STACKED’s take
Negative signalBust
Career-low efficiency; historical comps average 11 PPG next season.
29-year-old running back coming off an RB33 season with historical efficiency falloff (juke rate down to 18%, a career low) and significant utilization decline as both rusher and receiver. Historical comps for 28-year-old seasons with similar falloffs (Devontae Freeman and others) averaged no more than 11 points per game the following season. However, the backfield change from JR Gibbs to Woody Marks provides some benefit of the doubt, and Montgomery could see 15+ touches per game in Houston, though big-play upside is questionable.
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