0:00Massive news. Devonte Adams is essentially out for the rest of the season, right? The report is ruptured hamstrings, six to 10 weeks. Maybe he's
0:07back for the Rams playoff push. We'll see if they make it there. But for fantasy purposes, I'm going to assume that Puka Nua is the wide receiver one
0:16through the rest of the season. Now, there is additional risk that you have with Puka in comparison to Jackson Smith and Jigma. Obviously, if you are looking
0:26at Pukanua, he has what is called a preh hernia. Now, I am not smart enough to be able to get into the details and tell
0:34you exactly what that is and exactly what that means, but even my monkey brain understands that yeah, Puka is probably at an elevated risk of injury
0:43in comparison to JSN rest of season. JSN has been the much better wide receiver so far this year, averaging 27 and a
0:50half fantasy points per game. So if you wanted to have JSN ahead of Puka Nua, you can do so. But Puka is averaging 13
0:58targets per game. And with no Devonte Adams, hell, I wouldn't be surprised if he averages 13 targets per game through the rest of the season. We have seen
1:06Shawn McVey and Matthew Stafford lock into a top wide receiver, force feed them over and over and over and over again with Cooper Cup winning the Triple
1:15Crown a long time ago. Maybe the same thing here is going to happen with Nua.
1:20Now going over to our A tier, we will have a Monro St. Brown. The benefit that you get with St. Brown is he is already
1:26through his by-week. So you are going to get an extra game in comparison to maybe somebody like CD Lamb. Jamar Chase
1:33already through his by-week as well.
1:35Obviously the points per game numbers for Chase look a little bit wacky just because he left that game super early with the concussion and at the same time
1:42week one it was horrible. But projecting out into the future, I think that these are pretty clearly the top five wide
1:48receivers. If you wanted to put JSN ahead of Puka, you can do that. If you wanted to put CDL Lamb up to wide
1:54receiver three, you can do that. You can mix these guys around in the tiers that we have them in. The reason I again I
2:01would prefer St. Brown and Jamar Chase when valuing these guys for trades is you will get an extra game out of them
2:06in comparison to CD Lamb. And at the same time, I think that they are about the same rest of season. Now, I'm going
2:12to have Justin Jefferson at six. Now, full transparency, I'm very biased here.
2:17I have Justin Jefferson on my own fantasy team. He is my wide receiver one and fingers crossed that he comes out
2:22and keeps performing for us. It's not like we have cemented in stone that Kyler Murray is some great NFL quarterback. If we look at Jedha's at
2:32the moment, this is a player that we can't use the points per game numbers because week three only played 12% of
2:39the snaps before going down with the ankle injury. And hell, with those 12% of the snaps, he had five fantasy points. Um, essentially he's played
2:46three full games. Two of them he was phenomenal in. One of them was a monsoon, right? Super super rainy, super bad weather. So, I'm going to give
2:55Jefferson the benefit of the doubt and he's already through his by-week. So, if somebody were to try to trade um me for
3:02him, I would value him a little bit higher than somebody like Malik Neighbors. Now, Neighbors obviously looks like arguably a top three wide
3:10receiver in the NFL right now. and JJ McCarthy looked good in the second half in garbage time against the New Orleans
3:18Saints. I do want to take a step backwards though and I do want to acknowledge what JJ McCarthy did to Justin Jefferson last season where
3:28Justin Jefferson through his NFL career had been the wide receiver 84254 in points per game, right? Arguably the best wide receiver in the league. JJ
3:38McCarthy starting for the Minnesota Vikings had Justin Jefferson fall down to wide receiver 32.
3:45So I want to be on the same page with everybody here. Just because JJ McCarthy looked good in the second half against
3:52the backups of the New Orleans Saints doesn't mean that McCarthy is all of a sudden a good quarterback and we don't
3:59have to worry about the quarterback play for Malik Neighbors. The quarterback play is about to be a massive, massive concern. Now, there is a chance they
4:06roll Jameus back out here this next week, but I do think in the long run, we are going to see McCarthy under center.
