0:00Before we get into our sell highs this
0:01week that will include player actually
0:04on my own fantasy team, let's revisit
0:06the guys that we talked about last week,
0:09see how those calls played out, and see
0:10if we need to update our status on them.
0:13The first player we talked about was
0:14Jaylen Warren, and my concern with
0:17Jaylen Warren was Rico Dowdle coming
0:19back moving his workload down from a 90%
0:22opportunity share in this Pittsburgh
0:24Steelers backfield close to or about 70%
0:27where he is still the lead running back,
0:30but he is no longer a top 10 running
0:32back in fantasy, and he's more so a
0:34traditional mid running back, too. Now,
0:36what happened this past week with Jaylen
0:39Warren was he did lead this backfield in
0:42touches, right? He actually had 14
0:44carries. He had four targets as well. If
0:47we go through and compare this to what
0:49you had with Rico Dowdle, Rico Dowdle
0:51was much more limited overall in his
0:54first game back. Rico Dowdle ended up
0:56seeing a total of seven carries and four
1:00targets out of the backfield. So, Dowdle
1:02had 11 opportunities in comparison to
1:04Jaylen Warren at 18. Now, a couple
1:07different things that are interesting
1:08notes here. First things first is that
1:10Jaylen Warren profiles to be more of the
1:13receiving running back in this
1:15backfield, right? Jaylen Warren's
1:17actually been viewed as a receiving
1:18running back for quite some time through
1:21his history in Pittsburgh. He has had
1:23four straight seasons now averaging at
1:25least two and a half receptions per
1:27game. In comparison, if we look at Rico
1:29Dowdle, Rico Dowdle has never had a year
1:32where he has averaged two and a half
1:34receptions. So, if anything, this was a
1:36good game environment for Jaylen Warren.
1:39The other interesting note that we have
1:41as well is that actually leading up to
1:44the fourth quarter, this game was much
1:47closer to a 50/50 running back backfield
1:49split. So, I think the call of Jaylen
1:52Warren being the lead running back,
1:54obviously that is true. Being somebody
1:56that you're still starting in fantasy,
1:58that is definitely true as well.
2:01He's probably not the top-10 running
2:04back again. I know we've talked about
2:06this at length. But, we'll see what
2:09happens this next week. Um again, he'll
2:12probably be a mid running back two in my
2:14fantasy football rankings. But, if you
2:16could move off of Jaylen Warren and send
2:19him in a two-for-one deal where you
2:22could move up to a running back where
2:23the workload isn't in question, somebody
2:26like Javonte Williams, I think that'd be
2:28very enticing. Or I know another trade
2:30we were really pushing last week was
2:32trading away Jaylen Warren for Chase
2:34Brown. I think you could probably still
2:37run through that deal, and I would still
2:39want the Chase Brown side.
2:41Now, moving over to our other sell-high
2:43candidate we discussed last week, that
2:45was going to be Bucky Irving. The
2:47overall thesis with Bucky is mainly
2:49just, "Hey, he is not going to be
2:51playing against the Dallas Cowboys every
2:53single week." He went from weeks three
2:56and four scoring 7.8, 6.1 fantasy
2:59points, jumping up to 31 fantasy points
3:02against the Dallas Cowboys, and that
3:04falls down to 6.9 against the Pittsburgh
3:07Steelers. We've actually seen Bucky
3:10Irving's ranking fall a decent amount on
3:13flockfantasy.com since then. So, I'm not
3:15going to say you still need to sell
3:17Bucky Irving. I think a lot of people
3:19are way more realistic now that he's
3:21probably a running back two in fantasy
3:23instead of a true running back one. Now,
3:25if you could sell him for Chase Brown
3:27again, I would look to do that. And
3:29also, if you had a winning record,
3:32right? Where you're five and one, you're
3:34four and two, and you can just focus in
3:36on the second half of the season, I
3:38would potentially still look at selling
3:40Bucky Irving for Jeremiah Love. Um but,
3:43I will note that the usage was actually
3:45really good this past week, and Baker
3:48Mayfield coming in is going to help out
3:50Bucky Irving. So, again, he's not as
3:52much of a screaming sell with his price
3:55lowered in comparison to what you could
3:56have got last week. The third sell high
3:59candidate we had talked about last week
4:00was Cam Skattebo.
