From the episode

Devon Achan at 13th overall to me is even too soon. When you look at the numbers with Tua Tunga-Vailoa the last two seasons, 21.5 PPR points in 25 games with him is what Devon Achan averaged over those last two seasons. 10.5 PPR points in the eight games without Tua.

STACKED’s take

Positive signalValue

Achane's 15 PPR-point drop without Tua signals Willis downgrade risk.

Jamie Eisenberg views Devon Achane as overvalued at 13th overall (RB7). The critical issue is Achane's heavy dependence on Tua Tagovailoa: he averaged 21.5 PPR points per game in 25 games with Tua over the last two seasons but only 10.5 PPR points in eight games without Tua—a 15-point-per-game difference. With Malik Willis replacing Tua, Achane loses a key advantage; Willis ranked last in the NFL in target rate to running backs over the last two seasons, whereas Tua ranked second. This suggests Achane will see significantly fewer targets and production.

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