week one. We're going to go team by team and
0:18talk about all the news from the prior week. But I think it's a good idea to kind of like just think about what we
0:24are looking for and make a mental note of what bits of news are going to matter the most. So, start off with the Arizona
0:31Cardinals where we need to figure out the split between Marv and Michael Wilson. Right now, Marvin Harrison Jr.
0:37goes in round six, Wilson in round eight. I think given the news we have right now, which is still fairly limited, I think those ADPs make sense.
0:46Um, Wilson was far more productive last season, but most, if not all of that production really came in games that Marv was not out there. uh when Marv was
0:56playing, he was their top wide receiver.
0:59So, kind of tough to know when they have a full off seasonason to go back. Do they give more base work to Michael
1:07Wilson when the two of them are on the field, or are they like, "No, even though that happened last year under the
1:12same quarterback, we still want to go to Marv as the top guy." Uh yeah, both are going outside the top 30 wide receivers.
1:19So, they both have pretty reasonable price tags attached to them. If we also think uh Brousette is going to be playing most of the season, that's
1:28probably another thing we need to figure out in camp is how long is the leash?
1:31And not even the leash, basically how long are they going to let him be the starting quarterback if we think they're
1:37only going to win four, five games this season if they're going to be live for the number one pick are the indications
1:44that at some point they want to get Carson Beck uh starts. And if that really seems like it's the case, you do
1:51have to drop the expectation of a lot of these players because not only uh do they have a really difficult schedule,
1:57if later in the season, if they have a really hard schedule what they have per set, and then later in the year when it
2:02finally opens up, if Carson Beck is the starting quarterback, you know, uh pace goes down, pass temps goes down, efficiency probably goes down, and you
2:11don't want that to happen in the fantasy playoffs for your players. So, both those are two things split between Marv and Michael Wilson. and when are we
2:18going to see back in Atlanta? Uh we technically have a quarterback battle. I just don't think that matters that much for fantasy. No matter who wins that,
2:25odds are it's going to be a split. I don't think any one of those two quarterbacks are going to start the
2:29entire season. And even if one does, I don't think the difference will be that great between the two of them. Um I
2:35think the real thing to watch here is uh Pitts. What's his role going to be this season? He was the tight end seven in
2:42adjusted points per game last season.
2:44That looks great. uh but he was 21st in points per game through week 13. When you score 40 half PPR points in a week,
2:52that point per game average is going to be inflated. Of course, averages are inflated by outliers. Uh my question is, you know, whether or not the close to
3:02last season is going to increase his role, like seeing what he did when Drake London was not out there, does the team
3:09go back, look at things, and say, you know what, we do need to give the ball to Kyle Pittz a little bit more. We say
3:15this every single season. So that's why I want to bring it up is like he really only had one good game last year and
3:23that's elevating everything. Maybe we shouldn't overinvest in this narrative that that one good game is going to cause a role shift. 6.7 half PPR points
3:35per game in the 12 games that Drake Lynon played last season. That is low-end tight end two to high-end tight end three production. And then the five
3:43games that uh London missed last year, Pitts scored 10.4, 3.5, 11.7, 12, 40.1,
3:53and 15.2 half PPR points. So he scored more than 12 half PPR points in three of 17 weeks. Two of those came with London
4:03out. Uh we need a pretty big role shift here again going off the board as the tight end 7. So he was seventh in
4:09adjusted points per screen last season off the board as a tight end seven but it's all because of one nuke game and
4:15that'll very very very likely be the best game of his career. It was one of the best games we've ever seen from a
4:20tight end. So uh basically if we don't hear about a role change in camp uh probably going to be a fade this season
4:27in Baltimore uh Isaiah likely is gone.
4:30So is Mark Andrews going to be the second most targeted player or is he cooked? That is basically what we need
4:36to figure out in Baltimore. We know Derk Henry is going to get fed. We know Lamar Jackson is going to be good. We know Zay
4:41Flower is gonna be the top target. We know these things. And we also know we're not really going to the secondary
4:46wide receivers. So, there's not much unknown in Baltimore. But with likely gone, do they go uh to Mark Andrews at a
4:54higher rate? Do they utilize some of these other uh they drafted Hibner um drafted a a tight end this season or is
5:02he cooked? Like I I don't know the answer to that. I think there's a big range of outcomes here. He's the tight
5:06end 15 off boards. So, if it really goes back to being the old Mark Andrews where he's on the field all the time and he's
5:12getting all this usage in the red zone, he's our second most targeted player.
5:15Like, that's a ton of upside as 10 and 15. Uh, but he's looked pretty darn bad the last couple of seasons. And even
5:22when Mark Andrews or when Isaac wasn't really doing anything, Mark Andrews still wasn't super involved. So, we really need to figure out because there
5:29is some high-end upside at tight end 15 by ADP if the role is there. Uh, Buffalo. Uh, basically, how good is DJ
5:38Moore at this point? I've loved DJ Moore throughout his career. He's entering his ninth season, though, at age 29. He was
5:44below average for his man, press, and zone last season. Uh, and honestly was unusable at times last year, which is crazy because he played 17 games as a
5:56full-time wide receiver in a Ben Johnson system. as DJ Mars. Like again, someone who we think is extremely talented and he was still unusable at times. Uh had
6:05his lowest reception and yardage totals of his career. Uh it's not like the Buffalo system is going to be an upgrade. Uh he's a year older and he's
6:15going to cost you a fifth round pick.
