From the episode
He's running more routes than Jamar Chase. He has a higher targets per route run. And now facing this Ravens defense that's playing a lot more zone now under this coaching staff. A lot of too high safety, both at top five rates.
STACKED’s take
Positive signalProjection
Higgins at plus 160 with better route rate than Chase; Ravens shade coverage to Chase.
Higgins is priced at plus 160 and the source calls this his favorite touchdown prop of the week. While Jamar Chase gets more betting attention, Higgins' underlying metrics are nearly identical to Chase's: he's running more routes than Chase and has a higher targets per route run. Against the Ravens' zone-heavy defense (top-five rates in high safety looks), Higgins has a higher target rate and target share versus zone coverage. The source expects the Ravens to shade coverage toward Chase, leaving Higgins in one-on-one matchups he can win.
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