4:11Um, but Neighbors looks like a phenomenal talent. He is playing incredibly well. I mean, over the past three weeks, he's averaging over 10
4:18targets per game, and he's averaging over 25 fantasy points per game over the past three weeks as well. Now, looking at Chris Ave as our wide receiver,
4:27eight, Chris Ave is also averaging doubledigit fantasy points per game. Now with a lav, he is at an elevated risk for a couple different injuries in
4:37comparison to some of these other wide receivers that we have talked about so far. And on top of this, Jordan Tyson,
4:43the wide receiver the New Orleans Saints selected inside the top 10 picks of the NFL draft this year, is traveling with
4:49the team to Paris for week seven. Now, I don't expect Jordan Tyson to play just because again, um, this is an
4:56international game. He hasn't practiced all year. And most importantly, if we are looking at a lav, this is a And most importantly, the Saints have a
5:07by week in week eight. So I expect no Tyson this week. He takes the buy, but Tyson probably coming out and playing
5:12week nine onwards, which may eat into the target share for Chris Ave just slightly. And again, Alve at an elevated risk for injuries. Now, this is where
5:22things are going to begin to flatten out a bit. We are going to have Z Flowers at nine. Now the word with Lamar Jackson is
5:30he is hopeful to start practicing this week but he is still labeled dayto-day.
5:35Clearly one say Flowers gets Lamar Jackson back in. We will raise our expectations with him dramatically. We had him as the sell high candidate
5:44coming off the monstrous Tennessee Titans game because my read on this situation was yeah they're claiming that Lamar could play in week five. I wasn't
5:53buying it. I was saying this is going to be an injury that lingers for Lamar Jackson. So if you could pivot off of Z
5:58Flowers to like Drake London, Nico Collins, I'd be interested. But still, he's a very, very talented receiver and now Z Flowers is about to be getting
6:07Lamar back in. Drake London at 10. If you are looking at what London did this past week, he just had double digit
6:15targets. We have had four games, four games with Michael Penn under center.
6:20And I honestly think that London may represent a massive buy low opportunity because in those games he's had 10, six, 11, and 10 targets. He's been pretty
6:30damn efficient as well with like the yards per target, the yards per route run. The problem's been he just hasn't scored a touchdown this year, which I
6:38mean, if we go through and look at the fact that he's had 47 targets and zero touchdowns scored, that's not something
6:45that's going to continue to happen going into the future. So, I think London will be much better. Now, I have Christian
6:51Watson on my own fantasy team, so obviously I am very biased with this.
6:56Christian Watson this past week was disappointing against the Dallas Cowboys with only nine and a half fantasy points, but he was just standing in the
7:03end zone, hands up, ball hit him in the hands, fell right down for like a 45 yard receiving touchdown. He catches
7:10that ball. He drops 20 plus points. Last week, he's averaging like 22 fantasy points per game. So, I'm super optimistic with Christian Watson and
7:19Matthew Golden still. I will say though, Josh Jacobs coming back in maybe makes it where they don't have to throw the
7:25ball as much. Now, going to Nico Collins, the good that you have here is the fact that CJ Strad looks like a
7:34competent NFL quarterback yet again. So CJ Strad coming in is going to elevate the overall offense, but now we are looking at a setup in which you
7:44potentially have Marvin Harrison as a legitimate wide receiver too. Jaylen Null is flashed and Tank Dell is getting added back week seven. So there is some
7:54additional risk that you have with the Nico case that who knows maybe, just maybe, he has some target competition for the first time ever. But I like the
8:04fact that the offense looks much better.
8:06Garrett Wilson is looking like he is getting some target competition added to his wide receiver room as well. Omar Cooper Jr. round one NFL draft pick by
8:15the New York Jets. Just looked great against the New England Patriots with his first real game playing. Now I will say Christian Gonzalez was lined up
8:23across from Garrett Wilson. So maybe this was just game script dependent, matchup dependent where they weren't looking as much in the direction of
8:30Wilson trying to avoid Gonzo and instead things just naturally funneled through Omar Cooper. But if we fast forward like a month from now, Adani Mitchell
8:39healthy, Kenyan, Sadique, Omar Cooper, both continuing to improve as round one NFL draft picks that are rookies, maybe Garrett Wilson all of a sudden has
8:48target competition in what's a bad offense. And then Parker Washington, you can have all the way up at nine. Again, it is incredibly difficult to make these
8:57rankings. That's why we do this as tier list because you may see like, oh, Parker Washington's down at 14. He should be way higher than this. he
9:04should be a top 10 receiver. And yeah, I mean the gap between him and Z Flowers is this big for me. They're like the
9:10same thing. So you can have Parker Washington at nine. My only problem would be if you try to rank Washington ahead of like a Lav Neighbors,
9:16Jefferson, Lamb, Chase, Aman, Raw. The man's been incredible. He just had 11 targets this past week. He's averaging 7.7 targets per game, which is similar
9:26to what we have with other wide receivers in this tier. There were a couple plays that Parker Washington was this close to having a massive, massive
9:35day against the Houston Texans this past week. Now, going over to the Dtier, this is where we get to wide receivers that
9:42are still must start names every week, but I don't know if I can view them as consistent wide receiver ones. The guys
9:48that are 14 and above are consistent wide receiver ones. Tedo and McMillan is a player that I absolutely love. I went
9:56all in on McMillan in round four of drafts this year. One of my favorite players. The holdup that I'm gonna have
10:03now is I didn't really believe the Jaylen Coker story coming into the season. I didn't really believe that Coker would be um up here with McMillan
10:12drawing just as many targets as him, but it looks like that's the case right now.