6:17This isn't someone who's going off the board in rounds like 8, 9, 10 where you're like, give me that upside. It's
6:22round five. Everyone comes with that upside in that spot. Uh, so basically we better hear some glowing reports out of camp on his usage and how he looks or he
6:32might find his way into the fade list this season. Uh, and Carolina, I think the biggest thing I'm watching is how
6:38good are Coker and Bryce Young. If Bryce Young is still highly mediocre to very below average and Coker is turning heads
6:50in camp, I'm a little bit worried about Tero Mc McMillan. Um, and just given how early he goes, he goes like the tail end
6:57of round three at times, uh, Bryce Young going to need to take a step forward. I mean, at some point here, we can't have
7:05year after year after year of him looking bad. Like, at times he looks okay, but he's just not a talent elevator. Uh, he's not someone the team
7:14seems to trust. They're kind of like hiding him behind the ground game. If that doesn't change this season and we have a legitimate wide receiver too and
7:22Coker and Coker's commanding, you know, a meaningful amount of targets, uh, then the path for Tet to become a league winner, become someone who's like a
7:32low-end one for you, which is what you're hoping for by taking him in round three. Uh, the path becomes thin pretty
7:37quickly. I don't know if Bryce Young can really support that right now, but he definitely can't support it if he's also
7:42supporting Coker at a decent target share in Chicago. biggest story is who is the top target earner. Right? We want to attach ourselves to this offense.
7:51It's going to be a very good offense, but you can make a legitimate case that all of Adun, Burden, and Lovelin could
7:58lead this team in targets. Whoever wins that job, unless it's like, you know, they're all perfectly even and one of them wins it by one. Like if if that
8:07happens, sure, no one could smash, but the odds are they're going to look at this and view one of these guys as kind
8:13of the centerpiece of the offense, the clearly most targeted player. And whoever that ends up being, they're going to smash in fantasy. And so if we
8:21get some sort of indication in camp as to who that is going to be, that's going to be really beneficial. Um, Adun, the
8:28bull case is basically huge pre-draft expectations. Uh, decent enough rookie season, very just like very much the
8:38mold of a player physically who could hit for a high-end season in fantasy, but the inefficiency and what he's done these first two seasons has been below
8:47the expectation we had pre-draft. Does he see that jump or not? Um, or does Ben Johnson look at Luther Burden and say, I
8:55mean, this was one of the more efficient rookie seasons we've seen. It was a super low sample size, but the efficiency was there. And so, if we see
9:02all these vacated targets and we say he's going to be on the field all the time, he's going to keep this
9:06efficiency, let's be honest, the actual efficiency he had last season is obviously going to come down. But if he keeps being highly efficient, maybe he's
9:13someone they want to scheme more usage to. or does Ben Johnson view Lovelin as just an ultimate mismatch, someone that they're going to design a ton of plays
9:21to? Um, I don't know that we're going to have a firm answer. Uh, definitely wants camps open, but hopefully by mid late
9:30August, we can finally be like, okay, it's Lovelin, it's Burden, it's a Dunay, it's someone here. Uh, and Cincy, honestly, um, not a whole lot we're
9:38trying to figure out. We we know what's going to happen, right? No one is challenging Jamar Chase, T. Higgins or Chase Brown for their roles. Joe
9:45Burrow's a great pick in the middle rounds. Like we just know what's going to happen in Cincy. Um I do think Eric
9:51All is just an interesting name to watch and to be honest is someone that you can look to trade for in like a dynasty
9:58tight end premium league taken around 18 underdog probably better in round 20 on DraftKings. Um, I think he's probably gonna have a larger role than expected
10:06um because they really like what he can do for the ground game. And I think that's probably the bigger thing we for
10:12Chase Brown to hit his ceiling. We would like the rushing to be a little bit more efficient uh and for everyone in this
10:17offense to be, you know, have a higher end ceiling for the offense as a whole to score more points. We would like uh
10:22them to just be more productive um on the ground, be more threatening to teams on the ground. And Mosiki is not a
10:29blocking tight end, so they haven't really, you know, the line's been bad.
10:32the tight ends haven't blocked. If Eric All is as good as they're saying he is and they can get some really good
10:38production there, does that increase the efficiency of the running backs? Does that really help the ceiling for uh Chase Brown? Does that elevate the
10:45offense as a whole and everyone benefits? Um so more important than I think you would think Eric all is, but at the end of the day, again, we know
10:53how this offense is going to operate.
10:55For the Browns, uh obviously we are watching the quarterback battle here, but just like Atlanta, who cares? I mean truly whoever wins that job is not going
11:02to be good. They're not going to be sitting there be like, "Man, Shadur Sanders is the next Tom Brady." Like, Shadur is bad. Uh Shawn Watson's bad.
11:09It's going to be bad quarterback play in Cleveland. Um I'd say the biggest thing we care about in fantasy is what are
11:14their two and three wide receiver sets going to look like here? Does Jerry Judy have a role? Is it only in 11 personnel
11:20or does he earn his spot into two wide receiver sets? Um, do they use Conception and Boston as those top two
11:26wide receivers from the jump or does it seem like that's going to take more time to develop? Um, I can't say that the
11:31fantasy impact here is going to be massive. But if we do get Conception out there for like 90% of plays starting in
11:38week one, I think he'd be really useful in fantasy. Uh, but if Judy's going to be out there in two wide receiver sets,
11:44that is going to be unfortunate. So, just kind of figuring out the wide receiver rotation over there. In Dallas, I think the biggest story line here is
11:51with the running backs. Javvante is obviously the starter. He's locked into a ton of carries, a ton of touchdowns, really good pick in round three. But,
11:59uh, is he a mustdraft player or is he just a really good pick or more mediocre pick? I think it's still going to like
12:05kind of vary a little bit here.
