Flock Fantasy on Brian Thomas Jr.

Extreme draft positions create value timing risk; cannot rely on late-round falls

Used as an example of draft value timing risk at extreme draft positions: if ranked in the sixth round but expected to go in the middle of the seventh, picking at pick 1 or 12 creates massive risk because 23 picks separate your selections with no guarantee he makes it back to you. This illustrates why extreme draft positions are generally unfavorable—you cannot allow value to reach you.

Brian Thomas Jr.WR · JAXPlayer page — value, ADP, projections, and every insight