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The Riskiest Pick In Every Round

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Aug 10, 202623 player insights
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Xavier WorthyNegativeBustAug 10, 2026

Xavier Worthy is a risky round 10 selection due to his slight 165-pound frame, recurring injury history, and poor efficiency metrics, including a WR60 finish in PPG and under 1.5 yards per route run. His outlook is further complicated by the potential for a more run-heavy Chiefs offense and the injury risk surrounding Patrick Mahomes.

Quentin JohnstonPositiveValueAug 10, 2026

Quentin Johnston is recommended as a preferred alternative to Chris Godwin in the round eight range due to his ascending status.

Mike EvansNegativeUsageAug 10, 2026

The departure of Mike Evans is noted, though concerns remain regarding Chris Godwin's target share due to other roster additions.

Jalen McMillanNegativeUsageAug 10, 2026

Jalen McMillan is noted as target competition for Chris Godwin following his return from injury and the team's effort to backfill wide receiver depth.

Chris GodwinPositiveBustAug 10, 2026

Chris Godwin is considered a risky round eight pick due to his age (30), lack of recent production, ongoing injury rehab, and increased target competition from Jalen McMillan and Ted Hurst.

Juwan JohnsonPositiveSleeperAug 10, 2026

Juwan Johnson is highlighted as a recommended late-round tight end target, serving as a cost-effective alternative to players being drafted in the 6th-7th round range.

David NjokuNegativeRoleAug 10, 2026

The Cleveland Browns offense is projected to be the worst in the league, and the team currently lacks David Njoku, which negatively impacts the overall tight end landscape for the team.

Harold FanninNegativeProjectionAug 10, 2026

Harold Fannin Jr. is a talented prospect with prolific college production (119 receiving yards per game), but drafting him at the 6-7 turn carries risk. The primary concern is whether his production will significantly outperform late-round or waiver-wire tight end alternatives like Brevin Strange, Juwan Johnson, or Hunter Henry, given the minimal projected points-per-game difference.

Marvin Harrison Jr.NegativeBustAug 10, 2026

Marvin Harrison Jr. is considered a clear risk in the sixth round. Concerns include a projected worse Cardinals offense, a more balanced backfield with Jeremiah Love and Tyler Allgeier reducing the team's pass-heavy tendencies, and his own underwhelming fantasy production, having finished as WR42 and WR41 in points per game over the last two seasons.

Jonathon BrooksNegativeValueAug 10, 2026

Jonathan Brooks is a smash pick in double-digit rounds, but carries significant risk if his ADP rises to the 7th-8th round due to his long layoff from football since November 2023.

Rhamondre StevensonPositiveDepth ChartAug 10, 2026

Rhamondre Stevenson is firmly established as the starting running back for the New England Patriots, having held the role during the team's most critical games, including the playoffs and Super Bowl.

TreVeyon HendersonNegativeValueAug 10, 2026

TreVeyon Henderson is a viable draft target in the fifth round. While he carries risk as a potential backup to Rhamondre Stevenson, he possesses a high ceiling, evidenced by massive spike games in his rookie year, including multiple 28-32 fantasy point performances.

Sean TuckerNegativeDepth ChartAug 10, 2026

The Buccaneers significantly invested in the running back position by bringing in Sean Tucker on a $3.5 million deal, which is more than the guaranteed money Rachaad White received from the Washington Commanders, indicating the team's commitment to their new backfield rotation.

Kenneth GainwellNegativeUsageAug 10, 2026

The arrival of Kenneth Gainwell in Tampa Bay creates concern that he will eat into Bucky Irving's receiving role and overall touch volume, clouding Irving's fantasy outlook despite the team's significant $9.8 million guaranteed investment in him.

Rachaad WhiteNegativeRoleAug 10, 2026

The Buccaneers moved on from Rachaad White, who signed with the Washington Commanders for $1.7 million guaranteed, a figure described as minimal by NFL standards. The team has shifted investment toward other running backs, notably paying Bucky Irving $9.8 million guaranteed and Sean Tucker $3.5 million, both of which exceed the guaranteed money White received.