12:08Basically, I think Jaden Blue is probably the most important one. Does Jaden Blue finally step up, be used as a change of pace back, be used as a pass
12:16catcher? That would obviously eat into the workload of Javant Williams. Um, does Phil Mafa earn the direct backup role behind Javvante and maybe get a few
12:24touches each week in order to keep Javvante healthy? Uh, or do both of them have highly mediocre camps? And we have
12:30Javvante Williams as a league winner in round three. My gut says it's going to play out a lot like last season, but
12:37just a little bit more work for Blue.
12:39And of course, uh, Mafa had like no work last season, so any work would be a little bit more work for him. Um, I
12:45think that's what they want. Like I think the team wants Blue to step it up and just to keep Javvante fresh and
12:50healthy. Again, he's going to have a ton of carries, a ton of touchdowns. He's going to be a good pick, but I think the
12:55team wants to take a little bit off of his workload, add some explosiveness, add some passing down element. Just add in another running back to where like,
13:03you know, if you wear down Javant Williams and then he gets hurt, your offense tanks if you don't trust his other running back. So, I think they
13:08want him to step up. Uh I just think uh maybe they tell him don't show up at the Louis Vuitton cleat anymore. But yeah,
13:13uh watch the split there. watch the news on Mafa and Jaden BL in Denver. We have similar questions honestly like what the
13:20heck is this running back room going to look like as things stand right now. I'm expecting Dobbins to be the lead back.
13:26Um I would say clearly the lead back on early downs for RJ Harvey to mix in on early downs but more of that change of
13:34pace back a little bit on passing downs.
13:36Definitely a red zone weapon or a schemed usage player uh for some big plays. But then what about Jonah Coleman? They seem to really like him in
13:43the receiving game. um he's got the size to be a red zone weapon as well. So figuring out this split is going to be
13:49really important because none of these guys are cheap. So it's not a situation where it's like they got three guys, no
13:53one knows what to do and the ADPs are really late. The market is drafting them pretty aggressively. Um Harvey's going around that 78 turn, Dobbins at the 89
14:03turn, Coleman around 14. And you might look at that and be like, "Okay, those aren't like crazy price tags." But I
14:10have to overp project this back field and even do and basically that means like I'm giving them more than 100% of
14:16the volume to the whole back field. I have to do that to still be behind ADP on Harvey, behind ADP on Jonah Coleman,
14:24and to basically match ADP on Dobbins.
14:26Like people are being really aggressive and basically the market is telling us they expect one or two of these backs to
14:34have really high-end usage and to be very fantasy relevant. They just don't know who it is. Personally, the only one I'm drafting, as you could probably tell
14:42from what I just said, is Dobbins. If I over project the backfield, he's still the only one I can get to a reasonable
14:48price tag. I really think people are way too overweight on Harvey. and propping up uh Coleman a little bit more than you
14:54should as a third running back on a team. But Camp will tell us a lot like if they truly are going to use Coleman
15:03as that passing down back and occasionally mix in at the goal line for some design plays and things like that, I don't see how you could possibly draft
15:12RJ Harvey because it is very obvious the team loves JK Dobbins and he will be the lead on early. Maybe that changes in
15:19camp, but that's how I'm doing things right now. And so I definitely am not drafting Harvey right now, but especially if Coleman, if people really
15:26think he's going to be used, how do you draft Harvey at the round 78 turn for the Lions? Um, I think the biggest story
15:32is what is the role of Pacheco, right?
15:36Obviously, he's not David Montgomery, but is he 70, 80, 90% Montgomery? Like what is the role going to be there?
15:44Sure. Um, we want to know, you know, how involved is Isaac Tesla going to be? not only from his perspective, from Jamal's
15:49perspective as well if Tesla gets more usage. I really think that could impact Jameson Williams. He is someone I'm starting to back off of a little bit.
15:58But, uh, we really need to figure out how big the role is for Pacheco because I mean, listen, their other running
16:04backs are not that good. If he's someone that is occasionally brought in at the goal line, will occasionally get drives to himself, is the direct backup to
16:12Gibbs, having huge contingent upside, then he's a phenomenal pick. you know, going near the running back 50. But, uh, if they're like, "No, this kid is
16:21clearly worse than David Montgomery." If they say it's going to be still a committee if Gibbs get gets hurt, uh, if
16:27Pacheco is, you know, not going to get drives on his own, and really is just Gibbs is a featured running back, clear
16:34league winner, clear 101, well then, okay, maybe not as good of a pick from a check out because he's basically just
16:39sitting on your bench to eventually, if there's an injury, still be in a committee. But if we have that contingent upside and he's mixing in a
16:47little bit for base work each week, then he's got a lot of upside. He'll be someone we really want to draft late.
16:53But right now, it's kind of all just projection based for Isaiah Pacheco. We really don't know what the role is going
16:58to be quite yet in Green Bay. Um basically, is Josh Jacobs getting suspended? And is it two, four, six, eight games? I don't know what's going
17:06to happen. Uh we for sure want to confirm that. I have not been drafting him right now because the risk just
17:13seems a little bit too high. I mean, he's going in the late third round even if he wasn't gonna miss any time. He's
17:19not a slam dunk pick in the late third round. Um, and truly, I feel like he's going to be suspended. I don't see how
17:27we can see all the news around what happened and be like, "Oh, yeah, the league's not going to care at all about
17:32this." Even if nothing ends up happening like legally in terms of outside the NFL, the NFL can still absolutely go out
17:39there and be like this is contact detrimental to the team to the league, you need to like be suspended for six
17:45eight games. So I I don't draft him right now, but it'd be lovely to hear some news as far as that's concerned. Uh
17:51but to go along with this, who is the direct backup? I mean, cover your ears, but Marshon Lloyd apparently looks great
17:57in camp if he can stay healthy. probably the biggest if of any player ever in fantasy, but if he can stay healthy, he
18:05seems like the guy to roster right now.
