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Everything You Need to Know Before Week 2 Fantasy Football (Rookie Report)

STACKED extracted the fantasy-relevant player signal from this video and kept the full transcript here for context.

1 hr 6 min

Duration

Estimated from transcript

Sep 14, 2026

Published

Mon, September 14, 2026

46

Player insights

46

Players mentioned

Topics

Alec PierceAntonio WilliamsBen SinnottBrenton StrangeBrian Thomas Jr.Brock BowersCaleb DouglasCarnell TateChris BellChristian WatsonColston LovelandD.J. MooreDalton KincaidDenzel Boston

Player analysis

Player insights

46

Alec Pierce

PositiveDepth Chart27:07

Alec Pierce is expected to work his way into a full-time wide receiver role, which will likely reduce the route participation of Laquon Treadwell.

Antonio Williams

PositiveBreakout11:27

Antonio Williams is a deep-league waiver target who flashed efficiency on limited snaps (29% route share), turning 11 routes into four catches for 64 yards and a touchdown. He has significant room to grow his route share and could potentially leapfrog Stefon Diggs by mid-season to command a 75%+ route share and displace Dyami Brown.

Ben Sinnott

PositiveBreakout14:44

Ben Sinnott is a positive riser, having earned 46% of routes and 11.4 fantasy points in Week 1; the team is actively designing plays to get the ball in his hands, including end-around carries.

Brenton Strange

NegativeUsage16:23

Brenton Strange is the primary tight end for the Jaguars, but he is not a recommended fantasy start due to low target efficiency.

Brian Thomas Jr.

NegativeUsage14:07

Brian Thomas Jr. is a boom-bust flex play who is currently dealing with a shoulder injury that limited his route participation to 56%. While he has shown 21% targets per route run efficiency, his limited route share and injury status make him a risky fantasy asset.

Brock Bowers

NegativeInjury27:44

Brock Bowers is mentioned as a tight end option currently working his way back from an injury.

Caleb Douglas

PositiveSleeper8:28

Caleb Douglas is a priority waiver wire target after running 86% of routes in his debut. He demonstrated strong efficiency with a 24% target share, 2.94 yards per route run, and 94 yards on seven targets. While he is a promising full-time receiver, his fantasy outlook is significantly limited by the poor play of quarterback Malik Willis.

Carnell Tate

NegativeUsage10:04

Carnell Tate is a full-time receiver but is currently a stash rather than a starter. While he tied for the team lead with a 22% target share, his per-route efficiency is poor, and he is struggling within a stagnant offense that lacks play volume.

Chris Bell

NegativeUsage9:06

Chris Bell is a stash candidate coming off an ACL tear. While his initial 54% route share and per-route efficiency were underwhelming, the source expects these metrics to improve as he gets further removed from his injury.

Christian Watson

PositiveBreakout22:54

Christian Watson is a high-end WR2 with monster upside, provided he stays healthy. He remains a big-play threat, though the source would like to see his 16-yard aDOT decrease slightly.

Colston Loveland

PositiveUsage18:45

Colston Loveland is a major breakout candidate in the Bears offense, evidenced by a strong 92% route share and a 13.5 average depth of target (ADOT).

D.J. Moore

PositiveBreakout34:00

DJ Moore looks awesome and has validated the source's previous research from their legendary wide receiver video, leading the source to regret not being more aggressive in drafting him.

Dalton Kincaid

PositiveBreakout27:56

Dalton Kincaid is a top-six tight end candidate who posted 18 PPR points and maintains a strong 27% targets per route run efficiency. He is seeing improved usage, recording a 68% route participation rate, which exceeds any single-game mark he achieved throughout the 2023 season.

Denzel Boston

NegativeRole6:58

Denzel Boston is the Browns' starting perimeter wide receiver, playing in one and two-receiver sets. While he scored a long touchdown on a deep ball from Deshaun Watson, he is not a high-volume target earner and his fantasy value is currently tied to that single big play.

Devin Singletary

PositiveUsage50:28

Singletary remains a focal point of the Giants' backfield, evidenced by his touchdown catch in the flat. While he faces competition for the receiving role, he is a reliable option in a functional offense.

Dyami Brown

NegativeUsage13:04

Dyami Brown is currently the third receiver in Washington with a 61% route share; Ron Stewart characterizes him as not a very good receiver.

Erick All

NegativeUsage16:13

Erick All is not a viable fantasy option, as he is running only 24% of routes behind Hunter Henry and commanding a low 10% targets per route run.

Gus Edwards

NegativeBust35:43

The source expresses significant concern regarding Gus Edwards, noting he is the top-12 running back they feel shakiest about. He was inefficient in his recent game with -42% rush yards over expected, no targets, and a fumble.

Hunter Henry

PositiveRole16:31

Hunter Henry is the clear primary tight end in the New England offense, dominating the route share at the position.

Isaiah Likely

PositiveBreakout27:56

Isaiah Likely is a top-six tight end candidate with elite efficiency (35% targets per route run) and 25.8 PPR points in his opening game. He secured all of his team's end zone targets and benefits significantly from no longer competing with Mark Andrews for targets.

Ja'Marr Chase

NegativeProjection17:02

Ron Stewart advises fantasy managers not to panic over Ja'Marr Chase's low three-point performance in Week 1, emphasizing that early-season production is less predictive than ADP.

Jacob Cowing

NegativeInjury14:27

Jacob Cowing suffered a fractured wrist, which is a significant setback after he had shown efficiency with an 18% targets per route run rate.

Jakobi Meyers

NegativeRole24:51

Jakobi Meyers is categorized as a boom-bust flex player who typically runs 70-80% of routes, making him touchdown-dependent for fantasy production.

James Cook

PositiveUsage33:02

Despite a down statistical game against a tough Texans defense, Cook's underlying usage is encouraging, featuring a 56% route participation rate and a 15% target share. Ron Stewart remains optimistic about his upside and potential for a larger passing game role as the Bills increase pass attempts under Josh Allen and Joe Brady.

Jayden Reed

PositiveRole21:47

Jayden Reed is struggling for playing time, running only 63% of routes compared to 80%+ for teammates. He is currently a boom-bust flex play, and his target share is threatened by Jonnu Smith.

Jeremiyah Love

PositiveBreakout1:38

Jeremiah Love had a strong debut with 13 points in a part-time role, including 44% of snaps and a 37% rush share. His 11% target share on a 38% route participation rate is highly encouraging, and Ron Stewart views him as a 'smash' buy-low candidate if the Cardinals' offense continues to perform as a top-20 unit.

Jonnu Smith

NegativeUsage22:36

Jonnu Smith is negatively impacting Jayden Reed's fantasy value by siphoning off routes and targets in the Packers' offense.

Josh Downs

PositiveUsage25:42

Josh Downs achieved a 94% route share, his highest since his rookie year, though his target earning was inefficient at 9%. The source expects better days ahead as he is a high-volume target earner.

Kalif Raymond

PositiveUsage19:33

Ron Stewart believes Khalif Raymond's 50% route share and 35% target share from Week 1 are unsustainable and will not hold moving forward.

Kendrick Bourne

PositiveUsage38:28

Ron Stewart doubts that Kendrick Bourne's Week 1 target and yardage lead among receivers will persist, expecting that usage to flow back to Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson.

Kevin Coleman

NegativeBust13:14

Kevin Coleman is considered a non-factor for fantasy purposes, having recorded no production and only a 38% route share in his recent outing.

Kimani Vidal

NegativeDepth Chart36:06

Kimani Vidal did not register a single snap in his recent game and is considered a drop candidate in fantasy leagues.

Ladd McConkey

PositiveUsage35:00

Ladd McConkey is identified as the heartbeat of the Chargers' offense. Data shows the team was a top-six offense with him on the field but struggled significantly without him, making him the primary target to trust alongside the running backs.

Luther Burden

NegativeUsage18:36

Luther Burden had a 71% route share and 18.5% targets per route run in Week 1; Ron Stewart suggests his lower 6.8 ADOT might be due to being eased in following an offseason groin injury.

Malachi Corley

PositiveUsage13:43

Malachi Corley is a part-time player at 62% of routes, but he is earning a solid 19% targets per route run, showing promise as he competes for perimeter work.

Malik Nabers

PositiveUsage49:03

Despite a 71% route share in his debut, Nabers commanded a 32% target share. Ron Stewart expects his usage to ramp up significantly as the season progresses, establishing him as a primary target earner in a Giants offense that appears functional.

Malik Washington

NegativeUsage21:35

Malik Washington played as a full-time receiver for the Dolphins, but the source prefers betting on the upside of other rookies over him.

Matthew Golden

PositiveBreakout21:16

Matthew Golden is a major winner in the Packers' receiver rotation, operating as a full-time receiver with a 30%+ target share and a 12.2-yard aDOT; he significantly outperformed his expected points in Week 1.

Michael Wilson

NegativeUsage3:15

Michael Wilson had a fine Week 1 performance, and Ron Stewart expects his target volume to increase as the team's usage patterns normalize away from Kendrick Bourne.

Parker Washington

PositiveBreakout24:01

Parker Washington has established himself as the alpha wide receiver for the Jaguars, commanding a 29% target share. Based on his 17-game pace over his last 10 games, he is trending toward fringe WR1 status, with projections of 85 catches, 1,300 yards, and 10 touchdowns.

Puka Nacua

PositiveProjection21:22

Puka Nacua is a positive regression candidate who underperformed his expected volume in Week 1; he should have produced 16+ points.

Quentin Johnston

NegativeRole34:48

Quentin Johnston is not a focal point of the Chargers' offense and is not currently a recommended start, as he is part of a rotating role with other receivers.