4:03And the usage concerns, the fumble
4:05concerns, the offense concerns. It was
4:07the trifecta on why you should have
4:09gotten out of Cam Skattebo before the
4:12New Orleans Saints game. Now, of course,
4:14I had no idea this dude was going to
4:16touch the ball zero times. I figured,
4:18yeah, maybe they would look a little bit
4:20more in the direction of Na'Jee Harris,
4:21maybe they would look a little bit more
4:22in the direction of Tyrone Tracy. But,
4:24the fact that they just straight-up
4:26punished him, they benched him from the
4:28second that the kickoff was here to the
4:30very end of the game, it is crazy. But,
4:32I do need to revisit what the initial
4:34sell call was with Skat. I am still
4:37concerned about this offense here for
4:39the New York Giants. And now, I am so
4:43delusional with my concern of J.J.
4:45McCarthy and the New York Giants
4:47offense, I'm going to add a sell high
4:49player to this video this week. I hate
4:52to do this. I talked about him as a sell
4:55high candidate, I want to say, um, two
4:58or three weeks ago, and since then he's
5:01been incredible. My sell high call on
5:03him has been unbelievably bad. But, I
5:07think I may add Malik Nabers to the sell
5:10high on this as well. Now, I will be
5:13fully transparent. Again, I want to
5:16start off with Malik Nabers is a wide
5:19receiver one in fantasy football. Malik
5:21Nabers the past three weeks has been
5:24incredible. He has averaged over 10
5:28targets per game, and on top of this, he
5:31has had over 20 fantasy points scored
5:33every single one of those weeks. This
5:35past week against the New Orleans
5:37Saints, this man was the wide receiver
5:39one in fantasy without scoring a
5:42touchdown. If Malik Nabers had great
5:45quarterback play, I would actually think
5:47that Malik neighbors could be the number
5:49one overall wide receiver in fantasy.
5:52But what I am very concerned about is
5:54while JJ McCarthy looked incredible this
5:58past week, right? JJ McCarthy comes in,
6:01he has like the most passing volume
6:02since Eli Manning for this Giants team
6:05in a fourth quarter. I mean, in years
6:07and years and years.
6:09We have a very large sample of JJ
6:12McCarthy being one of the worst, if not
6:14the worst starting quarterback in the
6:16NFL. And on top of this, we have one
6:20quarter of football that he played
6:22primarily against backups where he
6:24looked very good. If we go back and look
6:27at what you had from JJ McCarthy in the
6:292025 season, he had 4.8 adjusted yards
6:34per pass attempt. Yes.
6:364.8. I've never seen something so bad.
6:39If we look at how that impacted Justin
6:41Jefferson, Justin Jefferson in year one
6:44of his NFL career as a rookie was the
6:47wide receiver eight in fantasy points
6:49per game. Then in year two, he was the
6:51wide receiver four. Then he was the wide
6:53receiver two, the wide receiver five,
6:55the wide receiver four. He had five
6:57straight seasons finishing as a top five
6:59wide receiver. JJ McCarthy's his
7:01quarterback in 2025 and he finishes as
7:05the wide receiver 32.
7:08That is how ugly this situation turned
7:10out to be.
7:11So, I will say I don't think the Giants
7:14are out of the woods, but I don't think
7:16we can be confident that there is good
7:19quarterback play here for this New York
7:21Giants team. It's not just hindsight cuz
7:23if we go over right now and we look at
7:25what we actually have with current
7:28market projections, we have the New York
7:30Giants with only a 20% chance of beating
7:33the Houston Texans this week. This is
7:35the largest spread of any NFL game with
7:38nine and a half points. And right now
7:40the New York Giants project to be the
7:42worst offense in the entire NFL this
7:44week scoring fewer points than the Miami
7:47Dolphins. Now all of those markets are
7:49on PolyMarket US. You can find the link
7:51in the description. You can find the
7:53link in the comment section. If you sign
7:55up with code flock, you'll get $25 added
7:57to your account after you deposit your
7:58first 10. Available in every single
8:00state. So yes, you can go and show me
8:03exactly how confident you are with JJ.
