0:00Every player that we talk about in this
0:01video, I think will be more valuable in
0:03fantasy football 3 weeks from now than
0:05they are today. Now, the first player
0:07I'm going to discuss, I actually owe you
0:09a massive apology on, and that is AJ
0:13Brown. Now, the reason I owe you an
0:14apology is I thought he was a slam start
0:18this past week. I thought, oh, it
0:20doesn't matter that he's coming off an
0:21injury. Yeah, maybe he starts a little
0:23bit slow, but AJ Brown is such a good
0:25player. You took him in the second round
0:27of your draft. if he's healthy enough to
0:29play, he's in your lineup. And AJ Brown
0:31was horrible, right? He probably lost
0:33you your matchup if you did go through
0:35and play him. And most likely the owner
0:38that has AJ Brown is extremely
0:41frustrated with him because week one, he
0:45scores five and a half fantasy points.
0:46He goes down with the high ankle sprain.
0:48Then finally, they get him back in week
0:51six and what does he do? He draws 10
0:54targets. He drops three pretty big balls
0:57that if you would have held on to, hell,
0:59I mean, he would have had a phenomenal
1:01day for fantasy and he scores five and a
1:03half points. So AJ Brown for the fantasy
1:07owner that has drafted him has scored
1:09five and a half points in the only two
1:10games that he has played and then he
1:12missed a month. So that owner is
1:15probably sitting at two and four right
1:17now. Hell, maybe they're even one and
1:18five. kind of at best they are three and
1:21three and there's a good chance that
1:23they are frustrated but I want to lay
1:25the groundwork on why I think you should
1:27be excited about AJ Brown going into the
1:29future starting off with what we have
1:31seen from Drake May so far this season
1:34obviously at the very beginning of the
1:36season May was horrible that doesn't
1:39surprise anybody here Drake May in the
1:42first three weeks of the year did not
1:44score 10 fantasy points in a single game
1:47the first three weeks Drake May had six
1:50interceptions to one passing touchdown.
1:53Now, week one, that was against a very
1:55good Seattle Seahawks defense. Week two,
1:58they just ran the ball over and over
1:59again. And week three against
2:01Jacksonville, they imploded. I have no
2:03excuses for him. But since then, Drake
2:06May has completely turned the corner.
2:08Drake May has actually gone right back
2:10to where he was last year with 10
2:13passing touchdowns over the past three
2:14weeks. And the efficiency is through the
2:17roof as well. If we look at the overall
2:19receiving options that Drake May is now
2:21going to be throwing to, we can see that
2:23Romeo Dobs hits the IR with the
2:26shoulder. Matt Collins is also out for
2:28the season. This team traded away Kahan
2:31Booty. So AJ Brown is really the only
2:34weapon that they have in terms of wide
2:37receivers. Yes, they have Hunter Henry.
2:39Yes, they have Eli Raridan. Yes, they
2:41have a couple of random running backs.
2:42But I'm not going to be surprised if AJ
2:45Brown going into the future sees 30% of
2:48the New England Patriots targets and
2:50ends up being one of the most prolific
2:53receivers in the entire NFL with his
2:55market share. And based on Drake May
2:58looking like a good quarterback all of
3:00last season and over the past three
3:02weeks, I think the large sample of data
3:04proves that Drake May is a quarterback
3:06you want if you're targeting a top wide
3:10receiver. And with AJ Brown, if we just
3:13go through the hypothetical scenario
3:15that he holds on to the deep ball that
3:17he dropped down the sidelines, he holds
3:19on to the ball in the end zone. How many
3:22points would he have scored this past
3:24week? 22, 23. I would almost say he's a
3:28lowend wide receiver one rest of season.
3:30If I am looking at the rankings on
3:32flockfantasy.com, I am the second
3:34highest expert on the site. I have him
3:37at 36 overall and I have him at wide
3:40receiver 17 and I almost feel like
3:42that's too low. I almost feel like
3:44that's the floor for Brown and again he
3:47can be a wide receiver one. So what I
3:49would be looking to do here is say I am
3:52sitting with Jameson Williams which I
3:54have. I would really like to take
3:56Jameson Williams and maybe I don't know
3:59a starting running back like Rashad
4:01White now and go through and send that
4:03over to AJ Brown. Now, I know the people
4:05that have AJ Brown in my league, there's
4:07no way in hell they're going to accept
4:08that they are Patriots fans, but maybe
4:10the AJ Brown owner in your league will.
4:13Now, going over to Nico Collins, uh, let
4:16me discuss him briefly. Funny enough,
4:19earlier today, I was actually swimming
4:21at my local YMCA, getting in some laps,
4:24and then the lifeguard comes up to me
4:26after and goes, "Hey, you Mason?" I go,
4:29"Yep, I'm Mason." And he goes, "What's
4:31going on with Nico Collins?" I swear to
4:33God, true story. Um, so people are
4:36worried. If I'm looking at Nico here, I
4:38understand the frustration, right? This
4:40past week it was very, very bad. Nico
4:43Collins comes through. He drops only 10
4:46fantasy points. We saw the same thing in
4:48week five against the Tennessee Titans.