Stefon Diggs

NegativeRole12:27

Stefon Diggs continues to operate as a part-time receiver, running only 66% of routes in his latest game. Despite his touchdown production, his limited route share suggests he remains a volatile fantasy asset with a capped ceiling.

Terry McLaurin

NegativeUsage12:57

Terry McLaurin remains the primary receiver in the Washington offense, maintaining a 90%+ route share.

Trey McBride

PositiveProjection27:20

Trey McBride is considered a top-five tight end candidate, bolstered by elite usage with an 87% route share. He recorded eight targets on plays involving motion, placing him among the league leaders in that metric alongside Amon-Ra St. Brown, indicating a high-level, motion-heavy offensive scheme.

Ty Johnson

NegativeRole33:43

The source notes that Ty Johnson's return to the lineup could potentially shut the door on James Cook's receiving role, which is a key factor in Cook's path to becoming a 20+ point per game running back.

Full transcript

Episode Transcript

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0:00What's going on, man? Welcome back to the basement. I'm Ron and this is my favorite video we do every single football season. These are my top 10

0:08fantasy football takeaways and lessons learned from week one. As we look ahead to week two, we are going to cover all

0:15of the news and notes from around the league along with the usage, data, trends, the rookie receiver report, the world famous rookie running back

0:22carousel, give you everything you need to know to dominate in fantasy football week in and week out. First up, the headliner here is going to be the Rookie

0:33Receiver report. And what I will say is that if you come to this channel for the Rookie Receiver report, know that I

0:37enjoy it just as much as you do. But also know that we are bringing this heat every single week. Make sure you are

0:44subscribed. Make sure you leave a like on the video. If you are here for the Rookie Receiver Report, and of course,

0:48the Rookie Receiver Report is sponsored by Underdog. When you sign up and use promo code Ron, you will get a 50%

0:56deposit match and you have the keep your million promo. Essentially, there are a ton of promos running for the NFL. There

1:03are drafts in plenty of states. You have the highs or lowers. You have everything you could possibly need to have some fun

1:08this football season. Make sure you check it out. Underdog. Use promo code Ron. I have a link in the description and the comment section below. Now, you

1:15might ask yourself, and I do understand there's going to be some people here that come to the Ron Stewart channel and

1:20are like, "What the hell is the Rookie Receiver report?" And here is what it is. First of all, I want to give you the

1:25why before I give you the what. We like the rookie receiver report because every single year, rookies end up being league

1:31winners down the stretch of a fantasy football season. Even last year, the late season league winners, you had Trevian Henderson, you had Ashton Genty.

1:38Not that Ashen Genty was a league winner, but really more RJ Harvey, Coloulston Lovelin was on this list.

1:42Harold Fannon was on this list last year. Kyle Madungai as well. And you go into previous years, guys who had 16

1:48plus points per game from weeks nine on at wide receiver. In specific here, you have Juju Smith Schustster, Tank Dell, Elijah Moore, guys who weren't even

1:58studs that came out of nowhere. Jayen Reed, Christian Watson in his year as well. Chase Clayool in his year. all of

2:04these guys. Rashi Rice was a guy that we actually were talking about and saying, "Please let this guy run more routes. Run more

2:12routes." And then down the stretch, he was a league winner. So, that is what this video is for. We have every rookie

2:18wide receiver and tight end here that ran 10 or more routes this week. We have them sorted by route percentage. So,

2:25that is on a percentage basis. If a team has a pass play, are you running a route? Essentially, anything over like

2:3190% means you are a starting wide receiver for your team. Points per game, that's easy. Your PPR output, targets per game or targets per out run, we want

2:39volume. Essentially, these are three route run metrics. Targets per out run, yards per run, first downs per out run.

2:46And what we are trying to do is on a per routeout basis, how are you doing in terms of earning target volume,

2:53producing efficiency, and then moving the chains within your offense? Anything over a 20% targets per out run is super strong. Anything over a two yards per

3:01run is strong. Anything over a 10% first downs per run is strong. And then PFF grade, this is historic, and I know I

3:07know people have their opinions on PFF, but historically for rookie wide receivers, PFF grade has had a very strong correlation to finding the next

3:15studs. Guys who had 80 plus PF grades in years past. Garrett Wilson, Drake London, Chris Ave, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Antonio Brown, even all the way

3:23back to Tyreek Hill and all of these players. Puka Nakua of course that were studs as rookies. and it just kind of

3:29stamps them. If you can get to an 80 plus PFF grade, you are stamped. But of course, it's very early. And that is

3:34definitely a disclaimer here is that it is week one. There are not sweeping conclusions we can make here with the rookie receivers. But this is where we

3:41can start to kind of cast our lines if we're fishing. Put out some lines and see if there's any biters. Right? We

3:48have we have some signal. We have some players we're interested in, but it's not no week one box score for a rookie

3:54is going to be, "Oh my god, this is the next Rashi Rice." It's just these are a couple of guys who could be pretty

3:59sweet. So, let's kind of jump around here and even talk about guys because you have to remember there are a lot of

4:03guys on this list that we might have drafted in the fifth or sixth or seventh or eighth round. And as much as we're

4:10looking for waiverwire guys, we're also looking to keep tabs on the players that we drafted. Right, speaking of, let's start with the Cleveland Browns

4:18receivers. We have Denzel Boston and we have Casey Conpsion. I have them both highlighted here. And let's start with Denzel Boston. He is the starting wide

4:26receiver one for the Browns. Now, of course, what that really means that he is a big-bodied ex receiver playing on the perimeter, and he is going to be the

4:32main guy in two wide receiver sets, in one wide receiver sets, even he is the guy on the perimeter. He made one really

4:41awesome play. Uh it was a deep ball from Deshun Watson, but outside of that, there wasn't much to show here. That's

4:47going to that one big play is going to boost his points per game. It's going to boost his yards per run. It's a very

4:54strong sample. Outside of that, he wasn't a big target earner. I actually came away more impressed with Casey Conpsion, which is a little bit funky,

5:02right? Because we're talking about a player here where with Denzel Boston and Casey Conpsion, one of them scored a touchdown. One of them played 97% of the

5:10routes. Why am I more impressed with Conpsion? Well, he in his role of 65% of the routes. He hit all of

5:19the thresholds we're looking for. I just listed them out. He hit a 20% target per run, two plus yards per route run, and a

5:2410% plus first downs per run. Yes. Was it on a limited sample? Sure. But we know with rookies, the route shares are

5:30going to grow. So, I think that he's in a spot here where if he can get to our 85% 90% plus route share. I think

5:36Conpsion can be a guy you can start on a week- toeek basis, whereas Denzel Boston for now is more of a perimeter receiver

5:43that caught one deep ball, which is great. It's great to see him produce score a touchdown, but week to week, it's going to be a little bit more

5:49tricky. He had just two catches on the day, one of them being the long touchdown, whereas Conpsion had a little bit more usage on a per basis. He had

5:58four catches total for 43 yards, which again on 65% of the routes, we will absolutely take it. Now, moving on from

6:04that, we will talk about a player that I was kind of alluding to, a player we drafted in the sixth round this year,

6:11Carnell Tate, as an interesting spot here. And it's less about Carnell Tate than it is just this offense is terrible. Uh, I mean, maybe it'll look

6:20better, but it was against the Jets. I mean, I I I'm a Jets fan, but I'm not going to sit here and tell you this is a

6:24good defense by any stretch. Uh, their corners, especially after trading away S Garner, losing DJ Reed to the Lions a couple years ago. It's really nothing. I

6:31mean, Ma Fitzpatrick is a nickel guy.

6:33They draft D'Angelo Ponds, who is a nickel guy. On the perimeter, it's like AZ Thomas.

6:40That's kind of it. It's like AZ Thomas.

6:42There's Quant Stiggers is out. There's maybe like one guy I'm missing, but it's not a good defense really. Uh, and I

6:49mean I'm sort of talking about the perimeter corners here, but I guess the D line's all you can really point to,

6:54but this was supposed to be one of the defenses where it's like, okay, the Titans should be decent here. The offense was bad. There was fumbles. Cam

7:00Ward looked bad. Uh, so Carnell Tate, I mean, he's a full-time receiver. The per out efficiency stuff is really bad, but

7:06again, it's a oneame sample, but it's tough to say Carninal Tate looks that much different than like Denzel Boston, a perimeter receiver

7:14that's not really earning targets at a high rate. He put up six targets, four catches, 38 yards, and a bad offense,

7:19similar to Denzel Boston. I'm not giving up on Carninal Tate just yet. His 22% target share was tied with Juan Del

7:25Robinson for the team lead. But at home against the Jets, this team just was flat. I think that they were trailing

7:30for like 97% of the game. Uh I will say if you want something to hang your hat on or to just cling on to in terms of

7:38hope, it's that the Jets really sat on the ball. They had a they had one drive where they they held the ball for 15

7:43minutes and then kicked a field goal.

7:45Uh, so there wasn't a lot of play volume in this one, but kind of tape for now is a stash and not a guy that I'm looking

7:51to start by any means. Then we will talk about some exciting players here. The Miami Dolphins wide receivers. We have Caleb Douglas, we have Chris Bell, and

8:00we have Kevin Coleman. I'll be straight up, Kevin Coleman is kind of a zero. Uh, no production, 38% route share. It's

8:07like nothing really happened for him.

8:08He's not somebody I'm really thinking about. Caleb Douglas, though, is absolutely going to be on tomorrow's Waverwire show. So he runs 86% of the

8:15routes behind only Boston and Carnell Tate 14 points and then he shows target earning with 18%. He shows yards per run

8:24efficiency with 2.94 9.4% first downs per run just under our 10% plus barrier and then a 75 PF grade. That is strong.

8:32This is a full-time wide receiver. He crushed everything on a per out basis.