18:07Um, obviously if you had him staying healthy as that lead guy and you had Jacob's missing six, eight weeks this season, I mean, my goodness, like you'd
18:17have someone you're starting every week at running back two. I've said that before and that if turned out to be, nope, he can't stay healthy. Uh, but
18:25we'll see. Again, track who the backup is. track uh Marshon Lloyd's health and track obviously the suspension risk for Jacobs and Texans can't I want the
18:36status of Tanko I mean he suffered an absolutely brutal injury in 2024 it'll be over 20 months though to recover for
18:43week one uh he's been posting videos on social media showing his recovery he called someone out on Instagram for suggesting that you know Higgins and
18:51null are the clear two entering this offense but I truly have no idea how healthy he's going to this season. He
18:58goes as a wide receiver 78 if camps open up and he's out there in three wide receiver sets and he looks half decent.
19:05He looks explosive. You better believe his ADP is going to skyrocket. I'm honestly just really interested to see like how healthy does he look? Because
19:16if he is actually going to earn a role in this team, rotate in and out of that like, you know, two three spot, he's got
19:22upside. He was a player that was super exciting as a rookie, fell off a little bit and then got hurt, but the player is
19:29still there. It's just with a knee injury that he just suffered. Is it even possible for him to get back to what he
19:34once was? Colts camp, uh, we need to know if Josh's going to be in two super sets. That is easily the biggest news in
19:41Colts camp. They're going to talk about limiting Jonathan Taylor. They don't have a backup they trust enough.
19:47Jonathan Taylor's gonna get a billion touches this season. The news that we care about is will Josh Downs be two wide receiver sets and will they go
19:55after um Diggs? Will they go after Keenan? Will they go after Debo Samuel?
20:00Or will they stick with their current offense? If they stick with their current offense, I see no possibility that uh DS is not out there. Too many
20:09negatives there. Downs will be out there in two wide receiver sets if uh they roll with their current wide receiver room. They just do not have enough
20:15talent to put him on the bench for these backups. But if they went after someone like Diggs or Dibo or Keenan, there is a
20:22possibility that he does see himself still in this thing where he's only a slot receiver. He's rarely mixing into the outside and that's going to cap his
20:31upside. It'll make him fine at his ADP, but not someone you're reliably trusting, uh, especially in a reddraft league. But he will be a mustdraft
20:40player if we can confirm that he's out there in two RC sets and his ADP doesn't skyrocket. So absolutely something I'll
20:46be watching very, very closely. He's a very talented player. I think he absolutely can do well on the outside.
20:52And if you combine that with the unknown still of Alec Pierce, can Alec Pierce grow into that role on the outside? He
20:59was great last season, but can he be a number one? Um, will he be the same coming off this foot surgery? We just
21:04don't know. So many unknowns there. No backup wide receivers of any talent.
21:08There's a lot of upside for Josh Towns this season, but will they let him play on the outside? I don't know yet. uh in
21:15Jaguars camp there are really multiple things that are all massively important.
21:19First uh is two in the clear lead back or uh with basically like Crod getting only a couple carries on early downs.
21:26Laquent Allen being purely like is it the twominute drill uh and those are like very complimentary roles and it's two and getting 17 plus touches every
21:36week. That would be amazing. That would be make him a smash at his ADP in the middle rounds. But there's also a
21:43scenario here where Crod mixes in a decent amount for meaningful work in a committee uh where Quinn Allen is actually used on just regular passing
21:51downs, not only in a two-minute drill.
21:53And if that happens, now we've got a three running back committee. Now we have Tuton losing valuable passing down role, losing potential goal line
22:00touches, and it's not great. The other thing we need to watch is we know Brian Thomas Jr. is locked into the X roll on
22:07the outside. He's going to be out there basically every play. But we don't really know what's going to happen with these other three wide receivers. They
22:12have four legitimate NFL caliber wide receivers, four wide receivers that could start on the vast majority of teams. But what are the roles going to
22:21be? Is Washington the clear number two?
22:23And we have Meyers and Travis Hunter mixing in and out. Um, is it much more of an even split? Does Travis Hunter
22:30prove to be too good to keep on the sidelines? I really just don't know what's going to happen. And you better
22:36believe that beat reporters are not only watching this closely, but these are going to be the first questions they are asking coaches. So listen to coach speak
22:44index uh watch beat reports because this question is going to be asked a lot.
22:48What does this wide receiver room look like? How much is Travis Hunter going to play on both sides. Parker Washington looked best last season like he looked
22:55at the best wide receiver on your team.
22:56Is he going to be the most targeted or are we going back to Brian Thomas Jr.?
23:00So many questions for this wide receiver room and they're all going to have huge impacts on their ADPs because it's a
23:07great offense. Why do we want to know this offense in particular? There's going to be a ton of yards, a ton of
23:12touchdowns. We got to figure out this wide receiver running back room because there are a lot of unknowns just given the departure of Travis Etien, uh the
23:21unknown talent of Bealt Tutin, the weird huge rookie season and then huge dud from Brian Brian Thomas Jr. and then just all of the wide receivers in this
23:30room. Like it's a very unique situation.
23:32We got to figure out I'll say this though, contingent upside remains on this offense. Even if they say it's going to be a huge rotation at wide
23:39receiver, all right, but if one injury happens, you've got three locks in wide receivers on an awesome offense and they're all going to outperform their
23:47ADP. So, every single one of these wide receivers has big contingent upside.