4:50Jaylen Null had all the points for
4:52Houston here. And on top of this, Tank
4:55Dell is coming into Houston. Marvin
4:57Harrison in his very limited amount of
4:59snaps and routes actually was targeted
5:02against the Jacksonville Jaguars as
5:04well. So Nico Collins I would not expect
5:06to be in a similar boat to AJ Brown. I
5:09don't know if Nico is going to be able
5:10to get to a 30 35% team target share in
5:13Houston. There's probably too much
5:15competition at this point. But very
5:17similar to why I think AJ Brown's a buy
5:20given the Drake May quarterback play, CJ
5:22Shroud looks like he's completely turned
5:24the corner. Now, I don't want to
5:25overreact here because if we go ahead
5:28and look at the large sample of
5:30quarterback play that we have had from
5:31Strad in his second NFL season, he was
5:35very bad. In his third NFL season, he
5:37was even worse. 6.9 adjusted yards per
5:40attempt as a secondyear player. That is
5:43horrible quarterback play. But the
5:45efficiency is through the roof this
5:47season. 8.1 adjusted yards per pass
5:50attempt. Almost right back to where it
5:52was his rookie season. And if we're
5:54going to get efficient quarterback play
5:56from CJ Strad going into the future, I
5:59actually think it doesn't matter that
6:01there is additional target competition
6:03for Nico Collins. I think he is still
6:05going to be a okay here. And maybe you
6:08say, "Okay, well Mason, is it a small
6:09sample that we have with Shroud? Are we
6:11just backwards looking here or can we
6:12project this into the future?" I mean,
6:14right now, if I go and look at what the
6:17markets have for this upcoming week, the
6:19Houston Texans are actually the biggest
6:22favorites in the NFL, they have an 80%
6:25chance of beating the New York Giants.
6:27The spread on this game is 9 and a half
6:30points. So, markets are pricing in that
6:33Houston is here to stay. Now, obviously,
6:35if you want to check out any of those
6:36markets, that is Poly Market US. You can
6:39find the link in the description. You
6:40can find it in the comment section. Sign
6:42up with promo code flock and you will
6:44get $25 added to your account after you
6:46deposit your first 10. Now where I am
6:49ranking Nico Collins here rest of season
6:52is I am Nico Collins as a low-end wide
6:54receiver one. I have him as wide
6:56receiver 12. What I would be trying to
6:59trade for Nico Collins in my league if I
7:01could. I already know that this is going
7:03to be a spot where I'm most likely not
7:04able to is if I could move say Christian
7:08Watson who is on my roster and get Nico
7:11Collins and a minor upgrade elsewhere. I
7:14would look to do so. Now there's a good
7:15chance the Nico owner in your league
7:17would rather have him over Christian
7:18Watson, which right now is the case in
7:21my league. I know the Nico Collins owner
7:23really likes him, but I would reach out
7:25just in case he is worried. Now going
7:27over to Bree Hall. Obviously, Bree has
7:30missed a considerable amount of time at
7:32this point. I would start pulling
7:34putting out offers right now because if
7:36you remember, Bree Hall goes down in the
7:39third week of this season and this
7:42injury is labeled as a week toeek
7:44injury. They opt to not put him on the
7:46IR. Sounds like it wasn't even in
7:48consideration. And Breece Hall has
7:50already missed weeks four, five, and
7:53six. So, I think the baseline
7:55expectation should be that Bree Hall is
7:57coming back to this New York Jets
7:58offense this week. And if we go over and
8:00we look at where we stand with Brillin
8:02Allen currently, like Brilan Allen is a
8:05running back that stepped in and he
8:08actually was hyperproductive for this
8:10Jets team. Brilan Allen over the past
8:12three weeks has actually seen about 13
8:15fantasy points per game, which if we
8:18transition this same workload back over
8:20to Bree Hall, I wouldn't be surprised at
8:22all if Bree Hall's able to push this up
8:24to 15 16 fantasy points per game and be
8:28an incredibly solid running back, too.
8:30Now, in terms of where I'm ranking Bree
8:32Hall rest of season, I currently have
8:34Bree ranked at RB 16. The range of guys
8:38that I would be looking to move off of
8:40for Breeze, like my team specifically,
8:42again, I have Jameson Williams and Ibuka
8:45as my two flex spots right now. Justin
8:48Jefferson and Christian Watson are my
8:50wide receiver one and two. I wouldn't
8:52want to like down tier from Christian
8:54Watson down to Bree Hall. That's
8:55something I'm not super interested in.
8:57But if I could take maybe one of my
8:59lesser running backs like Rashad White
9:02and parlay him with Jameson Williams to
9:04get up to Breeze, that would be
9:06something that I would love to do.
9:07Again, easier said than done, but we're
9:10sending out the offer in your league.