8:35He had seven targets, five catches, 94 yards, a 24% target share, two missed tackles forced on his five receptions here. The only limiting factor is Malik

8:44Willis. Only 15 completions on 27 attempts, 220 passing yards, zero touchdowns, one interception. It's really tough to carve out a meaningful

8:53role when your quarterback is going to be bottom five in pretty much all passing categories, but I am a little bit excited about Caleb Douglas. I

9:00wouldn't go overboard. I wouldn't go crazy about Caleb Douglas, but he's showing something is what I'll say. He's a round three pick. Very interesting

9:06player. Uh then we can talk about Chris Bell coming off the ACL. I I wouldn't read too much into this. Yes, it wasn't

9:12good on a per out basis. I'm still stashing him. I think the 54% route share will climb. I think a lot of these

9:17metrics will climb as well. It was his first game off an ACL tear. You know, yes, he showed some promise in preseason

9:24games, but I think it's still going to be a bumpy road for Chris Bell. And then again, Kevin Coleman, I am all set

9:30there. Then we'll talk about again, similar to Tate, you know, these three Dolphins guys are all more waver fodder.

9:35We have Mai Lemon here. Mai Lemon is a really tricky one to wrestle with.

9:41First of all, 85% of the routes is a massive W. If you if you told me before the season that Mai Lemon was going to

9:47run 85% of the routes in week one, I probably would have bumped him up a round or two in my rankings. But

9:53actually, no, let's stay with the good stuff for a second. He ran just four routes less than Dvonte Smith. He had

9:58just one less target than Devonte Smith.

9:59Now, of course, Devonte Smith didn't play that well, but to have four targets, 85% of the routes in your rookie debut, remember this was a guy

10:08that was a slot only rookie, so could have been squeezed in a similar fashion to what we've been dealing with Jaden

10:13Reed or Josh DS in years past. And then also a guy who missed time in training camp with a hamstring injury.

10:22Right away, he is out there on 85% of the pass plays. That's a huge deal. But then we have a situation here where his

10:28A dot was minus.3. To put in perspective, Devon Achan's A dot this week was 2.3. So Mai Lemon was purely a

10:35running back like gadget style play here. He wasn't efficient on these targets, which gives me some it's almost better that he was so inefficient on

10:44these gadgety targets because I think that they're going to let him play receiver and not give him minus.3 a dot targets with uh minus.17 yards per run

10:54is just ridiculous. I wouldn't go crazy burying Mai Lemon. I think it's a positive that he played as much as he

10:59did and that he earned as many targets as he did. But of course, like these gadget targets are not good for fantasy

11:07football. He's essentially he's essentially rookie Wondale Robinson. So, we'll see where that goes from there.

11:14And then we'll talk about the other number one waiverwire ad of this week.

11:18For me, the number one waiverwire ads are, or at least when it comes to the rookie receiver report, I, you know, of

11:23course, we're going to talk about Jaylen Coker and Caitlin Black and all those guys, but we talk about the guys that

11:27are for deeper leagues, it's Caleb Douglas, and then it's going to be Antonio Williams. Antonio Williams all the way down here at the bottom. Only

11:3429% of the routes, but he really started to flash down the stretch of this game as Washington started to try and mount

11:40this comeback. It coincided as well with Okonquo getting hurt. He comes in, Antonio Williams, and is just absolutely nailless. He turns just 11 routes, which

11:48is crazy. He turns 11 routes into four catches, 64 yards, a touchdown. On those four catches, all four of them were

11:56first downs. And he had a perfect passer rating when targeted. Now, of course, we're talking about 11 routes. But being able to turn 11 routes into a real four

12:05for 64, a touchdown, moving the chains, like being a real steel wide receiver is a really big deal to me. Now, I'm not

12:12going to get crazy about these. I mean, he's the leading scorer at on the rookie receiver report this week. That should

12:16be a big deal. But, you know, none of these parametrics are going to hold. He gets a crazy good PFF grade. But, again,

12:22it's all small sample stuff, but it's enough of a of a flash here that I'm very interested. And there is room for

12:27his route share to grow here. He showed flashes here. And this is the whole idea of the rookie receiver report that you

12:32show flashes and then every week, right, we go to week two route share, we go to week three route share, we go to week

12:37four, and these things climb. Antonio Williams has room to climb. Stfan Digs is doing the same thing he did last year

12:44where he is a part-time receiver. He only ran 66% of the routes yesterday despite having the touchdown and producing. We're not going to get to the

12:52Washington Commander much in this video.

12:54So that's kind of a takeaway there is that Diggs is still a part-time player.

12:57McLaren is the one with a 90% plus route share. And then in third is Diami Brown with 61% of the routes. So Dame Brown

13:04not not a very good receiver. Okonquo banged up. The rest of these Washington receivers aren't very good. And then Diggs is a part-time player. There is

13:12absolutely a world by week seven, week eight, week nine where Antonio Williams actually leaps to fawn Diggs and starts delivering like a 75% plus route share

13:21and takes away all of the Diami Brown stuff. That's what you're hoping for with Antonio Williams, I think it's in his range. I actually, for as much as

13:27Washington struggled against Philly, I think Philly is just a really good team.

13:30I think they actually showed some flashes. They looked decent. Jaden Daniels looked good in this game as well. So, if Antonio Williams can find

13:35his way as a legit option in this offense, I think he has some real upside here. Then, we'll cover the rest of

13:41these players. Nothing that crazy here.

13:43You have Malachi Fields on prime time.

13:46Didn't really do much. Part-time player at 62% of the routes, but he did earn a 19% targets per out run. I think that's

13:52all solid. There is plenty of room here where he's competing with, I guess, Darnell Mooney and Odo Beckham Jr. for perimeter wide receiver routes. I think

14:00that that can absolutely grow. But to what extent it is good though that he is commanding targets unlike the other two

14:07perimeter wide receivers and Ted Hurst and Bryce Lance uh both at 70% of the route so they are real players in their

14:12offenses but really doing more of cardio when we talk about 10% or less targets per out run. These are guys that I'm not

14:18super interested in. I think that Ted Hurst's usage will come down once Jaylen McMillan comes back and then Bryce Lance's usage will come down once Jordan

14:27Tyson is back. Then you have Jacobe Lane. This one really sucks. 18% targets per out run, had a touchdown that got

14:33called back, and then he fractures his wrist. I really don't have any info as of right now on how long this is going

14:40to be an issue for him, but it is not good. Uh, then we have Kenyan Sadik.

14:44This is actually a positive one for Kenyan Sadi. Uh, he goes out here 46% of the routes. Uh, highest for any tight

14:51end on the week. That's pretty solid.

14:53And then on top of that, 11.4 points.

14:55Now, of course, it's because he scored a touchdown, but he scored a touchdown on a handoff where he hit 20 plus miles per

15:01hour, which is absurd. And it's also just a really good sign that they want the ball in Kenyan Sadi's hands. So much

15:09so that they gave it to him inside the 10 yard line on like a end round carry where they let him get up to 20 miles

15:15per hour and beat the whole defense to the edge. 25% targets per out run. He showed efficiency with 1.75 yards per or

15:21yeah, yards per run. And remember, these two numbers aren't affected by his touchdown carry because that's a rush.

15:27So, this is somebody that was hurt during the offseason ramping his way up.

15:32And right away, they want him to be a part of the offense. And someone we're not going to talk about here cuz he

15:36didn't run 10 or more routes is Omar Cooper. He actually made a big play where he made like two people miss and

15:41looked pretty good. He gets banged up with an ankle injury. And now that opens Kenyan Sadi to get to 70% plus of the

15:49routes and be a real tight end in fantasy football. Of course, the bar for production at tight end is much lower.

15:54So, even being on the Jets who might not be the best offense in the world. We saw with Fannon last year and we saw it with

15:59Tyler Warren. Well, I guess Tyler Warren, the Colts were awesome, but really more down the stretch of you can find ways to be relevant even if you're

16:06in a bad offense when it comes to playing tight end. Uh, and then we have Eli Rarin and Nate Borers. I I screw

16:14that up every time. Nothing to see here.

16:17Uh Rarin scores a touchdown, but 24% of the routes behind Hunter Henry is not going to get it done. Uh 10% targets per

16:23run, not going to get it done. Same thing with uh the Jaguars tight end Bor Kerser. Uh 10% targets per out run. It's

16:31the Brett Strange show there. And it's the Hunter Henry show in New England.

16:35Now that we got the rookie receiver report out of the way, felt good to finally get that done for week one. Uh,

16:45we have our takeaways. So, this is just the rest of this video is kind of just me going around the league and talking

16:51about what stuck out as key takeaways, nuggets, stats, all of the good stuff you could possibly want for fantasy football. And our second takeaway here,

17:02the first takeaway being the rookie receiver report. And I will be honest, it's week one, so I I usually try and

17:06keep it to like around 10 takeaways or lessons learned or whatever notes.

17:12We went way over. It's week one. and I want to talk about everything I want to talk about. So, we are going to talk

17:16about first, relax. All right, relax.

17:20Don't go crazy if you lost your week one matchup. Don't go crazy if your Jamar Chase put up three points. This is a

17:27really good tweet that I always try and show from Adam Harstad to me, one of the OGs of fantasy football over on Football

17:33Guys. He has done a study essentially every year and what he found is that ADP right Cooper Adams on the bottom

17:41here for what it's worth. when I did a study on it two years ago, I found that reddraft ADP is more predictive of rest

17:45of season scoring than current season scoring up until after week four. So, weeks one through three until until I come to you guys after week four. So,

17:53that'll be my week five lessons learned and takeaways.

