From the episode
Trevor Lawrence is going to be like in this game because through the first three weeks of the season, man, he's been excellent against zone... The Bengals, though, they play man coverage at a top eight rate in the NFL this season.
STACKED’s take
Lawrence excels vs. zone but faces a Bengals team that plays man coverage at a top-8 rate.
Lawrence has been excellent against zone coverage through the first three weeks, showing confidence to make any throw especially in the red zone where space is at a premium. However, the Bengals play man coverage at a top-8 rate in the NFL this season, which could present a challenge; Lawrence's EPA per dropback against man is 0.18 versus 0.25 against zone. In the Week 2 game against Denver, Lawrence struggled in the second half when the Broncos switched to more man coverage. The source notes that Aaron Rodgers just carved up the Bengals defense last week (8 for 15, 149 yards, 2 TDs, 0.54 EPA per dropback) by hanging onto the ball and making plays happen, suggesting the Bengals' vulnerability to explosive plays despite their man coverage preference.
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