8:06Now I'm not going to be ranking Malik
8:08Nabers anywhere close to a mid wide
8:11receiver three like Justin Jefferson was
8:13with JJ McCarthy last season. I
8:15personally actually have Malik Nabers as
8:17a mid wide receiver one. I currently
8:20have Malik Nabers as my wide receiver
8:22seven in my rest of season ranks. What I
8:25would prefer to do is I would prefer to
8:27just pivot over to a different option
8:30inside a similar tier. Like right now
8:32the expert average rankings, they
8:34actually have Malik Nabers right
8:36sandwiched between Brock Bowers and
8:39Kyren Williams. My personal expectation
8:41would be that Brock Bowers outscores
8:44Malik Nabers rest of season and you get
8:46those points at tight end. I would also
8:48be interested in seeing if we could
8:49pivot over to Christian McCaffrey,
8:51Derrick Henry, or James Cook from Malik
8:54Nabers. But again, I don't want to
8:56reiterate, I don't think he's a wide
8:57receiver three like Jefferson was last
8:59season, but I'm also not certain that he
9:01is a top three wide receiver in fantasy.
9:03I think he is more so a mid to low end
9:05wide receiver one that has the talent to
9:08be the best wide receiver in the NFL,
9:10but I believe the quarterback situation
9:12is still a massive concern. Now we also
9:15talked about selling Aaron Jones with
9:17Jordan Mason coming back. Now nothing to
9:19update there. We also talked about
9:20selling Ali Gordon just with the outlook
9:22of the Miami Dolphins offense and the
9:24lack of the receiving capability.
9:26Nothing additional to talk about there.
9:28They are both on their bye week. But we
9:30can go over and we can look at some
9:32additional sell highs. Now again, I'm
9:34not coming out and telling you, oh yeah,
9:37you really need to sell Trey Tucker."
9:39Trey Tucker had himself a big week cuz I
9:41I play in fantasy football leagues,
9:42right? I know if I had Trey Tucker, if I
9:44put him on the trade block, nobody would
9:46pay a penny for him. I'm going to talk
9:48about very good players that you would
9:50get offers for if you put them on the
9:51trade block, and you don't sell them for
9:53pennies. You try to sell them at a high
9:56price. This is a sell high video.
9:58Christian Watson is one of those guys.
10:00Now, I personally have Christian Watson
10:02on my own fantasy football team. He has
10:04arguably been my best player so far this
10:07season, and thank God for him because
10:10he's the only reason that I am still in
10:12the playoffs in my league, and I very
10:14much am trying to make the playoffs, but
10:17besides that, I am going to be lowering
10:20my expectations for Christian Watson
10:23going into the future. Now,
10:25not this week against the Detroit Lions.
10:27This week against the Detroit Lions, we
10:30have an over-under of 52 and 1/2 points
10:32in this game. So, I'm expecting
10:34Christian Watson to yet again be a top
10:3710 wide receiver in my fantasy football
10:39rankings for this week. Christian Watson
10:42last week almost dropped 22 fantasy
10:45points. If he could have just held onto
10:47a touchdown that hit his hands, it fell
10:49right to the ground. There is still an
10:51insanely high ceiling with Watson, and
10:53every fantasy video you watch this week
10:56is going to have him as a top 10 wide
10:57receiver in such a great matchup. Now,
11:00what I am a little bit concerned about
11:02is the matchups maybe get a little bit
11:05tougher for Christian Watson down the
11:07road, right? He just got to play against
11:10Dallas. He just gets to play against
11:12Detroit this week as well, and I am
11:14slightly concerned that this team may be
11:18able to be a little bit more of a
11:20balanced offense. Now, I don't think
11:22that all of a sudden they're going to be
11:23a great rushing team because this
11:25offensive line's horrible, but y'all
11:27remember the reason why we were so big
11:29on Christian Watson coming into this
11:31season once the Jacobs stuff happened,
11:34is hey, they have no running backs on
11:36their team. They are going to have to
11:38throw the ball over and over and over
11:40again. This same exact thing happened to
11:42the Arizona Cardinals at the end of
11:442025, when they lost James Conner, when
11:47they lost Trey Benson, and we saw
11:49Michael Wilson finish as the wide
11:50receiver two in fantasy in the second
11:52half of the year. That was the thesis
11:54that we had with Christian Watson.