17:57ADP is stronger than the production happening right now, which means just take a breath. If your first round pick didn't do what you wanted them to do, or

18:04if your team didn't score how you wanted it to score, there is a lot of ball left. This is a good tweet from Matt

18:10Harmon as well showing that there is a lot of ball left. Last year, Justin Fields was a was the QB1. Aaron Jones

18:15and Bill were top 12 running backs. Keon was the wide receiver four. Calvin Austin and Maris Brown were great. Noah Fant was great. There's a lot of ball.

18:22There's a lot of things that are going to happen in this game. Relax, stay the course. Nothing is sticky until after

18:29week four. And then, of course, the one situation everyone is kind of freaking out about is the Bears passing game. You

18:36have Colston Loveland, you have Luther Burden, you have Roman Dunes, all not really doing much. Uh, I will say as well, other teams that take a breath on,

18:44the Bengals, they're going to be fine.

18:45They always start out slow. Uh, the Bears receivers, I feel good about the Rams still. I feel good about the Eagles

18:50still. I feel good about the Bucks still. Uh, just sort of running through offenses that had high expectations that didn't really do all that well. I would

18:57throw Washington in there as well, playing against a really tough Eagles team. Now, with the Bears in particular, and this is still essentially under the

19:05umbrella of my second takeaway being, let's relax and talk about some of these underperformers and why I wouldn't freak out. Uh, here we have Zay Denady kind of

19:13walking us through it where Coloulston Lovelin 92% route share, amazing 13.5 AOT. He's going to be absolutely fine. Coloulston Lovelin is

19:23the biggest boow candidate of all time.

19:26Luther Burton 71% route share, 6.8 A dot. That's not great. He did have a two plus yards per run. His targets per run

19:33only of 18.5%.

19:35Burton wasn't a super positive day, but what I'll say is is that if this Bears offense is going to be this good, there

19:41is also a chance Luther Burton uh is a guy that's getting eased in off of the offseason groin injury and maybe that

19:47was part of the case here. I think very simply, this Khalif Raymond 50% route share, 35% target share isn't going to

19:55hold. And then Roman Dun came into this game banged up, so I wouldn't hold that against him. And then you have Jack

19:59Miller on the bottom here. Just kind of showing again this usage for Lovelin is really, really strong. I wouldn't get too bogged down

20:08in the details of how this thing splits out on a week- toeek basis. I think when we talk about this Bears offense, we're

20:14going to score so many points that we're going to get to a a spot here where every single week it's going to be

20:21somebody's turn to have the uh DeAndre Swift explosion, the Kyle Manungai explosion, the Caleb Williams explosion.

20:28it it's just going to be like a game of whackable and I know it sucks right now to be on the outside looking in after

20:32week one but I think everyone is going to get their fair share. Maybe there's one guy that is going to be the odd man

20:38out. My guess would be it's going to be Luther Burton or Roma Dunay. U but I think that it's an offense you want

20:45pieces of. Then we'll talk about as the last pillar of our relax takeaway is some regression candidates. So guys that maybe left some points on the field.

20:56This is when looking at expected points per game. So volume uh in terms of like your carries, your inside the five

21:02carries, your targets, how much points per game you should be putting up. And then anybody who underperformed that by three or more is on this list. Anybody

21:09who's expected to put up 12 or more points per game and then came under that by three or more points. I will say,

21:16we'll talk about Matthew Golden in a second, but Matthew Golden blew the doors off of everybody. He doesn't really count. ETN doesn't really count

21:22either, but Puka, he should have had 16 plus points per game or 16 plus points in week one. He of course didn't.

21:28Leaporta and Jameson Williams should have had much better days. Uh Tyler Alier should have probably had a touchdown at some point in that game.

21:35Malik Washington was actually a full-time receiver for the Dolphins. So, as much as we talked about the rookies, I'm not as into Malik Washington. I'd

21:40rather bet on the unknown of the rookies, but he's interesting. Uh I think better days are ahead for Metaf, who had minus 7.4 fantasy points over

21:47expected. And same deal with Jaden Reed, who also performed way below his expectation. But the issue with Jaden Reed is that he finds himself in a

21:56receiver room with Matthew Golden and Christian Watson. Now, this is going to be our third takeaway, which are some wide receiver rotations I was really

22:05eager to see in week one. First up with the Packers, it is 80% of the routes or more for Golden Watson. Reed is on the

22:13outside looking in. 63% of the routes is not going to cut it. He is a boom bust flex play at best. Now, he still did

22:19have enough volume here with an 18% target share that he should have had more than five PPR points, but it's going to be really tough to bet on him

22:30week in and week out. Now, there might be a change to the equation here. A lot of the Jaden Reed routes and targets

22:36actually went to Janu Smith, which is really upsetting. And maybe as Craft gets healthier, they decide to go away from the John Smith stuff. But John

22:44Smith is going to be a real issue for Jaden Reed here. So I would say with Jayen Reed as someone that drafted a lot

22:48of him, not feeling the best here. But Matthew Golden on the other side, he is the biggest winner here. I think him and

22:55Christian Watson, of course, Christian Watson 30 plus bomb. Someone that we loved as a breakout candidate. He looked really good. I will say 16 yard ADOT, we

23:03really want that to start coming down a little bit, but still big play threat.

23:07as long as he's healthy, he is someone who's going to be in the mix as a high-end wide receiver, too, with like

23:11monster monster upside. But then Matthew Golden, these are things I have never in my life seen Matthew Golden do. A 30% plus

23:20target share. I don't know. I mean, I don't have the stats off hand, but I would be shocked if he ever had a game

23:25in college with a 30% plus target share.

23:28Uh 12.2 yard ADOT. That's actually kind of the area of the field I was hoping for Christian Watson to get to. So, I

23:35think Matthew Golden has a really solid role. He's a full-time receiver on what I think is going to be a more pass heavy

23:41Green Bay Packers. This was a Packers team who threw the ball 42 times, the second highest pass attempt total of the

23:46week. Obviously, that's not going to stick, but they were 24th in pass attempts per game last year. If that could creep up to top 10, top 15, I

23:54think that's a very big deal for the pass catchers on this team. Then we have the Jaguars wide receivers here. uh

24:01where this one was another one where if you could tell me pre-season a rotation between wide receivers, this would be one, right? Like if I had one

24:12genie wish of like what the hell is going to happen in this season, it would be how do the Jaguars receivers shake

24:17out? Does Parker Washington actually carry on his momentum? Does I mean, what is even the next thing?

24:24Travis Hunter, is Travis Hunter actually going to be a thing? There's just a lot of things happening for the Jaguars here. And really what it came down to is

24:32Parker Washington supremacy. He is the wide receiver one. He is the alpha. He had a 29% target share. He had the same

24:38amount of targets as Jacobe Myers and Brian Thomas combined. It is Parker Washington and then it's everyone else.

24:43Brian Thomas runs only 56% of the routes. I will say he did leave this game with a shoulder injury. So don't

24:48get too crazy about Brian Thomas.

24:51But still, him and Jacobe Myers are just like boom bust flex players. They're going to run somewhere in the range of

24:5570 to 80% plus of the routes. Sometimes they'll cut a touchdown like Jacobe Myers did. Sometimes they'll leave the game early and not really amount to

25:03anything like Brian Thomas did. But 21% targets per run for Brian Thomas is good, but him already being banged up is

25:09bad. Uh I will say Parker Washington, his 17g game pace over his last 10 games played, that's including the playoffs and last

25:1710 games played is a really big sample.

25:1985 catches, 1300 receiving yards, 10 receiving touchdowns, 16.4 points per game, which would have been the wide receiver seven last year. I think at

25:27this point he is a fringe wide receiver one moving forward in a set and forget wide receiver Parker Washington. Then the third receiver rotation and final

25:36receiver rotation that I was eager to see in week one was the Colts.

25:42We have been begging and pleading similar to Jaden Reed. Can we finally get Josh DS to run the amount of routes

25:48we are looking for and he does but then he doesn't earn the target. A guy who on a per route basis has been a monster at

25:56target earning and efficiency and instead he does the opposite yesterday.

26:01He has a 94% route share. Now I will say all of these tables are from myfantylife.com. That is going to be

26:08Matthew Barry's website. Uh I do just want to shout them out. We have a great tool kind of powered by Dwayne McFarland

26:14over there. Josh DS 94% route share.

26:17That was his first time over a 90% route share since week 16 of his rookie year three years ago.

26:25Huge W, fulltime receiver, 9% targets per out run was one of just three times since his rookie year where he failed to hit a 10% or better targets

26:37per run. The only takeaway I really have here is better days are ahead. We got the route share we hoped for with Josh

26:44DS. The usage just wasn't there. He was spammed on the first drive and then they just went away from him for whatever

26:48reason. I think that's going to bounce back here. Keenan Allen wasn't much of a issue here in terms of route share. Yes,

26:56did he command targets, but I assume that Josh DS will as well. Josh Downs is somebody that is going to command

27:01targets at all times. If he's going to run 90% plus of the routes, I think that is a huge deal. And I think Alec Pierce

27:07is going to work his way up to being a full-time wide receiver as well. And then we're going to get less of those

27:12Laquan Treadwell routes. On top of that, now we have my fourth takeaway, which is let's talk about some tight ends here.

27:20We have two guys that I think are going to be moving themselves into the conversation for potentially top five tight ends rest of season. Of course,

27:30it's McBride and then it's Leland. And I love Lovelin, but something's going to have to happen very soon in terms of him

27:38scoring points. And then when it comes to like tight end three, I mean, you have Bowowers coming off injury. Tyler Warren looked fine. Uh, we didn't touch

27:45on with the Denzel Boston stuff, but as the routes climb for Casey Conpsion, I think Harold Fannon is going to be a

27:50little bit spooky there at tight end.

27:51Uh, Tucker Craft is going to ramp up. KD will ramp up. I'm not really worried about them.