10:16Looks like Jaylen Coker is the wide receiver 1B to Tedo McMillan's wide receiver 1A. This isn't a traditional alpha scenario and then beta down below.
10:26They are very similar. Matthew Golden looks incredible in Green Bay. He's actually averaging more targets per game than what you have with Christian
10:34Watson. And you are incredibly close as well to Matthew Golden having a much bigger day against the Dallas Cowboys where he had some pretty crucial drops
10:44just like Christian Watson did. I still believe that Watson has the higher touchdown appeal just given his frame and deep threat ability. So, I'll still
10:52have Watson as the wide receiver one, but Matthew Golden is still a mustart name every single week and looks like one of the biggest league winners of
10:58fantasy. Now, AJ Brown had a horrible, horrible game this past week. And I owe everybody a massive apology in the Sunday morning live stream once AJ Brown
11:09was cleared. I repeatedly said over and over again, "Yeah, lower your expectations. He's not going to be a top 10 wide receiver, but you have to start
11:18him. If AJ Brown's playing here, he has to be in your lineup. And the dude did nothing. He scored 5.7 fantasy points.
11:26It was horrible. Right now, he did have 10 targets. And if AJ Brown would have just held on to a couple of those key
11:33drops, AJ Brown would have been a hell of a lot better. And now Romeo Dobs goes to the IR with the shoulder injury. M.
11:40Collins, I believe, is also on the IR as well. So AJ Brown's going to be seeing a considerable amount of target volume.
11:46Now, Mike Evans would be much higher than this if it weren't for the injuries he is dealing with. Obviously, he already had the rib injury, but now he
11:55has the Achilles stuff as well. I'm recording this at about 4:30 on Monday.
12:00I don't even know if Mike Evans for sure going to be playing in this game. We do have word that Christian Kirks ruled
12:05out. Um, but yeah, I'll update y'all after the live stream tonight. We'll talk Mike Evans. Um, right now the expectations with this game, we have the
12:13Niners with a 78% chance of winning, the Commanders at 22%, spread 7 and a half points. And if we go over and look at
12:22the player props, Mike Evans does have a 51% chance of scoring a touchdown here.
12:27So, it is a pretty good spot in terms of if he does play, he'll be great. Like 40% chance of scoring 16 or more fantasy
12:34points. Now, obviously, if you want to check out any of these markets, you can find the link to Poly Market US in the
12:40description, comment section, live chat.
12:42If you sign up with promo code Flock, you are going to get $25 added to your account after you deposit your first 10.
12:48Available in every state outside of Nevada. Now, going over to George Pickkins. Pickings had himself a really good game this past week against the
12:57Green Bay Packers, but we also did get CD Lamb banged up a little bit in it where Lamb kind of went out near the end
13:04very similar to what we had the week prior and that's when Pickkins did have a lot of his production. Right now he
13:10looks like a boom bust wide receiver too that you absolutely have to start because the ceiling is incredibly high but the floor is also incredibly low.
13:18Very similar to T. Higgins, right? like Lamb Pickins, Chase Higgins, they look almost identical. I actually should, and I will do this right now, actually. I
13:28think I can do this on flockfantasy.com.
13:30Yeah, I'll swap them. I think I'm going to have Higgins ahead of George Pickins because T. Higgins has already gone through his buy. So, it's a very clear
13:37tiebreaker that we can use. Now, we have word that Jaylen Herz is done for the year, right? The Philadelphia Eagle situation is insane. Jaylen Herz maybe
13:46ends up suing the team. I would not fault him at all for it. And this is going to be a very bad offense going
13:52into the future. But Mai Lemon has showed nothing. So it does appear that Devonte Smith is just going to get forcefed targets over and over and over
13:59again. And honestly, I'm going to have him ahead of George Piggin as well. And then Jaylen Coker here at 22. Um, I was
14:07very reluctant to do this. Again, I've been a massive Ted McMillan guy for a very long time. I love Ted, but at this
14:14point, I have to admit Jaylen Coker's pretty damn close to him. Like if you wanted to have Jaylen Coker ranked ahead
14:21of McMillan, while I would disagree with you, I would understand where you are coming from. Like he did just dominate the targets here.
