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Establish The Run on C.J. Stroud

PodcastLevitan's Solo Pod: Adam Makes Worst Mistake of the Season (Episode 1030)
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All week I stared at this massive CJ Stroud projection we had at this big Nico Collins projection... The Cowboys play so fast. Opponents run so many plays against them. This game is indoors. Cowboys defense is inept... the Cowboys inflating quarterback scoring by 12.4% over baseline expectation. That was the most in the NFL.
Mentioned at 0:14 – 0:51

STACKED’s take

Positive signalProjection

Cowboys defense inflates QB scoring 12.4%; Stroud projection solid despite low ownership.

The source had a massive projection on Stroud for week four against Dallas; the Cowboys defense inflated quarterback scoring by 12.4% over baseline expectation, the most in the NFL. The game was indoors, Dallas plays fast and opponents run many plays against them, creating a high-volume passing environment. Despite initial hesitation due to perception that Stroud is not a good fantasy quarterback, the source emphasizes trusting the machines on this projection given the solid inputs and lack of volatile moving parts in the matchup. Stroud was only 7% owned in three-through-three on DraftKings, indicating significant contrarian value.

C.J. Stroud headshotC.J. StroudQB · HOUPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight

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