STACKED’s take
Negative signalProjection
Smith-Marsette WR7 in xFPG but WR34 actual due to Baker accuracy.
Moved down one spot to WR 13 despite strong volume metrics. Ranks WR 7 in expected fantasy points per game (17.8 xFPG) since week 7 but only WR 34 in actual points per game—a massive gap. Ron Stewart attributes this to Baker Mayfield's accuracy issues: only 30 of 58 targets (51%) have been deemed catchable since week 7, compared to 36 of 42 (86%) in weeks 1-6. Stewart frames this as either a Baker shoulder injury issue or a potential bounce-back opportunity if Mayfield regresses to the mean and the offense stabilizes with Evans and Godwin healthy.
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