27:56But Isaiah Likely and Don Concincaid are squarely in the mix for top six tight ends rest of season. And if we were

28:04reddrafting today, I would have them in that tier of, you know, your essentially during the draft season it was Leaporta, Craft, Pitts, Fannon in any order you

28:13wanted. Um, I now think that you can kind of relegate Pitts until quarterback play is better. You can probably bump down Fannon a half tier. Like honestly,

28:21all those guys as craft is ramping up. I think likely and concaid should kind of be leaprogging them and taking their

28:27place. Likely here last night, we'll talk about the uh prime time game a little bit here where likely here's the thing about likely and conceded. The

28:34reason why I have the red box around route share is we need these guys to run routes. In a perfect world, it's like

28:39McBride. McBride running 87% of the routes is awesome. That is amazing tight end usage. Of course, with Trey McBride, that's how how it's going to work. But

28:48you can see with Likely and Concade, especially as these tweener tight ends, right? McBride's get a lot of love, but he can block really well. Him, KD,

28:56Craft, that's why you're going to get a lot of routes with those guys. With Likely and Concaid, you have to kind of make up for

29:03lost time. They can't play every down to down as the main tight end, especially both of them have like Isaiah likely has

29:10uh Theo Johnson next to him. You have with Don Kade, you have Jackson Hall, one of the best blocking tight ends in

29:16the NFL. Dassa Knox as well. So you're going to get a lot of rotation here. But if they can make an impact when they're

29:20on the field, right, with a 35% targets per run for Isaiah likely, 27% targets per run for Don Concincaid and then 18

29:27PPR points for Concaid, 25.8 for Likely.

29:30Likely scores a touchdown or two. I think that he had all of the end zone targets for his team this week. Just

29:35awesome usage. He looked amazing. Now Likely does have a history of having the smash game in week one and then reverting back, but he no longer has

29:43Mark Andrews competing with targets. He was already playing with Malik Neighbors in this game. Neighbors is going to ramp up here, right? Neighbors only had a 71%

29:51route share, but he did have a 32% target share. So, he still made his impact felt. I just think that when we

29:57talk about tight ends and every year we have an emphasis on being a top two target earner on your offense after

30:03neighbors, it's likely and I think that he's going to be really much involved on a week- toeek basis as an awesome pick.

30:08If you took likely in your draft, you should feel awesome about your tight end spot. I will say kind of piggybacking on

30:14the prime time game, I came away really impressed with Jackson Dart, which is why I'm also into Isaiah likely even more that I think

30:22Dart read the entire field, took his time in the pocket, took his checkdowns here and there. Like he pretty much took

30:28his checkdowns all the way into a Devin Singleary uh catch the ball in the flat touchdown. Dart really impressed me throwing over the middle of the field,

30:36kind of checking out of things. There was one play where the defense thinks that this is just going to be kind of a

30:41and honestly as someone that is a elementary baller from a film perspective they come out in something heavy and then they split out Scatabo.

30:50They might even split out like I don't know if her card was out there but they come out in something a little bit

30:54heavier like sort of bunched up. They spread everything out. The defense instantly says it's a draw, right?

30:58Quarterback draw right away. both of the linebackers are ready for it and instead who knows if Dart checked out of this or

31:04kind of what it was between him or uh you know I will say Matt Nai and Greg Robin actually looked pretty damn good

31:08last night so give them their flowers the offensive line held up so as much as this is likely it's also stock up on the

31:14Giants like the Giants look like a functional NFL offense which is really exciting I think Dart neighbors likely is a perfectly fine passing game with

31:23the marriage of this roll out Pat Ricard and two tight ends and scatterbo behind them and play like this smashmouth football with play action and under

31:31center.

31:33I was impressed watching that game last night. Uh so I like Dart, I likely, I like Neighbors to ramp up here. Scatterbo got no

31:41catches in this game. You had a Devin Singleary touchdown, but with these guys coming back from injury, I'm kind of giving all of them some leeway.

31:47Scatterbo gets 18 carries in this one, 81 yards and a touchdown. That'll do, but we do need this receiving role to

31:53creep back here. Uh and then with Concaid, we'll talk about some of the uh Bills things that happened because we already talked about Concaid uh 68% of

32:01the routes. He never ran 65% or more of the routes in a single game last year.

32:05So, this is new usage for Don Concincaid. And then we also have Joe Brady. Now, yes, Joe Brady has been the

32:12OC for a while here, but him getting promoted to head coach, I believe that now that he has his fingerprints on the

32:17game plan. When you have Shawn McDermott, a defensive head coach, I think that he's going to tell Brady, "Hey, I know you like to do this, but I

32:25want to run the ball, possess the ball, play defense, and win in this way." And I think the Bills kind of came out here

32:30against the Texans and said, "No, we're going to win in this way. We're going to pass the ball. We're going to be

32:34aggressive." Uh, and we're going to win 36 to 30 on the back of our quarterback.

32:39Uh, and that kind of showed in some of these stats here. If we look at my bottom tweet here, Bill's pass rate over

32:45expectation was plus 3.7% this week. All of last year, they were minus 2.9%.

32:51That's a 5% swing in the direction of passing the ball more. Now, of course, it's one week. It's a oneame sample. The

32:57Texans could be a passing game funnel.

32:59Though, I think that they're just a really damn good defense all around.

33:02It's a start. Now, I will also talk talk about James Cook here. I just swallowed my words here. 56% of the routes. That's

33:10solid. He only did that three times last year and then he also had a 15% target share. Would have beat any game last

33:16year. Now, he only ends up with like two or three catches for really not much. He has a down game. James Cook though is

33:22somebody I wouldn't get all the way spooked on just yet. I think that there is some upside here for James Cook. I

33:27still feel good about him. He was playing against the Texans who are really tough defense and the passing game role is potentially there, right?

33:33We're going to get more pass attempts from Josh Allen and Joe Brady.

33:37And then the receiving role has kind of it's shown some upside here. We'll see how this looks next week. Uh but I will

33:43say Tai Johnson coming back could shut the door on the receiving role. Now I will say the receiving role is how he

33:47becomes like a legendary 20 plus point per game running back. He could still be a very solid 17 plus point per game

33:53running back without the entire receiving role we were looking for. Just something to keep an eye on. We don't have an answer yet. And then DJ Moore

34:00looks awesome. He popped for us in the legendary wide receiver research video.

34:02I wish I was more aggressive drafting him because of that. Same thing with Jace Brown in the legendary running back video. Uh, our research looks really

34:10good. It's only one week, but it looks really good. Uh, then we'll talk about some other tight ends. My fifth takeaway

34:15is the Chargers tight ends because I also want to talk about the Chargers on top of that. But, uh, something that was

34:20also on the top of my mind was how is the this tight end room in Los Angeles shake out?

34:28Not very good. Uh, none of them are startable. You can drop all of them. Uh, Injoku and Gadston are like my two ones

34:35I'd be looking at, but I just think it's kind of a mess. And then also, I'm not really touching any of the non-Lad

34:41Makoni receivers. Like, Injoku is brutal. Gadston is brutal. Uh, even Quentyn Johnston, who Quentyn Johnson had kind of a rotating role with Trey

34:49Harris, and then Darius Davis got routes, and Brennan Thompson got routes.

34:53Uh, and Quentyn Johnson wasn't really made a focal point of this offense. So, he's not someone I'm really looking to start anytime soon. Trey Harris, I'm not

35:00looking to start anytime soon. And it's really Lad Makoni or the running backs in this offense. And I do want to say

35:05we're singling out Lad Makoni. And I I'll give a little bit of an excuse as to why the Chargers lose, I believe, at home as massive favorites

35:14to the Cardinals. I I think a lot of survivor pools probably got crushed because of this game. Uh but with Vladimony, they were a top six offense

35:20by all these metrics according to John Dagel. [cough] And then they were outside of the top 28 when it came to or outside of the top 27

35:28when it came to playing without Vlad Makonkey. Now, it's small sample. It's it's splitting up data, but it goes to show that Lad Makanki is definitely the

35:36heartbeat of this offense, which is good. He just needs to come back healthy and then sustain a healthy stretch. Uh then we can talk about the backfield

35:43tier. Hampton is probably the guy, if you were to give me a pressure test on all of the first and second round running backs, I think

35:52Hampton's probably the one I'm worried about the most. I would say Hampton and Achan of all of the top 12 running

35:57backs, Hampton and Achan are probably the two that I feel the shakiest about.

35:59This is from Hayden Winks. He always has really good charts. Make sure you follow Hayden Winks on Twitter. Uh, a really

36:06big takeaway outside of Hampton is that Kamani Vidal didn't register a single snap in this game. This is all Amari and

36:12Hampton and all Katon Mitchell. Kamani Vidal can be dropped and Katon Mitchell becomes one of the most high value handcuffs in the entire landscape of

36:20fantasy football if Hampton was to ever go down. Hampton in this game is inefficient with minus 42% rush yards over expected. He had a fumble in the

36:29second quarter. No targets. Just not great at all from Hampton. There are going to be better days ahead, but it does look pretty spooky if you took

36:37Hampton over Dererick Henry, you took Hampton uh over Genty. There is certainly some nerves here with Hampton, but we'll see. This could become them

36:46getting better. Now, I will say on the other side of this game, I do want to talk about Mike Laflur's debut. Now, of

36:51course, as a Jets fan, and I hate to say those words, as a exfan, but with the Jets, we had Mike Laflur. He was with

36:58Zack Wilson. He was scapegoed as the problem. gets banished away to the Rams for like three or four years and now he

37:04comes out in game one as the Cardinals head coach and beats the Chargers outright on the road as a massive underdog and I was just blown away. I

37:14think that he is amazing. I was looking into it. I don't quite and this is why this show is always tricky. I don't have

37:18all the data I want to get to, but I did look up the most targets for a receiver when there was motion on the play. And

37:25why that matters is that Trey McBride had eight targets where there was motion on the play uh which was up there with

37:32like Aman Ross Stain Brown as like the most. Essentially what that says to me is on passing plays or just in general

37:40you're seeing a lot of motion in this offense. This is a really highlevel offense from the floor. There's motion there's concepts from the Rams and then

37:46on top of that it's not like his brother where his brother does all these things but keeps it very slow. Now, not in week

37:52one, but historically his brother Matt Laflur would keep it very slow paced, runheavy, and instead Laflur was doing all of the efficiency juicers, but he

38:03was also passing the ball at a high rate in a game that he led for a long time.