14:30Now going to our E tier, we're going to have Michael Wilson. Michael Wilson um has taken a step backwards over the past
14:37two weeks with no Marv. Maybe he is getting more defensive attention. The Arizona Cardinals have a pretty tough schedule upcoming as well, but he's
14:46still averaging 9.7 targets per game.
14:49And the Cardinals winning football games probably means Jacob's the starter here, and they're not looking at Carson Beck anytime soon. Rasheed Rice obviously did
14:58not practice at any point this past week. So, he's had two weeks off with the hamstring injury. Once Rice is back
15:05into this lineup, I would expect him to be a Dtier wide receiver where I wouldn't be super excited to have him as
15:11my wide receiver one, but if he's your wide receiver, too, you'd probably be starting him every single week. He's had no good games yet this season, though.
15:18Luther Burton not getting on the field very often. Like, he only played 39% of the snaps against the Atlanta Falcons.
15:24Now, obviously we very weird game environment, but he's really only on the field in 11 personnel. Now, he's hyper hyper efficient with the snaps that he
15:33does play, but I'm going to be a little bit concerned just if he can't turn into an every down player here in Chicago. It
15:40is going to cap his ceiling from him turning into a true top 10 wide receiver. Now, Jameson Williams is the wide receiver or two slash3 on my own
15:48fantasy team. Um, I'm happy that he's already through his buy. Having Jefferson and JO through his their buys, I feel great about it. Um, obviously
15:56boom bust wide receiver, right? What I can say about the Detroit Lions is based on how bad their defense is, the Lions
16:04are going to be forced to throw the ball consistently. Now, Abbuka is also another wide receiver I have on my own
16:09roster. The efficiency has been unbelievably bad. He is averaging fewer than five yards per target. He is like worse than a running back. Like some
16:19running backs are averaging more yards per carry than I is averaging yards per target. The hope is Baker Mayfield is supposed to be back at practice on
16:28Wednesday. If Baker Mayfield can come back and elevate the Tampa Bay Buccaneers passing efficiency, then at that point maybe IUA does become a
16:36little bit more exciting. But until then, we're going to have him not as the set it and forget it must start wide
16:42receiver tier, but instead the flex consideration. DJ Moore hasn't really got to do anything so far in Buffalo.
16:49obviously dealing with the shoulder, but the Buffalo Bills have their byee in week seven. So, he's missed the past two weeks. He now has the by-week to get
16:57healthy as well. So, I think we probably get DJ Moore back in week eight. And then Cardell Tate this past week, the
17:03market share numbers are insane, right?
17:07He just had like 70% of the receiving production in Tennessee this past week.
17:12Like unheard of. Phenomenal player. The problem is the Tennessee Titans arguably have the worst offense in the NFL. So, it's very, very tough to be overly
17:21optimistic with them. Now, going down to our F tier, this is the range of players that I would hope are on your bench.
17:29Now, obviously, if they're in your lineup, they can pop off, but um D tier and above must start names. E tier,
17:37hopefully they're in your flex. F tier, hopefully at this point, Jaylen Waddle is bench consideration for you. Like, Bo Knicks looks horrible. The efficiency
17:46with Gilen Waddle looks horrible. The usage looks horrible and I don't see how it gets that much better going into the
17:53future. Now, Stefon Diggs as well as Terry McLaren. Um, don't necessarily know what to expect with these wide receivers right now. Both are a little
18:01bit banged up, especially Stefon Diggs.
18:03We will see them in the game tonight against the Niners and there's a good chance that we are having to move them
18:08in the rankings afterwards. DK Metaf just getting absolutely force-fed targets at the moment. Metaf 8.7 targets per game. I think we have Jeremy Bernard
18:18here um near this as well. Let me find him. Yeah, this is Jeremy Bernard here at 36. So both Metaf and Bernard you can
18:27definitely consider putting in your flex spot any given week, but I don't think that they are going to give you the
18:32guaranteed production. Obviously they look great in week six. The concern that I may have for the long term in valuing
18:41them in trades is do their target shares go down just a bit once we get the addition of Michael Pitman Jr. and the
18:50addition of Roman Wilson back into this offense, right? But until then, they are going to be absolutely feasting. Roman Dunay at 34, he's playing a lot. Just
19:00not super efficient here in this Chicago Bears offense. Doesn't draw targets at a high clip. Lad Manki can't stay healthy.
