Ron Stewart

The source highlights MarShawn Lloyd as a sleeper running back, noting he is an 11th-round pick in high-stakes leagues but goes in the 17th round by consensus and is currently unranked on Sleeper.

Ron Stewart highlights Keon Coleman as one of his favorite sleeper picks, noting he is a 10th-round pick in high-stakes formats but can be drafted in the 11th or 12th round in home leagues.

Sam LaPorta is a key target competitor in the Lions' offense alongside Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jahmyr Gibbs. The source notes that his absence last year provided a glimpse into the team's potential target distribution.

Jared Goff is the quarterback of a Lions offense featuring multiple high-end target competitors like Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Sam LaPorta, which can limit his individual ceiling; however, the source notes he is reasonably priced, specifically highlighting his value on ESPN.

Ron Stewart identifies Tyrone Tracy Jr. as a sleeper running back, noting his ADP as a 10th-round pick in high-stakes leagues and an 11th-round pick by consensus.

Ron Stewart labels Dalton Kincaid as a fairly priced upside tight end, noting that despite the tendency for tight ends to be pushed up in ADP, Kincaid remains a good value late in drafts.

Ron Stewart recommends Josh Downs as a 10th-round value pick, noting that even with his rising ADP in various formats, he remains a strong target.

Ron Stewart argues that Quentin Johnston is being disrespected in home leagues with a ninth-round ADP, noting he was a top-22 WR in points per game and represents a strong flex piece with upside.

Christian McCaffrey is cited as a historical benchmark for elite running back receiving production, having been one of only four players to exceed 40 PPR points on designed targets last season, alongside Bijan Robinson, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Travis Etienne.

Travis Etienne served as a primary receiving threat in the Jaguars' offense, ranking as one of only four running backs with 40+ PPR points on designed targets last year alongside Bijan Robinson, Christian McCaffrey, and Jahmyr Gibbs. His departure leaves a significant void in the passing game.

Ron Stewart suggests Kenny Gainwell as a solid late-round RB depth option, noting his 70-catch season and potential usage in 'pony personnel' alongside other backs; he is a good value pick in the ninth round of home leagues.

Jordan Tyson is a high-upside rookie receiver value in the seventh or eighth round. Ron Stewart notes his fit in a fast-paced Kellen Moore offense that generates high reception volume.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is expected to compete with Tank Bigsby for short-yardage and goal-line work. While there is buzz about him in practice, Ron Stewart notes that Bigsby had a better success rate in short-yardage situations last year.

Jonathan Brooks is a recommended target in the eighth round, despite a consensus ninth-round ADP. Ron Stewart gives a 'green light' to draft him in the eighth round, citing his pass-catching ability, youth, and full recovery from a double ACL tear. He emphasizes that the Panthers' backfield is a meritocracy where Brooks could overtake the competition, though he warns that his ADP is currently skyrocketing.

Tank Bigsby is the best home-run swing in the fifth-round range for home leagues. He is expected to serve as the lead back and inherit the designed receiving role previously held by Travis Etienne, similar to how Liam Cohen utilized Bucky Irving. Bigsby demonstrated efficiency last year, ranking 3rd in rushing success rate and 10th in tackles avoided per carry.

Parker Washington is a high-stakes favorite and a strong value pick in the seventh round. Ron Stewart notes his impressive late-season performance last year, where he averaged 15.8 points per game over a 10-game sample, a pace that would have ranked him as the WR9. He is viewed as a key piece of a high-scoring Jaguars offense.

Ladd McConkey is a breakout wide receiver candidate who should be a third-round pick but is available in the fourth round of home leagues. He benefits from a new play-caller and an offense that is getting healthy.

Marvin Harrison Jr. is a strong value pick, available a round later than his high-stakes ADP of the fifth round on platforms like Sleeper and ESPN. Ron Stewart cites his strong Reception Perception metrics (80th percentile win rate vs. man) and Matt LaFleur's plan to move him around the formation as indicators of a potential third-year breakout.

Christian Watson is a value pick in the sixth round on Sleeper and seventh on ESPN, despite being a fourth-round pick in high-stakes formats. Ron Stewart notes that Watson averages 17.5 points per game when running at least 75% of routes, a threshold he is expected to meet consistently this season with other receivers like Doubs and Wicks no longer in the mix.

Emeka Egbuka is a strong breakout candidate and value pick in the fourth round. While consensus has him at 402, he is being drafted at 211 in high-stakes leagues. The source highlights his monster upside, noting he averaged over 20 points per game during his first five games.

A.J. Brown's absence from the field serves as the baseline for evaluating DeVonta Smith's elite efficiency metrics, specifically his high target and yardage production when operating as the primary receiver.

Entering his fifth year, Jameson Williams is positioned for a breakout season as he transitions from a deep-threat-only role to a featured receiver with increased YAC ability and a more balanced aDOT (11.6 to 12.7). He averaged 16 points per game from Week 9 onward last season, though his outlook is tempered by target competition from Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Sam LaPorta.