38:09This is a tweet from Pete Nova here quoting Colin McMin.

38:14Toby Ret remains a high volume passer, 40.4 passes per start in 2025.

38:19last yesterday. I was going to say last night, yesterday on Sunday, 37 pass attempts in that game. Really, really strong. I was expecting a more runheavy

38:28approach as well. And instead, he airs it out against the Chargers. And that is a really, really positive sign. This is

38:34somebody where the offense was eighth best in EPA per play. And I do know that it didn't really show up in the box

38:41score for Marvin Harrison Jr. Michael Wilson had a fine game. I highly doubt the Kendrick Bourne stuff sticks.

38:48Kendrick Bourne had, I think, the team lead in like targets and yards among the receivers. I think we're going to see a

38:54lot of that usage flow back to Marvin Harrison and Michael Wilson. I actually came away, as much as it kind of

38:58probably sucked to start Marvin Harrison, I came away impressed that yes, this sucks, but you're in a spot now where this offense,

39:09we came into this season when we look at the implied totals from Vegas or whatever and it said Cardinals are dead

39:15last. They have the worst offense in the league. I don't think so. So, I think they're going to be in the top 20 for

39:19EPA per play. And a lot of these guys are going to pay off. One of them being Jeremiah Love, which brings us to the

39:25world famous rookie running back carousel. Very close to the rookie receiver report. This time, sponsored by the channel. Again, if you enjoy the

39:34rookie report stuff on this channel, I pretty much sprit to get all this data in, compile it all, make this video,

39:39turn it around for you guys as fast as I can. All I ask in return, leave a like and subscribe if you're new. And we'll

39:44talk about Jeremiah Love off the rip because we were just talking about the Cardinals. I think this was a very strong debut for Jeremiah Love. He

39:52scores a touchdown on an inside the 10 carry. He puts up 13 points in this game in a part-time role. He had 37% of the

40:00rushes. He had 44% of the snaps.

40:02Essentially a almost near 50-50 split with Tyler Alier. 44% of the snaps where Alier had 56%. This is game one off a

40:10preseason ankle injury. I think his ro his role is only going to grow from here. 11% target share on just a 38%

40:16route share is really strong. Meaning when he was out there, he was getting targeted. The passing role is awesome.

40:22And again, if this offense is going to actually be a good offense, remember last year I I the number one comment I

40:27would get is, well, what if what if Jeremiah Love is Ashen Genty? Well, first of all, we actually did that research in the legendary running back

40:33video. If you got Ashen Genty's point per game output in the third round where you drafted Jeremiah Love, he would be a

40:39fine pick. He wouldn't be a smash, but he would pay off at where you took him.

40:42Unlike Genty where you took him at the one-tw turn, that's a whole other conversation. But thing about Genty, he was on a terrible, terrible team. If

40:51this Cardinals offense is not going to be bottom five and they're actually instead going to be top 20 and fun and

40:56pass the ball when Jeremiah Love's path to upside is really his reception upside, things getting really spooky. I think Jeremiah Love is a great by low. uh

41:06part-time role, scores a touchdown, but doesn't like crush it crush it. If this Cardinals offense is better than we thought, he becomes a smash this year.

41:14Uh now, I didn't really explain what this rookie running back carousel is.

41:17It's every rookie running back with a registered touch. um their week one snap share, so how much are they on the

41:24field? Their production in points per game, their volume and expected points per game, their FPOE per game, so fantasy points over expected, their

41:30efficiency, their rush share, so what's the percentage of running back rush attempts are they taking up, their route share, what percentage of plays are they

41:39running a route on, and then target share, how often are they getting targeted? Essentially, we want rushes, we want targets, and we want a big share

41:45of the pie when it comes to both of those. Uh the next running back we'll talk about is Jadarian Price. We'll skip

41:50over Kaylin Black for now. Jaren Price, Jeremiah Love's teammate. We didn't get to talk about him after the Thursday night game or no, Wednesday night game.

41:58He's a really tough one. Uh we certainly knew what we signed up for. He is a archetype I will go swinging. I will go

42:04down swinging on every single time.

42:06Rookie running back with the juice on a good team, but it's certainly more complicated than that because we do have George Helani. We have Emanuel Wilson.

42:13We have Charbanet waiting in the wings.

42:15This is a team that did the running back by committee approach to keep Kenneth Walker fresh through the playoffs and then they unleash Kenneth

42:22Walker and they win a Super Bowl. So their strategy is confirmed by the results. I don't agree with it, but they

42:28have a Super Bowl ring. And now we go into Wednesday night. They do the exact same thing where Jarian Price rips off a

42:34long run and then if it's second and two, they say you go off Emanuel Wilson come in and you're going to get the

42:39short yardage run. I think that is insane because who the hell is It's one thing if it's Charbanet. It's one thing

42:44if it's Charbanet, but who the hell is Emanuel Wilson to be taking the short yardage runs? Uh, and then they again win on Wednesday,

42:53confirming their strategy of keeping the Bellcow fresh. The hope is that Jaren Price is just so electric that uh, and then also these other running backs are

43:03just ineffective in short yardage or George Trani on passing downs that Jadarian Price gets the workhorse role between the tackles and is someone you

43:11can start on a weekly basis. for now.

43:13Uh, he is somebody that's probably a high-end RB3 moving forward with upside down the stretch of the season. We'll see how things go. I will say as well

43:20with these videos, like I always keep it real with you guys, I'm not here to defend my takes. And I'm not saying that

43:24I'm wrong on Jarian Price. I am just saying that the split that was forecasted to us has happened here. It's frustrating and where most of the time

43:33like Jeremiah Love, I feel very good about I I I one I really trust the floor. I am very impressed with the

43:37floor. This offense is going to be strong. I think that his role is going to grow. there is a chance that Jaren

43:42Price's role expansion is capped because of this team's mo and how much it continues to get confirmed in the outcome of these games. And then on top

43:52of that, you have the Sam Darnold injury and honestly, the idea that we were told all offseason that this was going to be

43:58a top 12 offense by Vegas implied totals. I'm a little spooked on that.

44:02I'm a little spooked. I don't know like Sam Darnold getting hurt and then this defense is so good. Are we going to get

44:05a bunch of games that are similar to Wednesday night where it's like 10 to 13 and nothing's really going on? That's

44:10all going on in my head about Jarien Price. Uh, but every running back you took in Jerry Rice's Jadariian Price's range of Price and uh, Basil Tutin and

44:22Dowel and all of these guys or Jaylen Warren, I mean, and Jonathan Brooks, they were priced where they were priced because they were committee backs and

44:31this is now what we have to deal with.

44:32Then you have Kaylin Black, a guy that I didn't think would be in a committee, ends up kind of in a committee here.

44:38sort of similar role to Blake Cororm on the Rams where he's going to get nothing in the receiving game. 3% target share,

44:4433% route share, but he gets half of the carries in this game, puts up eight PPR points. I don't know that I'm ever

44:50confident enough to start Kaylin Black, but he is due for one of the essentially what Manungai did yesterday to the uh

44:57Panthers where if you're going to get 10 rush attempts against a bad team in a garbage time game script and you rip one

45:03for a long touchdown, that's going to look good in the box score. But week to week, it'll be tough to trust. He had 14

45:08carries in this one, 65 yards, a catch for five yards as well on top of that, amounting to eight PPR points. He's a

45:14good player, day two pick, and probably the most valuable handcuff in all of fantasy football at this point. But I I

45:20wouldn't I wouldn't get crazy. They were in Australia. I don't think that this usage is going to hold up one for one

45:26exactly here uh over an entire season.

45:29Uh, then we have some of these other rookie running backs. First, Seth McGawan and Mike Washington. Purely the backups for Ashen Genty and then

45:37Jonathan Taylor. And I think both of them being below a 20% snap share, signaling to us that this is an 8020

45:43split in favor of Genty and in favor of JT tells us that those two guys are undisputed bellcows. Like monster bellcows, JT and Genty. If you have

45:51either of those guys, you should feel awesome about them. Uh, then you have Kron Allen. Really crazy. He comes in and like his only snaps and touches came

46:00after the Bill Crosky Merritt fumble. I don't think Katron Allen ends up on this list without the Bill Crosky Merritt fumble. You hate to see that new play

46:08caller David Blau is one of these guys that is going to maybe send you to the doghouse or fumbling a football. Uh

46:13nothing there's not really much to take away from Kron Allen's debut here, but he's certainly in the mix and could get

46:19called on when David Blau or maybe uh you know, anybody here gets upset and fed up. Uh Dan Quinn is the name that I was

46:31blanking on there. Maybe that's a a Dan Quinn thing, but he could get yanked at any time and then Kron Allen becomes

46:37somebody interesting. But I think Kron Allen needs like maybe two injuries to be somebody who start on a weekly basis.

46:42CJ Donaldson is one of the thorns in ETN's side. And that's really it. Now, moving on from that, after talking about

46:49the Cardinals offense at the top here of like this, we're getting jumbled all around. Essentially, these are my scattered thoughts, me emptying my brain

46:55about week one. Uh, I want to talk about some dumpster fire offenses. We talked about Arizona with Jeremiah Love. We talked about the Titans with Carnell

47:02Tate up top. Now, let's talk about the Dolphins.

