From the video
For Lawrence, seventh in adjusted points per game last season, uh and it was the only time he finished uh inside the top 10 of his career. So, a big, big, big boost in production last season came off the rushing touchdowns. Heading into last year, he had rushing touchdown counts of two, five, four, and three. And then he had nine rushing touchdowns last season.
STACKED’s take
NeutralProjection
Safe tier-three option; rushing TD regression likely after 9 last season
Tier three QB; finished seventh in adjusted points per game last season, his only top-ten finish in his career. His production spike was driven by rushing touchdowns (9 last season vs. 2, 5, 4, 3 in prior years), but rush attempts only increased from 4.0 to 4.8 per game, indicating regression is likely. The appeal is safety: he has a great coordinator and four legit NFL wide receivers, with enough depth that the passing attack remains strong even if two receivers get injured. He's a very safe pick but not expected to finish as a top-five QB this season.
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