23:50It's on a regular basis with no injury.
23:53What are the roles looking like in Kansas City? Uh I want to know the role of worthy. So on the one hand been a
24:00huge disappointment since he was drafted. Uh was legit unusable at times both seasons really. Like there's never really been a stretch where you've had
24:09Xavier Worthy just locked into your starting lineup unless you're in like a 14 team league with multiple flex spots or three wide receivers and he's kind of
24:16on the fringes there for you. Uh, on the other hand, it was pretty widely reported that he was going to be
24:23featured to start last season. And I do believe it because of what happened to Hollywood. Like you had that first game
24:28and after the game you're like, "Yeah, we really wanted to just feature Xavier Worthy, but he gets hurt in the first
24:32play of the the game. Um, had to go to Hollywood." Hollywood had 16 targets.
24:38Hollywood Brown does not get 16 targets.
24:40That is never ever going to be part of the game plan. Uh, that is twice as many as he had for the rest of the season. We
24:46know that Worthy was going to be featured to start last season while Rice was out. Um I don't know though like how good he would have been. Like
24:56he would have been featured but like obviously Hollywood was featured and he had 16 targets and he turned it in less
25:01than 100 yards. Like would have also been that inefficient? Uh would that have continued when Rice was back? Um, did the injury prevent him later in the
25:10season from breaking out or did the injury not have that much of an impact and he really just is not that good? Um,
25:17there's upside here though. So, like we need to kind of know the answers to these questions because if we buy it to
25:23some degree that the injury was what caused kind of the downturn in production last year, you've got a 37year-old Travis Kelce. You've got
25:30Rashi Rice being super inefficient.
25:32anything that's not like a sub 10 yard zone beater. Like he's great against zone in the short area of the field. He
25:38is not someone that's going to beat you downfield. He's not someone that's going to go out there and win against man
25:42coverage. So if you feel like Worthy can be that player that can beat man coverage, be that field stretcher. He has a lot of upside for how late he does
25:51go in drafts. Um so I just want to like listen to reports um see if there's any sort of info we can glean off the
25:59expected split between Worthy and Rice.
26:01Uh, personally, I don't really draft this offense that much right now. I'm not huge into Rice this season. I think Worthy probably was hurt last year, and
26:10that's probably why the downturn, but I still don't think he's going to have that high into production. And we do still have uh, you know, Patrick Mahomes
26:16coming off the torn ACL, even he is not someone to draft that much because mobility will be down and they're just
26:21not going to have him run as much. Oh, Ken Walker, though, I draft Ken Walker playing. Uh, and Raiders camp, uh, truly
26:28just not much that's going to move the needle. I mean, sure, we want to know what the wide receiver rotation is going
26:34to look like, but for reddraft leagues, I don't know if you're drafting any of them. I suppose if it came out that Trey
26:39Tucker looks fantastic, that he's clearly their number one wide receiver, sure, take a stab on him in the final round of reddraft league, uh, but my gut
26:47says Tucker and Naylor will be the top two. Beck is going to only play in 11 personnel. Uh, should get that answer in
26:54camp, but who really cares? It's Genty, it's Bowowers, and it's no one else on this offense. Uh, in Chargers camp, we
27:02need to figure out the running back split. Like, is Hampton going to be close to featured? Um, is this going to
27:08be much more of a split than the public is expecting?
27:12And also, like, is it only Hampton and Katon? Because that's what we talked about, right? It's like, you know, the risk with the Marin Hampton is that they
27:18really like Keen Mitchell. If he mixes in for like eight to 10 touches a game, that still caps the upside somewhat of
27:24what a Marin Hampton can do. But if Vidal also mixes in and he takes some passing down work away, then that really
27:31really hurts because if you still have Katon mixing in, you also lose work to Vidal. It's like, you know, Hampton probably can't, you know, surpass his
27:40ADP on 14 to 16 touches a game. He's going to need to go past like 17 touches a game if you're going to, you know,
27:47have him viable in the early second round. So, what happens here? I think all these possibilities still exist. And I still want to be overweight on the
27:56Chargers because I think the market is really underp projecting how many touchdowns they're going to score. And so everyone has that league winning
28:02upside if volume does flow their way.
28:04But the split here really really matters given how early we're taking Amaran Hampton. I think regardless he is a round two pick, but if he goes in the
28:12early second round and we're expecting a pretty big split and potentially a three running back split, that's a little tough. But if it kind of opens up and
28:19they're like, man, is this guy good? We want to feed him the football. Vid Doll is kind of an afterthought and you know
28:25Keaton Mitchell is going to mix in for some efficient touches but it's only really going to be Hampton. The upside from our Hampton is awesome. So
28:32definitely a very important one. I'll say I still like my ranking right now.
28:36Squan, Ken Walker, Chase Brown, then Hampton. I think that's how we have it as the round two running backs. For the
28:44Rams, I would say that two things are really important. First is the obvious.
28:48Uh Kairen Williams, Blake Korn, what's the split? The earlier reporting says they're heading for a 50-50 split on early downs with Kairen still getting
28:57more goal line work and more work on passing downs, but as we know the passing down doesn't matter as much because the Rams or the running backs
29:05less than 18. The thing is they can say, you know, more work on in the goal line as well for Kairen and people can can
29:12say this in their mind, but last season it really just flowed to the carries. It was drive specific and it was who's on
29:19the field. If you look at the split on early downs, the split in carries, and the split at the goal line, they're
29:27even. So, it's basically if Cororm gets 30% of the work, he's gonna get 30% of the goal line opportunities. If he gets
29:32half the work, he'll get half the goal line opportunities. So, if we get a 50-50 split and they split goal line and
29:38they don't throw to running backs, that is going to hurt the value of Kairen.