19:08Finally, he gets the byee to rest up, though. And you would guess coming out of the by-week. Um, and maybe he's
19:15improved his health. Maybe he's ready to go. The problem is the ceiling is so severely capped because the Los Angeles Chargers are the most disappointing
19:23offense in the NFL. Now, Denzel Boston and Jordan Tyson will be our last few names here. Um, let me move myself so
19:30y'all can see them. But yeah, with Tyson specific, well, let's start with Boston.
19:35Boston not earning targets at a very high clip. Has some of the worst quarterback play in the NFL. I'm not a
19:40Deshun Watson believer. With Jordan Tyson, I am really, really excited to finally get to see him play football.
19:47Phenomenal talent, top 10 NFL draft pick. Possibly would have got drafted out of Carnell Tate if it wasn't for the injury stuff. Um, now he is traveling
19:54with the team in week seven. Hopefully he practices some. I don't think he will. I think the most likely outcome is
20:00he misses this week, they have the buy in week eight, he's fully healthy week nine, he takes a couple weeks to ramp
20:06up. Maybe we're starting him in week 10 onwards. But I do think that he has an incredibly high ceiling once healthy.
20:12So, I'm excited, but obviously unlikely that he does much. Very similar to unlikely that any of these other wide receivers do much. Marvin Harrison at
20:2139. Um, anybody 39 below, I pray to God that they are on your bench. Like Marv has the upside where maybe he can turn
20:29things around in Houston. Maybe it just was an Arizona Cardinals problem. Like he didn't get that much usage this past week in terms of routes or snaps. But
20:38when he was on the field, CJ Strad was looking in his direction. Straoud looks like he's balling, but Tankell is going
20:44to come back this week. So there will be more options than just Nico Collins to compete with. Trey Tucker, obviously massive, massive game this past week.
20:53you're going to get these big-time spikes with Tucker and then you're going to get very disappointing performances as well. The big thing is I just think
21:01so many of the targets are going to be funneled through the tight ends that it's tough to assume that Tucker is
21:05going to be viable weekly, but hell, I mean, another big game or two, he's going to have to jump up to the top of
21:10the F tier. Jordan Addison just hasn't shown anything with Kyler Murray, even in the game in which you had no Jefferson, he wasn't viable.
21:19Xavier Worthy looks like he can be a player that is startable when you have no Rashi Rice, but when Rice does come
21:25back in, I'm worried that Xavier Worthy continues to draw no targets. Josh DS, I'm throwing in the towel on. This dude
21:31sucks, right? I don't know why fantasy football quote unquote analysts are all in on this guy year after year after year. Year one, wide receiver 52 in
21:41points per game. Year two, wide receiver 31. Year three, wide receiver 56. Year four wide receiver 52, right? He's out of excuses.
21:52You had no Tyler Bordon. You had no Alec Pierce. He still can't get it done. What happens when these guys come back? Casey
21:57Conception doesn't look as good as Denzel Boston right now, but he actually is averaging more targets per game slightly. And he was the round one pick
22:05here in Cleveland. Jacobe Meyers maybe actually does get a little bit of a bump up if we end up getting Brian Thomas Jr.
22:12just straight up traded, which looks possible given the fact that they benched Brian Thomas Jr. in the second half of this past game. Mai Lemon looks
22:19like he's doing nothing. Wandell Robinson, I'm straight up about to cut.
22:23Actually, I need to put Omar Cooper ahead of both Lemon and Wandelle. Again, I need to pick up a tight end off the
22:28waiverwire. I have Daltton Concade on this week. The player I'm cutting off my team is going to be Wandell Robinson.
22:34And then Malik Washington down here at the very end as well. Would be higher if he didn't play for the Miami Dolphins,
22:39but he does look like the wide receiver one. I will say maybe some additional rookie wide receiver competition with Chris Bell and Caleb Douglas take a step
22:47forward in the second half of the year.
22:49But I think that's all I got for you.
22:50Really appreciate you. I really hope you won your matchup this week. Obviously, I'm going to be live streaming every single day answering your fantasy
22:56football questions. So, please, just in case you haven't already, make sure you subscribe to the channel. I'd love to see you on a live stream sometime
