From the episode
Going with a player like Bowers, who I absolutely love this year. It's a high risk move when you want the opposite in this format because you have a 94% chance to advance in week one and a greater than 90% chance to advance for most of the season. The opportunity cost becomes greater to take on Bowers. I don't think he's attractive in that kind of format.
STACKED’s take
Negative signalValue
Bowers is loved in standard leagues but too risky early in 18-team guillotine formats.
JJ Zachariason says he 'absolutely love[s]' Brock Bowers this year in standard leagues, but cautions that taking a tight end early is a high-risk move in guillotine/chopped leagues with 18+ teams. In that format, the opportunity cost is greater because more teams means significantly more running backs and wide receivers drafted relative to tight ends, and the 94% week-one advancement rate and >90% advancement rate for most of the season make positional scarcity less valuable. Zachariason advises against getting 'cute and overthink it' with Bowers in chopped formats, comparing the risk to taking Josh Allen early.
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