Bucky IrvingNegativeUsageAug 10, 2026

Irving is the riskiest fourth-round pick due to his 192-pound frame and history of shoulder and foot injuries. Despite a strong breakout stretch (17.2 PPG, RB10 finish), his size is significantly smaller than typical three-down backs, raising durability concerns. Additionally, the arrival of Kenneth Gainwell creates concern that he will eat into Irving's receiving work and overall touch volume, despite the team's $9.8 million guaranteed investment in Irving.

Blake CorumPositiveRoleAug 10, 2026

Reports indicate that Blake Corum is expected to expand his role in the Los Angeles offense, which poses a direct threat to Kyren Williams' goal-line and receiving opportunities.

Kyren WilliamsNegativeUsageAug 10, 2026

Williams is a risky third-round pick due to a downward trend in snap share, falling from 88% in 2024 to 70% in 2025. While he remains a strong target in non-PPR or two-WR/one-flex formats, there is concern that if Blake Corum takes over goal-line and receiving work, Williams could drop from a low-end RB1 to a low-end RB2.

Patrick MahomesNegativeInjuryAug 10, 2026

Mahomes is coming off knee surgery, creating an overhang of risk for the entire Kansas City Chiefs offense. This injury concern potentially influences the team to adopt a more run-heavy approach, which negatively impacts the fantasy outlook for his pass-catchers.

Rashee RiceNegativeBustAug 10, 2026

Rice is a high-risk second-round pick due to a combination of suspension concerns stemming from off-field behavior, a history of knee injuries, and recent reports of him running at only 75% speed in training camp following a knee cleanup procedure. Furthermore, he is a risky pick due to his previous performance as the WR60 in points per game, low yards per reception, and the potential for the Chiefs to shift toward a run-heavy offense.

Amon-Ra St. BrownPositiveValueAug 10, 2026

St. Brown is recommended as a safer, high-floor alternative to Christian McCaffrey in the first round, particularly for league formats that prioritize wide receiver depth, such as those requiring three wide receivers or multiple flex spots.

Christian McCaffreyNegativeInjuryAug 10, 2026

McCaffrey carries significant injury risk due to a lengthy history of issues, including 2024 Achilles tendinitis, limited games in 2021 and 2020, and the physical toll of a 400-plus touch season. Additionally, age-related decline for running backs entering their 30s and reports of issues in Niners camp further complicate his outlook.

Romeo DoubsNegativeBustAug 9, 2026

Undesirable wide receiver option by pick 100; source explicitly states they would never want to put this player into their starting lineup, marking him as a cutoff threshold example of receivers to avoid in the draft.

Khalil ShakirNegativeBustAug 9, 2026

Undesirable wide receiver option by pick 100; source explicitly states they would never want to put this player into their starting lineup, marking him as a cutoff threshold example of receivers to avoid in the draft.

Jayden HigginsNegativeBustAug 9, 2026

Undesirable wide receiver option by pick 100; source explicitly states they would never want to put this player into their starting lineup, marking him as a cutoff threshold example of receivers to avoid in the draft.

Dak PrescottPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

Source's preferred round-eight quarterback pick; source states 'I'm going to take Dak Prescott as our first quarterback with this team' and notes 'our draft sheets have Dak as the better pick' even though another option had higher ADP on Yahoo, demonstrating value relative to consensus rankings.

Mike EvansPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

Source's preferred round-six wide receiver pick; source states 'Our next highest ranked player according to these draft sheets will be Mike Evans. Let's go ahead and let's take him here' and notes this completes the requirement of three wide receivers by round eight in the running back-heavy draft strategy.