11:56But now, if Jacobs comes back, they're
11:59going to be able to be a little bit more
12:01balanced. Christian Watson, I am seeing
12:04in a range of wide receivers that um I
12:07think he maybe belongs in, but if you
12:09could pivot off of Christian Watson and
12:12move over to like Justin Jefferson. If
12:15you could pivot off of Christian Watson
12:17and move over to Chris Olave. I think
12:20that those would be names I would feel a
12:22little bit more comfortable about rest
12:24of season with their target volume and
12:26larger samples that we have of them
12:28being dominant names in fantasy in
12:31comparison to Watson, where it's really
12:33been six weeks that he has been this
12:34good. So, I love him, but I am talking
12:37trades with him in my league right now.
12:39A couple offers that I've been putting
12:42out there. Um one I've actually
12:44discussed with Zufah of potentially
12:46selling Christian Watson and Jonathan
12:48Taylor for Jamar Chase and Brock Bowers.
12:51If you could get anything close to that,
12:53I 100% would.
12:55Now, moving over to our next player that
12:57again is a sell high candidate. I'm not
13:00telling you to sell players like Trey
13:01Tucker, Omar Cooper. I know you're not
13:03going to get much for them. So, we're
13:05looking at the good guys. De'Andre Swift
13:08has been an incredible player in
13:10fantasy. If y'all remember, go back to
13:11August, we were massive, massive
13:14advocates for drafting De'Andre Swift,
13:17just given the receiving workload that
13:18he had, Kyle Pitts being injured going
13:21into the season, with the expectations
13:23that De'Andre Swift was going to see an
13:24expanded role early on. And De'Andre
13:27Swift has been able to hold onto that
13:29expanded role with Kalen Guy missing the
13:31past 2 weeks.
13:33Now, if we reset expectations right now
13:36for Swift, I will say yet again, he's
13:38going to be a top-10 running back in my
13:40rankings this week as he gets to go up
13:43against the New England Patriots on
13:44Thursday night, and I would expect we
13:46probably don't get Kalen Guy playing for
13:49a third straight week. But, very similar
13:51to my concerns that we had with Jaylen
13:53Warren, where De'Andre Swift is able to
13:56dominate this backfield right now, I am
13:59concerned that in the second half of the
14:01season, based on the rushing efficiency
14:03that we saw from Kalen Guy,
14:06that Kalen is not going to come in, he's
14:08not going to lead the running back in
14:10total fantasy points. We know that is
14:12the favorite of De'Andre Swift because
14:14Swift can very easily go out there and
14:17have those targets out of the backfield,
14:18which Kalen Guy most likely won't. But,
14:21before Kalen Guy went down with his
14:23injury, the last game that we had with
14:25both these running backs, De'Andre Swift
14:27got punished for that fumble. He ended
14:29up finishing with only 7 and 1/2 fantasy
14:32points, where Kalen Guy went for 30
14:34carries, multiple rushing touchdowns,
14:37and 28 fantasy points, and was leaned on
14:39heavily. Now again, very similar to the
14:42Jaylen Warren Rico Dowdle situation, I
14:44am not telling you that Kalen Guy is
14:46going to be the lead running back. I'm
14:48not telling you that De'Andre Swift's
14:49not going to be startable. I just think
14:51that with Kalen Guy in this offense,
14:53De'Andre Swift consistently projects out
14:55as a running back one in fantasy. But,
14:57once we get Kalen Guy back in taking
14:59that workload, De'Andre Swift will slide
15:01down to being more so a running back
15:03two. So, if you could sell him right
15:05now, especially if you had a winning
15:07record, and move from De'Andre Swift
15:10over to a player like Chase Brown, I see
15:14an extended runway for Chase Brown in
15:16the second half of the season,
15:17especially as he's already through his
15:19bye week, where I'm less concerned about
15:21Samaje Perine than I would be Kyle Allen
15:22guy.
15:24Now, I think that's all I have for you.
15:25Again, I really appreciate you and hope
15:27I was able to help you out in some way
15:28with this. If you haven't done so
15:30already, please make sure you're
15:32subscribed to the channel. I am live
15:33streaming every single day until
15:35Christmas answering your fantasy
15:37football questions. But much love,
15:39ladies and gentlemen. I appreciate you
15:41and I hope we get to see you on the live
15:42stream later tonight.
