From the episode
I feel like I'm kind of on an island with this take because there's some, when I compare it to consensus, there was some, like the first time I did it, some people had Jones at like quarterback 25 this week... the Colts now have an implied team total over 25 points. Tennessee... they've been average in adjusted points allowed to quarterbacks... they're eighth worst in EPA per drop back. They've allowed the third highest catch rate over expected to pass catchers.
STACKED’s take
Positive signalValue
Jones undervalued vs. consensus; Colts' TD regression and Titans' weak secondary support upside.
JJ Zachariason likes Daniel Jones more than consensus (some had him at QB25), citing Indianapolis's 25+ implied team total, Tennessee's eighth-worst EPA per drop-back allowed, third-highest catch rate over expected allowed, and poor secondary play. Jones has been bad in fantasy, but Indianapolis has converted only 27% of touchdowns through the air—the lowest mark in the league—suggesting regression toward more passing touchdowns. Tennessee's pass rush hasn't materialized, which could reduce pressure on Jones this weekend.
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