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The Action Network Sports Betting Podcast on Josh Allen

PodcastNFL Betting Playground | Week 5
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His touchdown odds are minus 105. Basically even odds for the week. Last year, he scored a rushing touchdown eight of 16 games. That's half of them. That's what this line would represent. That's not how Joe Brady is using him. When they get near, they just punch it in with Allen because it's pretty much unstoppable.
Mentioned at 48:00 – 48:48

STACKED’s take

Positive signalProjection

Allen's rushing TD at -105 is underpriced; 4-for-4 games this season vs. 50% last year.

Rushing TD odds at -105 (basically even) despite scoring in 4 of 4 games this season (2, 2, 2, 1 rushing TDs); last year scored rushing TD in 8 of 16 games (50%); Joe Brady using him heavily near goal line; Carly Lloyd notes this is underpriced relative to current usage and getting 30 cents of value vs. typical -130 to -135 line.

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