Davis Mattek on Caleb Williams

VideoCan He Ship 21 Million? (Week 9 NFL Picks/Props/Survivor)November 7, 2026

From the video

because Caleb has been so good and Baker has been so bad, this is the widest discrepancy in EPA per play. Uh, Caleb Williams plus 2.28 per drop back, Baker minus.23.

Mentioned at 1:04 – 1:37

STACKED’s take

Positive signalMatchup

Best EPA matchup of week 9 with elite Bears defense supporting

Caleb Williams has the best QB matchup of the week against the Buccaneers, posting plus 2.28 EPA per drop back, creating the widest EPA discrepancy versus any opposing QB (Baker Mayfield at minus 0.23). The Bears' elite third-down defense (23% conversion rate, best in Super Bowl era) and improved pass rush with Jeffrey Simmons create a dominant setup.