9:11Now, going over to a running back that
9:13is already on my roster. Travis ETN is
9:17very close to returning, and I do think
9:20ETN has a chance to come back in and be
9:23the legitimate RB1 here for this New
9:25Orleans Saints team. If we go back and
9:27look at what we had from Travis ETN, the
9:30first two weeks this season, he had 18
9:32opportunities in week one and he had 10
9:35opportunities in week two. He was
9:37averaging about five and a half targets
9:39per game and about 8 and a half carries
9:41per game. He actually was pretty
9:42efficient while doing so as well.
9:44Obviously, he didn't look incredible,
9:46but I will say in week three, it did
9:49seem like he was kind of turning the
9:50corner before he went down with the
9:52hamstring. And he looked like he was
9:53going to be a usable running back, too.
9:55Now, is he going to win your league?
9:57Probably not, but he is going to be
9:58somebody you could put in your starting
10:00lineup. He ends up going down in week
10:03three, reagravating a hamstring injury
10:05that he was dealing with in practice
10:06that week. And the basic expectation he
10:09hits the IR is he's going to be about
10:11out for four weeks. Well, if we look at
10:14the timeline for Travis ETN, he has
10:16missed weeks four, five, six, and seven.
10:21So, week seven will be the last week
10:23that he is missing. And it is perfect
10:25timing because the by-week that he is
10:27gonna have to go through and that pretty
10:29much all players in fantasy football
10:30still have to go through a by-week is
10:32going to be in week eight. So
10:34effectively Travis CTN's going to get
10:36the extra week to recover. This makes me
10:38more confident that he will be back
10:41after his time on the injured reserve
10:43and you can buy him for next to nothing.
10:45Now how I would go about trading for
10:48Travis ETN is you can't send an offer
10:50for Travis ETN straight up. You have to
10:52be a little bit sneaky about it, right?
10:54And I've already seen people in my
10:56league trying to get Travis ETN from me
10:58doing this same exact thing. Nobody's
11:01going to approach you or you should not
11:02approach the Travis ETN owner and go,
11:05"Hey, what do you want for ETN?" What
11:07you should look to do is you should look
11:09to make a swap of players in a similar
11:12tier and ask for Travis ETN as a throwin
11:15as if he doesn't matter to the deal. So
11:17what Sammy Staxs and Danny Lad tried
11:19doing with me is they tried trading me
11:22Ashton Genty for Christian Watson and
11:24they asked me to throw Travis TNN as if
11:27he is a complete zero and it doesn't
11:29matter at all. That is what I would
11:31advise you doing because obviously as we
11:33go down to the players that are very
11:35buried on this list um it's easier to
11:37get them as a throwin than it is to just
11:40straight up trade for him. Now going
11:42over to Debo Samuel. Debo Samuel is the
11:47other guy that you should get in as a
11:49throwin. Do not go straight to the Debo
11:51owner and ask, "What do I have to give
11:53you for Debo Samuel?" Do not do that.
11:55All of a sudden, they're going to be
11:57thinking, "Oh, is Debo actually worth
11:58something? I should maybe ask for
12:00something aggressively." No. Debo's
12:02value is in the gutter. Like, if we go
12:04through and look at the rankings over
12:06time on flockfantasy.com,
12:08he peaked at about 67 overall. If you
12:10remember back then, we actually did have
12:12him as that sell high candidate. Didn't
12:14know he was going to get injured.
12:16Obviously, it is at risk for a
12:1831-year-old player, but regardless, he
12:20is now dropped down to 106. And if we
12:23look at the overall landscape that we
12:24currently have in San Francisco, we
12:26already know Ricky Pierall is out for
12:28the season, right? You're never going to
12:29see Pierce Hall again. Desribling may or
12:31may not come back around the same
12:33timeline that you're going to get from
12:35Debo. Expectations for Debo right now is
12:37he's going to miss week seven. No way in
12:38hell he plays. And then the niners have
12:40a week eight buy. So you would expect to
12:42get Debo Samuel back in week nine. But
12:44the upside case that you're going to
12:45have with Debo if he does come back in
12:47week nine is we currently don't have the
12:50status of Mike Evans. We don't know
12:52exactly when Evans will return. So
12:54that's why I think it would be very
12:56interesting to target Debo Samuel as a
12:58throwin in a deal. Just get him on the
13:01back end of your bench, especially if
13:02you can move him to your IR slot. And
13:04then who knows, maybe he is flexible if
13:07we get to week nine coming out of the
13:08Niners by and Mike Evans hasn't worked
13:10himself back from the Achilles
13:12tendinitis. Now, I think that's all I
13:14got for you. I really appreciate you and
13:15I hope I was able to help you out in
13:18some way with this. And of course, if
13:20you have not done so already, please
13:22make sure you drop a like on the video,
13:24subscribe to the channel. I am live
13:26streaming every single day until
13:28Christmas answering your fantasy
13:30football questions. So, I really hope I
13:32get to see you out in the live stream
13:33sometime soon. And yeah, thank you so
13:34much for