47:06They were bottom five in EPA per play and success rate. Uh, I'll actually show this graphic. which which is what um or

47:13no not this graphic. This is what started this conversation for me. We'll talk about the Eagles in a second. Here you can see this is the bottom teams by

47:21success rate and EPA per play.

47:23Essentially per play efficiency and then downto down success like more of like a steady moving of the chains here with the Dolphins. They were bottom five in

47:32e- paper play, bottom five in success rate against a bottom 10 defense in the Raiders. Malik Willis was the QB12.

47:40He'll be streamable all year in pretty garbage game scripts. But this is what we were concerned about with Devon Achan. 10.6 PPR points against a team

47:49that is supposed to be a softball matchup.

47:53He gives you nothing. Four catches, 30 yards. That's at least a some of the receiving role we wanted, right? Malik Willis. The biggest issue with Malik

48:00Willis is will Malik Willis cap his receiving upside? Well, his receiving upside actually wasn't that bad. It was 11 carries for 36 yards again against

48:09the Raiders. I know they have Max Crosby, but this shouldn't be a team that holds you to 11 carries for 36

48:14yards. So, I am officially spooked on Achan. I will say though, uh, Bejian Robinson, he's a monster. He had like seven plus targets. I think he had

48:23almost a 50% target share in this game.

48:25You can't really say much about the Falcons. You know, Drake, Kyle Pittz, whoever. Bejon is still going to be a top five running back no matter what.

48:32everyone else. I think that you wait for Penn before you get concerned, but you do have the uh right to be concerned if

48:42Pennix is out for a long time, right?

48:44Like if we're going to have to deal with five games of Cooper Rush, that's a big deal. Or I guess you're kind of hoping

48:48for Tua to come back after seeing Cooper Rush yesterday. Uh the Steelers end up on this list with the worst success rate

48:53in the league. I do think that the Falcons just kind of dragged them into deep water of like a really ugly game.

49:00I'll give the Steelers a little bit of leeway here. First game with Mike McCarthy and then on top of that, uh, I

49:05will say they led the league yesterday in pass rate over expectation. So, they are going to pass the ball a bunch. That

49:11is at least a strong sign. Then we have the Eagles here a little bit spooked.

49:15They ended up in a really weird spot.

49:17You can see they're the only team with a positive EPA per play on this list. And it's because they created so many

49:21explosive plays, but on a downto- basis, they couldn't convert.

49:26These Eagles start slow at times. We saw with the Kell Moore era where they started slow and then became awesome. I

49:31wouldn't go crazy on the Eagles.

49:32Something it's just something to monitor. The offensive line was concerning as well. Uh Saquon Barkley's from Brandon Lee Goutton gained 78 of

49:39his 83 rushing yards after contact. That is not good at all. Uh and then I'm a little bit concerned about the receiving

49:45role. I thought that he would get more in the passing game with the absence of AJ Brown with the addition of a new play

49:50caller instead. 35% route share in week one. He exceeded a 35% route share in all but one game last season. I wouldn't

49:58panic just yet on Saquon, but I'd also probably put Saquon in the same bucket as Devon Achan and Amarian Hampton as

50:04top 12 running backs where you're looking around and you're a little bit jealous of the guys who got Genty, uh, JT,

50:11Derk Henry, um, all of these studs up top. I'm probably forgetting one more as well. Uh, then you have the Browns. You

50:18had the Deshun Watson pass to Denzel Boston, but that was really it. Uh, if you drafted Quinn Shawn Judkins, I don't

50:23think you feel good about it at all.

50:24Even with Dylan Samson getting hurt from Ryan Heath here, Quinn Sean Judkins still gets outtargeted three to2 by Raheem Sanders. Shout out Rocket

50:32Sanders. One of my favorite players ever uh coming out of college and just didn't really pan out for him. Uh but we talked

50:38about in the uh the offseason. I don't know why I'm struggling here to put together sentences, but I'm about to say

50:43like the offse or the preseason. Uh what we ended up saying was another tweet from Ryan Heath essentially showing that Todd Monkin has really specific roles

50:51for his running backs. He has one running back that is going to be your between the tackles grinder and then one

50:55running back who is your receiving back.

50:57That's Justice Hill and Dererick Henry.

50:58Now, of course, Dererick Henry is like, "Okay, he's never going to really catch passes." But you can even go all the way

51:02back to his Doug Martin days with Doug Martin and Charles Sims. You can go back to the Kareem Hunt, Nick Chub split. And

51:07even here, Samson leaves a much inferior player to Samson, Rocket Sanders, still then out targets Quinn Sean Judkins. So, you're going to get a bad team with

51:17garbage time. And then Judkins is just your between the tackles grinder for a team that's not going to score a lot of

51:21touchdowns. That was the concern coming into the year. He was one of the least efficient runners this week. Now of course like bad offensive line, bad

51:29team. I don't know how much I can put on the talent of Quinchan Judkins, but he is coming off his own ankle injury as

51:34well. Uh Quinchan Judkins a really tough play moving forward. Now I will say on the other side of things, similar to the

51:41Cardinals, a team that I was expecting to be a dumpster fire really just based off the Vegas implied totals was the

51:46Raiders. And then the Raiders came out here and looked awesome. And I'm kind of ready to anoint Kubak. As much as I'm

51:50mad at Kubak for not warning us at all about this Brock Bowers injury here.

51:59He is an offensive line whisperer. Now, it's one week of data vers the Miami Dolphins, but it's still worth noting that Colton Miller and a guy named DJ

52:07Glaze. I don't even know. DJ Glaze sounds like a shitty DJ who would show up to like DJs down the Jersey Shore on

52:16like a Tuesday night. DJ Glaze.

52:21I have never in my life heard of this player, but he got two offensive tackles to be top five in pass block win rate.

52:27Now, that's just a fancy stat by ESPN, but just a good stat to look at. The Raiders offensive line held up despite

52:33not being strong, especially at the tackle positions. Colton Miller's pretty solid. DJ Glaze is not. It's Tyler Lindenbomb. Jackson Powers Johnson has

52:40had an up and down career since getting drafted out of Oregon. But this is a team that ended up 19th in EPA per play.

52:46Both tackles ended up top five in pass block win rate. Not perfect, but Kubak's calling card is maximizing his offensive lines, and that's what he's done so far

52:55here. You can also about Michael Mayer.

52:57Uh he's a Titan 17 on the week with 19.2 PPR points, but he did have the ninth highest route share among tight ends. He

53:03had plenty of targets. He had a 13.7 expected points per game. So just based on his volume, what should he have put

53:08up? Uh I think better days are ahead for Michael Mayer as well as long as Brock Bowers isn't there. But there's a chance

53:14that even with Brock Bowers, they pay Michael Mayer all this money and Bowowers plays more of a slot wide receiver role and Michael Mayer is out

53:20there as the inline tight end. Uh because again, I trust Kubak to maximize his offense's output. Now with the Raiders, we of course have Ashton Genty,

53:32which is a eighth takeaway here called my legendary running back watch, which is just kind of the watch list for legendary RBs. Here to me is the key

53:40four. If you drafted one of these four running backs, I would feel really good about your odds of getting a legendary

53:45running back this year. It is Bejon, it is Genty, it is Gibbs, it is JT. Now, Bejian and Gibbs went one and two in

53:50your draft for a reason. They are awesome, awesome players. Now you have Genty and Taylor. Taylor goes first round, so not like as big of a hit, but

54:00was somebody that you could have taken over Christian McCaffrey, you could have taken over JSN or any of the receivers or Buuka Nakua or Jamar Chase. It was a

54:08guy you kind of had had to have conviction to take. But with JT, the receiving role is so encouraging that it

54:16stuck from last year. 62% of the routes, 14% target share for Jonathan Taylor is absurd. He ran more routes than Jir

54:23Gibbs.

54:25Pretty nuts. Then you have Ashen Genty.

54:28Ashen Genty through the air in this game. Had six catches, 45 yards, and two touchdowns just receiving. Crazy. 30 plus PPR points. Ashton Genty looked

54:38awesome. We'll see what this looks like against a real defense, but Genty is a very, very strong play moving forward.

54:44He did not look hampered by his injury at all. Um, I like all these guys. Now, Derrick Henry misses the cut because I

54:48do have this sorted by the utilization score on Fantasy Life, which takes into account all of these things. snapshare, rush attempt share, route share, and

54:56puts out a score. Dererick Henry's score isn't great, but he did have 35 PPR points as the RB1 this week. And a story

55:03that we had been watching over the season or the offseason was that Derrick Henry would get involved in the screen game even more this season. And it seems

55:11like that is going to come true. He had a screen go for 19 yards this week. I think in a more competitive game script,

55:16we'll see even more screens here down the stretch. And I bring it up because it was an explosive 19 yard play that

55:21could have been a touchdown. And last year he had just two screens total for eight yards total over the entire season. So this is just a big juice on

55:30top juicing his upside for Derrick Henry if you can really mix in these explosive play screens on a game-to-ame basis. Now

55:38after Derrick Henry let's talk about some non-leendary RBs, some dead zone RBs that could crush me. My ninth takeaway and again I am here to be

55:47honest. I am not here to protect my takes.

55:51three dead zone running backs that we faded that could crush me. It is Javvante, it is David Montgomery, and it

56:00is Kiran Williams. Now, I did have All right, this is what I was looking for.

