From the video

He has gotten worse for three seasons straight now specifically with his fantasy points per game. Like he averaged 21 points per game in 23. Then that fell down to 17 points per game at 24, 15 and a half points per game this past season. He played 88% of the snaps in 2024... that fell down to 70% in 25 with Blake Cororm seeing more of the backfield
STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Three-year decline to 15.5 PPG; snap share erosion to 70% limits upside.
Williams has declined for three consecutive seasons in fantasy points per game: 21 PPG in 2023, 17 PPG in 2024, 15.5 PPG in 2025. His snap share also fell from 88% in 2024 to 70% in 2025 as Blake Corum expanded his role, especially late season. JJ Zachariason views his current round-3 ADP as appropriate given this downside risk, though he'd be a must-draft at round 4 or later. If Corum consistently takes 30% of the backfield, Williams will trend closer to his 15.5 PPG floor rather than his 2023 peak of 21 PPG, limiting ceiling upside.
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