29:42But, uh, if all of this is overblown, if they still love Kairen Williams, if it's still closer to like a 6535 split, well
29:50then Kron's going to be a really good pick in round three. Uh, second thing we need to watch is how do they use Terence
29:56Ferguson? They have a million tight ends and two good wide receivers. They can hype up their other wide receivers all they want. They have two good wide
30:04receivers and one of them is what, 34 years old for Adam? Something like that.
30:07He's 33 or 34 years old. So, easily a chance that Adams drops off, easily a chance that Puka is really the only one
30:15they can reliably trust on on a game-to-ame basis and you have a million tight ends. So, do they just treat Terrence Ferguson as effectively their
30:23third wide receiver? Someone who's also, you know, highly efficient downfield, horrible catch rate last year, so you like 21 yards per reception, something
30:32stupid like that, but like also a 44% catch rate. It was 11 catches, so let's not like bag on him too much. Um, does
30:40he stay in this role of like field stretcher? Do they bring it down a little bit to say, "Okay, you get a
30:46little bit more work in the intermediate area of the fields, maybe some screen passes, and you again effectively are our number three wide receiver who has
30:53red zone usage on again a very, very good offense, dome games, like this team is going to score a ton of touchdowns.
30:59And if he's their third wide receiver with red zone usage and he goes in round like 17 on underdog completely undrafted
31:05and reddraft leagues, especially for those of you in like tight end premium leagues, there's a lot of upside for Terence Ferguson, but he could also not
31:14have that role, right? They could also just keep rotating all their tight ends a ton. Um, they could have him have 15
31:21receptions on another 50% catch rate and you're just never using him. So, a highly volatile player, but I'll be pretty excited if it seems like in camp
31:31the role is there. In Miami, I'm not really sure we want to be drafting any of these guys, but I'm at least
31:37interested to see how far along uh Chris Bell is in his recovery. This is easily the worst wide receiver room I've ever
31:44seen in my life. And so not exactly going to be difficult once Chris Bell is actually healthy for him honestly to be
31:51their number one wide receiver, but at minimum to get onto the field as much as he can handle. Um, but I don't know when
31:57that's going to be. You know, is it going to be after a month? Is it going to be only in the second half of the
32:02season? Are they going to be super cautious and basically not play him at all this year? All super possible. Uh, we've legit heard nothing about his
32:10recovery. So, I'm just interested to see where he's at. Vikings camp. I would say it's two things. First, we need to
32:17confirm that Kyler is a starting quarterback. I very much hope we can confirm that very early. And then second, uh, basically confirm that
32:24Jordan Mason is that lead back with Aaron Jones being more of a change of pace back this season. I feel pretty
32:31good about both of them being true, but given where we're going to have to end up drafting both of them, I'd like to be
32:36more confident. I think Kyler's going to rise in ADP. I think Jordan Mason's going to rise in ADP. Um, if we get more
32:43reports where it's like, hey, hey, hey, it's not necessarily Kyler. McCarthy still looks decent. He's pushing him, it's over. Like, I trust Kyler. If he
32:52wins that job in week one or obviously in week one, but like week one of camp almost, like if early in camp, it's like
32:59Kyler's getting work with the ones.
33:00Kyler's the starter. The offense is around Kyler. Okay, if it's actually a battle, McCarthy showed last season he is just not that good. And if it's a
33:08battle, we lose confidence. Kyler's a starter. and thus lose confidence in the offense as a whole. And that flows over to Jordan Mason because Mason at times
33:16last season was like someone they they had to get the ball to more. It was just that the offense was worse than
33:22expected. But if Kyler can elevate this offense and they can be good, they can be winning more games, have more positive game scripts, and they still
33:28have this great defense, that's all really, really positive for Jordan Mason as well, even if you don't necessarily think it matters for him because he's
33:36not going to catch passes. Elevating the offense helps Mason. If Kyler is clearly the starter when Scamp's open, that's going to help us out. Uh for the
33:45Patriots, we need to see if Henderson looks better. Like basically, did did Trayvon Henderson improve in pass protection, improve his vision this off
33:54season? He was great in pass protection in college. I mean, we were talking about him as a top two pass protector in
33:59the draft class. And then all of a sudden, he goes out there and he really struggled in blitz pickup. Uh it got him
34:05benched. like he was so bad at pass protection that he was benched last season. Um he was supposed to also be
34:11this passing down back for the Patriots, supposed to be really explosive on the ground, but they didn't trust him. So, they couldn't put him out there in pass
34:17protection. He was not getting what was blocked for him. He was very much a boom bust player. And you can't do that
34:22behind a bad offensive line. You can do that, you know, when Dallas had this great offensive line. You can do that
34:26over there. They're opening up all these holes and you're boom bust. When the offensive line is bad, you have to get
34:31what's blocked for you because you can't consistently kill drives getting zero zero zero oh 30 yards. Like you can't kill drives on these really low-end
34:39plays. And that's what he was doing last season. So does the um vision improve and does the pass protection improve. If
34:47they don't, then we're drafting him way too early in drafts right now in the early fifth round. Personally, I have not been drafting him. He really
34:55disappointed me last season. Um, pass protection will be the big one. He can earn that role back, great. If he doesn't, how do you take him in round
35:04five in New Orleans? We need to figure out how involved Camaro is going to be to start the off season. I thought there
35:10was a pretty small chance that he would be back. It seemed like maybe he would retire. The team really wanted to move
35:16on to Travis ETN. Um, doesn't seem to be the case anymore. He seems to want to play another year in New Orleans, and it
35:23doesn't seem like New Orleans knows how to say no. Uh so we need to figure out how big is that role going to be? Is he
35:30going to mix in for a decent amount of carries? Probably not. But is that going to happen? Uh but really is he going to
35:35have a big role in the receiving game?
