Fantasy Football Today

The source discusses a league management dispute where a manager was able to acquire Josh Allen off waivers due to a platform error, allowing them to keep him for a seventh-round pick value.

The source debates the legitimacy of a manager acquiring Josh Allen for a seventh-round keeper pick after he was dropped and subsequently picked up via waivers, ultimately ruling that the move stands as no rules were broken.

While acknowledging that a 17th-round keeper value for Kyle Pitts is excellent, the source ultimately prefers keeping Javonte Williams over him.

Javonte Williams is strongly recommended as a keeper over Kyle Pitts, with the source stating they would choose Williams 'every single time' in a 10-team PPR league.

The source discusses keeping Kenneth Walker in the fourth round, noting that if the manager has the first overall pick, they should not pass on an elite-tier running back if available.

Luther Burden is highlighted as a preferred keeper option in the 13th round, recommended to be kept alongside Chris Olave.

The source recommends keeping Chris Olave in a keeper league format, specifically pairing him with Luther Burden as the preferred keeper duo.

Colston Loveland is viewed as a strong keeper option in a 10-team league, with the potential to be a long-term stud tight end, especially if there are concerns about Malik Nabers' injury recovery.

The source expresses uncertainty regarding Malik Nabers' recovery status, suggesting that if a manager is uncomfortable with his health, they should prioritize keeping Colston Loveland instead.

The source expresses a preference for Chase Brown over other running backs like Saquon Barkley and Ashton Jeanty, placing him in a tier of players they are comfortable drafting.

Jeremiah Love is viewed as a strong value at his current ADP (RB14). The source compares him to Breece Hall as an explosive, high-target-share archetype worth betting on in the third or fourth round. He fits the '110-plus speed score' bucket of successful first-round running backs.

Christian McCaffrey is described as a binary fantasy asset: he is either a league-winning producer or a lineup-killer. Despite concerns regarding his heavy workload (10th most touches in the 21st century) and age, the source maintains him as a top-10 overall pick, though they personally prefer drafting other players like Justin Jefferson or Amon-Ra St. Brown to avoid the volatility.

The source expresses doubt about Rashee Rice's ceiling, noting that he had the second-lowest depth of target in the league last year. the source questions if he can be a high-ceiling receiver while primarily catching passes near the line of scrimmage.

George Pickens is highlighted as having a wide range of outcomes due to uncertainty regarding the Cowboys' offensive pace and game scripts. The source questions if the offense will remain pass-heavy given the team's improved defensive performance.

The source notes a potential usage conflict between Rhamondre Stevenson and Tyjae Spears (referred to as Travion Henderson in transcript), where if both are active, they could split carries (15 for Stevenson, 8 for Spears), potentially capping the fantasy value for both players.

Michael Penix Jr. is viewed as the superior quarterback for Drake London's fantasy value because he consistently ranks near the top of the league in depth of target. The source highlights that London has been a productive fantasy contributor with Penix, specifically noting his performance as the WR3 per game during their time together in 2024.

The source expresses skepticism regarding Tua Tagovailoa's ability to elevate Drake London, citing his tendency to struggle when not in a perfect situation and his low air yards per target (bottom six since 2024). the source suggests Tua is 'shell-shocked' and prefers shorter, easier targets, which limits the ceiling compared to Penix.

The source prefers Michael Penix Jr. over Tua Tagovailoa for Drake London's fantasy outlook, noting that Penix's aggressive downfield passing style unlocks a higher ceiling for London. While Tua offers easier targets, he has ranked in the bottom six in air yards per target since 2024, whereas Penix consistently targets deep. London has historically performed well with Penix, including a stretch as the WR3 per game before a knee injury in 2024.

John Daigle highlights Jaden Higgins as a valuable target in non-PPR leagues, specifically noting his contingency value should Nico Collins miss time.

John Daigle identifies Mike Evans as a strong target in non-PPR formats due to his high touchdown potential and red-zone usage, which remain valuable even when receptions do not count.

Dave Richard notes that while Chris Godwin should maintain a solid target floor (around seven per game), he is not as explosive as he once was and is unlikely to provide significant touchdown production, making him more of a WR4 in non-PPR formats.