TreVeyon HendersonPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

Source's preferred round-five running back pick according to expert average rankings on Flock Fantasy. Source states 'Looking at the expert average rankings on the site, we do have Trevon Henderson as the highest' and takes him with the expectation of securing a wide receiver on the way back, fitting the running back-heavy draft strategy.

Travis EtienneNegativeValueAug 9, 2026

Listed as a round-four running back option on Flock Fantasy's custom rankings; source states 'using my rankings, I think we should either be going with Travis CTN or Tedoro McMillan in the fourth round' but prefers Teddy McMillan to differentiate from a running back-heavy approach after taking Jeanty and Hampton in rounds one and two.

Javonte WilliamsNegativeValueAug 9, 2026

Source considers Javonte Williams as a round-three option only if Justin Jefferson was taken in round one instead of Ashton Jeanty; source states 'If I would have maybe taken Justin Jefferson in the first round instead of Ashton Genty, I think I'd maybe consider drafting Javvante Williams here' but prefers Tee Higgins given the running back-heavy start with Jeanty and Hampton in rounds one and two.

Ashton JeantyPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

Flock Fantasy pushes Ashton Jeanty up in draft priority for custom draft sheets in 12-team PPR leagues with two receivers and one flex, indicating better value than traditional wide-receiver anchors like CD Lamb or Justin Jefferson in this specific league format. The source explicitly states 'for the custom draft sheets for these league settings, I am actually pushing Ashton Genty up here to be our pick,' demonstrating a format-specific preference for Jeanty's value over James Cook, Justin Jefferson, and Saquon Barkley in round one.

Justin JeffersonNegativeValueAug 9, 2026

Presented as a potential round-one anchor wide receiver option in 12-team PPR leagues with two receiver and one flex starting spots, but Flock Fantasy's custom draft sheets deprioritize Jefferson in favor of Ashton Jeanty in this shallow-receiver format. Listed as a standard Yahoo draft recommendation but the source prefers running back anchors instead.

CeeDee LambNegativeValueAug 9, 2026

CeeDee Lamb was presented as an anchor wide receiver option in round one for 12-team PPR leagues with two receiver and one flex starting spots. However, the source preferred running back anchors in this format instead, pushing Ashton Jeanty up as the preferred round-one pick.

Jaylen WarrenPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

Jaylen Warren was available in round nine despite strong team construction. The source secured him as the fourth running back, emphasizing that ESPN rankings and ADP are 'so bad' that Warren could be obtained at favorable value in this league format, indicating significant undervaluation relative to production.

Caleb WilliamsPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

The source selected Caleb Williams at quarterback in round eight, citing the league's single-flex format (two receivers, one flex) which reduces the need for early skill-position depth. The source built a team around the Bears stack with Williams, Colston Loveland, and DeAndre Swift, describing it as 'a really strong team' and demonstrating confidence in Williams' value at that draft position.

Jordyn TysonPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

Flock Fantasy's draft assistant projected Jordan Tyson at 97% chance of being drafted by round eight. The source selected Tyson in round seven over Brian Thomas (94% draft probability) specifically to secure rookie upside, indicating preference for Tyson's developmental potential in this draft context.

D'Andre SwiftPositiveValueAug 9, 2026

Flock Fantasy's draft sheets identified DeAndre Swift as the best pick available in round six. The source selected Swift as their third running back, noting that the league's two-receiver single-flex format provided flexibility to prioritize running back depth since only one more wide receiver was needed by round eight. The source expressed satisfaction with the team after adding Swift, stating 'I love this team.'

Sam LaPortaNegativeDepth ChartAug 9, 2026

Sam Leaporta went off the board after Colston Loveland was drafted in round five, alongside Kyle Pitts and Harold Fann, indicating he was selected in the rounds immediately following.

Kyle PittsNegativeDepth ChartAug 9, 2026

Kyle Pitts went off the board after Colston Loveland was drafted in round five, alongside Harold Fann and Sam Leaporta, indicating he was selected in the rounds immediately following.