35:37If they bring him onto the field in two minute drill and passing situations near the goal line, that is obviously going
35:42to take a chunk of the workload away from Travis Eten. Um I think Etn remains a really strong third round pick given
35:49what we know right now. I really don't think the team wants to heavily feature Alvin Kamara. They will give him a
35:55workload, but ETN's going to get all of the early down work. I think a lot of the goal line work, I think, still work
36:01in the receiving game, and the offense will be good enough, fast enough pace, meaning enough plays, uh, that he's still going to have a very good uh, very
36:08high upside in fantasy, very good role this year. If though in camp it really seems like Kamar is going to play but
36:15have a super limited role, maybe we have ETN being a mustdraft player this season, if his ADP gets suppressed enough with Kamar there, but just worth
36:25paying attention to that split. In Giants camp, pretty obvious that all eyes are on Malik Neighbors. His ADP has cratered. Used to be going in like the
36:35early to midsec round earlier this off season. Now he goes in the late third round. I have seen him go in round four.
36:42It's gotten to the point where I do think the risk is starting to be worth it given what we know right now. There
36:49is such a wide range of outcomes here though. I mean, is he going to be good to go in week one? Does he open on the
36:54pup? Does he finally like start practicing later in camp? It's going to be the pup and then it's going to be a
37:00ramp up even from there. Like, we just really don't know how it's going to look right now. Um, I was way more
37:07pessimistic when I made videos talking about how you can't draft him when he was going in the mid-second round. But as you work into the third round, into
37:14the late third round, the early fourth round, like the risk becomes worth it at that point because you don't need him to
37:21be a superstar in week one, you don't even necessarily need him to be starting for the first month of the season,
37:26especially if you're in a league with an IR spot. It's totally fine having him out there, putting him in the IR. He
37:33misses a couple weeks to start the season. you can make do. If you're going to get round one production later on,
37:39that's totally worth it. Problem is, we don't know right now. So, we'll see what happens in camp. In Jets camp, not a
37:45whole lot matters for season long leagues. Um, I would say the battle between Adnai Mitchell, Omar Cooper is probably the biggest story, but
37:52realistically, that's something you care about on underdog where you have 18 rounds of defense or no defense, no kicker. Uh, in managed leagues, really
38:01just Bree Hall, Garrett Wilson. I don't think we're going to learn anything in camp in regards to how their value is
38:07going to be impacted this season. In Philly, um less player specific and more scheme related, we know that the offense is going to flow through Saquon Vont
38:18Joan Herz as well in the goal line. Um but how will the offense look overall?
38:23Are we going to see a lot more play action, a lot more motion? Does it seem like they're being more creative with
38:28their play calling than last season? We are optimistic that Shawn Manion is going to really elevate things from what we saw last year and that that'll flow
38:37through to fantasy production for their skilled players, but we don't know that to be the case. And so we're hoping we
38:43see some positive reports in that regard so we can feel better about taking these guys. Uh Steelers camp really need to
38:50figure out the split between Rico and Warren. Both are really good running backs. Both are capable of being featured on a lot of different teams in
38:58the NFL. Uh they're maybe not like top 10 running back talents, but they're very good running backs that can do work
39:04in the receiving game as well. I do worry that this offense is led by Aaron Rogers. He's what, like 43 years old. He
39:12plays super slow. That is a concern because you have obviously an elevated injury risk at that age, but also just the chance that he drops off, the chance
39:21the offense isn't that good. They're also what looks like headed for a 50-50 split. Uh, so there could be some volume
39:28concerns if you have a low volume offense and a 50-50 split for the two running backs. Um, I think both are
39:34totally fine picks to make right now. My leen is Warren because it's more likely he has a lot of work in the receiving
39:39game and Aaron Rogers does like to dump off. So between the two of them, I like taking Warren Moore. Uh, but I'm not
39:45overly confident in how to rank these two and so I'll be watching that pretty closely. I think there's upside here though. like if Warren, you know, earns
39:52the lead back role and has uh the receiving upside, he's going to be a great pick where he's going. Uh but what
39:58is that split we're expecting for the 49ers? Um I really want to know the split between Evans and Persaw. So Evans
40:05is going to dominate the red zone usage.
40:07He has 15 touchdown upside. I think he's a great pick this season. What about between the 20s? Evans turns 33 in
40:15August. You do start to wonder if there could be a drop off again. I love Mike Evans this season for that touchdown
40:20upside, but I'd be lying if I said I was confident he's going to be going out there and be an alpha between the 20s. I
40:27personally think he still has one more year really high in production left in him, but we don't know. Uh so it would
40:34be nice given that it did still cost like a round five, six pick to get him.