The source ranks DeVonta Smith in a tier ahead of Zay Flowers. Smith is highlighted as a strong value because he is currently being drafted based on the team's poor offensive performance last year, despite a coaching change and a healthier offensive line expected for this season. Smith also historically commands a 39% target share when A.J. Brown is off the field.

The source suggests that the Ravens' shift toward moving receivers around the formation, similar to how Kellen Moore utilized Chris Olave, could provide Zay Flowers with the route tree changes needed to reach a higher fantasy ceiling.

Rashad Bateman is moving around the formation more in Baltimore's camp, which the source views as a positive development for his fantasy value and an indicator that the Ravens' offense is modernizing.

John Daigle notes that despite the Colts' offensive struggles in the second half of last season, Jonathan Taylor still finished as the RB10 in points per game, bolstered by a massive 49-point, 240-yard, three-touchdown performance.

John Daigle explicitly prefers Josh Downs over Alec Pierce for fantasy purposes, citing the injury concerns surrounding Pierce.

John Daigle advises avoiding or pushing down Alec Pierce in redraft rankings due to his ongoing injury status and the necessary ramp-up time. Daigle notes that Pierce has been out since ankle surgery in March and prefers to be cautious with players carrying injury designations into the season.

John Daigle targets Ladd McConkey at the second/third-round turn, viewing him as a discounted WR1 despite his ADP at the 4-5 turn. The reasoning centers on the Chargers' offense and the high rate of motion used by the coaching staff; McConkey has averaged a 23% target share in his career when motion is utilized.

Dave Richard notes that Jalen McMillan is currently dealing with a knee injury without a clear timetable, making him a player to monitor on the waiver wire rather than a draft target.

Heath Cummings and Dave Richard agree that Stefan Diggs is a great value at his current ADP (around round nine, pick 98). They expect his draft position to rise as the season approaches.

Heath Cummings identifies Jaden Reed as his favorite among the round 10 wide receivers, highlighting his unique rushing ability. Reed has recorded 34 carries over the last three seasons, with six of those going for 20-plus yards, outperforming notable running backs in that specific metric.

Heath Cummings views Jordan Addison as an amazing value in round 10, especially in full PPR formats. Despite a minor thumb injury, the expectation is that he will be ready for the season, and he stands to benefit if the Vikings' offense increases their passing volume.

Heath Cummings is high on Josh Downs, noting he is working as the Colts' number one wide receiver in training camp. Cummings is willing to reach for him before round 10, citing his strong target volume and red-zone usage (14 red-zone targets last year) as reasons for optimism.

Heath Cummings is back in on Chris Godwin as a value pick in round nine (WR42). Despite concerns about his recovery from a previous leg injury and slow tape from last year, Cummings notes that Godwin is now 100% healthy and faces a massive opportunity with Mike Evans gone.

Dave Richard is skeptical of Jordan Tyson's immediate fantasy impact, noting concerns about his health history (hamstring issues, past ACL) and questioning if he can command enough targets to average 14 PPR points per game as a rookie in New Orleans. Richard views him as a boom-bust bench stash rather than a consistent starter.

Dave Richard and Heath Cummings view Jordan Tyson as a late-round target, with Cummings placing him at the 7/8 turn. Richard notes that while Tyson has the pedigree to be a team's WR2, he is concerned about his injury history dating back to college.

Dave Richard notes that Alec Pierce is currently dealing with an injury, but he expects him to return sooner rather than later and advises against panicking regarding his absence.

Dave Richard favors Parker Washington in PPR formats, noting that he and Brian Thomas Jr. could lead the Jaguars' passing attack. Richard expects the Jaguars to throw the ball frequently this season.

Heath Cummings highlights Christian Watson's late-season efficiency, noting a 23.5% target share and 2.78 yards per route run from weeks 11-18. Cummings projects him for 104 targets, which would be the highest for a Packers receiver since Davante Adams.

Heath Cummings is warming up to Marvin Harrison Jr. after observing him win consistently in practice, specifically in the X-receiver role down the sideline. Cummings notes that the Cardinals' offense appears to be modeled after the Rams and is focused on throwing deep, which boosts Harrison's outlook.