From the episode
he's got a completion percentage of 41.3%, which is obviously not great. EPA per dropback of negative 0.4, which is obviously also not great... 11.5% tight window throw rate, which is six lowest in the NFL. 50.9% open target rate, which is sixth highest, which means he's only throwing it when his receivers are open. And if you're looking at wide open target rate, he's the third highest in the NFL at 31.2%.
STACKED’s take
Nix's 41.3% completion vs. man coverage and 68.7% reliance on wide-open targets is limiting.
Nix struggled significantly against the Chiefs' man coverage in Week 1, completing just 41.3% of passes with -0.4 EPA per dropback. While he averages 11.7 air yards per attempt against man (most in NFL), he is not completing the ball down the field effectively. His comfort zone is targeting wide-open receivers: he has an 11.5% tight window throw rate (sixth lowest in NFL), 50.9% open target rate (sixth highest), and 31.2% wide-open target rate (third highest). The source notes he lacks confidence and consistency in tight windows required for man coverage, preferring to target receivers sitting in gaps between zone defenders. Against the Chiefs' defense in Week 8, this limitation could be exploited.
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