40:38It'd be nice knowing that he still looks great in camp, but also from Pearl's perspective, I mean, he's pretty interesting pick in round nine,
40:45especially if we think between the 20s who could out target Evans. My only concern with him is, well, if they have
40:50KD and they have McCaffrey and they have Evans, I mean, Pearl could have three touchdowns this season. And even if he
40:56has pretty solid production overall, even if he ends up as their most targeted player, he'd be a great pick if he was the most targeted player. You
41:03know, the point is even if he had a lot of targets, a lot of yards, if it comes with three or four touchdowns, that does
41:09limit the upside in fantasy. And there is no way when they get into the red zone, they're looking at McCaffrey and
41:14KD and Evans and they're like, "Persaw, you're the guy on this play." Not really going to happen. But former first round
41:18pick was supposed to be the next Debo Samuel does have upside this season at a ninth round ADP. I want to see what the
41:24split is in camp here in Seattle. We need to figure out more about this running back room. Is Jadarian Price going to be a featured running back to
41:31start the season? Or is George Helani gonna take more of that passing down work? Also, what is the latest on Zack
41:37Charbanet? Seems like he's ahead of schedule, but some people are also alluding to like starting the season that is not going to happen. But is it
41:45going to be a return in week four, week six, closer to week 12? That's going to make a huge difference for Price, right?
41:51Once Charban is back, Charban is probably the goal lineback, probably being used more on passing downs, probably gonna have a decent role in
41:58early downs, could even be the lead on early downs. And so if that starts in week six or week eight, you're kind of
42:05limiting the upside you have in price.
42:07And if you combine that with George Hani having a passing down roll to start, obviously it makes price a pretty big
42:12fade in round six. But what if Charbanet suffers a setback? What if Charban is not expected back till closer to week 10
42:21or 12? What if Price does break out and finally become a pass catcher? Don't think those are going to happen, but if
42:28it does happen, something we're going to want to know in camp. Uh odds are they'll be fading Price this season. Uh
42:33and Bucks camp, there's actually a lot we need to figure out. Uh big one is what is the split between Bucky,
42:39Gainwell, and Tucker, right? I mean, this is a three running back committee.
42:42Odds are we're going to have Bucky leading on early downs, Gainwell on passing downs. Tucker just being really annoying, stealing touchdowns, uh, and
42:50mixing it on the ground from time to time. But is that the case? Does Bucky have a larger role than we're
42:55anticipating now? Is Gainwell the lead back? There were some comments the coaching staff made this off season that, you know, they won't even know
43:02week to week who's going to get more carries between Bucky and Gainwell, and we know that Gainwell is going to be
43:08more involved in the receiving game. So, really need to figure that one out. And then is the offense centered around Ibuka or uh is it, you know, kind of a
43:17split between Ibuka and Godwin? I think that one is more of a known. I mean, it would be pretty surprising if Godwin had
43:24a similar role to not going to be the focal point of the passing attack. He's going to early at the tail end of round three at times.
43:33Now, I would say more than reaff goes very early in drafts for someone who that could not be the case for. I
43:41think once camp's open, we're going to see, oh yeah, he's the centerpiece of this offense. He's going to have a monster season. If that's the case, we
43:48still absolutely keep drafting him where he's going. In Tennessee, I want to know how Cam Ward looks. Uh my interest level
43:54on this team is mostly around Pard and Carnell Tate. I don't really want to draft Cam Ward this season. I don't
44:00really want to draft the tight ends all that much, uh the backup pass catchers.
44:04But Pard and Tate are very intriguing.
44:06Uh, unfortunately, the bull case for both of them can only hit if Cam Ward takes a pretty big step forward this
44:13season. If Cam Ward struggles in camp, he struggles with a new system, struggles in that maybe he's just worse than we were anticipating when he was
44:21drafted first overall, then I'm going to have to re-evaluate my projection on the entire offense. To be fair though, I have the Titans ranked 29th in
44:28touchdowns right now. So, it's not like I'm projecting this offense to take a huge step forward for Cam Mo to be
44:33amazing and they're a league average offense. projecting them to be 29th in touchdowns this year. And I still think Pard's a great pick and Carninal Tate is
44:42not a great pick, but a really solid pick and that both of them have pretty significant upside if Cam Ward takes
44:47that next step. Uh but I would like to see that in camp. And finally in Commanders camp, uh really it's just do
44:53they sign another wide receiver? They've been linked to Aayuk, but you know after that whole debacle, I don't know if that's going to happen. They could still
45:00definitely go after Stefon Diggs. Um perhaps Keenan Allen, maybe trade for someone. I think Booty makes a lot of sense for them. He's another outside
45:08wide receiver that can play two wide receiver sets. He showed flashes last season. He was at one point a really high-end prospect. Um, you can do that
45:16trade for him without really breaking the bank. It's not like it's going to cost you a first or second round pick.
45:21New England, I would imagine, wouldn't put that high of a price tag on him.
45:24They have AJ Brown, they have Romeo Dobs, they have other wide receivers that can mix in. They don't necessarily need Kan Booty as much as they did last
45:33season. So, I think that trade would make a lot of sense, but again, do they go after one of these receivers, or do
45:38they not? And they end up having McLuren, who would absolutely smash.
45:42Probably he's gonna have a great season regardless, but he would be a smash play if uh we didn't have anyone else join
45:49this team. Antonio Williams would be pretty intriguing late, their rookie this season. I feel like they're probably going to add someone, but who
45:55they add will depend on um the value of Antonio Williams will change a lot. And then McLuren's upside case. If Digs is
46:02added, if Ques and Booty were traded for, um, you'd lower it just a little bit. So, uh, that was a lot, but that's
46:09what I'm paying attention to in camps once they open. Uh, we obviously won't have all those answers, uh, in, you know, the first week of camp. We won't
46:18have all those answers even for the first week of the season, but those are probably the biggest storylines that I think are going to impact rankings. And
46:25so I want us to keep all those thoughts in the back of our minds as we piece through the news starting next week. So
46:33that'll do it for this one. Please leave a like if you are still here. Please subscribe on YouTube or Spotify if you
46:37are new. But I'll catch you all on the next one.