56:05The utilization report comparison tool with Javvante, David Montgomery, Kairen Williams, the three dead zone running backs that could crush me. Now, the one

56:12that I am most worried about, Javvante Williams, 90% plus usage rating here or 90 plus score. He had only done that

56:20once last year. He also had a 16% plus target share. He only had a 15% plus target share last year once. So these

56:28are as strong as he's ever seen in terms of usage. He could lead the NFL in touchdowns. He could flirt with 18 plus

56:35points per game and really crush even from his third round position. Now we can talk about David Montgomery here.

56:40Three touchdown stings, but the usage wasn't wasn't amazing. 50-50 split in terms of snaps between him and Woody Marks. 33% of the routes. 79 yards on 23

56:50touches against a Bills defense that allowed the sixth most fantasy points to running backs last year as one of the worst run defense units in the NFL.

57:00David Montgomery was fine, got there on touchdowns. I think that he'll end up being a solid pick this year. We'll see how things go.

57:09Uh but I'm not scared that he can truly crush me. I would say Javante Williams is probably the one that I am most

57:15concerned about. Kairen I'm not really concerned about at all. Uh 6040 split with Blake Cororm. He scored a touchdown and it's probably going to be like a 14

57:24point per game running back moving forward. That's absolutely fine. Uh I'm not concerned there. I would say especially given where you drafted Kiran

57:31like in the early third mid third that's not a crazy outcome. It's really more Dvonte. If Dvonte can hit 18 plus points

57:37per game as a third round pick he's going to crush. If David Montgomery can hit like 16 plus points per game as a

57:44fourth fifth round pick he can crush as well. So, I will give those guys their flowers, but it is still a long season.

57:49Then, we'll talk about our 10th takeaway here. Some murky backfields I wanted to touch on. We of course have the Panthers

57:57backfield up top. Now, shout out to Jared Smlet as well. Essentially just bookmarked a ton of his tweets. Make sure you check out his stuff over on

58:06Draft Shark. Uh, you have Panthers running back opportunities in week one.

58:10It was the Chuba Hubard show. I will say only 13 opportunities for Chuba Hubard, but he turned 10 carries into 49 yards

58:17in a touchdown. He turned three catches into 38 yards in a touchdown. He scored the touchdowns. He had the goal line

58:21roll. Uh he is the RB1 on this team moving forward. Brooks is purely a stash moving forward. Bill Crosky Merritt ran

58:29really well. 16 carries, one target. Of course, he fumbles at the end. As Jared Muller points out, the final three carries for Kron Allen came after Bill's

58:38fourth quarter fumble. I think until the fumble, I'd feel really good about Bill.

58:42He was by far and away, even against this Eagles defense, the most efficient runner on this team. He had 16 carries,

58:4963 yards, almost four yards per carry.

58:52And I say almost because against this Eagles defense, that is not bad at all.

58:57I want to say the rest of the offense didn't really run that well uh from a yards per carry basis on this offense.

59:05In terms of yards per carry, it was 3.9 for Bill. It was 3.1 for Rashad White.

59:09And then I guess Kron Allen. Four carries, 16 yards, four yards per carry on his rushes. Then we have the Vikings.

59:1615 for Jordan Mason, 12 for Aaron Jones.

59:19Aaron Jones had the funny uh he like fell down and then kept going and then it didn't really amount to anything. Uh

59:25Aaron Jones, one target isn't really what you're hoping for. Uh Jordan Mason has the long play, gets stopped short of the

59:35touchdown. Uh, I do want to see the box score here as it pertains to Jordan Mason. Aaron Jones, of course, has a

59:43touchdown. Jordan Mason, I remember, had the long run down the sideline and he scored a touchdown of his own. The issue

59:49is that both of these guys scored touchdowns and both of them only finished with around 10 PPR points. So, honestly, like a true split here between

59:56the two running backs, then the Steelers in a dead even split. 16 opportunities to 13 opportunities for Rico Dattle.

60:05Neither of them really get home, but again, I'm kind of still I'm having some patience with the Steelers offense here.

60:10Uh, then you have the Saints week one opportunities. This one was weird.

60:13Kendra matches ETN in carries. ETN gets nine targets, which is absurd. I will say the the game this game was so wonky.

60:20It had uh more plays than really any other game this week. I I want to say the top two in terms of

60:28plays ran was the Saints and the Lions in this OT kind of thriller in a dome. I don't think ETN's going to get nine

60:36targets moving forward, but I also don't think that he's going to split carries perfectly 50/50 with Kre Miller. I would say I'm about lukewarm on ETN moving

60:43forward. Then you have the Packers.

60:45Lloyd was the lead back, but it's a really tough Vikings defense with Flores calling plays. I wouldn't get spooked on Lloyd just yet. Uh but he is a low-end

60:54RB1 uh or no, low-end RB2, sorry, at best. Uh then we can talk about the Jaguars here. Tuan had 16 opportunities.

61:05He doesn't score a touchdown. All the touchdowns go through the air for the Jaguars here. It goes to I think Josh

61:10Cameron was his name. Parker Washington, Jacobe Myers, and Bretton Strange. Uh but I do think Basil 2 in here not terrible. 15

61:19carries, 66 yards. You'd like a little bit more for him in the receiving game, but 22 yards in the receiving game is

61:24strong on his one reception here. I do want to pull up the fantasy life uh usage stuff because I do want to see or

61:30I guess we could actually do that here.

61:31And I don't even really I don't have a plug with these guys. Uh but I think that this is a great product. Uh again,

61:36not that I'm really promoting their stuff here. But if we do Toutin and we do Chris Rodriguez, we can pull up their

61:43comparison. Neither had really strong games in terms of usage. I really wanted to see. So we didn't even get to see the

61:48inside the five short yardage lean to Chris Rodriguez, but both of them got that. Uh yeah, so just a really weird

61:55game script. 40% of the routs for Chris Rodriguez is probably the most concerning part. Oh, damn. You guys can't even see this. Uh 40% of the

62:02routes for Chris Rodriguez is the most concerning part. Uh we didn't have any inside the five. We didn't have any two-minute drill stuff. Uh Chris

62:09Rodriguez running more routes than two is probably the biggest issue here. But also, I wouldn't panic in what was a pretty weird game for this team. Uh then

62:19we will talk about the Jaylen Coker game. Now, we'll talk about him of course a lot more once we get to the

62:25waiverwire video tomorrow, but Jaylen Coker is a real guy. He's a real boy. We talked about him in his draft class and

62:32I'm just so stoked uh that he's doing well. Now, I I don't know that you can count on him to put up 130 plus

62:39receiving yards or 28% target for every week, but as Hayden outlines here, since week 12 of last season, he is the wide receiver 11 on

62:48wide receiver 27 usage. He is going to be a full-on wide receiver three if this sticks. I also wouldn't get crazy about

62:55Tedo McMillan. Tedo McMillan still had a 20% plus target share. I think there's going to be points to go around, but

63:00I'll also step back and say this Bears defense is going to be a fantasy gold mine. It's going to be very similar to

63:05what the Bengals have been in the past where they just kind of lull you into a shootout. I think that's how the Bears

63:10defense is going to be. Uh they just gave up 30 plus to the Panthers and couldn't stop a nosebleleed. Uh then we

63:15get to our 12th takeaway here, and this is where we get just get to our bonus area. We'll talk about the Jets

63:21offense in general. They were up and to the right. Really encouraging sign, but I I I've seen this in week one plenty of

63:26times. They did it last year with Justin Fields versus the Steelers, whatever.

63:29But it is a strong thing to see. Uh then you have Bree Hall, who is a tough one to kind of wrestle with. He he had a I

63:36would say overall a W, 20 plus touches.

63:39Uh he scores a touchdown. He ends up as the RB12 this week.

63:43The nitpick though is that he did seed some short yard stuff to Brilan Allen that won't show up in a graphic like

63:51this because one of them got blown dead.

63:52I think another one uh had like the clock run out uh on a short yardage situation and just weird things happened

63:58for like two short yardage carries for Brillin Allen in this game and then also Brilen Allen ran as many routes as Bree

64:04Hall. Now I think that that has a little bit to do with variance and this weird game script where they just beat up on

64:07the Titans the entire time. So for now we're cautiously optimistic on Bree Hall. We're optimistic on the passing game as well. Gino Smith ends up up and

64:15to the right in terms of completion over expected and then also EPA per play. So passing efficiency and then accuracy adjusted for AOT. Uh really really

64:25strong there. And then you can also talk yourself into the offensive line where the O line had the fourth best pass

64:32blocking grade by PFF. Now say whatever you want about PFF, but fourth best in pass blocking, seventh best in run blocking. The right side of the

64:39offensive line, Joe Tipman, uh young guard, they just extended. And then Membu, the franchise right tackle, allowed no pressures. uh really really

64:49strong from this offensive line. Uh and then just a macro take here to end it off is the state of the league right

64:56now. Uh we just had a monster monster scoring season or scoring week one last year from Pat Thorman. Here you can see

65:04uh last year we were at I think like a 45.8 points per game in 2024 and then we're around 40.7 in 2025 in terms of week one

65:15points per game. This week we are averaging 50 points per game which is huge. We're getting more points. We're getting more under center from Sam uh

65:24Brook House here on the bottom. It's awesome. More under center, more real football, more explosive plays, more points in general. I'm sure a lot of

65:31your fantasy matchups were decided in uh like shootouts and fun fashion. It wasn't like the last two week ones where I came here uh hat in hand of like, man,

65:40I don't know if offenses are going to score like they usually have. But uh we feel good. That is it for today. That is

65:46again going to be our, you know, I say 10 lessons learned, but it's really just whatever whatever takeaways I want to

65:52talk about is what I do. It's just like the fantasy takeaways that you need to know heading into week two. As always, I

65:58appreciate you guys watching. Leave a like, subscribe if you're new, and I will see you guys in the next one.

66:14>> [music and singing] >> Leave me as stones like this.

66:20Ice cold ice around my body.

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