Bucky Irving is expected to serve as the lead back in the Buccaneers offense under Liam Cohen, who historically features his running backs in both the designed passing game and screen game. The source projects Irving to split goal-line carries at worst while handling significant receiving work, creating high-end upside for an offense that ranked sixth in scoring last year.

DeVonta Smith is a significant value on Sleeper as a fourth-round pick. In a 187-route sample without A.J. Brown, Smith performed as a top-tier receiver (WR8 in yards per route run, WR6 in targets per route run, WR4 in expected fantasy points per route run). Ron Stewart projects him as a fringe backend WR1 who will be the top dog in the Eagles' offense.

Malik Nabers is considered a massive value in the third round across major platforms like Sleeper, ESPN, and Yahoo. Despite his ACL recovery, high-stakes drafters are not concerned, and he is expected to be ready for Week 1.

Brock Bowers is a recommended target as the only top-five tight end by consensus ADP not being overdrafted compared to high-stakes formats. In full PPR, he has the potential to be a monster who gaps the field at the position, as he ranks behind only OBJ, Puka Nacua, and Michael Thomas in receptions through his first 29 career games.

Kenneth Walker is a legendary upside swing and a value pick, currently available in the late second round (2.10-2.11) on platforms like Sleeper and ESPN, which is roughly half a round cheaper than his high-stakes ADP of 2.04. Ron Stewart views him as the most talented running back Andy Reid has had since Kareem Hunt, noting that he is set up to crush if he plays a full 17 games.

Ron Stewart identifies Ashton Jeanty as a high-volume bellcow for the Raiders with significant passing-game upside; he is a consensus 1.11 pick but goes at 1.08 in high-stakes leagues, with Stewart ranking him at 1.09. Per Mike Clay projections, Jeanty is tied with Jahmyr Gibbs for the third-highest target share among all running backs, and he benefits from a scheme that historically features high rush rates inside the 5-yard and 20-yard lines.

Puka Nacua is recognized as a top-tier player in high-stakes ADP data, with his current draft position passing the 'smell test' for sharp leagues.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is listed as a top-tier player in high-stakes ADP data, with his draft position passing the 'smell test' for sharp leagues.

Jahmyr Gibbs is a top-tier player in high-stakes leagues whose ADP passes the 'smell test' for sharp drafters. He is a historical benchmark for elite running back receiving production, ranking as one of only four players to exceed 40 PPR points on designed targets last season alongside Bijan Robinson, Christian McCaffrey, and Travis Etienne.

Ja'Marr Chase is highlighted as a top-tier player in high-stakes ADP data, with his draft position passing the 'smell test' for sharp leagues.

Bijan Robinson is a top-tier player in high-stakes ADP data, with his draft position aligning with expectations for sharp leagues. He is a historical benchmark for elite running back receiving production, having been one of only four players to exceed 40 PPR points on designed targets last season.

Amon-Ra St. Brown is identified as a top-tier player in high-stakes ADP data, with his draft position passing the 'smell test' for sharp leagues. He remains a primary target competitor in the Lions' offense, contributing to a crowded receiving environment.

Josh Downs is a high-value breakout candidate in his fourth year, currently available in the 10th round. Despite playing exclusively in 11 personnel, he ranks top-10 in targets per route and first downs per route among high-volume receivers. With Alec Pierce potentially limited by an ankle injury and Daniel Jones expected to favor quick, underneath passes, Downs is a strong candidate to challenge for 100+ receptions and WR11-12 production.

Ron Stewart views Brian Thomas Jr. as an awesome talent with a massive ceiling this year. While he does not qualify as a traditional breakout candidate after finishing as a WR11 in points per game during his rookie season, Stewart remains highly bullish on his potential.

Ron Stewart identifies Ladd McConkey as a prime year-three breakout candidate with top-12 upside, ranking him at WR2 (4.02 ADP) despite a 4.09 consensus ADP. Stewart cites McConkey's elite per-route metrics, including 4.17 yards per route run on go routes in 2024, and the return of Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater as catalysts for an offensive rebound. Additionally, Mike McDaniel's scheme and increased heavy-set usage—modeled after Jaylen Waddle's usage—are expected to boost McConkey's efficiency by moving him outside of 11 personnel.

Ron Stewart acknowledges Mark Andrews as a teammate of Zay Flowers but argues that Andrews does not pose enough of a threat to Flowers' target share to prevent a breakout season.

Ron Stewart identifies Rashod Bateman as a teammate of Zay Flowers but explicitly states that Bateman does not represent meaningful target competition that would prevent Flowers from achieving a breakout season.

Ron Stewart notes that Isaiah Likely's departure from the team removes significant red-zone target competition, which creates a path for Zay Flowers to see increased opportunities in that area of the field.